Public trading strategy
DHI Confirmed Breakdown Short (Trend Following) Strategy
Created
Thesis
With the standard US mortgage now costing 7.45% — the highest since April 2024 — affordability for ordinary buyers is deteriorating fast, and new-home demand is the first casualty. Wealth manager Barry Ritholtz argues rising yields are not a blip but a 'return to normal' driven by persistent tariff and energy inflation, so relief for mortgage rates is unlikely soon. Homebuilders like D.R. Horton, Lennar and PulteGroup live or die on mortgage affordability, and their stock prices tend to lag the rate move rather than lead it. Shorting the builders offers a cleaner way to express this than shorting bonds themselves, where the already-published trades sit.
Strategy approach
With the standard US mortgage now costing 7.45% — the highest since April 2024 — affordability for ordinary buyers is deteriorating fast, and new-home demand is the first casualty. Wealth manager Barry Ritholtz argues rising yields are not a blip but a 'return to normal' driven by persistent tariff and energy inflation, so relief for mortgage rates is unlikely soon. Homebuilders like D.R. Horton, Lennar and PulteGroup live or die on mortgage affordability, and their stock prices tend to lag the rate move rather than lead it. Shorting the builders offers a cleaner way to express this than shorting bonds themselves, where the already-published trades sit. Decision analysis profile: value. Required dimensions: valuation_method, valuation_sensitivity, business_economics, cash_quality,…
Markets and timeframes
Latest published rule evaluation
Evaluated . This is a dated rule snapshot, not a live price or trade execution confirmation.
DHI · 1d
4 of 8 published entry conditions marked met.
- Price below EMA (50) — met
- MACD (12,26,9) below MACD (12,26,9) — met
- ADX (14) above 20 — far
- RSI (14) below 45 — far
- Price below EMA (50) — met
- MACD (12,26,9) below MACD (12,26,9) — met
- ADX (14) above 20 — far
- RSI (14) below 45 — far
- Price above EMA (50) — near
- RSI (14) above 55 — near
LEN · 1d
6 of 8 published entry conditions marked met.
- Price below EMA (50) — met
- MACD (12,26,9) below MACD (12,26,9) — met
- ADX (14) above 20 — met
- RSI (14) below 45 — far
- Price below EMA (50) — met
- MACD (12,26,9) below MACD (12,26,9) — met
- ADX (14) above 20 — met
- RSI (14) below 45 — far
- Price above EMA (50) — near
- RSI (14) above 55 — met
PHM · 1d
6 of 8 published entry conditions marked met.
- Price below EMA (50) — met
- MACD (12,26,9) below MACD (12,26,9) — met
- ADX (14) above 20 — met
- RSI (14) below 45 — far
- Price below EMA (50) — met
- MACD (12,26,9) below MACD (12,26,9) — met
- ADX (14) above 20 — met
- RSI (14) below 45 — far
- Price above EMA (50) — near
- RSI (14) above 55 — far
Entry and exit at a glance
These are the named rules in the shared configuration. Review the full conditions below before using a strategy.
- Entry: EMA/MACD/ADX/RSI Signal Long (DHI@1d) (4 conditions)
- Entry: EMA/MACD/ADX/RSI Signal Long (LEN@1d) (4 conditions)
- Entry: EMA/MACD/ADX/RSI Signal Long (PHM@1d) (4 conditions)
- Entry: EMA/MACD/ADX/RSI Signal Long (DHI@1d) (4 conditions)
- Entry: EMA/MACD/ADX/RSI Signal Long (LEN@1d) (4 conditions)
- Entry: EMA/MACD/ADX/RSI Signal Long (PHM@1d) (4 conditions)
- Entry: Crossover Long (DHI@1d) (1 condition)
- Entry: Crossover Long (LEN@1d) (1 condition)
- Entry: Crossover Long (PHM@1d) (1 condition)
- Exit: Position Exit Rule (DHI@1d) (3 conditions)
- Exit: Position Exit Rule (LEN@1d) (3 conditions)
- Exit: Position Exit Rule (PHM@1d) (3 conditions)
- Exit: SL: Below Support[2] (DHI@1d) (1 condition)
- Exit: SL: Below Support[2] (LEN@1d) (1 condition)
- Exit: SL: Below Support[2] (PHM@1d) (1 condition)
- Exit: SL: Fib Retracement 23.6% (DHI@1d) (2 conditions)
- Exit: SL: Fib Retracement 23.6% (LEN@1d) (2 conditions)
- Exit: SL: Fib Retracement 23.6% (PHM@1d) (2 conditions)
- Exit: Stop Loss at 2.4% (1 condition)
- Exit: Take Profit at 4.9% (1 condition)
Shared strategy rules
Rule configuration
{
"data_dependencies": [
{
"symbol": "STOCK:DHI",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
{
"symbol": "STOCK:LEN",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
{
"symbol": "STOCK:PHM",
"timeframe": "1d"
}
],
"entry_rules": [
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:DHI",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:DHI",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "ema",
"period": 50
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:DHI",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "line",
"indicator": {
"fast": 12,
"name": "macd",
"signal": 9,
"slow": 26
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:DHI",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "signal",
"indicator": {
"fast": 12,
"name": "macd",
"signal": 9,
"slow": 26
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:DHI",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "adx",
"indicator": {
"name": "adx",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 20
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:DHI",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 45
}
}
],
"direction": "long",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_1_dhi",
"name": "EMA/MACD/ADX/RSI Signal Long (DHI@1d)",
"priority": 1,
"trade_symbol": "STOCK:DHI"
},
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:LEN",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:LEN",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "ema",
"period": 50
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:LEN",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "line",
"indicator": {
"fast": 12,
"name": "macd",
"signal": 9,
"slow": 26
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:LEN",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "signal",
"indicator": {
"fast": 12,
"name": "macd",
"signal": 9,
"slow": 26
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:LEN",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "adx",
"indicator": {
"name": "adx",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 20
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:LEN",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 45
}
}
],
"direction": "long",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_1_len",
"name": "EMA/MACD/ADX/RSI Signal Long (LEN@1d)",
"priority": 2,
"trade_symbol": "STOCK:LEN"
},
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:PHM",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:PHM",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "ema",
"period": 50
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:PHM",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "line",
"indicator": {
"fast": 12,
"name": "macd",
"signal": 9,
"slow": 26
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:PHM",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "signal",
"indicator": {
