Loading…
Public trading strategy

SpaceX IPO is 4x oversubscribed — catch the satellite boom in publicly traded sp

Created

Thesis

When a highly anticipated company goes public and demand massively outstrips supply, the excitement often spills over into related companies already publicly traded. Investors who cannot get SpaceX shares will look for the next best way to invest in the booming space and satellite economy. Public satellite and communications companies that support similar infrastructure could see a wave of sympathy buying as people try to ride the SpaceX hype. This pattern of money flowing into related stocks during a massive IPO is a common market reaction.

Strategy approach

Build a breakout strategy on ASTS (AST SpaceMobile) using the daily timeframe. Enter a long position if the price breaks and closes above the highest high of the previous 5 daily sessions (Donchian channel breakout), with volume at least 1.5x the 20-day average volume. Exit the position using an 8% trailing stop, or if the price closes below the 10-day simple moving average on the daily chart.

Markets and timeframes

Entry and exit at a glance

These are the named rules in the shared configuration. Review the full conditions below before using a strategy.

  • Entry: DONCHIAN Crossover Long (ASTS@4h) (1 condition)
  • Entry: DONCHIAN Crossover Long (LUNR@4h) (1 condition)
  • Entry: DONCHIAN Crossover Long (RKLB@4h) (1 condition)
  • Exit: Position Exit Rule (ASTS@4h) (1 condition)
  • Exit: Position Exit Rule (LUNR@4h) (1 condition)
  • Exit: Position Exit Rule (RKLB@4h) (1 condition)
  • Exit: Stop Loss at 8.0% (1 condition)
  • Exit: Take Profit at 10.0% (1 condition)
  • Exit: Take Profit at 10.0% (1 condition)
  • Exit: Take Profit at 10.0% (1 condition)

Shared strategy rules

Rule configuration

{
  "data_dependencies": [
    {
      "symbol": "ASTS",
      "timeframe": "4h"
    },
    {
      "symbol": "LUNR",
      "timeframe": "4h"
    },
    {
      "symbol": "RKLB",
      "timeframe": "4h"
    }
  ],
  "entry_rules": [
    {
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "crossed_above",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "ASTS",
              "timeframe": "4h"
            },
            "field": "upper",
            "indicator": {
              "name": "donchian",
              "period": 20
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          }
        }
      ],
      "direction": "long",
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "entry_1",
      "name": "DONCHIAN Crossover Long (ASTS@4h)",
      "priority": 1,
      "trade_symbol": "ASTS"
    },
    {
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "crossed_above",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "LUNR",
              "timeframe": "4h"
            },
            "field": "upper",
            "indicator": {
              "name": "donchian",
              "period": 20
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          }
        }
      ],
      "direction": "long",
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "entry_2",
      "name": "DONCHIAN Crossover Long (LUNR@4h)",
      "priority": 2,
      "trade_symbol": "LUNR"
    },
    {
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "crossed_above",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "RKLB",
              "timeframe": "4h"
            },
            "field": "upper",
            "indicator": {
              "name": "donchian",
              "period": 20
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          }
        }
      ],
      "direction": "long",
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "entry_3",
      "name": "DONCHIAN Crossover Long (RKLB@4h)",
      "priority": 3,
      "trade_symbol": "RKLB"
    }
  ],
  "exit_rules": [
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "crossed_below",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "ASTS",
              "timeframe": "4h"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "sma",
              "period": 10
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_sma_asts",
      "name": "Position Exit Rule (ASTS@4h)",
      "priority": 1,
      "purpose": "signal",
      "target_symbol": "ASTS"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "crossed_below",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "LUNR",
              "timeframe": "4h"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "sma",
              "period": 10
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_sma_lunr",
      "name": "Position Exit Rule (LUNR@4h)",
      "priority": 2,
      "purpose": "signal",
      "target_symbol": "LUNR"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "crossed_below",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "RKLB",
              "timeframe": "4h"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "sma",
              "period": 10
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_sma_rklb",
      "name": "Position Exit Rule (RKLB@4h)",
      "priority": 3,
      "purpose": "signal",
      "target_symbol": "RKLB"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
            "type": "position"
          },
          "operator": "less_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": -8
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_trailing",
      "name": "Stop Loss at 8.0%",
      "priority": 10,
      "purpose": "stop_loss"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
            "type": "position"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 10
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_tp_asts",
      "name": "Take Profit at 10.0%",
      "priority": 20,
      "purpose": "take_profit",
      "target_symbol": "ASTS"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
            "type": "position"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 10
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_tp_lunr",
      "name": "Take Profit at 10.0%",
      "priority": 21,
      "purpose": "take_profit",
      "target_symbol": "LUNR"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
            "type": "position"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 10
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_tp_rklb",
      "name": "Take Profit at 10.0%",
      "priority": 22,
      "purpose": "take_profit",
      "target_symbol": "RKLB"
    }
  ],
  "position_sizing": {
    "max_position_percent": 25,
    "method": {
      "risk_percent": 2,
      "stop_loss_percent": 8,
      "type": "fixed_risk"
    },
    "min_position_value": 100
  },
  "trigger_timeframe": "4h",
  "version": 1
}

