Public trading strategy
A $60 billion order book means customers have already committed to buying Super
Created
Thesis
A $60 billion order book means customers have already committed to buying Super Micro's AI servers well into fiscal 2027, so its revenues are far more locked-in than most companies facing a rate-hike scare. The other AI hardware names like Dell and HPE have already rallied on cloud demand, while Super Micro's own announcement gives it an independent reason to move higher. Buying dips in a name with a confirmed multi-year backlog lets you participate in the AI trade while the market's rate jitters create the entry points.
Strategy approach
A $60 billion order book means customers have already committed to buying Super Micro's AI servers well into fiscal 2027, so its revenues are far more locked-in than most companies facing a rate-hike scare. The other AI hardware names like Dell and HPE have already rallied on cloud demand, while Super Micro's own announcement gives it an independent reason to move higher. Buying dips in a name with a confirmed multi-year backlog lets you participate in the AI trade while the market's rate jitters create the entry points. Decision analysis profile: value. Required dimensions: valuation_method, valuation_sensitivity, business_economics, cash_quality, balance_sheet_leverage, dilution_capital_allocation, moat, catalysts, counterevidence, invalidation.
Markets and timeframes
SMCI1D
Latest published rule evaluation
Evaluated . This is a dated rule snapshot, not a live price or trade execution confirmation.
SMCI · 1d
1 of 4 published entry conditions marked met.
- Price below Bollinger (20) — far
- Price crossed above EMA (21) — far
- RSI (14) crossed above 40 — far
- Price above Price — met
- RSI (14) above 70 — far
Entry and exit at a glance
These are the named rules in the shared configuration. Review the full conditions below before using a strategy.
- Entry: Dip to Volatility-Band Support Then Reclaim Confirmation Long (SMCI@1d) (4 conditions)
- Exit: Overbought RSI Exit (SMCI@1d) (1 condition)
- Exit: Time Stop at 60 Trading Days (SMCI@1d) (1 condition)
- Exit: TP: Fib Extension 127.2% (SMCI@1d) (1 condition)
- Exit: Invalidation: Close Below Confirmed Support[2] (SMCI@1d) (1 condition)
- Exit: Stop Loss at 2.4% (SMCI@1d) (1 condition)
- Exit: Take Profit at 4.8% (SMCI@1d) (1 condition)
- Exit: Invalidation: Fib Retracement 78.6% Lost (SMCI@1d) (1 condition)
Shared strategy rules
Rule configuration
{
"data_dependencies": [
{
"symbol": "STOCK:SMCI",
"timeframe": "1d"
}
],
"entry_rules": [
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:SMCI",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "low",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:SMCI",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "middle",
"indicator": {
"name": "bollinger_bands",
"period": 20,
"std_dev": 2
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:SMCI",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "crossed_above",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:SMCI",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "ema",
"period": 21
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:SMCI",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "crossed_above",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 40
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:SMCI",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:SMCI",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "open",
"type": "price"
}
}
],
"direction": "long",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_1",
"name": "Dip to Volatility-Band Support Then Reclaim Confirmation Long (SMCI@1d)",
"priority": 1,
"trade_symbol": "STOCK:SMCI"
}
],
"exit_rules": [
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:SMCI",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 70
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_1",
"name": "Overbought RSI Exit (SMCI@1d)",
"priority": 1,
"purpose": "signal"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "holding_period_bars",
"type": "position"
},
"operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 60
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_1b",
"name": "Time Stop at 60 Trading Days (SMCI@1d)",
"priority": 2,
"purpose": "signal"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:SMCI",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:SMCI",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"ratio": 1272,
"type": "fibonacci_extension"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_2",
"name": "TP: Fib Extension 127.2% (SMCI@1d)",
"priority": 96,
"purpose": "take_profit",
"target_symbol": "STOCK:SMCI"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:SMCI",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "crossed_below",
"right": {
"rank": 2,
"type": "support_level"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_3",
"name": "Invalidation: Close Below Confirmed Support[2] (SMCI@1d)",
"priority": 100,
"purpose": "stop_loss",
"target_symbol": "STOCK:SMCI"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
"type": "position"
},
"operator": "less_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": -2.4066666666666667
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_4",
"name": "Stop Loss at 2.4% (SMCI@1d)",
"priority": 100,
"purpose": "stop_loss"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
"type": "position"
},
"operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 4.8133333333333335
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_5",
"name": "Take Profit at 4.8% (SMCI@1d)",
"priority": 100,
"purpose": "take_profit"
},
{
"applies_to": "long",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:SMCI",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:SMCI",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"ratio": 786,
