Emerging markets hit record high as Iran tensions ease — catch the trend
Created
Thesis
Peace progress between the U.S. and Iran removes a major overhang for global markets, especially emerging economies. Many developing nations are net oil importers, so lower crude prices act like a tax cut for their economies. When emerging markets break out to new highs during geopolitical de-escalation, the momentum often continues as institutional money rotates from expensive U.S. stocks into cheaper international equities.
Strategy approach
Create a trend-following strategy for EEM (emerging markets ETF). Enter long when price makes a 20-day high and the 10-day moving average is above the 30-day moving average. Exit when price closes below the 20-day low or on a 8% trailing stop. Max hold: 30 days.
Markets and timeframes
Entry and exit at a glance
These are the named rules in the shared configuration. Review the full conditions below before using a strategy.
- Entry: DONCHIAN/SMA/ATR Signal Long (EEM@1d) (3 conditions)
- Entry: DONCHIAN/SMA/ATR Signal Long (VWO@1d) (3 conditions)
- Exit: Position Exit Rule (EEM@1d) (1 condition)
- Exit: Position Exit Rule (VWO@1d) (1 condition)
- Exit: Stop Loss at 8.0% (1 condition)
- Exit: Take Profit at 16.0% (1 condition)
Shared strategy rules
Rule configuration
{
"data_dependencies": [
{
"symbol": "EEM",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
{
"symbol": "VWO",
"timeframe": "1d"
}
],
"entry_rules": [
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "high",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "EEM",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "upper",
"indicator": {
"name": "donchian",
"period": 20
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "EEM",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "sma",
"period": 10
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "EEM",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "sma",
"period": 30
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "EEM",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "atr",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 0.5
}
}
],
"direction": "long",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_1_eem",
"name": "DONCHIAN/SMA/ATR Signal Long (EEM@1d)",
"priority": 1,
"trade_symbol": "EEM"
},
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "high",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "VWO",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "upper",
"indicator": {
"name": "donchian",
"period": 20
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "VWO",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "sma",
"period": 10
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "VWO",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "sma",
"period": 30
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "VWO",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "atr",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 0.5
}
}
],
"direction": "long",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_1_vwo",
"name": "DONCHIAN/SMA/ATR Signal Long (VWO@1d)",
"priority": 2,
"trade_symbol": "VWO"
}
],
"exit_rules": [
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "EEM",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "lower",
"indicator": {
"name": "donchian",
"period": 20
},
"type": "indicator"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_1_eem",
"name": "Position Exit Rule (EEM@1d)",
"priority": 1,
"purpose": "signal",
"target_symbol": "EEM"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "VWO",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "lower",
"indicator": {
"name": "donchian",
"period": 20
},
"type": "indicator"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_1_vwo",
"name": "Position Exit Rule (VWO@1d)",
"priority": 2,
"purpose": "signal",
"target_symbol": "VWO"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
"type": "position"
},
"operator": "less_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": -8
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_2",
"name": "Stop Loss at 8.0%",
"priority": 100,
"purpose": "stop_loss"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
"type": "position"
},
"operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 16
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_3",
"name": "Take Profit at 16.0%",
"priority": 100,
"purpose": "take_profit"
}
],
"position_sizing": {
"max_position_percent": 25,
"method": {
"risk_percent": 2,
"stop_loss_percent": 8,
"type": "fixed_risk"
},
"min_position_value": 100
},
"trigger_timeframe": "1d",
"version": 1
}Indicator configuration
{
"indicators": [
{
"name": "donchian",
"period": 20
},
{
"name": "sma",
"period": 10
},
{
"name": "sma",
"period": 30
},
{
"name": "atr",
"period": 14
},
{
"name": "donchian",
"period": 20
},
{
"name": "sma",
"period": 10
},
{
"name": "sma",
"period": 30
},
{
"name": "atr",
"period": 14
}
]
}Parsed strategy
{
"data_dependencies": [
{
"symbol": "EEM",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
{
"symbol": "VWO",
"timeframe": "1d"
}
],
"entry_rules": [
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "high",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "EEM",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "upper",
"indicator": {
"name": "donchian",
"period": 20
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "EEM",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "sma",
"period": 10
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "EEM",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "sma",
"period": 30
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "EEM",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "atr",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 0.5
}
}
],
"direction": "long",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_1_eem",
"name": "DONCHIAN/SMA/ATR Signal Long (EEM@1d)",
"priority": 1,
"trade_symbol": "EEM"
},
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "high",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "VWO",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "upper",
"indicator": {
"name": "donchian",
"period": 20
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "VWO",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "sma",
"period": 10
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "VWO",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "sma",
"period": 30
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "VWO",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "atr",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 0.5
}
}
],
"direction": "long",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_1_vwo",
"name": "DONCHIAN/SMA/ATR Signal Long (VWO@1d)",
"priority": 2,
"trade_symbol": "VWO"
}
],
"exit_rules": [
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "EEM",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "lower",
"indicator": {
"name": "donchian",
"period": 20
},
"type": "indicator"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_1_eem",
"name": "Position Exit Rule (EEM@1d)",
"priority": 1,
"purpose": "signal",
"target_symbol": "EEM"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "VWO",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "lower",
"indicator": {
"name": "donchian",
"period": 20
},
"type": "indicator"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_1_vwo",
"name": "Position Exit Rule (VWO@1d)",
"priority": 2,
"purpose": "signal",
"target_symbol": "VWO"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
"type": "position"
},
"operator": "less_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": -8
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_2",
"name": "Stop Loss at 8.0%",
"priority": 100,
"purpose": "stop_loss"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
"type": "position"
},
"operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 16
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_3",
"name": "Take Profit at 16.0%",
"priority": 100,
"purpose": "take_profit"
}
],
"position_sizing": {
"max_position_percent": 25,
"method": {
"risk_percent": 2,
"stop_loss_percent": 8,
"type": "fixed_risk"
},
"min_position_value": 100
},
"trigger_timeframe": "1d",
"version": 1
}Strategy instructions
Trading agent generated from recommendation idea 'Emerging markets hit record high as Iran tensions ease — catch the trend'. Thesis: Peace progress between the U.S. and Iran removes a major overhang for global markets, especially emerging economies. Many developing nations are net oil importers, so lower crude prices act like a tax cut for their economies. When emerging markets break out to new highs during geopolitical de-escalation, the momentum often continues as institutional money rotates from expensive U.S. stocks into cheaper international equities.
Performance
No trade count, win rate, or realized P&L figures are provided in this public preview. The thesis and shared rules do not establish a performance record.
What this public preview can establish
- The thesis and strategy approach describe a market view. They do not show whether an entry or exit condition is currently met.
- Technical strategy fields are shared above. Inspect the actual conditions and check when they were evaluated before relying on them.
- No trade count, win rate, or P&L figure is published in this preview. It cannot establish a performance record.
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