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Public trading strategy

COP Pullback Trend Continuation Strategy

Created

Thesis

Physical oil cargoes topping $130 on Saudi disruptions is a supply-driven spike, not a demand story — these tend to persist until the disruption resolves. Meanwhile, the Fed is widely expected to hike this week and bond traders have piled into bearish positions, keeping pressure on stocks, which historically pushes money toward energy as the one sector that benefits from inflation. Rising yields and oil together have been dragging equities down, so owning energy is a way to ride the stress rather than fight it. This is a relative-value rotation, not a bet on stocks overall.

Strategy approach

Physical oil cargoes topping $130 on Saudi disruptions is a supply-driven spike, not a demand story — these tend to persist until the disruption resolves. Meanwhile, the Fed is widely expected to hike this week and bond traders have piled into bearish positions, keeping pressure on stocks, which historically pushes money toward energy as the one sector that benefits from inflation. Rising yields and oil together have been dragging equities down, so owning energy is a way to ride the stress rather than fight it. This is a relative-value rotation, not a bet on stocks overall. Decision analysis profile: near_term. Required dimensions: as_of_session, catalyst_timing, expectations_priced_in, price_volume, liquidity_spread_volatility, dilution_capital_allocation, downside, actionability.

Markets and timeframes

Latest published rule evaluation

Evaluated . This is a dated rule snapshot, not a live price or trade execution confirmation.

COP · 1d

2 of 5 published entry conditions marked met.

  • EMA (20) above EMA (50) — met
  • Price crossed below EMA (20) — far
  • Price crossed above EMA (20) — far
  • RSI (14) above 45 — met
  • ADX (14) above 20 — far
  • Price below EMA (20) — far
  • Price below EMA (50) — far

XLE · 1d

2 of 5 published entry conditions marked met.

  • EMA (20) above EMA (50) — met
  • Price crossed below EMA (20) — near
  • Price crossed above EMA (20) — near
  • RSI (14) above 45 — met
  • ADX (14) above 20 — far
  • Price below EMA (20) — near
  • Price below EMA (50) — far

XOM · 1d

3 of 5 published entry conditions marked met.

  • EMA (20) above EMA (50) — met
  • Price crossed below EMA (20) — near
  • Price crossed above EMA (20) — near
  • RSI (14) above 45 — met
  • ADX (14) above 20 — met
  • Price below EMA (20) — near
  • Price below EMA (50) — far

Entry and exit at a glance

These are the named rules in the shared configuration. Review the full conditions below before using a strategy.

  • Entry: Pullback-and-Reclaim Long (COP@1d) (5 conditions)
  • Entry: Pullback-and-Reclaim Long (XLE@1d) (5 conditions)
  • Entry: Pullback-and-Reclaim Long (XOM@1d) (5 conditions)
  • Exit: Support Zone Failure Exit (COP@1d) (2 conditions)
  • Exit: Support Zone Failure Exit (XLE@1d) (2 conditions)
  • Exit: Support Zone Failure Exit (XOM@1d) (2 conditions)
  • Exit: Time Stop at 60 Trading Days (1 condition)
  • Exit: TP: Prior Resistance via Fib Extension 127.2% (COP@1d) (1 condition)
  • Exit: TP: Prior Resistance via Fib Extension 127.2% (XLE@1d) (1 condition)
  • Exit: TP: Prior Resistance via Fib Extension 127.2% (XOM@1d) (1 condition)
  • Exit: SL: Fib Retracement 78.6% (COP@1d) (1 condition)
  • Exit: SL: Fib Retracement 78.6% (XLE@1d) (1 condition)
  • Exit: SL: Fib Retracement 78.6% (XOM@1d) (1 condition)
  • Exit: Stop Loss at 8% (outside daily noise) (1 condition)

