Public trading strategy
When US buyers on Coinbase are willing to pay more than offshore traders, it usu
Created
Thesis
When US buyers on Coinbase are willing to pay more than offshore traders, it usually means dollar-based institutional money is doing the buying, not speculative offshore flow. That signal has been negative since May and just flipped positive, coinciding with Bitcoin firmly holding the $80,000 level. Sustained Coinbase premiums have historically lined up with the stronger legs of Bitcoin uptrends, so this reads as fresh demand arriving rather than a blip. A long BTC position while this premium stays positive, with an exit if it rolls back over, captures that institutional bid.
Strategy approach
When US buyers on Coinbase are willing to pay more than offshore traders, it usually means dollar-based institutional money is doing the buying, not speculative offshore flow. That signal has been negative since May and just flipped positive, coinciding with Bitcoin firmly holding the $80,000 level. Sustained Coinbase premiums have historically lined up with the stronger legs of Bitcoin uptrends, so this reads as fresh demand arriving rather than a blip. A long BTC position while this premium stays positive, with an exit if it rolls back over, captures that institutional bid. Decision analysis profile: value. Required dimensions: valuation_method, valuation_sensitivity, business_economics, cash_quality, balance_sheet_leverage, dilution_capital_allocation, moat, catalysts, counterevidence,…
Markets and timeframes
Latest published rule evaluation
Evaluated . This is a dated rule snapshot, not a live price or trade execution confirmation.
BTC · 1d
2 of 6 published entry conditions marked met.
- Price crossed above EMA (20) — far
- Price above EMA (20) — met
- Stochastic (14) crossed above Stochastic (3) — far
- Price above EMA (20) — met
- Price crossed above EMA (20) — far
- Stochastic (14) crossed above Stochastic (3) — far
- Price crossed below EMA (20) — far
- RSI (14) above 70 — met
COIN · 1d
No entry condition values were published.
- Price crossed below EMA (20) — far
- RSI (14) above 70 — met
Entry and exit at a glance
These are the named rules in the shared configuration. Review the full conditions below before using a strategy.
- Entry: US Demand Premium Long: BTC Reclaim with COIN Above Medium Trend and Momentum Cross (BTC@1d) (3 conditions)
- Entry: US Demand Premium Long: COIN Demand Flip with BTC Holding Medium Trend (BTC@1d) (3 conditions)
- Exit: Signal Exit: US Demand Premium Rollover (COIN loses medium trend) (1 condition)
- Exit: Overextended RSI Profit-Taking Exit (1 condition)
- Exit: Take Profit at 4.8% (1 condition)
- Exit: Stop: Close Below Support[2] (BTC@1d) (1 condition)
- Exit: Stop Loss at 2.4% (1 condition)
- Exit: Time Stop at 60 Bars (1 condition)
Shared strategy rules
Rule configuration
{
"data_dependencies": [
{
"symbol": "CRYPTO:BTC",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
{
"symbol": "STOCK:COIN",
"timeframe": "1d"
}
],
"entry_rules": [
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "CRYPTO:BTC",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "crossed_above",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "CRYPTO:BTC",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "ema",
"period": 20
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:COIN",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:COIN",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "ema",
"period": 20
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "CRYPTO:BTC",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "k",
"indicator": {
"d_period": 3,
"k_period": 14,
"name": "stochastic",
"slowing": 3
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "crossed_above",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "CRYPTO:BTC",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "d",
"indicator": {
"d_period": 3,
"k_period": 3,
"name": "stochastic",
"slowing": 3
},
"type": "indicator"
}
}
],
"direction": "long",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_1_btc",
"name": "US Demand Premium Long: BTC Reclaim with COIN Above Medium Trend and Momentum Cross (BTC@1d)",
"priority": 1,
"trade_symbol": "CRYPTO:BTC"
},
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "CRYPTO:BTC",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "CRYPTO:BTC",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "ema",
"period": 20
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:COIN",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "crossed_above",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:COIN",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "ema",
"period": 20
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "CRYPTO:BTC",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "k",
"indicator": {
"d_period": 3,
"k_period": 14,
"name": "stochastic",
"slowing": 3
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "crossed_above",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "CRYPTO:BTC",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "d",
"indicator": {
"d_period": 3,
"k_period": 3,
"name": "stochastic",
"slowing": 3
},
"type": "indicator"
}
}
],
"direction": "long",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_2_btc",
"name": "US Demand Premium Long: COIN Demand Flip with BTC Holding Medium Trend (BTC@1d)",
"priority": 2,
"trade_symbol": "CRYPTO:BTC"
}
],
"exit_rules": [
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:COIN",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "crossed_below",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:COIN",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "ema",
"period": 20
},
"type": "indicator"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_1",
"name": "Signal Exit: US Demand Premium Rollover (COIN loses medium trend)",
"priority": 1,
"purpose": "signal"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "CRYPTO:BTC",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 70
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_2",
"name": "Overextended RSI Profit-Taking Exit",
"priority": 2,
"purpose": "take_profit"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
"type": "position"
},
"operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 4.794333333333333
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_3",
"name": "Take Profit at 4.8%",
"priority": 3,
"purpose": "take_profit"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "CRYPTO:BTC",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "crossed_below",
"right": {
"rank": 2,
"type": "support_level"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_4",
"name": "Stop: Close Below Support[2] (BTC@1d)",
"priority": 100,
"purpose": "stop_loss",
"target_symbol": "CRYPTO:BTC"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
"type": "position"
},
"operator": "less_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": -2.3971666666666667
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_5",
"name": "Stop Loss at 2.4%",
"priority": 101,
"purpose": "stop_loss"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "holding_period_bars",
"type": "position"
},
"operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 60
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_6",
