Loading…
Public trading strategy

Strategy (formerly MicroStrategy) is essentially a leveraged bet on Bitcoin, and

Created

Thesis

Strategy (formerly MicroStrategy) is essentially a leveraged bet on Bitcoin, and it just reported an $8.2 billion loss because Bitcoin was down over 40% year-over-year at quarter-end. When the largest corporate Bitcoin holder is bleeding that much paper value, investors who bought the stock for Bitcoin exposure will keep heading for the exits. The stock acts like a magnified version of Bitcoin, so while Bitcoin stays weak or choppy, the selling pressure in MSTR is likely to persist. This is a classic breakdown setup where the underlying thesis (ever-rising Bitcoin prices) has cracked, and disappointed buyers become urgent sellers.

Strategy approach

Strategy (formerly MicroStrategy) is essentially a leveraged bet on Bitcoin, and it just reported an $8.2 billion loss because Bitcoin was down over 40% year-over-year at quarter-end. When the largest corporate Bitcoin holder is bleeding that much paper value, investors who bought the stock for Bitcoin exposure will keep heading for the exits. The stock acts like a magnified version of Bitcoin, so while Bitcoin stays weak or choppy, the selling pressure in MSTR is likely to persist. This is a classic breakdown setup where the underlying thesis (ever-rising Bitcoin prices) has cracked, and disappointed buyers become urgent sellers. Decision analysis profile: leveraged. Required dimensions: company_view, instrument_view, contract_identity, event_expiry_timing,…

Markets and timeframes

Latest published rule evaluation

Evaluated . This is a dated rule snapshot, not a live price or trade execution confirmation.

MSTR · 1d

1 of 1 published entry conditions marked met.

  • ADX (14) above 20 — met

Entry and exit at a glance

These are the named rules in the shared configuration. Review the full conditions below before using a strategy.

  • Entry: ADX Crossover Long (MSTR@1d) (3 conditions)
  • Exit: SL: Below Support[1] (MSTR@1d) (2 conditions)
  • Exit: SL: Below Support[1] (MSTR@1d) (1 condition)
  • Exit: SL: Below Support[1] (MSTR@1d) (1 condition)
  • Exit: Stop Loss at 2.7% (1 condition)
  • Exit: Take Profit at 5.4% (1 condition)

Shared strategy rules

Rule configuration

{
  "data_dependencies": [
    {
      "symbol": "STOCK:MSTR",
      "timeframe": "1d"
    }
  ],
  "entry_rules": [
    {
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:MSTR",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "less_than",
          "right": {
            "rank": 1,
            "type": "support_level"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:MSTR",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "adx",
            "indicator": {
              "name": "adx",
              "period": 14
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 20
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:MSTR",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "crossed_below",
          "right": {
            "rank": 1,
            "type": "support_level"
          }
        }
      ],
      "direction": "long",
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "entry_1",
      "name": "ADX Crossover Long (MSTR@1d)",
      "priority": 1,
      "trade_symbol": "STOCK:MSTR"
    }
  ],
  "exit_rules": [
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:MSTR",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "rank": 1,
            "type": "support_level"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "holding_period_bars",
            "type": "position"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 45
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_1",
      "name": "SL: Below Support[1] (MSTR@1d)",
      "priority": 1,
      "purpose": "signal"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:MSTR",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "less_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "rank": 1,
            "type": "support_level"
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_2",
      "name": "SL: Below Support[1] (MSTR@1d)",
      "priority": 97,
      "purpose": "take_profit",
      "target_symbol": "STOCK:MSTR"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:MSTR",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "crossed_below",
          "right": {
            "rank": 1,
            "type": "support_level"
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_3",
      "name": "SL: Below Support[1] (MSTR@1d)",
      "priority": 100,
      "purpose": "stop_loss",
      "target_symbol": "STOCK:MSTR"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
            "type": "position"
          },
          "operator": "less_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": -2.7
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_4",
      "name": "Stop Loss at 2.7%",
      "priority": 100,
      "purpose": "stop_loss"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
            "type": "position"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 5.4
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_5",
      "name": "Take Profit at 5.4%",
      "priority": 100,
      "purpose": "take_profit"
    }
  ],
  "position_sizing": {
    "max_position_percent": 25,
    "method": {
      "risk_percent": 2.7,
      "support_stop_rank": 1,
      "type": "fixed_risk"
    },
    "min_position_value": 100
  },
  "trigger_timeframe": "1d",
  "version": 1
}