Shared strategy rules

Rule configuration

{
  "data_dependencies": [
    {
      "symbol": "STOCK:COP",
      "timeframe": "1d"
    },
    {
      "symbol": "STOCK:XLE",
      "timeframe": "1d"
    },
    {
      "symbol": "STOCK:XOM",
      "timeframe": "1d"
    }
  ],
  "entry_rules": [
    {
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:COP",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "ema",
              "period": 20
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:COP",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "ema",
              "period": 50
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:COP",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "low",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "crossed_below",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:COP",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "ema",
              "period": 20
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:COP",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "crossed_above",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:COP",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "ema",
              "period": 20
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:COP",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "rsi",
              "period": 14
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 45
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:COP",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "adx",
            "indicator": {
              "name": "adx",
              "period": 14
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 20
          }
        }
      ],
      "direction": "long",
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "entry_1_cop",
      "name": "Pullback-and-Reclaim Long (COP@1d)",
      "priority": 1,
      "trade_symbol": "STOCK:COP"
    },
    {
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:XLE",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "ema",
              "period": 20
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:XLE",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "ema",
              "period": 50
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:XLE",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "low",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "crossed_below",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:XLE",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "ema",
              "period": 20
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:XLE",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "crossed_above",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:XLE",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "ema",
              "period": 20
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:XLE",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "rsi",
              "period": 14
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 45
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:XLE",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "adx",
            "indicator": {
              "name": "adx",
              "period": 14
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 20
          }
        }
      ],
      "direction": "long",
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "entry_1_xle",
      "name": "Pullback-and-Reclaim Long (XLE@1d)",
      "priority": 2,
      "trade_symbol": "STOCK:XLE"
    },
    {
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:XOM",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "ema",
              "period": 20
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:XOM",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "ema",
              "period": 50
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:XOM",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "low",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "crossed_below",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:XOM",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "ema",
              "period": 20
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:XOM",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "crossed_above",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:XOM",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "ema",
              "period": 20
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:XOM",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "rsi",
              "period": 14
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 45
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:XOM",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "adx",
            "indicator": {
              "name": "adx",
              "period": 14
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 20
          }
        }
      ],
      "direction": "long",
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "entry_1_xom",
      "name": "Pullback-and-Reclaim Long (XOM@1d)",
      "priority": 3,
      "trade_symbol": "STOCK:XOM"
    }
  ],
  "exit_rules": [
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:COP",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "less_than",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:COP",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "ema",
              "period": 20
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:COP",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "less_than",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:COP",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "ema",
              "period": 50
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_signal_cop",
      "name": "Support Zone Failure Exit (COP@1d)",
      "priority": 1,
      "purpose": "signal",
      "target_symbol": "STOCK:COP"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:XLE",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "less_than",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:XLE",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "ema",
              "period": 20
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:XLE",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "less_than",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:XLE",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "ema",
              "period": 50
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_signal_xle",
      "name": "Support Zone Failure Exit (XLE@1d)",
      "priority": 2,
      "purpose": "signal",
      "target_symbol": "STOCK:XLE"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:XOM",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "less_than",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:XOM",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "ema",
              "period": 20
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:XOM",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "less_than",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:XOM",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "ema",
              "period": 50
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_signal_xom",
      "name": "Support Zone Failure Exit (XOM@1d)",
      "priority": 3,
      "purpose": "signal",
      "target_symbol": "STOCK:XOM"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "holding_period_bars",
            "type": "position"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 60
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_time",
      "name": "Time Stop at 60 Trading Days",
      "priority": 90,
      "purpose": "signal"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:COP",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:COP",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "ratio": 1272,
            "type": "fibonacci_extension"
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_tp_cop",
      "name": "TP: Prior Resistance via Fib Extension 127.2% (COP@1d)",
      "priority": 96,
      "purpose": "take_profit",
      "target_symbol": "STOCK:COP"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:XLE",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:XLE",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "ratio": 1272,
            "type": "fibonacci_extension"
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_tp_xle",
      "name": "TP: Prior Resistance via Fib Extension 127.2% (XLE@1d)",
      "priority": 97,
      "purpose": "take_profit",
      "target_symbol": "STOCK:XLE"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:XOM",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:XOM",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "ratio": 1272,
            "type": "fibonacci_extension"
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_tp_xom",
      "name": "TP: Prior Resistance via Fib Extension 127.2% (XOM@1d)",
      "priority": 98,
      "purpose": "take_profit",
      "target_symbol": "STOCK:XOM"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "long",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:COP",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "less_than",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:COP",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "ratio": 786,
            "type": "fibonacci_retracement"
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_sl_cop",
      "name": "SL: Fib Retracement 78.6% (COP@1d)",
      "priority": 100,
      "purpose": "stop_loss",
      "target_symbol": "STOCK:COP"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "long",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:XLE",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "less_than",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:XLE",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "ratio": 786,
            "type": "fibonacci_retracement"
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_sl_xle",
      "name": "SL: Fib Retracement 78.6% (XLE@1d)",
      "priority": 101,
      "purpose": "stop_loss",
      "target_symbol": "STOCK:XLE"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "long",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:XOM",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "less_than",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:XOM",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "ratio": 786,
            "type": "fibonacci_retracement"
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_sl_xom",
      "name": "SL: Fib Retracement 78.6% (XOM@1d)",
      "priority": 102,
      "purpose": "stop_loss",
      "target_symbol": "STOCK:XOM"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
            "type": "position"
          },
          "operator": "less_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": -8
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_sl_wide",
      "name": "Stop Loss at 8% (outside daily noise)",
      "priority": 100,
      "purpose": "stop_loss"
    }
  ],
  "position_sizing": {
    "max_position_percent": 25,
    "method": {
      "fib_stop_ratio": 786,
      "risk_percent": 2.287857142857143,
      "type": "fixed_risk"
    },
    "min_position_value": 100
  },
  "trigger_timeframe": "1d",
  "version": 2
}