"fast": 12,
"name": "macd",
"signal": 9,
"slow": 26
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:PHM",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "adx",
"indicator": {
"name": "adx",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 20
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:PHM",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 45
}
}
],
"direction": "long",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_1_phm",
"name": "EMA/MACD/ADX/RSI Signal Long (PHM@1d)",
"priority": 3,
"trade_symbol": "STOCK:PHM"
},
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:DHI",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:DHI",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "ema",
"period": 50
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:DHI",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "line",
"indicator": {
"fast": 12,
"name": "macd",
"signal": 9,
"slow": 26
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:DHI",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "signal",
"indicator": {
"fast": 12,
"name": "macd",
"signal": 9,
"slow": 26
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:DHI",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "adx",
"indicator": {
"name": "adx",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 20
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:DHI",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 45
}
}
],
"direction": "long",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_2_dhi",
"name": "EMA/MACD/ADX/RSI Signal Long (DHI@1d)",
"priority": 2,
"trade_symbol": "STOCK:DHI"
},
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:LEN",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:LEN",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "ema",
"period": 50
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:LEN",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "line",
"indicator": {
"fast": 12,
"name": "macd",
"signal": 9,
"slow": 26
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:LEN",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "signal",
"indicator": {
"fast": 12,
"name": "macd",
"signal": 9,
"slow": 26
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:LEN",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "adx",
"indicator": {
"name": "adx",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 20
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:LEN",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 45
}
}
],
"direction": "long",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_2_len",
"name": "EMA/MACD/ADX/RSI Signal Long (LEN@1d)",
"priority": 3,
"trade_symbol": "STOCK:LEN"
},
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:PHM",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:PHM",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "ema",
"period": 50
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:PHM",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "line",
"indicator": {
"fast": 12,
"name": "macd",
"signal": 9,
"slow": 26
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:PHM",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "signal",
"indicator": {
"fast": 12,
"name": "macd",
"signal": 9,
"slow": 26
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:PHM",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "adx",
"indicator": {
"name": "adx",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 20
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:PHM",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 45
}
}
],
"direction": "long",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_2_phm",
"name": "EMA/MACD/ADX/RSI Signal Long (PHM@1d)",
"priority": 4,
"trade_symbol": "STOCK:PHM"
},
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:DHI",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "crossed_below",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "support_level"
}
}
],
"direction": "long",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_3_dhi",
"name": "Crossover Long (DHI@1d)",
"priority": 2,
"trade_symbol": "STOCK:DHI"
},
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:LEN",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "crossed_below",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "support_level"
}
}
],
"direction": "long",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_3_len",
"name": "Crossover Long (LEN@1d)",
"priority": 3,
"trade_symbol": "STOCK:LEN"
},
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:PHM",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "crossed_below",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "support_level"
}
}
],
"direction": "long",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_3_phm",
"name": "Crossover Long (PHM@1d)",
"priority": 4,
"trade_symbol": "STOCK:PHM"
}
],
"exit_rules": [
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:DHI",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:DHI",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "ema",
"period": 50
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:DHI",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 55
}
},
{
"left": {
"field": "holding_period_bars",
"type": "position"
},
"operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 120
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_1_dhi",
"name": "Position Exit Rule (DHI@1d)",
"priority": 1,
"purpose": "signal",
"target_symbol": "STOCK:DHI"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:LEN",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:LEN",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "ema",
"period": 50
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:LEN",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 55
}
},
{
"left": {
"field": "holding_period_bars",
"type": "position"
},
"operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 120
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_1_len",
"name": "Position Exit Rule (LEN@1d)",
"priority": 2,
"purpose": "signal",
"target_symbol": "STOCK:LEN"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:PHM",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:PHM",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "ema",
"period": 50
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:PHM",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 55
}
},
{
"left": {
"field": "holding_period_bars",
"type": "position"
},
"operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 120
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_1_phm",
"name": "Position Exit Rule (PHM@1d)",
"priority": 3,
"purpose": "signal",
"target_symbol": "STOCK:PHM"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:DHI",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"rank": 2,
"type": "support_level"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_2_dhi",
"name": "SL: Below Support[2] (DHI@1d)",
"priority": 96,
