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Public trading strategy

Yen crashes to 40-year low as crypto bleeds out — rotate into gold miners as the

Created

Thesis

The combination of the yen hitting a 40-year low and Bitcoin bleeding near $60K with record ETF outflows points to broad risk aversion. When major fiat currencies destabilize and speculative digital assets sell off heavily, large institutional money typically rotates into physical gold. A weakening yen specifically signals global currency stress, which historically drives safe-haven demand. By pairing these macro headwinds, we can target gold miners (via GDX) to capture the defensive rotation.

Strategy approach

Build a rule-based strategy that enters long GDX on D1 when USDJPY makes a 20-day high and Bitcoin (BTCUSD) drops more than 2% on the same day, with a 21-day max hold and a 6% trailing stop.

Markets and timeframes

Latest published rule evaluation

Evaluated . This is a dated rule snapshot, not a live price or trade execution confirmation.

GDX · 1d

3 of 4 published entry conditions marked met.

  • ROC (1) below -2 — met
  • RSI (14) below 35 — far
  • ADX (14) above 20 — met
  • Donchian (20) above 1 — met
  • RSI (14) above 65 — far

NEM · 1d

2 of 4 published entry conditions marked met.

  • ROC (1) below -2 — near
  • RSI (14) below 35 — far
  • ADX (14) above 20 — met
  • Donchian (20) above 1 — met
  • RSI (14) above 65 — far

Entry and exit at a glance

These are the named rules in the shared configuration. Review the full conditions below before using a strategy.

  • Entry: Oversold ROC/RSI/ADX/DONCHIAN Long (BTC@1d) (6 conditions)
  • Exit: Position Exit Rule (BTC@1d) (1 condition)
  • Exit: Stop Loss at 2.7% (1 condition)
  • Exit: Take Profit at 5.5% (1 condition)
  • Exit: TP: Near Resistance[1] (BTC@1d) (1 condition)
  • Exit: SL: Below Support[1] (BTC@1d) (2 conditions)

Shared strategy rules

Rule configuration

{
  "data_dependencies": [
    {
      "symbol": "BTC",
      "timeframe": "1d"
    }
  ],
  "entry_rules": [
    {
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "BTC",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "roc",
              "period": 1
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "less_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": -2
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "BTC",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "rsi",
              "period": 14
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "less_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 35
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "BTC",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "adx",
            "indicator": {
              "name": "adx",
              "period": 14
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 20
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "low",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "less_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "rank": 1,
            "type": "support_level"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "rank": 1,
            "type": "support_level"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "BTC",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "upper",
            "indicator": {
              "name": "donchian",
              "period": 20
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 1
          }
        }
      ],
      "direction": "long",
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "entry_1",
      "name": "Oversold ROC/RSI/ADX/DONCHIAN Long (BTC@1d)",
      "priority": 1,
      "trade_symbol": "BTC"
    }
  ],
  "exit_rules": [
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "BTC",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "rsi",
              "period": 14
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 65
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_1",
      "name": "Position Exit Rule (BTC@1d)",
      "priority": 1,
      "purpose": "signal"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
            "type": "position"
          },
          "operator": "less_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": -2.7381333333333333
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_2",
      "name": "Stop Loss at 2.7%",
      "priority": 100,
      "purpose": "stop_loss"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
            "type": "position"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 5.476266666666667
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_3",
      "name": "Take Profit at 5.5%",
      "priority": 100,
      "purpose": "take_profit"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "long",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "rank": 1,
            "type": "resistance_level"
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_4",
      "name": "TP: Near Resistance[1] (BTC@1d)",
      "priority": 97,
      "purpose": "take_profit"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "long",
      "condition_tree": {
        "children": [
          {
            "cond": {
              "left": {
                "field": "close",
                "type": "price"
              },
              "operator": "crossed_above",
              "right": {
                "rank": 1,
                "type": "support_level"
              }
            },
            "op": "cond"
          },
          {
            "cond": {
              "left": {
                "field": "close",
                "type": "price"
              },
              "operator": "less_than",
              "right": {
                "chart_ref": {
                  "symbol": "BTC",
                  "timeframe": "1d"
                },
                "ratio": 786,
                "type": "fibonacci_retracement"
              }
            },
            "op": "cond"
          }
        ],
        "op": "any"
      },
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "crossed_above",
          "right": {
            "rank": 1,
            "type": "support_level"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "less_than",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "BTC",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "ratio": 786,
            "type": "fibonacci_retracement"
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_5",
      "name": "SL: Below Support[1] (BTC@1d)",
      "priority": 100,
      "purpose": "stop_loss"
    }
  ],
  "position_sizing": {
    "max_position_percent": 25,
    "method": {
      "fib_stop_ratio": 786,
      "risk_percent": 2.7381333333333333,
      "type": "fixed_risk"
    },
    "min_position_value": 100
  },
  "trigger_timeframe": "1d",
  "version": 1
}

