Public trading strategy
Ethereum steals the spotlight as analysts call it 'compelling' — long the catch-
Created
Thesis
While Bitcoin has grabbed headlines with its recent run, market watchers are now highlighting Ethereum as increasingly compelling. This suggests we are entering a phase where traders rotate profits from Bitcoin into Ethereum to chase higher percentage gains. Because Ethereum still trades at a discount relative to its recent highs, this rotating demand provides a strong tailwind for a catch-up bounce. ## Story development — 2026-07-18 14:03 UTC **Ethereum leaves Bitcoin in the dust as BlackRock funnels cash in — long ETH over BTC** Ethereum is outpacing Bitcoin as institutional money flows back into crypto through BlackRock's Ethereum fund, while technical analysts flag bottom signals across the token. Rather than a broad crypto rally, this is a targeted surge in Ethereum demand.
Strategy approach
Build a rule-based strategy that enters long ETH-USD on the H4 timeframe when Ethereum's 14-period RSI crosses above 60 and the price closes above its 20-day simple moving average. Exit if the price closes below the 20-day SMA, or after a maximum hold of 10 days.
Markets and timeframes
ETHH4
Latest published rule evaluation
Evaluated . This is a dated rule snapshot, not a live price or trade execution confirmation.
ETH · 4h
3 of 4 published entry conditions marked met.
- RSI (14) crossed above 60 — far
- Price above SMA (20) — met
- ADX (14) at or above 25 — met
- RSI (14) below 70 — met
- Price above SMA (20) — met
- RSI (14) at or below 30 — far
Entry and exit at a glance
These are the named rules in the shared configuration. Review the full conditions below before using a strategy.
- Entry: Confirmed Momentum Breakout Fade (ETH@4h) (4 conditions)
- Exit: SMA Trend Exit — Short Covered (ETH@4h) (1 condition)
- Exit: TP: Fib Retracement 78.6% (ETH@4h) (1 condition)
- Exit: SL: Fib Extension 127.2% (ETH@4h) (1 condition)
- Exit: Stop Loss at 2.4% (1 condition)
- Exit: Take Profit at 4.8% (1 condition)
- Exit: Oversold Exit (ETH@4h) (1 condition)
- Exit: Thesis time stop after 60 days (1 condition)
Shared strategy rules
Rule configuration
{
"data_dependencies": [
{
"symbol": "CRYPTO:ETH",
"timeframe": "4h"
}
],
"entry_rules": [
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "CRYPTO:ETH",
"timeframe": "4h"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "crossed_above",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 60
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "CRYPTO:ETH",
"timeframe": "4h"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "CRYPTO:ETH",
"timeframe": "4h"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "sma",
"period": 20
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "CRYPTO:ETH",
"timeframe": "4h"
},
"field": "adx",
"indicator": {
"name": "adx",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 25
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "CRYPTO:ETH",
"timeframe": "4h"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 70
}
}
],
"direction": "short",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_1",
"name": "Confirmed Momentum Breakout Fade (ETH@4h)",
"priority": 1,
"trade_symbol": "CRYPTO:ETH"
}
],
"exit_rules": [
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "CRYPTO:ETH",
"timeframe": "4h"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "CRYPTO:ETH",
"timeframe": "4h"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "sma",
"period": 20
},
"type": "indicator"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_1",
"name": "SMA Trend Exit — Short Covered (ETH@4h)",
"priority": 1,
"purpose": "signal"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "CRYPTO:ETH",
"timeframe": "4h"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "CRYPTO:ETH",
"timeframe": "4h"
},
"ratio": 786,
"type": "fibonacci_retracement"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_2",
"name": "TP: Fib Retracement 78.6% (ETH@4h)",
"priority": 96,
"purpose": "take_profit",
"target_symbol": "CRYPTO:ETH"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "CRYPTO:ETH",
"timeframe": "4h"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "CRYPTO:ETH",
"timeframe": "4h"
},
"ratio": 1272,
"type": "fibonacci_extension"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_3",
"name": "SL: Fib Extension 127.2% (ETH@4h)",
"priority": 100,
"purpose": "stop_loss",
"target_symbol": "CRYPTO:ETH"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
"type": "position"
},
"operator": "less_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": -2.3836333333333335
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_4",
"name": "Stop Loss at 2.4%",
"priority": 100,
"purpose": "stop_loss"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
"type": "position"
},
"operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 4.767266666666667
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_5",
"name": "Take Profit at 4.8%",
"priority": 100,
"purpose": "take_profit"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "CRYPTO:ETH",
"timeframe": "4h"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "less_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 30
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_6",
"name": "Oversold Exit (ETH@4h)",
"priority": 50,
"purpose": "signal"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "holding_period_bars",
"type": "position"
},
"operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 360
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "advanced_analysis_time_stop",
"name": "Thesis time stop after 60 days",
"priority": 101,
"purpose": "signal"
}
],
"position_sizing": {
