Fuel-cell stocks crater after huge 2026 run — contrarian bounce setup
Created
Thesis
When a group of related stocks all plunge on the same day without company-specific bad news, it's often driven by broader market positioning rather than a fundamental change in the business. These forced selling sprees can push prices below where real buyers step back in. The fuel-cell sector had a massive run-up before this drop, so the underlying bullish trend and investor interest are likely still intact.
Strategy approach
Build a mean-reversion swing strategy on FCEL, BE, and PLUG. Screen for days where each stock drops more than 5% on volume less than 1.5x its 20-day average. Enter long on the next trading day if the stock opens above the prior day's low. Set a 5% stop loss and a 10-day time-based exit.
Markets and timeframes
Latest published rule evaluation
Evaluated . This is a dated rule snapshot, not a live price or trade execution confirmation.
BE · 1d
2 of 7 published entry conditions marked met.
- ROC (1) below -5 — far
- OBV below 1.5 — unknown
- ADX (14) below 35 — met
- ATR (14) above 0.5 — unknown
- ROC (1) below -5 — far
- OBV below 1.5 — unknown
- ADX (14) below 35 — met
FCEL · 1d
0 of 7 published entry conditions marked met.
- ROC (1) below -5 — far
- OBV below 1.5 — unknown
- ADX (14) below 35 — far
- ATR (14) above 0.5 — unknown
- ROC (1) below -5 — far
- OBV below 1.5 — unknown
- ADX (14) below 35 — far
PLUG · 1d
2 of 7 published entry conditions marked met.
- ROC (1) below -5 — far
- OBV below 1.5 — unknown
- ADX (14) below 35 — met
- ATR (14) above 0.5 — unknown
- ROC (1) below -5 — far
- OBV below 1.5 — unknown
- ADX (14) below 35 — met
Entry and exit at a glance
These are the named rules in the shared configuration. Review the full conditions below before using a strategy.
- Entry: ROC/OBV/ADX/ATR Signal Long (FCEL@1d) (6 conditions)
- Entry: ROC/OBV/ADX/ATR Signal Long (BE@1d) (6 conditions)
- Entry: ROC/OBV/ADX/ATR Signal Long (PLUG@1d) (6 conditions)
- Entry: ROC/OBV/ADX Signal Long (FCEL@1d) (3 conditions)
- Entry: ROC/OBV/ADX Signal Long (BE@1d) (3 conditions)
- Entry: ROC/OBV/ADX Signal Long (PLUG@1d) (3 conditions)
- Entry: Long Entry Signal (FCEL@1d) (2 conditions)
- Entry: Long Entry Signal (BE@1d) (2 conditions)
- Entry: Long Entry Signal (PLUG@1d) (2 conditions)
- Exit: TP: Near Resistance[1] (FCEL@1d) (1 condition)
- Exit: TP: Near Resistance[1] (BE@1d) (1 condition)
- Exit: TP: Near Resistance[1] (PLUG@1d) (1 condition)
- Exit: SL: Below Support[2] (FCEL@1d) (1 condition)
- Exit: SL: Below Support[2] (BE@1d) (1 condition)
- Exit: SL: Below Support[2] (PLUG@1d) (1 condition)
- Exit: Stop Loss at 2.4% (1 condition)
- Exit: Take Profit at 4.9% (1 condition)
Shared strategy rules
Rule configuration
{
"data_dependencies": [
{
"symbol": "FCEL",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
{
"symbol": "BE",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
{
"symbol": "PLUG",
"timeframe": "1d"
}
],
"entry_rules": [
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "FCEL",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "roc",
"period": 1
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": -5
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "FCEL",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "obv"
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 1.5
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "FCEL",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "adx",
"indicator": {
"name": "adx",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 35
}
},
{
"left": {
"field": "low",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "support_level"
}
},
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "support_level"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "FCEL",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "atr",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 0.5
}
}
],
"direction": "long",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_1_fcel",
"name": "ROC/OBV/ADX/ATR Signal Long (FCEL@1d)",
"priority": 1,
"trade_symbol": "FCEL"
},
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "BE",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "roc",
"period": 1
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": -5
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "BE",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "obv"
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 1.5
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "BE",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "adx",
"indicator": {
"name": "adx",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 35
}
},
{
"left": {
"field": "low",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "support_level"
}
},
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "support_level"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "BE",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "atr",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 0.5
}
}
],
"direction": "long",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_1_be",
"name": "ROC/OBV/ADX/ATR Signal Long (BE@1d)",
"priority": 2,
"trade_symbol": "BE"
},
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "PLUG",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "roc",
"period": 1
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": -5
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "PLUG",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "obv"
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 1.5
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "PLUG",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "adx",
"indicator": {
"name": "adx",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 35
}
},
{
"left": {
"field": "low",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "support_level"
}
},
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "support_level"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "PLUG",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "atr",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 0.5
}
}
],
"direction": "long",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_1_plug",
"name": "ROC/OBV/ADX/ATR Signal Long (PLUG@1d)",
"priority": 3,
"trade_symbol": "PLUG"
},
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "FCEL",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "roc",
"period": 1
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": -5
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "FCEL",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "obv"
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 1.5
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "FCEL",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "adx",
