Loading…
Public trading strategy

Google loses top AI brains and investors are fleeing — fade the weakness on Alph

Created

Thesis

Google is losing its top talent to rival AI startups, and the market is reacting by dumping billions out of the stock. When tech giants start losing the very engineers building their future, it shakes investor confidence and can lead to sustained selling pressure. Additionally, there is a growing fear across the tech sector that companies are spending too much money on AI without seeing immediate profits. This negative sentiment could easily drag Google and other mega-cap tech stocks lower in the near term.

Strategy approach

Build a rule-based strategy that enters short GOOGL on 1D when price < 10-day EMA and MACD histogram < 0. Exit on a 4% stop loss or a 10-day max hold. Apply similar logic to AMZN if it confirms weakness.

Markets and timeframes

Entry and exit at a glance

These are the named rules in the shared configuration. Review the full conditions below before using a strategy.

  • Entry: EMA/MACD Crossover Short (GOOGL@1d) (4 conditions)
  • Entry: EMA/MACD Crossover Short (AMZN@1d) (4 conditions)
  • Exit: SL: Below Support[1] (GOOGL@1d) (1 condition)
  • Exit: SL: Below Support[1] (AMZN@1d) (1 condition)
  • Exit: TP: Near Resistance[2] (GOOGL@1d) (1 condition)
  • Exit: TP: Near Resistance[2] (AMZN@1d) (1 condition)
  • Exit: Stop Loss at 4.0% (1 condition)
  • Exit: Take Profit at 4.0% (1 condition)

Shared strategy rules

Rule configuration

{
  "data_dependencies": [
    {
      "symbol": "GOOGL",
      "timeframe": "1d"
    },
    {
      "symbol": "AMZN",
      "timeframe": "1d"
    }
  ],
  "entry_rules": [
    {
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "less_than",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "GOOGL",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "ema",
              "period": 10
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "GOOGL",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "histogram",
            "indicator": {
              "fast": 12,
              "name": "macd",
              "signal": 9,
              "slow": 26
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "less_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 0
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "crossed_below",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "GOOGL",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "ema",
              "period": 10
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "crossed_below",
          "right": {
            "rank": 1,
            "type": "resistance_level"
          }
        }
      ],
      "direction": "short",
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "entry_1_googl",
      "name": "EMA/MACD Crossover Short (GOOGL@1d)",
      "priority": 1,
      "trade_symbol": "GOOGL"
    },
    {
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "less_than",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "AMZN",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "ema",
              "period": 10
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "AMZN",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "histogram",
            "indicator": {
              "fast": 12,
              "name": "macd",
              "signal": 9,
              "slow": 26
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "less_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 0
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "crossed_below",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "AMZN",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "ema",
              "period": 10
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "crossed_below",
          "right": {
            "rank": 1,
            "type": "resistance_level"
          }
        }
      ],
      "direction": "short",
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "entry_1_amzn",
      "name": "EMA/MACD Crossover Short (AMZN@1d)",
      "priority": 2,
      "trade_symbol": "AMZN"
    }
  ],
  "exit_rules": [
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "less_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "rank": 1,
            "type": "support_level"
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_1_googl",
      "name": "SL: Below Support[1] (GOOGL@1d)",
      "priority": 97,
      "purpose": "take_profit",
      "target_symbol": "GOOGL"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "less_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "rank": 1,
            "type": "support_level"
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_1_amzn",
      "name": "SL: Below Support[1] (AMZN@1d)",
      "priority": 98,
      "purpose": "take_profit",
      "target_symbol": "AMZN"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "rank": 2,
            "type": "resistance_level"
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_2_googl",
      "name": "TP: Near Resistance[2] (GOOGL@1d)",
      "priority": 100,
      "purpose": "stop_loss",
      "target_symbol": "GOOGL"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "rank": 2,
            "type": "resistance_level"
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_2_amzn",
      "name": "TP: Near Resistance[2] (AMZN@1d)",
      "priority": 101,
      "purpose": "stop_loss",
      "target_symbol": "AMZN"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
            "type": "position"
          },
          "operator": "less_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": -4
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_3",
      "name": "Stop Loss at 4.0%",
      "priority": 100,
      "purpose": "stop_loss"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
            "type": "position"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 4
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_4",
      "name": "Take Profit at 4.0%",
      "priority": 100,
      "purpose": "take_profit"
    }
  ],
  "position_sizing": {
    "max_position_percent": 25,
    "method": {
      "resistance_stop_rank": 2,
      "risk_percent": 2,
      "type": "fixed_risk"
    },
    "min_position_value": 100
  },
  "trigger_timeframe": "1d",
  "version": 1
}

