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Public trading strategy

Chip panic meets blowout earnings — momentum bounce on Micron and AI server play

Created

Thesis

Earlier this week, a global chip sell-off gripped Wall Street, dragging the Nasdaq down 2.4% and causing panic that the AI trade was cooling off. However, Micron completely shattered those fears by reporting that its revenue more than quadrupled, sending its stock up over 16% premarket. When you combine this week's recent fear-driven plunge in tech with Micron's blockbuster proof that AI demand is actually accelerating, it sets up a classic relief rally. The companies that were unfairly punished in the panic—like AI server makers Super Micro and Nvidia—are primed to bounce back sharply as investor confidence returns.

Strategy approach

Build a rule-based strategy that enters long SMCI and MU on D1 when the broader Nasdaq 100 (QQQ) has dropped at least 2% over the prior two sessions (indicating recent weakness/fear) but a key semiconductor stock (MU) gaps up at least 10% on earnings volume. Use a 10-day max hold and a 7% trailing stop.

Markets and timeframes

Latest published rule evaluation

Evaluated . This is a dated rule snapshot, not a live price or trade execution confirmation.

MU · 1d

1 of 2 published entry conditions marked met.

  • ROC (2) above 0.5 — met
  • OBV above 0 — unknown
  • Price crossed below Supertrend (10) — far

NVDA · 1d

2 of 4 published entry conditions marked met.

  • ROC (2) above 0.5 — met
  • OBV above 0 — unknown
  • ROC (2) above 0.5 — met
  • OBV above 0 — unknown

SMCI · 1d

0 of 2 published entry conditions marked met.

  • ROC (2) above 0.5 — far
  • OBV above 0 — unknown
  • Price crossed below Supertrend (10) — far

Entry and exit at a glance

These are the named rules in the shared configuration. Review the full conditions below before using a strategy.

  • Entry: ROC/OBV Signal Long (QQQ@1d) (4 conditions)
  • Entry: ROC/OBV Signal Long (NVDA@1d) (4 conditions)
  • Exit: Position Exit Rule (QQQ@1d) (1 condition)
  • Exit: Position Exit Rule (NVDA@1d) (1 condition)
  • Exit: TP: Near Resistance[1] (QQQ@1d) (1 condition)
  • Exit: TP: Near Resistance[1] (NVDA@1d) (1 condition)
  • Exit: SL: Below Support[1] (QQQ@1d) (1 condition)
  • Exit: SL: Below Support[1] (NVDA@1d) (1 condition)
  • Exit: Stop Loss at 2.4% (1 condition)
  • Exit: Take Profit at 4.8% (1 condition)

Shared strategy rules

Rule configuration

{
  "data_dependencies": [
    {
      "symbol": "QQQ",
      "timeframe": "1d"
    },
    {
      "symbol": "NVDA",
      "timeframe": "1d"
    }
  ],
  "entry_rules": [
    {
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "low",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "less_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "rank": 1,
            "type": "support_level"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "rank": 1,
            "type": "support_level"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "QQQ",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "roc",
              "period": 2
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 0.5
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "QQQ",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "obv"
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 0
          }
        }
      ],
      "direction": "long",
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "entry_1_qqq",
      "name": "ROC/OBV Signal Long (QQQ@1d)",
      "priority": 50,
      "trade_symbol": "QQQ"
    },
    {
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "low",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "less_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "rank": 1,
            "type": "support_level"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "rank": 1,
            "type": "support_level"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "NVDA",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "roc",
              "period": 2
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 0.5
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "NVDA",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "obv"
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 0
          }
        }
      ],
      "direction": "long",
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "entry_1_nvda",
      "name": "ROC/OBV Signal Long (NVDA@1d)",
      "priority": 51,
      "trade_symbol": "NVDA"
    }
  ],
  "exit_rules": [
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "crossed_below",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "QQQ",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "multiplier": 3,
              "name": "supertrend",
              "period": 10
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_1_qqq",
      "name": "Position Exit Rule (QQQ@1d)",
      "priority": 1,
      "purpose": "signal",
      "target_symbol": "QQQ"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "crossed_below",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "NVDA",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "multiplier": 3,
              "name": "supertrend",
              "period": 10
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_1_nvda",
      "name": "Position Exit Rule (NVDA@1d)",
      "priority": 2,
      "purpose": "signal",
      "target_symbol": "NVDA"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "long",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "rank": 1,
            "type": "resistance_level"
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_2_qqq",
      "name": "TP: Near Resistance[1] (QQQ@1d)",
      "priority": 97,
      "purpose": "take_profit",
      "target_symbol": "QQQ"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "long",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "rank": 1,
            "type": "resistance_level"
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_2_nvda",
      "name": "TP: Near Resistance[1] (NVDA@1d)",
      "priority": 98,
      "purpose": "take_profit",
      "target_symbol": "NVDA"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "long",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "crossed_above",
          "right": {
            "rank": 1,
            "type": "support_level"
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_3_qqq",
      "name": "SL: Below Support[1] (QQQ@1d)",
      "priority": 100,
      "purpose": "stop_loss",
      "target_symbol": "QQQ"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "long",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "crossed_above",
          "right": {
            "rank": 1,
            "type": "support_level"
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_3_nvda",
      "name": "SL: Below Support[1] (NVDA@1d)",
      "priority": 101,
      "purpose": "stop_loss",
      "target_symbol": "NVDA"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
            "type": "position"
          },
          "operator": "less_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": -2.408266666666667
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_4",
      "name": "Stop Loss at 2.4%",
      "priority": 100,
      "purpose": "stop_loss"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
            "type": "position"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 4.816533333333334
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_5",
      "name": "Take Profit at 4.8%",
      "priority": 100,
      "purpose": "take_profit"
    }
  ],
  "position_sizing": {
    "max_position_percent": 25,
    "method": {
      "risk_percent": 2.408266666666667,
      "support_stop_rank": 2,
      "type": "fixed_risk"
    },
    "min_position_value": 100
  },
  "trigger_timeframe": "1d",
  "version": 1
}