"name": "Time Stop at 60 Bars",
"priority": 102,
"purpose": "signal"
}
],
"position_sizing": {
"max_position_percent": 25,
"method": {
"risk_percent": 2.3971666666666667,
"support_stop_rank": 2,
"type": "fixed_risk"
},
"min_position_value": 100
},
"trigger_timeframe": "1d",
"version": 2
}Indicator configuration
{
"indicators": [
{
"name": "ema",
"period": 20
},
{
"name": "ema",
"period": 50
},
{
"name": "bollinger_bands",
"period": 20,
"std_dev": 2
},
{
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
},
{
"d_period": 3,
"k_period": 14,
"name": "stochastic",
"slowing": 3
},
{
"d_period": 3,
"k_period": 3,
"name": "stochastic",
"slowing": 3
},
{
"name": "ema",
"period": 20
},
{
"name": "ema",
"period": 50
},
{
"name": "bollinger_bands",
"period": 20,
"std_dev": 2
},
{
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
},
{
"d_period": 3,
"k_period": 14,
"name": "stochastic",
"slowing": 3
},
{
"d_period": 3,
"k_period": 3,
"name": "stochastic",
"slowing": 3
}
]
}Parsed strategy
{
"data_dependencies": [
{
"symbol": "CRYPTO:BTC",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
{
"symbol": "STOCK:COIN",
"timeframe": "1d"
}
],
"entry_rules": [
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "CRYPTO:BTC",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "crossed_above",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "CRYPTO:BTC",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "ema",
"period": 20
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:COIN",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:COIN",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "ema",
"period": 20
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "CRYPTO:BTC",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "k",
"indicator": {
"d_period": 3,
"k_period": 14,
"name": "stochastic",
"slowing": 3
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "crossed_above",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "CRYPTO:BTC",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "d",
"indicator": {
"d_period": 3,
"k_period": 3,
"name": "stochastic",
"slowing": 3
},
"type": "indicator"
}
}
],
"direction": "long",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_1_btc",
"name": "US Demand Premium Long: BTC Reclaim with COIN Above Medium Trend and Momentum Cross (BTC@1d)",
"priority": 1,
"trade_symbol": "CRYPTO:BTC"
},
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "CRYPTO:BTC",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "CRYPTO:BTC",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "ema",
"period": 20
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:COIN",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "crossed_above",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:COIN",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "ema",
"period": 20
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "CRYPTO:BTC",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "k",
"indicator": {
"d_period": 3,
"k_period": 14,
"name": "stochastic",
"slowing": 3
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "crossed_above",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "CRYPTO:BTC",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "d",
"indicator": {
"d_period": 3,
"k_period": 3,
"name": "stochastic",
"slowing": 3
},
"type": "indicator"
}
}
],
"direction": "long",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_2_btc",
"name": "US Demand Premium Long: COIN Demand Flip with BTC Holding Medium Trend (BTC@1d)",
"priority": 2,
"trade_symbol": "CRYPTO:BTC"
}
],
"exit_rules": [
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:COIN",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "crossed_below",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:COIN",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "ema",
"period": 20
},
"type": "indicator"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_1",
"name": "Signal Exit: US Demand Premium Rollover (COIN loses medium trend)",
"priority": 1,
"purpose": "signal"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "CRYPTO:BTC",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 70
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_2",
"name": "Overextended RSI Profit-Taking Exit",
"priority": 2,
"purpose": "take_profit"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
"type": "position"
},
"operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 4.794333333333333
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_3",
"name": "Take Profit at 4.8%",
"priority": 3,
"purpose": "take_profit"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "CRYPTO:BTC",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "crossed_below",
"right": {
"rank": 2,
"type": "support_level"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_4",
"name": "Stop: Close Below Support[2] (BTC@1d)",
"priority": 100,
"purpose": "stop_loss",
"target_symbol": "CRYPTO:BTC"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
"type": "position"
},
"operator": "less_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": -2.3971666666666667
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_5",
"name": "Stop Loss at 2.4%",
"priority": 101,
"purpose": "stop_loss"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "holding_period_bars",
"type": "position"
},
"operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 60
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_6",
"name": "Time Stop at 60 Bars",
"priority": 102,
"purpose": "signal"
}
],
"position_sizing": {
"max_position_percent": 25,
"method": {
"risk_percent": 2.3971666666666667,
"support_stop_rank": 2,
"type": "fixed_risk"
},
"min_position_value": 100
},
"trigger_timeframe": "1d",
"version": 2
}Strategy instructions
Trading agent generated from recommendation idea 'When US buyers on Coinbase are willing to pay more than offshore traders, it usually means dollar-based institutional money is doing the buying, not speculative offshore flow. That signal has been negative since May and just flipped positive, coinciding w'. Thesis: When US buyers on Coinbase are willing to pay more than offshore traders, it usually means dollar-based institutional money is doing the buying, not speculative offshore flow. That signal has been negative since May and just flipped positive, coinciding with Bitcoin firmly holding the $80,000 level. Sustained Coinbase premiums have historically lined up with the stronger legs of Bitcoin uptrends, so this reads as fresh demand arriving rather than a blip. A long BTC position while this premium stays positive, with an exit if it rolls back over, captures that institutional bid.
Performance
No trade count, win rate, or realized P&L figures are provided in this public preview. The thesis and shared rules do not establish a performance record.
What this public preview can establish
- The dated rule snapshot above shows the conditions evaluated at that time. It does not prove a current trigger or executed trade.
- Technical strategy fields are shared above. Inspect the actual conditions and check when they were evaluated before relying on them.
- No trade count, win rate, or P&L figure is published in this preview. It cannot establish a performance record.
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