Public trading strategy
Broadcom sparks an AI sell-off — short the chip makers leading the decline
Created
Thesis
The AI trade has been incredibly crowded for months, meaning a lot of investors are holding these stocks and looking for a reason to sell. Broadcom's weak outlook was the exact trigger the market needed to start taking profits. This rotation out of high-priced AI stocks is bleeding into the broader market, creating a short-term opportunity to bet against semiconductor names as the selling momentum builds.
Strategy approach
Build a rule-based strategy that enters short NVDA on H4 when the price closes below the 50-day moving average and RSI(14) is below 40. Use a 3% stop loss and a 6% take profit, with a max hold of 10 trading days.
Markets and timeframes
Entry and exit at a glance
These are the named rules in the shared configuration. Review the full conditions below before using a strategy.
- Entry: SMA/RSI Crossover Long (NVDA@4h) (3 conditions)
- Entry: SMA/RSI Crossover Long (AMD@4h) (3 conditions)
- Entry: SMA/RSI Crossover Long (AVGO@4h) (3 conditions)
- Exit: SL: Below Support[2] (NVDA@4h) (1 condition)
- Exit: SL: Below Support[2] (AMD@4h) (1 condition)
- Exit: SL: Below Support[2] (AVGO@4h) (1 condition)
- Exit: SL: Fib Retracement 38.2% (NVDA@4h) (1 condition)
- Exit: SL: Fib Retracement 38.2% (AMD@4h) (1 condition)
- Exit: SL: Fib Retracement 38.2% (AVGO@4h) (1 condition)
Shared strategy rules
Rule configuration
{
"data_dependencies": [
{
"symbol": "NVDA",
"timeframe": "4h"
},
{
"symbol": "AMD",
"timeframe": "4h"
},
{
"symbol": "AVGO",
"timeframe": "4h"
}
],
"entry_rules": [
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "NVDA",
"timeframe": "4h"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "sma",
"period": 50
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "NVDA",
"timeframe": "4h"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 40
}
},
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "crossed_below",
"right": {
"rank": 2,
"type": "support_level"
}
}
],
"direction": "long",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_1_nvda",
"name": "SMA/RSI Crossover Long (NVDA@4h)",
"priority": 1,
"trade_symbol": "NVDA"
},
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "AMD",
"timeframe": "4h"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "sma",
"period": 50
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "AMD",
"timeframe": "4h"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 40
}
},
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "crossed_below",
"right": {
"rank": 2,
"type": "support_level"
}
}
],
"direction": "long",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_1_amd",
"name": "SMA/RSI Crossover Long (AMD@4h)",
"priority": 2,
"trade_symbol": "AMD"
},
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "AVGO",
"timeframe": "4h"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "sma",
"period": 50
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "AVGO",
"timeframe": "4h"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 40
}
},
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "crossed_below",
"right": {
"rank": 2,
"type": "support_level"
}
}
],
"direction": "long",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_1_avgo",
"name": "SMA/RSI Crossover Long (AVGO@4h)",
"priority": 3,
"trade_symbol": "AVGO"
}
],
"exit_rules": [
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"rank": 2,
"type": "support_level"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_1_nvda",
"name": "SL: Below Support[2] (NVDA@4h)",
"priority": 97,
"purpose": "take_profit",
"target_symbol": "NVDA"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"rank": 2,
"type": "support_level"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_1_amd",
"name": "SL: Below Support[2] (AMD@4h)",
"priority": 98,
"purpose": "take_profit",
"target_symbol": "AMD"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"rank": 2,
"type": "support_level"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_1_avgo",
"name": "SL: Below Support[2] (AVGO@4h)",
"priority": 99,
"purpose": "take_profit",
"target_symbol": "AVGO"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "NVDA",
"timeframe": "4h"
},
"ratio": 382,
"type": "fibonacci_retracement"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_2_nvda",
"name": "SL: Fib Retracement 38.2% (NVDA@4h)",
"priority": 100,
"purpose": "stop_loss",
"target_symbol": "NVDA"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "AMD",
"timeframe": "4h"
},
"ratio": 382,
"type": "fibonacci_retracement"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_2_amd",
"name": "SL: Fib Retracement 38.2% (AMD@4h)",
"priority": 101,
"purpose": "stop_loss",
"target_symbol": "AMD"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "AVGO",
"timeframe": "4h"
},
"ratio": 382,
"type": "fibonacci_retracement"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_2_avgo",
"name": "SL: Fib Retracement 38.2% (AVGO@4h)",
"priority": 102,
"purpose": "stop_loss",
"target_symbol": "AVGO"
}
],
"position_sizing": {
"max_position_percent": 25,
"method": {
"fib_stop_ratio": 382,
"risk_percent": 2,
"type": "fixed_risk"
},
"min_position_value": 100
},
"trigger_timeframe": "4h",
"version": 1
}Indicator configuration
{
"indicators": [