Indicator configuration

{
  "indicators": [
    {
      "name": "ema",
      "period": 10
    },
    {
      "fast": 12,
      "name": "macd",
      "signal": 9,
      "slow": 26
    },
    {
      "name": "ema",
      "period": 10
    },
    {
      "fast": 12,
      "name": "macd",
      "signal": 9,
      "slow": 26
    }
  ]
}

Parsed strategy

{
  "data_dependencies": [
    {
      "symbol": "GOOGL",
      "timeframe": "1d"
    },
    {
      "symbol": "AMZN",
      "timeframe": "1d"
    }
  ],
  "entry_rules": [
    {
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "less_than",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "GOOGL",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "ema",
              "period": 10
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "GOOGL",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "histogram",
            "indicator": {
              "fast": 12,
              "name": "macd",
              "signal": 9,
              "slow": 26
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "less_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 0
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "crossed_below",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "GOOGL",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "ema",
              "period": 10
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "crossed_below",
          "right": {
            "rank": 1,
            "type": "resistance_level"
          }
        }
      ],
      "direction": "short",
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "entry_1_googl",
      "name": "EMA/MACD Crossover Short (GOOGL@1d)",
      "priority": 1,
      "trade_symbol": "GOOGL"
    },
    {
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "less_than",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "AMZN",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "ema",
              "period": 10
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "AMZN",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "histogram",
            "indicator": {
              "fast": 12,
              "name": "macd",
              "signal": 9,
              "slow": 26
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "less_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 0
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "crossed_below",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "AMZN",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "ema",
              "period": 10
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "crossed_below",
          "right": {
            "rank": 1,
            "type": "resistance_level"
          }
        }
      ],
      "direction": "short",
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "entry_1_amzn",
      "name": "EMA/MACD Crossover Short (AMZN@1d)",
      "priority": 2,
      "trade_symbol": "AMZN"
    }
  ],
  "exit_rules": [
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "less_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "rank": 1,
            "type": "support_level"
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_1_googl",
      "name": "SL: Below Support[1] (GOOGL@1d)",
      "priority": 97,
      "purpose": "take_profit",
      "target_symbol": "GOOGL"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "less_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "rank": 1,
            "type": "support_level"
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_1_amzn",
      "name": "SL: Below Support[1] (AMZN@1d)",
      "priority": 98,
      "purpose": "take_profit",
      "target_symbol": "AMZN"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "rank": 2,
            "type": "resistance_level"
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_2_googl",
      "name": "TP: Near Resistance[2] (GOOGL@1d)",
      "priority": 100,
      "purpose": "stop_loss",
      "target_symbol": "GOOGL"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "rank": 2,
            "type": "resistance_level"
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_2_amzn",
      "name": "TP: Near Resistance[2] (AMZN@1d)",
      "priority": 101,
      "purpose": "stop_loss",
      "target_symbol": "AMZN"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
            "type": "position"
          },
          "operator": "less_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": -4
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_3",
      "name": "Stop Loss at 4.0%",
      "priority": 100,
      "purpose": "stop_loss"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
            "type": "position"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 4
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_4",
      "name": "Take Profit at 4.0%",
      "priority": 100,
      "purpose": "take_profit"
    }
  ],
  "position_sizing": {
    "max_position_percent": 25,
    "method": {
      "resistance_stop_rank": 2,
      "risk_percent": 2,
      "type": "fixed_risk"
    },
    "min_position_value": 100
  },
  "trigger_timeframe": "1d",
  "version": 1
}

Strategy instructions

Trading agent generated from recommendation idea 'Google loses top AI brains and investors are fleeing — fade the weakness on Alphabet and Amazon'. Thesis: Google is losing its top talent to rival AI startups, and the market is reacting by dumping billions out of the stock. When tech giants start losing the very engineers building their future, it shakes investor confidence and can lead to sustained selling pressure. Additionally, there is a growing fear across the tech sector that companies are spending too much money on AI without seeing immediate profits. This negative sentiment could easily drag Google and other mega-cap tech stocks lower in the near term.

Performance

No trade count, win rate, or realized P&L figures are provided in this public preview. The thesis and shared rules do not establish a performance record.

What this public preview can establish

  • The thesis and strategy approach describe a market view. They do not show whether an entry or exit condition is currently met.
  • Technical strategy fields are shared above. Inspect the actual conditions and check when they were evaluated before relying on them.
  • No trade count, win rate, or P&L figure is published in this preview. It cannot establish a performance record.

Explore

How CommonQuant researches and tests strategies · Public paper-trading record and its limits · Discover public strategies