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Public trading strategy

SpaceX IPO is massively oversubscribed — ride the hype into satellite and space

Created

Thesis

A mega-IPO like SpaceX generates immense media attention and draws fresh retail capital into the market. Even though SpaceX is fully allocated, retail investors who want a piece of the space and AI action will immediately buy the closest available alternatives. Space suppliers and infrastructure companies offer backdoor exposure to this secular trend. This spillover demand will likely drive up share prices of established defense and space contractors in the days surrounding the IPO.

Strategy approach

Build an event-driven momentum strategy on LUNR, RKLB, and BA on the Daily timeframe. Enter a long position if the stock closes up more than 3% on volume 150% higher than the 20-day average in the 3 days surrounding a major space IPO event. Exit after a 7-day hold or use a 5% trailing stop.

Markets and timeframes

Entry and exit at a glance

These are the named rules in the shared configuration. Review the full conditions below before using a strategy.

  • Entry: ROC/OBV/SMA Signal Long (BA@1d) (3 conditions)
  • Exit: Take Profit at 5.0% (2 conditions)
  • Exit: Take Profit at 10.0% (1 condition)
  • Exit: Stop Loss at 5.0% (1 condition)

Shared strategy rules

Rule configuration

{
  "data_dependencies": [
    {
      "symbol": "BA",
      "timeframe": "1d"
    }
  ],
  "entry_rules": [
    {
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "BA",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "roc",
              "period": 1
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 3
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "BA",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "obv"
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "BA",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "sma",
              "period": 20
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "BA",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "obv"
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "BA",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "sma",
              "period": 20
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          }
        }
      ],
      "direction": "long",
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "entry_1",
      "name": "ROC/OBV/SMA Signal Long (BA@1d)",
      "priority": 1
    }
  ],
  "exit_rules": [
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
            "type": "position"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 5
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
            "type": "position"
          },
          "operator": {
            "decreasing": {
              "periods": 2
            }
          },
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 0
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_1",
      "name": "Take Profit at 5.0%",
      "priority": 10,
      "purpose": "trailing_stop"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
            "type": "position"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 10
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_2",
      "name": "Take Profit at 10.0%",
      "priority": 11,
      "purpose": "take_profit"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
            "type": "position"
          },
          "operator": "less_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": -5
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_3",
      "name": "Stop Loss at 5.0%",
      "priority": 10,
      "purpose": "stop_loss"
    }
  ],
  "position_sizing": {
    "max_position_percent": 25,
    "method": {
      "risk_percent": 2,
      "stop_loss_percent": 5,
      "type": "fixed_risk"
    },
    "min_position_value": 100
  },
  "trigger_timeframe": "1d",
  "version": 1
}

Indicator configuration

{
  "indicators": [
    {
      "name": "roc",
      "period": 1
    },
    {
      "name": "obv"
    },
    {
      "name": "sma",
      "period": 20
    }
  ]
}

Parsed strategy

{
  "data_dependencies": [
    {
      "symbol": "BA",
      "timeframe": "1d"
    }
  ],
  "entry_rules": [
    {
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "BA",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "roc",
              "period": 1
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 3
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "BA",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "obv"
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "BA",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "sma",
              "period": 20
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "BA",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "obv"
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "BA",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "sma",
              "period": 20
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          }
        }
      ],
      "direction": "long",
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "entry_1",
      "name": "ROC/OBV/SMA Signal Long (BA@1d)",
      "priority": 1
    }
  ],
  "exit_rules": [
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
            "type": "position"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 5
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
            "type": "position"
          },
          "operator": {
            "decreasing": {
              "periods": 2
            }
          },
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 0
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_1",
      "name": "Take Profit at 5.0%",
      "priority": 10,
      "purpose": "trailing_stop"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
            "type": "position"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 10
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_2",
      "name": "Take Profit at 10.0%",
      "priority": 11,
      "purpose": "take_profit"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
            "type": "position"
          },
          "operator": "less_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": -5
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_3",
      "name": "Stop Loss at 5.0%",
      "priority": 10,
      "purpose": "stop_loss"
    }
  ],
  "position_sizing": {
    "max_position_percent": 25,
    "method": {
      "risk_percent": 2,
      "stop_loss_percent": 5,
      "type": "fixed_risk"
    },
    "min_position_value": 100
  },
  "trigger_timeframe": "1d",
  "version": 1
}

Strategy instructions

Trading agent generated from recommendation idea 'SpaceX IPO is massively oversubscribed — ride the hype into satellite and space stocks'. Thesis: A mega-IPO like SpaceX generates immense media attention and draws fresh retail capital into the market. Even though SpaceX is fully allocated, retail investors who want a piece of the space and AI action will immediately buy the closest available alternatives. Space suppliers and infrastructure companies offer backdoor exposure to this secular trend. This spillover demand will likely drive up share prices of established defense and space contractors in the days surrounding the IPO.

Performance

No trade count, win rate, or realized P&L figures are provided in this public preview. The thesis and shared rules do not establish a performance record.

What this public preview can establish

  • The thesis and strategy approach describe a market view. They do not show whether an entry or exit condition is currently met.
  • Technical strategy fields are shared above. Inspect the actual conditions and check when they were evaluated before relying on them.
  • No trade count, win rate, or P&L figure is published in this preview. It cannot establish a performance record.

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