"type": "fibonacci_retracement"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_6",
"name": "Invalidation: Fib Retracement 78.6% Lost (SMCI@1d)",
"priority": 100,
"purpose": "stop_loss"
}
],
"position_sizing": {
"max_position_percent": 25,
"method": {
"fib_stop_ratio": 786,
"risk_percent": 2.4066666666666667,
"type": "fixed_risk"
},
"min_position_value": 100
},
"trigger_timeframe": "1d",
"version": 2
}Indicator configuration
{
"indicators": [
{
"name": "ema",
"period": 21
},
{
"name": "bollinger_bands",
"period": 20,
"std_dev": 2
},
{
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
},
{
"name": "adx",
"period": 14
}
]
}Parsed strategy
{
"data_dependencies": [
{
"symbol": "STOCK:SMCI",
"timeframe": "1d"
}
],
"entry_rules": [
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:SMCI",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "low",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:SMCI",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "middle",
"indicator": {
"name": "bollinger_bands",
"period": 20,
"std_dev": 2
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:SMCI",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "crossed_above",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:SMCI",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "ema",
"period": 21
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:SMCI",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "crossed_above",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 40
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:SMCI",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:SMCI",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "open",
"type": "price"
}
}
],
"direction": "long",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_1",
"name": "Dip to Volatility-Band Support Then Reclaim Confirmation Long (SMCI@1d)",
"priority": 1,
"trade_symbol": "STOCK:SMCI"
}
],
"exit_rules": [
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:SMCI",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 70
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_1",
"name": "Overbought RSI Exit (SMCI@1d)",
"priority": 1,
"purpose": "signal"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "holding_period_bars",
"type": "position"
},
"operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 60
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_1b",
"name": "Time Stop at 60 Trading Days (SMCI@1d)",
"priority": 2,
"purpose": "signal"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:SMCI",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:SMCI",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"ratio": 1272,
"type": "fibonacci_extension"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_2",
"name": "TP: Fib Extension 127.2% (SMCI@1d)",
"priority": 96,
"purpose": "take_profit",
"target_symbol": "STOCK:SMCI"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:SMCI",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "crossed_below",
"right": {
"rank": 2,
"type": "support_level"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_3",
"name": "Invalidation: Close Below Confirmed Support[2] (SMCI@1d)",
"priority": 100,
"purpose": "stop_loss",
"target_symbol": "STOCK:SMCI"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
"type": "position"
},
"operator": "less_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": -2.4066666666666667
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_4",
"name": "Stop Loss at 2.4% (SMCI@1d)",
"priority": 100,
"purpose": "stop_loss"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
"type": "position"
},
"operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 4.8133333333333335
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_5",
"name": "Take Profit at 4.8% (SMCI@1d)",
"priority": 100,
"purpose": "take_profit"
},
{
"applies_to": "long",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:SMCI",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:SMCI",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"ratio": 786,
"type": "fibonacci_retracement"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_6",
"name": "Invalidation: Fib Retracement 78.6% Lost (SMCI@1d)",
"priority": 100,
"purpose": "stop_loss"
}
],
"position_sizing": {
"max_position_percent": 25,
"method": {
"fib_stop_ratio": 786,
"risk_percent": 2.4066666666666667,
"type": "fixed_risk"
},
"min_position_value": 100
},
"trigger_timeframe": "1d",
"version": 2
}Strategy instructions
Trading agent generated from recommendation idea 'A $60 billion order book means customers have already committed to buying Super Micro's AI servers well into fiscal 2027, so its revenues are far more locked-in than most companies facing a rate-hike scare. The other AI hardware names like Dell and HPE ha'. Thesis: A $60 billion order book means customers have already committed to buying Super Micro's AI servers well into fiscal 2027, so its revenues are far more locked-in than most companies facing a rate-hike scare. The other AI hardware names like Dell and HPE have already rallied on cloud demand, while Super Micro's own announcement gives it an independent reason to move higher. Buying dips in a name with a confirmed multi-year backlog lets you participate in the AI trade while the market's rate jitters create the entry points.
Performance
No trade count, win rate, or realized P&L figures are provided in this public preview. The thesis and shared rules do not establish a performance record.
What this public preview can establish
- The dated rule snapshot above shows the conditions evaluated at that time. It does not prove a current trigger or executed trade.
- Technical strategy fields are shared above. Inspect the actual conditions and check when they were evaluated before relying on them.
- No trade count, win rate, or P&L figure is published in this preview. It cannot establish a performance record.
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