Public trading strategy
UNG Pullback Momentum (Value-Profile Event Trade) Strategy
Created
Thesis
European gas is spiking on a supply shock, not a demand story — which means prices can climb quickly and stay elevated as long as the Hormuz disruption lasts. If energy costs keep climbing, the ECB faces more inflation pressure and may have to keep policy tight, a dynamic the central bank itself has acknowledged. That extends the tailwind for European gas and gas-levered energy producers. This is a different instrument and mechanism than the oil majors trade already covered — the gas channel is scarcer and more shock-sensitive in Europe.
Strategy approach
European gas is spiking on a supply shock, not a demand story — which means prices can climb quickly and stay elevated as long as the Hormuz disruption lasts. If energy costs keep climbing, the ECB faces more inflation pressure and may have to keep policy tight, a dynamic the central bank itself has acknowledged. That extends the tailwind for European gas and gas-levered energy producers. This is a different instrument and mechanism than the oil majors trade already covered — the gas channel is scarcer and more shock-sensitive in Europe. Decision analysis profile: value. Required dimensions: valuation_method, valuation_sensitivity, business_economics, cash_quality, balance_sheet_leverage, dilution_capital_allocation, moat, catalysts, counterevidence, invalidation.
Markets and timeframes
Latest published rule evaluation
Evaluated . This is a dated rule snapshot, not a live price or trade execution confirmation.
UNG · 1d
1 of 4 published entry conditions marked met.
- Price below EMA (20) — met
- Stochastic (14) below 30 — far
- Stochastic (14) crossed above Stochastic (3) — far
- Price above EMA (20) — near
Entry and exit at a glance
These are the named rules in the shared configuration. Review the full conditions below before using a strategy.
- Entry: EMA/STOCHASTIC Crossover Long (UNG@1d) (4 conditions)
- Exit: Position Exit Rule (1 condition)
- Exit: TP: Near Resistance[1] (UNG@1d) (1 condition)
- Exit: SL: Below Support[2] (UNG@1d) (1 condition)
- Exit: Stop Loss at 2.6% (1 condition)
- Exit: Take Profit at 5.2% (1 condition)
Shared strategy rules
Rule configuration
{
"data_dependencies": [
{
"symbol": "STOCK:UNG",
"timeframe": "1d"
}
],
"entry_rules": [
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:UNG",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:UNG",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "ema",
"period": 20
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:UNG",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "k",
"indicator": {
"d_period": 3,
"k_period": 14,
"name": "stochastic",
"slowing": 3
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 30
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:UNG",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "k",
"indicator": {
"d_period": 3,
"k_period": 14,
"name": "stochastic",
"slowing": 3
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "crossed_above",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:UNG",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "d",
"indicator": {
"d_period": 3,
"k_period": 3,
"name": "stochastic",
"slowing": 3
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:UNG",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:UNG",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "ema",
"period": 20
},
"type": "indicator"
}
}
],
"direction": "long",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_1",
"name": "EMA/STOCHASTIC Crossover Long (UNG@1d)",
"priority": 1,
"trade_symbol": "STOCK:UNG"
}
],
"exit_rules": [
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "holding_period_bars",
"type": "position"
},
"operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 45
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_1",
"name": "Position Exit Rule",
"priority": 1,
"purpose": "signal"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:UNG",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "resistance_level"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_2",
"name": "TP: Near Resistance[1] (UNG@1d)",
"priority": 97,
"purpose": "take_profit",
"target_symbol": "STOCK:UNG"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:UNG",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "crossed_above",
"right": {
"rank": 2,
"type": "support_level"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_3",
"name": "SL: Below Support[2] (UNG@1d)",
"priority": 100,
"purpose": "stop_loss",
"target_symbol": "STOCK:UNG"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
"type": "position"
},
"operator": "less_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": -2.6
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_4",
"name": "Stop Loss at 2.6%",
"priority": 100,
"purpose": "stop_loss"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
"type": "position"
},
"operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 5.2
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_5",
"name": "Take Profit at 5.2%",
"priority": 100,
