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Public trading strategy

Emerging markets hit record high as Iran tensions ease — catch the trend

Created

Thesis

Peace progress between the U.S. and Iran removes a major overhang for global markets, especially emerging economies. Many developing nations are net oil importers, so lower crude prices act like a tax cut for their economies. When emerging markets break out to new highs during geopolitical de-escalation, the momentum often continues as institutional money rotates from expensive U.S. stocks into cheaper international equities.

Strategy approach

Create a trend-following strategy for EEM (emerging markets ETF). Enter long when price makes a 20-day high and the 10-day moving average is above the 30-day moving average. Exit when price closes below the 20-day low or on a 8% trailing stop. Max hold: 30 days.

Markets and timeframes

Entry and exit at a glance

These are the named rules in the shared configuration. Review the full conditions below before using a strategy.

  • Entry: DONCHIAN/SMA/ATR Signal Long (EEM@1d) (3 conditions)
  • Entry: DONCHIAN/SMA/ATR Signal Long (VWO@1d) (3 conditions)
  • Exit: Position Exit Rule (EEM@1d) (1 condition)
  • Exit: Position Exit Rule (VWO@1d) (1 condition)
  • Exit: Stop Loss at 8.0% (1 condition)
  • Exit: Take Profit at 16.0% (1 condition)

Shared strategy rules

Rule configuration

{
  "data_dependencies": [
    {
      "symbol": "EEM",
      "timeframe": "1d"
    },
    {
      "symbol": "VWO",
      "timeframe": "1d"
    }
  ],
  "entry_rules": [
    {
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "high",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "EEM",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "upper",
            "indicator": {
              "name": "donchian",
              "period": 20
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "EEM",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "sma",
              "period": 10
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "EEM",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "sma",
              "period": 30
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "EEM",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "atr",
              "period": 14
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 0.5
          }
        }
      ],
      "direction": "long",
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "entry_1_eem",
      "name": "DONCHIAN/SMA/ATR Signal Long (EEM@1d)",
      "priority": 1,
      "trade_symbol": "EEM"
    },
    {
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "high",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "VWO",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "upper",
            "indicator": {
              "name": "donchian",
              "period": 20
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "VWO",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "sma",
              "period": 10
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "VWO",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "sma",
              "period": 30
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "VWO",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "atr",
              "period": 14
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 0.5
          }
        }
      ],
      "direction": "long",
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "entry_1_vwo",
      "name": "DONCHIAN/SMA/ATR Signal Long (VWO@1d)",
      "priority": 2,
      "trade_symbol": "VWO"
    }
  ],
  "exit_rules": [
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "less_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "EEM",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "lower",
            "indicator": {
              "name": "donchian",
              "period": 20
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_1_eem",
      "name": "Position Exit Rule (EEM@1d)",
      "priority": 1,
      "purpose": "signal",
      "target_symbol": "EEM"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "less_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "VWO",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "lower",
            "indicator": {
              "name": "donchian",
              "period": 20
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_1_vwo",
      "name": "Position Exit Rule (VWO@1d)",
      "priority": 2,
      "purpose": "signal",
      "target_symbol": "VWO"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
            "type": "position"
          },
          "operator": "less_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": -8
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_2",
      "name": "Stop Loss at 8.0%",
      "priority": 100,
      "purpose": "stop_loss"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
            "type": "position"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 16
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_3",
      "name": "Take Profit at 16.0%",
      "priority": 100,
      "purpose": "take_profit"
    }
  ],
  "position_sizing": {
    "max_position_percent": 25,
    "method": {
      "risk_percent": 2,
      "stop_loss_percent": 8,
      "type": "fixed_risk"
    },
    "min_position_value": 100
  },
  "trigger_timeframe": "1d",
  "version": 1
}

Indicator configuration

{
  "indicators": [
    {
      "name": "donchian",
      "period": 20
    },
    {
      "name": "sma",
      "period": 10
    },
    {
      "name": "sma",
      "period": 30
    },
    {
      "name": "atr",
      "period": 14
    },
    {
      "name": "donchian",
      "period": 20
    },
    {
      "name": "sma",
      "period": 10
    },
    {
      "name": "sma",
      "period": 30
    },
    {
      "name": "atr",
      "period": 14
    }
  ]
}

Parsed strategy

{
  "data_dependencies": [
    {
      "symbol": "EEM",
      "timeframe": "1d"
    },
    {
      "symbol": "VWO",
      "timeframe": "1d"
    }
  ],
  "entry_rules": [
    {
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "high",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "EEM",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "upper",
            "indicator": {
              "name": "donchian",
              "period": 20
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "EEM",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "sma",
              "period": 10
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "EEM",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "sma",
              "period": 30
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "EEM",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "atr",
              "period": 14
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 0.5
          }
        }
      ],
      "direction": "long",
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "entry_1_eem",
      "name": "DONCHIAN/SMA/ATR Signal Long (EEM@1d)",
      "priority": 1,
      "trade_symbol": "EEM"
    },
    {
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "high",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "VWO",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "upper",
            "indicator": {
              "name": "donchian",
              "period": 20
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "VWO",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "sma",
              "period": 10
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "VWO",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "sma",
              "period": 30
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "VWO",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "atr",
              "period": 14
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 0.5
          }
        }
      ],
      "direction": "long",
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "entry_1_vwo",
      "name": "DONCHIAN/SMA/ATR Signal Long (VWO@1d)",
      "priority": 2,
      "trade_symbol": "VWO"
    }
  ],
  "exit_rules": [
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "less_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "EEM",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "lower",
            "indicator": {
              "name": "donchian",
              "period": 20
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_1_eem",
      "name": "Position Exit Rule (EEM@1d)",
      "priority": 1,
      "purpose": "signal",
      "target_symbol": "EEM"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "less_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "VWO",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "lower",
            "indicator": {
              "name": "donchian",
              "period": 20
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_1_vwo",
      "name": "Position Exit Rule (VWO@1d)",
      "priority": 2,
      "purpose": "signal",
      "target_symbol": "VWO"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
            "type": "position"
          },
          "operator": "less_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": -8
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_2",
      "name": "Stop Loss at 8.0%",
      "priority": 100,
      "purpose": "stop_loss"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
            "type": "position"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 16
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_3",
      "name": "Take Profit at 16.0%",
      "priority": 100,
      "purpose": "take_profit"
    }
  ],
  "position_sizing": {
    "max_position_percent": 25,
    "method": {
      "risk_percent": 2,
      "stop_loss_percent": 8,
      "type": "fixed_risk"
    },
    "min_position_value": 100
  },
  "trigger_timeframe": "1d",
  "version": 1
}

Strategy instructions

Trading agent generated from recommendation idea 'Emerging markets hit record high as Iran tensions ease — catch the trend'. Thesis: Peace progress between the U.S. and Iran removes a major overhang for global markets, especially emerging economies. Many developing nations are net oil importers, so lower crude prices act like a tax cut for their economies. When emerging markets break out to new highs during geopolitical de-escalation, the momentum often continues as institutional money rotates from expensive U.S. stocks into cheaper international equities.

Performance

No trade count, win rate, or realized P&L figures are provided in this public preview. The thesis and shared rules do not establish a performance record.

What this public preview can establish

  • The thesis and strategy approach describe a market view. They do not show whether an entry or exit condition is currently met.
  • Technical strategy fields are shared above. Inspect the actual conditions and check when they were evaluated before relying on them.
  • No trade count, win rate, or P&L figure is published in this preview. It cannot establish a performance record.

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