"max_position_percent": 25,
"method": {
"fib_stop_ratio": 1272,
"risk_percent": 2.3836333333333335,
"type": "fixed_risk"
},
"min_position_value": 100
},
"trigger_timeframe": "4h",
"version": 3
}Indicator configuration
{
"indicators": [
{
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
},
{
"name": "sma",
"period": 20
},
{
"name": "adx",
"period": 14
}
]
}Parsed strategy
{
"data_dependencies": [
{
"symbol": "CRYPTO:ETH",
"timeframe": "4h"
}
],
"entry_rules": [
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "CRYPTO:ETH",
"timeframe": "4h"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "crossed_above",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 60
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "CRYPTO:ETH",
"timeframe": "4h"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "CRYPTO:ETH",
"timeframe": "4h"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "sma",
"period": 20
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "CRYPTO:ETH",
"timeframe": "4h"
},
"field": "adx",
"indicator": {
"name": "adx",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 25
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "CRYPTO:ETH",
"timeframe": "4h"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 70
}
}
],
"direction": "short",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_1",
"name": "Confirmed Momentum Breakout Fade (ETH@4h)",
"priority": 1,
"trade_symbol": "CRYPTO:ETH"
}
],
"exit_rules": [
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "CRYPTO:ETH",
"timeframe": "4h"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "CRYPTO:ETH",
"timeframe": "4h"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "sma",
"period": 20
},
"type": "indicator"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_1",
"name": "SMA Trend Exit — Short Covered (ETH@4h)",
"priority": 1,
"purpose": "signal"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "CRYPTO:ETH",
"timeframe": "4h"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "CRYPTO:ETH",
"timeframe": "4h"
},
"ratio": 786,
"type": "fibonacci_retracement"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_2",
"name": "TP: Fib Retracement 78.6% (ETH@4h)",
"priority": 96,
"purpose": "take_profit",
"target_symbol": "CRYPTO:ETH"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "CRYPTO:ETH",
"timeframe": "4h"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "CRYPTO:ETH",
"timeframe": "4h"
},
"ratio": 1272,
"type": "fibonacci_extension"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_3",
"name": "SL: Fib Extension 127.2% (ETH@4h)",
"priority": 100,
"purpose": "stop_loss",
"target_symbol": "CRYPTO:ETH"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
"type": "position"
},
"operator": "less_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": -2.3836333333333335
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_4",
"name": "Stop Loss at 2.4%",
"priority": 100,
"purpose": "stop_loss"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
"type": "position"
},
"operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 4.767266666666667
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_5",
"name": "Take Profit at 4.8%",
"priority": 100,
"purpose": "take_profit"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "CRYPTO:ETH",
"timeframe": "4h"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "less_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 30
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_6",
"name": "Oversold Exit (ETH@4h)",
"priority": 50,
"purpose": "signal"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "holding_period_bars",
"type": "position"
},
"operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 360
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "advanced_analysis_time_stop",
"name": "Thesis time stop after 60 days",
"priority": 101,
"purpose": "signal"
}
],
"position_sizing": {
"max_position_percent": 25,
"method": {
"fib_stop_ratio": 1272,
"risk_percent": 2.3836333333333335,
"type": "fixed_risk"
},
"min_position_value": 100
},
"trigger_timeframe": "4h",
"version": 3
}Strategy instructions
Trading agent generated from recommendation idea 'Ethereum steals the spotlight as analysts call it 'compelling' — long the catch-up trade'. Thesis: While Bitcoin has grabbed headlines with its recent run, market watchers are now highlighting Ethereum as increasingly compelling. This suggests we are entering a phase where traders rotate profits from Bitcoin into Ethereum to chase higher percentage gains. Because Ethereum still trades at a discount relative to its recent highs, this rotating demand provides a strong tailwind for a catch-up bounce. ## Story development — 2026-07-18 14:03 UTC **Ethereum leaves Bitcoin in the dust as BlackRock funnels cash in — long ETH over BTC** Ethereum is outpacing Bitcoin as institutional money flows back into crypto through BlackRock's Ethereum fund, while technical analysts flag bottom signals across the token. Rather than a broad crypto rally, this is a targeted surge in Ethereum demand.
Performance
No trade count, win rate, or realized P&L figures are provided in this public preview. The thesis and shared rules do not establish a performance record.
What this public preview can establish
- The dated rule snapshot above shows the conditions evaluated at that time. It does not prove a current trigger or executed trade.
- Technical strategy fields are shared above. Inspect the actual conditions and check when they were evaluated before relying on them.
- No trade count, win rate, or P&L figure is published in this preview. It cannot establish a performance record.
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