Fed hints at rate hikes while Europe cuts — ride the surging U.S. Dollar
Thesis
When the U.S. Federal Reserve talks about raising interest rates while Europe's central bank talks about cutting them, money flows into the dollar to chase those higher returns. A strong dollar means U.S. buying power goes up and European exports get cheaper. This widening gap makes the dollar highly attractive, and betting on that trend continuing is a classic way to play diverging central bank policies.
Strategy approach
Build a trend-following strategy that enters long EURUSD on the H4 timeframe when the 50-period EMA is bearish (price trading below it) but enters long UUP (Invesco DB US Dollar Index Bullish Fund) on the daily timeframe when it makes a new 20-day high and RSI(14) is above 60. Exit either position on a 3% trailing stop. Focus on capturing the momentum of the divergence between US and European monetary policy.