Public trading strategy
Semiconductor names have been falling ahead of Nvidia's report, so expectations
Thesis
Semiconductor names have been falling ahead of Nvidia's report, so expectations have already been marked down — the market is pricing in bad news before it arrives. One side of the Street is warning of a 20% drop, but Dan Ives says investors still underestimate Nvidia's momentum, and Evercore suggests positioning for an Nvidia-inspired tech bounce. When pessimism is this loud going into a report, even an in-line result can spark a relief rally in the stock and the whole chip sector. Buying the dip before the print, with a tight stop in case the bears are right, is a defined-risk way to play it.
Strategy approach
Semiconductor names have been falling ahead of Nvidia's report, so expectations have already been marked down — the market is pricing in bad news before it arrives. One side of the Street is warning of a 20% drop, but Dan Ives says investors still underestimate Nvidia's momentum, and Evercore suggests positioning for an Nvidia-inspired tech bounce. When pessimism is this loud going into a report, even an in-line result can spark a relief rally in the stock and the whole chip sector. Buying the dip before the print, with a tight stop in case the bears are right, is a defined-risk way to play it. Decision analysis profile: value. Required dimensions: valuation_method, valuation_sensitivity, business_economics, cash_quality, balance_sheet_leverage, dilution_capital_allocation, moat,…
Markets and timeframes
Shared strategy rules
Rule configuration
{
"data_dependencies": [
{
"symbol": "STOCK:NVDA",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
{
"symbol": "STOCK:SMH",
"timeframe": "1d"
}
],
"entry_rules": [
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:NVDA",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "support_level"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:NVDA",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "crossed_above",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:NVDA",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "ema",
"period": 20
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:NVDA",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "obv"
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "crossed_above",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:NVDA",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "sma",
"period": 200
},
"type": "indicator"
}
}
],
"direction": "long",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_1_nvda",
"name": "Post-Earnings Confirmation Long: Support Hold + EMA20 Reclaim + Volume Expansion (NVDA@1d)",
"priority": 1,
"trade_symbol": "STOCK:NVDA"
},
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:SMH",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "support_level"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:SMH",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "crossed_above",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:SMH",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "ema",
"period": 20
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:SMH",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "obv"
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "crossed_above",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:SMH",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "sma",
"period": 200
},
"type": "indicator"
}
}
],
"direction": "long",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_1_smh",
"name": "Post-Earnings Sector Confirmation Long: Support Hold + EMA20 Reclaim + Volume Expansion (SMH@1d)",
"priority": 2,
"trade_symbol": "STOCK:SMH"
}
],
"exit_rules": [
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:NVDA",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 72
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_1_nvda",
"name": "Overbought RSI Exit (NVDA@1d)",
"priority": 1,
"purpose": "signal",
"target_symbol": "STOCK:NVDA"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:SMH",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 72
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_1_smh",
"name": "Overbought RSI Exit (SMH@1d)",
"priority": 2,
"purpose": "signal",
"target_symbol": "STOCK:SMH"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
"type": "position"
},
"operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 4.9168
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_5",
"name": "Take Profit at 4.9% (Scale Out Into Overextension)",
"priority": 96,
"purpose": "take_profit"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:NVDA",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "crossed_above",
"right": {
"rank": 2,
"type": "support_level"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_3_nvda",
"name": "SL: Break of Consolidation Low (NVDA@1d)",
"priority": 100,
"purpose": "stop_loss",
"target_symbol": "STOCK:NVDA"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:SMH",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "crossed_above",
"right": {
"rank": 2,
"type": "support_level"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_3_smh",
"name": "SL: Break of Consolidation Low (SMH@1d)",
"priority": 101,
"purpose": "stop_loss",
"target_symbol": "STOCK:SMH"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
"type": "position"
},
"operator": "less_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": -2.4584
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_4",
"name": "Stop Loss at 2.5% (Tight Event Stop, No Widening)",
"priority": 100,
"purpose": "stop_loss"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "holding_period_bars",
"type": "position"
},
"operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 10
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_6",
"name": "Time Stop: Two Weeks Post-Earnings, No Second Earnings Cycle",
"priority": 102,
"purpose": "signal"
}
],
"position_sizing": {
"max_position_percent": 25,
"method": {
"risk_percent": 2.4584,
"support_stop_rank": 2,
"type": "fixed_risk"
},
"min_position_value": 100
},
"trigger_timeframe": "1d",
"version": 2
}Indicator configuration
{
"indicators": [
{
"name": "ema",
"period": 20
},
{
"name": "obv"
},
{
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
},
{
"name": "sma",
"period": 200
},
{
"name": "sma",
"period": 20
},
{
"name": "adx",
"period": 14
},
{
"name": "ema",
"period": 20
},