Indicator configuration

{
  "indicators": [
    {
      "name": "roc",
      "period": 2
    },
    {
      "name": "roc",
      "period": 1
    },
    {
      "name": "obv"
    },
    {
      "multiplier": 3,
      "name": "supertrend",
      "period": 10
    },
    {
      "name": "roc",
      "period": 2
    },
    {
      "name": "roc",
      "period": 1
    },
    {
      "name": "obv"
    },
    {
      "multiplier": 3,
      "name": "supertrend",
      "period": 10
    }
  ]
}

Parsed strategy

{
  "data_dependencies": [
    {
      "symbol": "QQQ",
      "timeframe": "1d"
    },
    {
      "symbol": "NVDA",
      "timeframe": "1d"
    }
  ],
  "entry_rules": [
    {
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "low",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "less_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "rank": 1,
            "type": "support_level"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "rank": 1,
            "type": "support_level"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "QQQ",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "roc",
              "period": 2
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 0.5
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "QQQ",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "obv"
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 0
          }
        }
      ],
      "direction": "long",
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "entry_1_qqq",
      "name": "ROC/OBV Signal Long (QQQ@1d)",
      "priority": 50,
      "trade_symbol": "QQQ"
    },
    {
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "low",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "less_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "rank": 1,
            "type": "support_level"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "rank": 1,
            "type": "support_level"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "NVDA",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "roc",
              "period": 2
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 0.5
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "NVDA",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "obv"
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 0
          }
        }
      ],
      "direction": "long",
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "entry_1_nvda",
      "name": "ROC/OBV Signal Long (NVDA@1d)",
      "priority": 51,
      "trade_symbol": "NVDA"
    }
  ],
  "exit_rules": [
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "crossed_below",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "QQQ",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "multiplier": 3,
              "name": "supertrend",
              "period": 10
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_1_qqq",
      "name": "Position Exit Rule (QQQ@1d)",
      "priority": 1,
      "purpose": "signal",
      "target_symbol": "QQQ"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "crossed_below",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "NVDA",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "multiplier": 3,
              "name": "supertrend",
              "period": 10
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_1_nvda",
      "name": "Position Exit Rule (NVDA@1d)",
      "priority": 2,
      "purpose": "signal",
      "target_symbol": "NVDA"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "long",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "rank": 1,
            "type": "resistance_level"
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_2_qqq",
      "name": "TP: Near Resistance[1] (QQQ@1d)",
      "priority": 97,
      "purpose": "take_profit",
      "target_symbol": "QQQ"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "long",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "rank": 1,
            "type": "resistance_level"
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_2_nvda",
      "name": "TP: Near Resistance[1] (NVDA@1d)",
      "priority": 98,
      "purpose": "take_profit",
      "target_symbol": "NVDA"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "long",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "crossed_above",
          "right": {
            "rank": 1,
            "type": "support_level"
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_3_qqq",
      "name": "SL: Below Support[1] (QQQ@1d)",
      "priority": 100,
      "purpose": "stop_loss",
      "target_symbol": "QQQ"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "long",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "crossed_above",
          "right": {
            "rank": 1,
            "type": "support_level"
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_3_nvda",
      "name": "SL: Below Support[1] (NVDA@1d)",
      "priority": 101,
      "purpose": "stop_loss",
      "target_symbol": "NVDA"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
            "type": "position"
          },
          "operator": "less_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": -2.408266666666667
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_4",
      "name": "Stop Loss at 2.4%",
      "priority": 100,
      "purpose": "stop_loss"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
            "type": "position"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 4.816533333333334
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_5",
      "name": "Take Profit at 4.8%",
      "priority": 100,
      "purpose": "take_profit"
    }
  ],
  "position_sizing": {
    "max_position_percent": 25,
    "method": {
      "risk_percent": 2.408266666666667,
      "support_stop_rank": 2,
      "type": "fixed_risk"
    },
    "min_position_value": 100
  },
  "trigger_timeframe": "1d",
  "version": 1
}

Strategy instructions

Trading agent generated from recommendation idea 'Chip panic meets blowout earnings — momentum bounce on Micron and AI server plays'. Thesis: Earlier this week, a global chip sell-off gripped Wall Street, dragging the Nasdaq down 2.4% and causing panic that the AI trade was cooling off. However, Micron completely shattered those fears by reporting that its revenue more than quadrupled, sending its stock up over 16% premarket. When you combine this week's recent fear-driven plunge in tech with Micron's blockbuster proof that AI demand is actually accelerating, it sets up a classic relief rally. The companies that were unfairly punished in the panic—like AI server makers Super Micro and Nvidia—are primed to bounce back sharply as investor confidence returns.

Performance

No trade count, win rate, or realized P&L figures are provided in this public preview. The thesis and shared rules do not establish a performance record.

What this public preview can establish

  • The dated rule snapshot above shows the conditions evaluated at that time. It does not prove a current trigger or executed trade.
  • Technical strategy fields are shared above. Inspect the actual conditions and check when they were evaluated before relying on them.
  • No trade count, win rate, or P&L figure is published in this preview. It cannot establish a performance record.

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