{
"name": "sma",
"period": 50
},
{
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
},
{
"name": "sma",
"period": 50
},
{
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
},
{
"name": "sma",
"period": 50
},
{
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
}
]
}Parsed strategy
{
"data_dependencies": [
{
"symbol": "NVDA",
"timeframe": "4h"
},
{
"symbol": "AMD",
"timeframe": "4h"
},
{
"symbol": "AVGO",
"timeframe": "4h"
}
],
"entry_rules": [
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "NVDA",
"timeframe": "4h"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "sma",
"period": 50
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "NVDA",
"timeframe": "4h"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 40
}
},
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "crossed_below",
"right": {
"rank": 2,
"type": "support_level"
}
}
],
"direction": "long",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_1_nvda",
"name": "SMA/RSI Crossover Long (NVDA@4h)",
"priority": 1,
"trade_symbol": "NVDA"
},
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "AMD",
"timeframe": "4h"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "sma",
"period": 50
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "AMD",
"timeframe": "4h"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 40
}
},
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "crossed_below",
"right": {
"rank": 2,
"type": "support_level"
}
}
],
"direction": "long",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_1_amd",
"name": "SMA/RSI Crossover Long (AMD@4h)",
"priority": 2,
"trade_symbol": "AMD"
},
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "AVGO",
"timeframe": "4h"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "sma",
"period": 50
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "AVGO",
"timeframe": "4h"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 40
}
},
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "crossed_below",
"right": {
"rank": 2,
"type": "support_level"
}
}
],
"direction": "long",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_1_avgo",
"name": "SMA/RSI Crossover Long (AVGO@4h)",
"priority": 3,
"trade_symbol": "AVGO"
}
],
"exit_rules": [
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"rank": 2,
"type": "support_level"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_1_nvda",
"name": "SL: Below Support[2] (NVDA@4h)",
"priority": 97,
"purpose": "take_profit",
"target_symbol": "NVDA"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"rank": 2,
"type": "support_level"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_1_amd",
"name": "SL: Below Support[2] (AMD@4h)",
"priority": 98,
"purpose": "take_profit",
"target_symbol": "AMD"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"rank": 2,
"type": "support_level"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_1_avgo",
"name": "SL: Below Support[2] (AVGO@4h)",
"priority": 99,
"purpose": "take_profit",
"target_symbol": "AVGO"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "NVDA",
"timeframe": "4h"
},
"ratio": 382,
"type": "fibonacci_retracement"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_2_nvda",
"name": "SL: Fib Retracement 38.2% (NVDA@4h)",
"priority": 100,
"purpose": "stop_loss",
"target_symbol": "NVDA"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "AMD",
"timeframe": "4h"
},
"ratio": 382,
"type": "fibonacci_retracement"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_2_amd",
"name": "SL: Fib Retracement 38.2% (AMD@4h)",
"priority": 101,
"purpose": "stop_loss",
"target_symbol": "AMD"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "AVGO",
"timeframe": "4h"
},
"ratio": 382,
"type": "fibonacci_retracement"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_2_avgo",
"name": "SL: Fib Retracement 38.2% (AVGO@4h)",
"priority": 102,
"purpose": "stop_loss",
"target_symbol": "AVGO"
}
],
"position_sizing": {
"max_position_percent": 25,
"method": {
"fib_stop_ratio": 382,
"risk_percent": 2,
"type": "fixed_risk"
},
"min_position_value": 100
},
"trigger_timeframe": "4h",
"version": 1
}Strategy instructions
Trading agent generated from recommendation idea 'Broadcom sparks an AI sell-off — short the chip makers leading the decline'. Thesis: The AI trade has been incredibly crowded for months, meaning a lot of investors are holding these stocks and looking for a reason to sell. Broadcom's weak outlook was the exact trigger the market needed to start taking profits. This rotation out of high-priced AI stocks is bleeding into the broader market, creating a short-term opportunity to bet against semiconductor names as the selling momentum builds.
Performance
No trade count, win rate, or realized P&L figures are provided in this public preview. The thesis and shared rules do not establish a performance record.
What this public preview can establish
- The thesis and strategy approach describe a market view. They do not show whether an entry or exit condition is currently met.
- Technical strategy fields are shared above. Inspect the actual conditions and check when they were evaluated before relying on them.
- No trade count, win rate, or P&L figure is published in this preview. It cannot establish a performance record.
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