Eli Lilly's new weight-loss drug crushes trials — ride the obesity drug wave
Created
Thesis
The weight-loss drug market is turning into a gold rush, and Eli Lilly just proved they have the next big product ready to capture market share. With analysts confirming that the company's pipeline has multiple potential blockbusters rather than just one, this stock has fundamental staying power beyond a single day's pop. As the broader market looks for strong companies to invest in amid tech volatility, healthcare leaders with breakthrough drugs offer a safe harbor with massive growth potential. Rival companies like Novo Nordisk could also ride the coattails of this renewed industry excitement.
Strategy approach
Build a long breakout strategy for LLY on the daily timeframe. Entry: Price breaks and closes above the highest high of the last 10 trading days. Exit: Price fails to close above the 10-day exponential moving average for two consecutive days. Risk management: 4% fixed stop loss from entry price.
Markets and timeframes
Latest published rule evaluation
Evaluated . This is a dated rule snapshot, not a live price or trade execution confirmation.
LLY · 1d
0 of 3 published entry conditions marked met.
- Price crossed above Donchian (10) — near
- ADX (14) above 25 — far
- ADX (14) above 20 — far
- Price below EMA (10) — met
NVO · 1d
0 of 3 published entry conditions marked met.
- Price crossed above Donchian (10) — near
- ADX (14) above 25 — far
- ADX (14) above 20 — far
- Price below EMA (10) — met
Entry and exit at a glance
These are the named rules in the shared configuration. Review the full conditions below before using a strategy.
- Entry: DONCHIAN/ADX Crossover Long (LLY@1d) (4 conditions)
- Entry: DONCHIAN/ADX Crossover Long (NVO@1d) (4 conditions)
- Exit: Position Exit Rule (LLY@1d) (1 condition)
- Exit: Position Exit Rule (NVO@1d) (1 condition)
- Exit: TP: Near Resistance[1] (LLY@1d) (1 condition)
- Exit: TP: Near Resistance[1] (NVO@1d) (1 condition)
- Exit: SL: Below Support[2] (LLY@1d) (1 condition)
- Exit: SL: Below Support[2] (NVO@1d) (1 condition)
- Exit: Stop Loss at 2.4% (1 condition)
- Exit: Take Profit at 4.8% (1 condition)
Shared strategy rules
Rule configuration
{
"data_dependencies": [
{
"symbol": "STOCK:LLY",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
{
"symbol": "STOCK:NVO",
"timeframe": "1d"
}
],
"entry_rules": [
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "crossed_above",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:LLY",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "upper",
"indicator": {
"name": "donchian",
"period": 10
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:LLY",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "adx",
"indicator": {
"name": "adx",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 25
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:LLY",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "adx",
"indicator": {
"name": "adx",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 20
}
},
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "crossed_above",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "resistance_level"
}
}
],
"direction": "long",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_1_lly",
"name": "DONCHIAN/ADX Crossover Long (LLY@1d)",
"priority": 1,
"trade_symbol": "STOCK:LLY"
},
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "crossed_above",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:NVO",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "upper",
"indicator": {
"name": "donchian",
"period": 10
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:NVO",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "adx",
"indicator": {
"name": "adx",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 25
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:NVO",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "adx",
"indicator": {
"name": "adx",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 20
}
},
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "crossed_above",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "resistance_level"
}
}
],
"direction": "long",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_1_nvo",
"name": "DONCHIAN/ADX Crossover Long (NVO@1d)",
"priority": 2,
"trade_symbol": "STOCK:NVO"
}
],
"exit_rules": [
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:LLY",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "ema",
"period": 10
},
"type": "indicator"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_1_lly",
"name": "Position Exit Rule (LLY@1d)",
"priority": 1,
"purpose": "signal",
"target_symbol": "STOCK:LLY"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:NVO",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "ema",
"period": 10
},
"type": "indicator"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_1_nvo",
"name": "Position Exit Rule (NVO@1d)",
"priority": 2,
"purpose": "signal",
"target_symbol": "STOCK:NVO"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "resistance_level"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_2_lly",
"name": "TP: Near Resistance[1] (LLY@1d)",
"priority": 97,
"purpose": "take_profit",
"target_symbol": "STOCK:LLY"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "resistance_level"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_2_nvo",
"name": "TP: Near Resistance[1] (NVO@1d)",
"priority": 98,
"purpose": "take_profit",
"target_symbol": "STOCK:NVO"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"rank": 2,
"type": "support_level"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_3_lly",
"name": "SL: Below Support[2] (LLY@1d)",
"priority": 100,
"purpose": "stop_loss",
"target_symbol": "STOCK:LLY"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"rank": 2,
"type": "support_level"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_3_nvo",
"name": "SL: Below Support[2] (NVO@1d)",
"priority": 101,
"purpose": "stop_loss",
"target_symbol": "STOCK:NVO"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
"type": "position"
},
"operator": "less_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": -2.3772
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_4",
"name": "Stop Loss at 2.4%",
"priority": 100,
"purpose": "stop_loss"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
"type": "position"
},
"operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 4.7544
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_5",