Indicator configuration

{
  "indicators": [
    {
      "name": "ema",
      "period": 20
    },
    {
      "name": "rsi",
      "period": 14
    },
    {
      "name": "adx",
      "period": 14
    },
    {
      "name": "ema",
      "period": 20
    },
    {
      "name": "rsi",
      "period": 14
    },
    {
      "name": "adx",
      "period": 14
    },
    {
      "name": "ema",
      "period": 20
    },
    {
      "name": "rsi",
      "period": 14
    },
    {
      "name": "adx",
      "period": 14
    }
  ]
}

Parsed strategy

{
  "data_dependencies": [
    {
      "symbol": "STOCK:COP",
      "timeframe": "1d"
    },
    {
      "symbol": "STOCK:XLE",
      "timeframe": "1d"
    },
    {
      "symbol": "STOCK:XOM",
      "timeframe": "1d"
    }
  ],
  "entry_rules": [
    {
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:COP",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "ema",
              "period": 20
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:COP",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "ema",
              "period": 50
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:COP",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "low",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "crossed_below",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:COP",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "ema",
              "period": 20
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:COP",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "crossed_above",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:COP",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "ema",
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}

Strategy instructions

Trading agent generated from recommendation idea 'Physical oil cargoes topping $130 on Saudi disruptions is a supply-driven spike, not a demand story — these tend to persist until the disruption resolves. Meanwhile, the Fed is widely expected to hike this week and bond traders have piled into bearish pos'. Thesis: Physical oil cargoes topping $130 on Saudi disruptions is a supply-driven spike, not a demand story — these tend to persist until the disruption resolves. Meanwhile, the Fed is widely expected to hike this week and bond traders have piled into bearish positions, keeping pressure on stocks, which historically pushes money toward energy as the one sector that benefits from inflation. Rising yields and oil together have been dragging equities down, so owning energy is a way to ride the stress rather than fight it. This is a relative-value rotation, not a bet on stocks overall.

Performance

No trade count, win rate, or realized P&L figures are provided in this public preview. The thesis and shared rules do not establish a performance record.

What this public preview can establish

  • The dated rule snapshot above shows the conditions evaluated at that time. It does not prove a current trigger or executed trade.
  • Technical strategy fields are shared above. Inspect the actual conditions and check when they were evaluated before relying on them.
  • No trade count, win rate, or P&L figure is published in this preview. It cannot establish a performance record.

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