"purpose": "take_profit"
}
],
"position_sizing": {
"max_position_percent": 25,
"method": {
"risk_percent": 2.6,
"support_stop_rank": 2,
"type": "fixed_risk"
},
"min_position_value": 100
},
"trigger_timeframe": "1d",
"version": 1
}Indicator configuration
{
"indicators": [
{
"name": "ema",
"period": 20
},
{
"name": "ema",
"period": 9
},
{
"d_period": 3,
"k_period": 14,
"name": "stochastic",
"slowing": 3
},
{
"d_period": 3,
"k_period": 3,
"name": "stochastic",
"slowing": 3
}
]
}Parsed strategy
{
"data_dependencies": [
{
"symbol": "STOCK:UNG",
"timeframe": "1d"
}
],
"entry_rules": [
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:UNG",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:UNG",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "ema",
"period": 20
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:UNG",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "k",
"indicator": {
"d_period": 3,
"k_period": 14,
"name": "stochastic",
"slowing": 3
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 30
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:UNG",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "k",
"indicator": {
"d_period": 3,
"k_period": 14,
"name": "stochastic",
"slowing": 3
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "crossed_above",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:UNG",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "d",
"indicator": {
"d_period": 3,
"k_period": 3,
"name": "stochastic",
"slowing": 3
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:UNG",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:UNG",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "ema",
"period": 20
},
"type": "indicator"
}
}
],
"direction": "long",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_1",
"name": "EMA/STOCHASTIC Crossover Long (UNG@1d)",
"priority": 1,
"trade_symbol": "STOCK:UNG"
}
],
"exit_rules": [
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "holding_period_bars",
"type": "position"
},
"operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 45
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_1",
"name": "Position Exit Rule",
"priority": 1,
"purpose": "signal"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:UNG",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "resistance_level"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_2",
"name": "TP: Near Resistance[1] (UNG@1d)",
"priority": 97,
"purpose": "take_profit",
"target_symbol": "STOCK:UNG"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:UNG",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "crossed_above",
"right": {
"rank": 2,
"type": "support_level"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_3",
"name": "SL: Below Support[2] (UNG@1d)",
"priority": 100,
"purpose": "stop_loss",
"target_symbol": "STOCK:UNG"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
"type": "position"
},
"operator": "less_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": -2.6
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_4",
"name": "Stop Loss at 2.6%",
"priority": 100,
"purpose": "stop_loss"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
"type": "position"
},
"operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 5.2
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_5",
"name": "Take Profit at 5.2%",
"priority": 100,
"purpose": "take_profit"
}
],
"position_sizing": {
"max_position_percent": 25,
"method": {
"risk_percent": 2.6,
"support_stop_rank": 2,
"type": "fixed_risk"
},
"min_position_value": 100
},
"trigger_timeframe": "1d",
"version": 1
}Strategy instructions
Trading agent generated from recommendation idea 'European gas is spiking on a supply shock, not a demand story — which means prices can climb quickly and stay elevated as long as the Hormuz disruption lasts. If energy costs keep climbing, the ECB faces more inflation pressure and may have to keep policy'. Thesis: European gas is spiking on a supply shock, not a demand story — which means prices can climb quickly and stay elevated as long as the Hormuz disruption lasts. If energy costs keep climbing, the ECB faces more inflation pressure and may have to keep policy tight, a dynamic the central bank itself has acknowledged. That extends the tailwind for European gas and gas-levered energy producers. This is a different instrument and mechanism than the oil majors trade already covered — the gas channel is scarcer and more shock-sensitive in Europe.
Performance
No trade count, win rate, or realized P&L figures are provided in this public preview. The thesis and shared rules do not establish a performance record.
What this public preview can establish
- The dated rule snapshot above shows the conditions evaluated at that time. It does not prove a current trigger or executed trade.
- Technical strategy fields are shared above. Inspect the actual conditions and check when they were evaluated before relying on them.
- No trade count, win rate, or P&L figure is published in this preview. It cannot establish a performance record.
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