"indicator": {
"name": "adx",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 35
}
}
],
"direction": "long",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_2_fcel",
"name": "ROC/OBV/ADX Signal Long (FCEL@1d)",
"priority": 2,
"trade_symbol": "FCEL"
},
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "BE",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "roc",
"period": 1
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": -5
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "BE",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "obv"
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 1.5
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "BE",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "adx",
"indicator": {
"name": "adx",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 35
}
}
],
"direction": "long",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_2_be",
"name": "ROC/OBV/ADX Signal Long (BE@1d)",
"priority": 3,
"trade_symbol": "BE"
},
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "PLUG",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "roc",
"period": 1
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": -5
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "PLUG",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "obv"
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 1.5
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "PLUG",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "adx",
"indicator": {
"name": "adx",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 35
}
}
],
"direction": "long",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_2_plug",
"name": "ROC/OBV/ADX Signal Long (PLUG@1d)",
"priority": 4,
"trade_symbol": "PLUG"
},
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "low",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "support_level"
}
},
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "support_level"
}
}
],
"direction": "long",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_3_fcel",
"name": "Long Entry Signal (FCEL@1d)",
"priority": 2,
"trade_symbol": "FCEL"
},
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "low",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "support_level"
}
},
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "support_level"
}
}
],
"direction": "long",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_3_be",
"name": "Long Entry Signal (BE@1d)",
"priority": 3,
"trade_symbol": "BE"
},
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "low",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "support_level"
}
},
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "support_level"
}
}
],
"direction": "long",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_3_plug",
"name": "Long Entry Signal (PLUG@1d)",
"priority": 4,
"trade_symbol": "PLUG"
}
],
"exit_rules": [
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "resistance_level"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_1_fcel",
"name": "TP: Near Resistance[1] (FCEL@1d)",
"priority": 97,
"purpose": "take_profit",
"target_symbol": "FCEL"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "resistance_level"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_1_be",
"name": "TP: Near Resistance[1] (BE@1d)",
"priority": 98,
"purpose": "take_profit",
"target_symbol": "BE"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "resistance_level"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_1_plug",
"name": "TP: Near Resistance[1] (PLUG@1d)",
"priority": 99,
"purpose": "take_profit",
"target_symbol": "PLUG"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "crossed_above",
"right": {
"rank": 2,
"type": "support_level"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_2_fcel",
"name": "SL: Below Support[2] (FCEL@1d)",
"priority": 100,
"purpose": "stop_loss",
"target_symbol": "FCEL"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "crossed_above",
"right": {
"rank": 2,
"type": "support_level"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_2_be",
"name": "SL: Below Support[2] (BE@1d)",
"priority": 101,
"purpose": "stop_loss",
"target_symbol": "BE"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "crossed_above",
"right": {
"rank": 2,
"type": "support_level"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_2_plug",
"name": "SL: Below Support[2] (PLUG@1d)",
"priority": 102,
"purpose": "stop_loss",
"target_symbol": "PLUG"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
"type": "position"
},
"operator": "less_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": -2.4315333333333333
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_3",
"name": "Stop Loss at 2.4%",
"priority": 100,
"purpose": "stop_loss"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
"type": "position"
},
"operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 4.863066666666667
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_4",
"name": "Take Profit at 4.9%",
"priority": 100,
"purpose": "take_profit"
}
],
"position_sizing": {
"max_position_percent": 25,
"method": {
"risk_percent": 2.4315333333333333,
"support_stop_rank": 2,
"type": "fixed_risk"
},
"min_position_value": 100
},
"trigger_timeframe": "1d",
"version": 1
}Indicator configuration
{
"indicators": [
{
"name": "roc",
"period": 1
},
{
"name": "obv"
},
{
"name": "adx",
"period": 14
},
{
"name": "atr",
"period": 14
},
{
"name": "roc",
"period": 1
},
{
"name": "obv"
},
{
"name": "adx",
"period": 14
},
{
"name": "atr",
"period": 14
},
{
"name": "roc",
"period": 1
},
{
"name": "obv"
},
{
"name": "adx",
"period": 14
},
{
"name": "atr",
"period": 14
}
]
}Parsed strategy
{
"data_dependencies": [
{
"symbol": "FCEL",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
{
"symbol": "BE",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
{
"symbol": "PLUG",
"timeframe": "1d"
}
],
"entry_rules": [
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "FCEL",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "roc",
"period": 1
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": -5
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "FCEL",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "obv"
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 1.5
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "FCEL",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "adx",
"indicator": {
"name": "adx",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 35
}
},
{
"left": {
"field": "low",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "support_level"
}
},
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "support_level"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "FCEL",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "atr",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 0.5