"name": "Take Profit at 4.8%",
"priority": 100,
"purpose": "take_profit"
}
],
"position_sizing": {
"max_position_percent": 25,
"method": {
"risk_percent": 2.3772,
"support_stop_rank": 2,
"type": "fixed_risk"
},
"min_position_value": 100
},
"trigger_timeframe": "1d",
"version": 1
}Indicator configuration
{
"indicators": [
{
"name": "donchian",
"period": 10
},
{
"name": "ema",
"period": 10
},
{
"name": "adx",
"period": 14
},
{
"name": "donchian",
"period": 10
},
{
"name": "ema",
"period": 10
},
{
"name": "adx",
"period": 14
}
]
}Parsed strategy
{
"data_dependencies": [
{
"symbol": "STOCK:LLY",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
{
"symbol": "STOCK:NVO",
"timeframe": "1d"
}
],
"entry_rules": [
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "crossed_above",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:LLY",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "upper",
"indicator": {
"name": "donchian",
"period": 10
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:LLY",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "adx",
"indicator": {
"name": "adx",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 25
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:LLY",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "adx",
"indicator": {
"name": "adx",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 20
}
},
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "crossed_above",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "resistance_level"
}
}
],
"direction": "long",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_1_lly",
"name": "DONCHIAN/ADX Crossover Long (LLY@1d)",
"priority": 1,
"trade_symbol": "STOCK:LLY"
},
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "crossed_above",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:NVO",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "upper",
"indicator": {
"name": "donchian",
"period": 10
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:NVO",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "adx",
"indicator": {
"name": "adx",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 25
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:NVO",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "adx",
"indicator": {
"name": "adx",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 20
}
},
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "crossed_above",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "resistance_level"
}
}
],
"direction": "long",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_1_nvo",
"name": "DONCHIAN/ADX Crossover Long (NVO@1d)",
"priority": 2,
"trade_symbol": "STOCK:NVO"
}
],
"exit_rules": [
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:LLY",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "ema",
"period": 10
},
"type": "indicator"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_1_lly",
"name": "Position Exit Rule (LLY@1d)",
"priority": 1,
"purpose": "signal",
"target_symbol": "STOCK:LLY"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:NVO",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "ema",
"period": 10
},
"type": "indicator"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_1_nvo",
"name": "Position Exit Rule (NVO@1d)",
"priority": 2,
"purpose": "signal",
"target_symbol": "STOCK:NVO"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "resistance_level"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_2_lly",
"name": "TP: Near Resistance[1] (LLY@1d)",
"priority": 97,
"purpose": "take_profit",
"target_symbol": "STOCK:LLY"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "resistance_level"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_2_nvo",
"name": "TP: Near Resistance[1] (NVO@1d)",
"priority": 98,
"purpose": "take_profit",
"target_symbol": "STOCK:NVO"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"rank": 2,
"type": "support_level"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_3_lly",
"name": "SL: Below Support[2] (LLY@1d)",
"priority": 100,
"purpose": "stop_loss",
"target_symbol": "STOCK:LLY"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"rank": 2,
"type": "support_level"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_3_nvo",
"name": "SL: Below Support[2] (NVO@1d)",
"priority": 101,
"purpose": "stop_loss",
"target_symbol": "STOCK:NVO"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
"type": "position"
},
"operator": "less_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": -2.3772
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_4",
"name": "Stop Loss at 2.4%",
"priority": 100,
"purpose": "stop_loss"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
"type": "position"
},
"operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 4.7544
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_5",
"name": "Take Profit at 4.8%",
"priority": 100,
"purpose": "take_profit"
}
],
"position_sizing": {
"max_position_percent": 25,
"method": {
"risk_percent": 2.3772,
"support_stop_rank": 2,
"type": "fixed_risk"
},
"min_position_value": 100
},
"trigger_timeframe": "1d",
"version": 1
}Strategy instructions
Trading agent generated from recommendation idea 'Eli Lilly's new weight-loss drug crushes trials — ride the obesity drug wave'. Thesis: The weight-loss drug market is turning into a gold rush, and Eli Lilly just proved they have the next big product ready to capture market share. With analysts confirming that the company's pipeline has multiple potential blockbusters rather than just one, this stock has fundamental staying power beyond a single day's pop. As the broader market looks for strong companies to invest in amid tech volatility, healthcare leaders with breakthrough drugs offer a safe harbor with massive growth potential. Rival companies like Novo Nordisk could also ride the coattails of this renewed industry excitement.
Performance
No trade count, win rate, or realized P&L figures are provided in this public preview. The thesis and shared rules do not establish a performance record.
What this public preview can establish
- The dated rule snapshot above shows the conditions evaluated at that time. It does not prove a current trigger or executed trade.
- Technical strategy fields are shared above. Inspect the actual conditions and check when they were evaluated before relying on them.
- No trade count, win rate, or P&L figure is published in this preview. It cannot establish a performance record.
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