{
"name": "obv"
},
{
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
},
{
"name": "sma",
"period": 200
},
{
"name": "sma",
"period": 20
},
{
"name": "adx",
"period": 14
}
]
}Parsed strategy
{
"data_dependencies": [
{
"symbol": "STOCK:NVDA",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
{
"symbol": "STOCK:SMH",
"timeframe": "1d"
}
],
"entry_rules": [
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:NVDA",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "support_level"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:NVDA",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "crossed_above",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:NVDA",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "ema",
"period": 20
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:NVDA",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "obv"
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "crossed_above",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:NVDA",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "sma",
"period": 200
},
"type": "indicator"
}
}
],
"direction": "long",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_1_nvda",
"name": "Post-Earnings Confirmation Long: Support Hold + EMA20 Reclaim + Volume Expansion (NVDA@1d)",
"priority": 1,
"trade_symbol": "STOCK:NVDA"
},
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:SMH",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "support_level"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:SMH",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "crossed_above",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:SMH",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "ema",
"period": 20
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:SMH",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "obv"
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "crossed_above",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:SMH",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "sma",
"period": 200
},
"type": "indicator"
}
}
],
"direction": "long",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_1_smh",
"name": "Post-Earnings Sector Confirmation Long: Support Hold + EMA20 Reclaim + Volume Expansion (SMH@1d)",
"priority": 2,
"trade_symbol": "STOCK:SMH"
}
],
"exit_rules": [
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:NVDA",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 72
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_1_nvda",
"name": "Overbought RSI Exit (NVDA@1d)",
"priority": 1,
"purpose": "signal",
"target_symbol": "STOCK:NVDA"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:SMH",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 72
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_1_smh",
"name": "Overbought RSI Exit (SMH@1d)",
"priority": 2,
"purpose": "signal",
"target_symbol": "STOCK:SMH"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
"type": "position"
},
"operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 4.9168
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_5",
"name": "Take Profit at 4.9% (Scale Out Into Overextension)",
"priority": 96,
"purpose": "take_profit"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:NVDA",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "crossed_above",
"right": {
"rank": 2,
"type": "support_level"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_3_nvda",
"name": "SL: Break of Consolidation Low (NVDA@1d)",
"priority": 100,
"purpose": "stop_loss",
"target_symbol": "STOCK:NVDA"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:SMH",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "crossed_above",
"right": {
"rank": 2,
"type": "support_level"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_3_smh",
"name": "SL: Break of Consolidation Low (SMH@1d)",
"priority": 101,
"purpose": "stop_loss",
"target_symbol": "STOCK:SMH"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
"type": "position"
},
"operator": "less_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": -2.4584
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_4",
"name": "Stop Loss at 2.5% (Tight Event Stop, No Widening)",
"priority": 100,
"purpose": "stop_loss"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "holding_period_bars",
"type": "position"
},
"operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 10
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_6",
"name": "Time Stop: Two Weeks Post-Earnings, No Second Earnings Cycle",
"priority": 102,
"purpose": "signal"
}
],
"position_sizing": {
"max_position_percent": 25,
"method": {
"risk_percent": 2.4584,
"support_stop_rank": 2,
"type": "fixed_risk"
},
"min_position_value": 100
},
"trigger_timeframe": "1d",
"version": 2
}Strategy instructions
Trading agent generated from recommendation idea 'Semiconductor names have been falling ahead of Nvidia's report, so expectations have already been marked down — the market is pricing in bad news before it arrives. One side of the Street is warning of a 20% drop, but Dan Ives says investors still underes'. Thesis: Semiconductor names have been falling ahead of Nvidia's report, so expectations have already been marked down — the market is pricing in bad news before it arrives. One side of the Street is warning of a 20% drop, but Dan Ives says investors still underestimate Nvidia's momentum, and Evercore suggests positioning for an Nvidia-inspired tech bounce. When pessimism is this loud going into a report, even an in-line result can spark a relief rally in the stock and the whole chip sector. Buying the dip before the print, with a tight stop in case the bears are right, is a defined-risk way to play it.
How CommonQuant strategies work
- Each strategy is generated from a plain-English thesis with fresh, LLM-selected news headlines, grounded in SEC XBRL fundamentals and peer percentiles.
- The strategy is expressed in an auditable DSL checked by a real compiler, and passes an adversarial AI review before it can be published.
- Every AI-generated strategy is automatically backtested over 12-month and 5-year windows (walk-forward tuned) and stress-tested across drawdowns and best/worst windows — it stays gated until that evidence run completes.
- Once live, an AI news judge re-reads fresh headlines hourly and can conclude the campaign when they confirm the strategy’s thesis-invalidation conditions, notifying the owner and followers.