}
}
],
"direction": "long",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_1_fcel",
"name": "ROC/OBV/ADX/ATR Signal Long (FCEL@1d)",
"priority": 1,
"trade_symbol": "FCEL"
},
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "BE",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "roc",
"period": 1
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": -5
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "BE",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "obv"
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 1.5
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "BE",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "adx",
"indicator": {
"name": "adx",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 35
}
},
{
"left": {
"field": "low",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "support_level"
}
},
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "support_level"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "BE",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "atr",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 0.5
}
}
],
"direction": "long",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_1_be",
"name": "ROC/OBV/ADX/ATR Signal Long (BE@1d)",
"priority": 2,
"trade_symbol": "BE"
},
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "PLUG",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "roc",
"period": 1
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "less_than",
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{
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{
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{
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{
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{
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],
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{
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},
{
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},
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"right": {
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}
},
{
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"id": "entry_2_plug",
"name": "ROC/OBV/ADX Signal Long (PLUG@1d)",
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"trade_symbol": "PLUG"
},
{
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{
"left": {
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"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than_or_equal",
"right": {
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}
},
{
"left": {
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},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
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}
],
"direction": "long",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_3_fcel",
"name": "Long Entry Signal (FCEL@1d)",
"priority": 2,
"trade_symbol": "FCEL"
},
{
"conditions": [
{
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},
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"right": {
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}
},
{
"left": {
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"operator": "greater_than",
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],
"direction": "long",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_3_be",
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"trade_symbol": "BE"
},
{
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},
{
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}
],
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],
"exit_rules": [
{
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"conditions": [
{
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}
],
"enabled": true,
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"purpose": "take_profit",
"target_symbol": "FCEL"
},
{
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"conditions": [
{
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{
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],
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],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_2_be",
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"purpose": "stop_loss",
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"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_2_plug",
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"purpose": "stop_loss",
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{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
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"type": "position"
},
"operator": "less_than_or_equal",
"right": {
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}
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],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_3",
"name": "Stop Loss at 2.4%",
"priority": 100,
"purpose": "stop_loss"
},
{
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"conditions": [
{
"left": {
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"operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
"right": {
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}
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],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_4",
"name": "Take Profit at 4.9%",
"priority": 100,
"purpose": "take_profit"
}
],
"position_sizing": {
"max_position_percent": 25,
"method": {
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"support_stop_rank": 2,
"type": "fixed_risk"
},
"min_position_value": 100
},
"trigger_timeframe": "1d",
"version": 1
}Strategy instructions
Trading agent generated from recommendation idea 'Fuel-cell stocks crater after huge 2026 run — contrarian bounce setup'. Thesis: When a group of related stocks all plunge on the same day without company-specific bad news, it's often driven by broader market positioning rather than a fundamental change in the business. These forced selling sprees can push prices below where real buyers step back in. The fuel-cell sector had a massive run-up before this drop, so the underlying bullish trend and investor interest are likely still intact.
Performance
No trade count, win rate, or realized P&L figures are provided in this public preview. The thesis and shared rules do not establish a performance record.
What this public preview can establish
- The dated rule snapshot above shows the conditions evaluated at that time. It does not prove a current trigger or executed trade.
- Technical strategy fields are shared above. Inspect the actual conditions and check when they were evaluated before relying on them.
- No trade count, win rate, or P&L figure is published in this preview. It cannot establish a performance record.
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