Indicator configuration

{
  "indicators": [
    {
      "name": "rsi",
      "period": 14
    },
    {
      "name": "adx",
      "period": 14
    },
    {
      "name": "donchian",
      "period": 20
    },
    {
      "name": "roc",
      "period": 1
    }
  ]
}

Parsed strategy

{
  "data_dependencies": [
    {
      "symbol": "BTC",
      "timeframe": "1d"
    }
  ],
  "entry_rules": [
    {
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "BTC",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "roc",
              "period": 1
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "less_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": -2
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "BTC",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "rsi",
              "period": 14
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "less_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 35
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "BTC",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "adx",
            "indicator": {
              "name": "adx",
              "period": 14
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 20
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "low",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "less_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "rank": 1,
            "type": "support_level"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "rank": 1,
            "type": "support_level"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "BTC",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "upper",
            "indicator": {
              "name": "donchian",
              "period": 20
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 1
          }
        }
      ],
      "direction": "long",
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "entry_1",
      "name": "Oversold ROC/RSI/ADX/DONCHIAN Long (BTC@1d)",
      "priority": 1,
      "trade_symbol": "BTC"
    }
  ],
  "exit_rules": [
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "BTC",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "rsi",
              "period": 14
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 65
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_1",
      "name": "Position Exit Rule (BTC@1d)",
      "priority": 1,
      "purpose": "signal"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
            "type": "position"
          },
          "operator": "less_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": -2.7381333333333333
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_2",
      "name": "Stop Loss at 2.7%",
      "priority": 100,
      "purpose": "stop_loss"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
            "type": "position"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 5.476266666666667
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_3",
      "name": "Take Profit at 5.5%",
      "priority": 100,
      "purpose": "take_profit"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "long",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "rank": 1,
            "type": "resistance_level"
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_4",
      "name": "TP: Near Resistance[1] (BTC@1d)",
      "priority": 97,
      "purpose": "take_profit"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "long",
      "condition_tree": {
        "children": [
          {
            "cond": {
              "left": {
                "field": "close",
                "type": "price"
              },
              "operator": "crossed_above",
              "right": {
                "rank": 1,
                "type": "support_level"
              }
            },
            "op": "cond"
          },
          {
            "cond": {
              "left": {
                "field": "close",
                "type": "price"
              },
              "operator": "less_than",
              "right": {
                "chart_ref": {
                  "symbol": "BTC",
                  "timeframe": "1d"
                },
                "ratio": 786,
                "type": "fibonacci_retracement"
              }
            },
            "op": "cond"
          }
        ],
        "op": "any"
      },
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "crossed_above",
          "right": {
            "rank": 1,
            "type": "support_level"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "less_than",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "BTC",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "ratio": 786,
            "type": "fibonacci_retracement"
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_5",
      "name": "SL: Below Support[1] (BTC@1d)",
      "priority": 100,
      "purpose": "stop_loss"
    }
  ],
  "position_sizing": {
    "max_position_percent": 25,
    "method": {
      "fib_stop_ratio": 786,
      "risk_percent": 2.7381333333333333,
      "type": "fixed_risk"
    },
    "min_position_value": 100
  },
  "trigger_timeframe": "1d",
  "version": 1
}

Strategy instructions

Trading agent generated from recommendation idea 'Yen crashes to 40-year low as crypto bleeds out — rotate into gold miners as the ultimate safe haven'. Thesis: The combination of the yen hitting a 40-year low and Bitcoin bleeding near $60K with record ETF outflows points to broad risk aversion. When major fiat currencies destabilize and speculative digital assets sell off heavily, large institutional money typically rotates into physical gold. A weakening yen specifically signals global currency stress, which historically drives safe-haven demand. By pairing these macro headwinds, we can target gold miners (via GDX) to capture the defensive rotation.

Performance

No trade count, win rate, or realized P&L figures are provided in this public preview. The thesis and shared rules do not establish a performance record.

What this public preview can establish

  • The dated rule snapshot above shows the conditions evaluated at that time. It does not prove a current trigger or executed trade.
  • Technical strategy fields are shared above. Inspect the actual conditions and check when they were evaluated before relying on them.
  • No trade count, win rate, or P&L figure is published in this preview. It cannot establish a performance record.

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