Indicator configuration

{
  "indicators": [
    {
      "name": "adx",
      "period": 14
    }
  ]
}

Parsed strategy

{
  "data_dependencies": [
    {
      "symbol": "STOCK:MSTR",
      "timeframe": "1d"
    }
  ],
  "entry_rules": [
    {
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:MSTR",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "less_than",
          "right": {
            "rank": 1,
            "type": "support_level"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:MSTR",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "adx",
            "indicator": {
              "name": "adx",
              "period": 14
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 20
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:MSTR",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "crossed_below",
          "right": {
            "rank": 1,
            "type": "support_level"
          }
        }
      ],
      "direction": "long",
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "entry_1",
      "name": "ADX Crossover Long (MSTR@1d)",
      "priority": 1,
      "trade_symbol": "STOCK:MSTR"
    }
  ],
  "exit_rules": [
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:MSTR",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "rank": 1,
            "type": "support_level"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "holding_period_bars",
            "type": "position"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 45
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_1",
      "name": "SL: Below Support[1] (MSTR@1d)",
      "priority": 1,
      "purpose": "signal"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:MSTR",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "less_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "rank": 1,
            "type": "support_level"
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_2",
      "name": "SL: Below Support[1] (MSTR@1d)",
      "priority": 97,
      "purpose": "take_profit",
      "target_symbol": "STOCK:MSTR"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:MSTR",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "crossed_below",
          "right": {
            "rank": 1,
            "type": "support_level"
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_3",
      "name": "SL: Below Support[1] (MSTR@1d)",
      "priority": 100,
      "purpose": "stop_loss",
      "target_symbol": "STOCK:MSTR"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
            "type": "position"
          },
          "operator": "less_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": -2.7
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_4",
      "name": "Stop Loss at 2.7%",
      "priority": 100,
      "purpose": "stop_loss"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
            "type": "position"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 5.4
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_5",
      "name": "Take Profit at 5.4%",
      "priority": 100,
      "purpose": "take_profit"
    }
  ],
  "position_sizing": {
    "max_position_percent": 25,
    "method": {
      "risk_percent": 2.7,
      "support_stop_rank": 1,
      "type": "fixed_risk"
    },
    "min_position_value": 100
  },
  "trigger_timeframe": "1d",
  "version": 1
}

Strategy instructions

Trading agent generated from recommendation idea 'Strategy (formerly MicroStrategy) is essentially a leveraged bet on Bitcoin, and it just reported an $8.2 billion loss because Bitcoin was down over 40% year-over-year at quarter-end. When the largest corporate Bitcoin holder is bleeding that much paper v'. Thesis: Strategy (formerly MicroStrategy) is essentially a leveraged bet on Bitcoin, and it just reported an $8.2 billion loss because Bitcoin was down over 40% year-over-year at quarter-end. When the largest corporate Bitcoin holder is bleeding that much paper value, investors who bought the stock for Bitcoin exposure will keep heading for the exits. The stock acts like a magnified version of Bitcoin, so while Bitcoin stays weak or choppy, the selling pressure in MSTR is likely to persist. This is a classic breakdown setup where the underlying thesis (ever-rising Bitcoin prices) has cracked, and disappointed buyers become urgent sellers.

Performance

No trade count, win rate, or realized P&L figures are provided in this public preview. The thesis and shared rules do not establish a performance record.

What this public preview can establish

  • The dated rule snapshot above shows the conditions evaluated at that time. It does not prove a current trigger or executed trade.
  • Technical strategy fields are shared above. Inspect the actual conditions and check when they were evaluated before relying on them.
  • No trade count, win rate, or P&L figure is published in this preview. It cannot establish a performance record.

Explore

How CommonQuant researches and tests strategies · Public paper-trading record and its limits · Discover public strategies