Indicator configuration

{
  "indicators": [
    {
      "name": "sma",
      "period": 10
    },
    {
      "name": "donchian",
      "period": 20
    },
    {
      "name": "sma",
      "period": 10
    },
    {
      "name": "donchian",
      "period": 20
    },
    {
      "name": "sma",
      "period": 10
    },
    {
      "name": "donchian",
      "period": 20
    }
  ]
}

Parsed strategy

{
  "data_dependencies": [
    {
      "symbol": "ASTS",
      "timeframe": "4h"
    },
    {
      "symbol": "LUNR",
      "timeframe": "4h"
    },
    {
      "symbol": "RKLB",
      "timeframe": "4h"
    }
  ],
  "entry_rules": [
    {
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "crossed_above",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "ASTS",
              "timeframe": "4h"
            },
            "field": "upper",
            "indicator": {
              "name": "donchian",
              "period": 20
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          }
        }
      ],
      "direction": "long",
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "entry_1",
      "name": "DONCHIAN Crossover Long (ASTS@4h)",
      "priority": 1,
      "trade_symbol": "ASTS"
    },
    {
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "crossed_above",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "LUNR",
              "timeframe": "4h"
            },
            "field": "upper",
            "indicator": {
              "name": "donchian",
              "period": 20
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          }
        }
      ],
      "direction": "long",
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "entry_2",
      "name": "DONCHIAN Crossover Long (LUNR@4h)",
      "priority": 2,
      "trade_symbol": "LUNR"
    },
    {
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "crossed_above",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "RKLB",
              "timeframe": "4h"
            },
            "field": "upper",
            "indicator": {
              "name": "donchian",
              "period": 20
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          }
        }
      ],
      "direction": "long",
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "entry_3",
      "name": "DONCHIAN Crossover Long (RKLB@4h)",
      "priority": 3,
      "trade_symbol": "RKLB"
    }
  ],
  "exit_rules": [
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "crossed_below",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "ASTS",
              "timeframe": "4h"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "sma",
              "period": 10
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_sma_asts",
      "name": "Position Exit Rule (ASTS@4h)",
      "priority": 1,
      "purpose": "signal",
      "target_symbol": "ASTS"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "crossed_below",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "LUNR",
              "timeframe": "4h"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "sma",
              "period": 10
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_sma_lunr",
      "name": "Position Exit Rule (LUNR@4h)",
      "priority": 2,
      "purpose": "signal",
      "target_symbol": "LUNR"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "crossed_below",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "RKLB",
              "timeframe": "4h"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "sma",
              "period": 10
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_sma_rklb",
      "name": "Position Exit Rule (RKLB@4h)",
      "priority": 3,
      "purpose": "signal",
      "target_symbol": "RKLB"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
            "type": "position"
          },
          "operator": "less_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": -8
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_trailing",
      "name": "Stop Loss at 8.0%",
      "priority": 10,
      "purpose": "stop_loss"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
            "type": "position"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 10
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_tp_asts",
      "name": "Take Profit at 10.0%",
      "priority": 20,
      "purpose": "take_profit",
      "target_symbol": "ASTS"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
            "type": "position"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 10
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_tp_lunr",
      "name": "Take Profit at 10.0%",
      "priority": 21,
      "purpose": "take_profit",
      "target_symbol": "LUNR"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
            "type": "position"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 10
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_tp_rklb",
      "name": "Take Profit at 10.0%",
      "priority": 22,
      "purpose": "take_profit",
      "target_symbol": "RKLB"
    }
  ],
  "position_sizing": {
    "max_position_percent": 25,
    "method": {
      "risk_percent": 2,
      "stop_loss_percent": 8,
      "type": "fixed_risk"
    },
    "min_position_value": 100
  },
  "trigger_timeframe": "4h",
  "version": 1
}

Strategy instructions

Trading agent generated from recommendation idea 'SpaceX IPO is 4x oversubscribed — catch the satellite boom in publicly traded space stocks'. Thesis: When a highly anticipated company goes public and demand massively outstrips supply, the excitement often spills over into related companies already publicly traded. Investors who cannot get SpaceX shares will look for the next best way to invest in the booming space and satellite economy. Public satellite and communications companies that support similar infrastructure could see a wave of sympathy buying as people try to ride the SpaceX hype. This pattern of money flowing into related stocks during a massive IPO is a common market reaction.

Performance

No trade count, win rate, or realized P&L figures are provided in this public preview. The thesis and shared rules do not establish a performance record.

What this public preview can establish

  • The thesis and strategy approach describe a market view. They do not show whether an entry or exit condition is currently met.
  • Technical strategy fields are shared above. Inspect the actual conditions and check when they were evaluated before relying on them.
  • No trade count, win rate, or P&L figure is published in this preview. It cannot establish a performance record.

Explore

How CommonQuant researches and tests strategies · Public paper-trading record and its limits · Discover public strategies