"purpose": "take_profit",
"target_symbol": "STOCK:DHI"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:LEN",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"rank": 2,
"type": "support_level"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_2_len",
"name": "SL: Below Support[2] (LEN@1d)",
"priority": 97,
"purpose": "take_profit",
"target_symbol": "STOCK:LEN"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:PHM",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"rank": 2,
"type": "support_level"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_2_phm",
"name": "SL: Below Support[2] (PHM@1d)",
"priority": 98,
"purpose": "take_profit",
"target_symbol": "STOCK:PHM"
},
{
"applies_to": "short",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:DHI",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:DHI",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"ratio": 236,
"type": "fibonacci_retracement"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:DHI",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "crossed_below",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "resistance_level"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_3_dhi",
"name": "SL: Fib Retracement 23.6% (DHI@1d)",
"priority": 100,
"purpose": "stop_loss",
"target_symbol": "STOCK:DHI"
},
{
"applies_to": "short",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:LEN",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:LEN",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"ratio": 236,
"type": "fibonacci_retracement"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:LEN",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "crossed_below",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "resistance_level"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_3_len",
"name": "SL: Fib Retracement 23.6% (LEN@1d)",
"priority": 101,
"purpose": "stop_loss",
"target_symbol": "STOCK:LEN"
},
{
"applies_to": "short",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:PHM",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:PHM",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"ratio": 236,
"type": "fibonacci_retracement"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:PHM",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "crossed_below",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "resistance_level"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_3_phm",
"name": "SL: Fib Retracement 23.6% (PHM@1d)",
"priority": 102,
"purpose": "stop_loss",
"target_symbol": "STOCK:PHM"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
"type": "position"
},
"operator": "less_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": -2.4333333333333336
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_4",
"name": "Stop Loss at 2.4%",
"priority": 100,
"purpose": "stop_loss"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
"type": "position"
},
"operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 4.866666666666667
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_5",
"name": "Take Profit at 4.9%",
"priority": 100,
"purpose": "take_profit"
}
],
"position_sizing": {
"max_position_percent": 25,
"method": {
"fib_stop_ratio": 236,
"risk_percent": 2.4333333333333336,
"type": "fixed_risk"
},
"min_position_value": 100
},
"trigger_timeframe": "1d",
"version": 1
}Indicator configuration
{
"indicators": [
{
"name": "ema",
"period": 50
},
{
"fast": 12,
"name": "macd",
"signal": 9,
"slow": 26
},
{
"name": "adx",
"period": 14
},
{
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
},
{
"name": "ema",
"period": 50
},
{
"fast": 12,
"name": "macd",
"signal": 9,
"slow": 26
},
{
"name": "adx",
"period": 14
},
{
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
},
{
"name": "ema",
"period": 50
},
{
"fast": 12,
"name": "macd",
"signal": 9,
"slow": 26
},
{
"name": "adx",
"period": 14
},
{
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
}
]
}Parsed strategy
{
"data_dependencies": [
{
"symbol": "STOCK:DHI",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
{
"symbol": "STOCK:LEN",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
{
"symbol": "STOCK:PHM",
"timeframe": "1d"
}
],
"entry_rules": [
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:DHI",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:DHI",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "ema",
"period": 50
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:DHI",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "line",
"indicator": {
"fast": 12,
"name": "macd",
"signal": 9,
"slow": 26
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:DHI",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "signal",
"indicator": {
"fast": 12,
"name": "macd",
"signal": 9,
"slow": 26
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:DHI",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "adx",
"indicator": {
"name": "adx",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 20
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:DHI",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 45
}
}
],
"direction": "long",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_1_dhi",
"name": "EMA/MACD/ADX/RSI Signal Long (DHI@1d)",
"priority": 1,
"trade_symbol": "STOCK:DHI"
},
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:LEN",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:LEN",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "ema",
"period": 50
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:LEN",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "line",
"indicator": {
"fast": 12,
"name": "macd",
"signal": 9,
"slow": 26
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:LEN",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "signal",
"indicator": {
"fast": 12,
"name": "macd",
"signal": 9,
"slow": 26
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:LEN",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "adx",
"indicator": {
"name": "adx",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 20
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:LEN",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 45
}
}
],
"direction": "long",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_1_len",
"name": "EMA/MACD/ADX/RSI Signal Long (LEN@1d)",
"priority": 2,
"trade_symbol": "STOCK:LEN"
},
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:PHM",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:PHM",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "ema",
"period": 50
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:PHM",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "line",
"indicator": {
"fast": 12,
"name": "macd",
"signal": 9,
"slow": 26
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:PHM",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "signal",
"indicator": {
"fast": 12,
"name": "macd",
"signal": 9,
"slow": 26
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:PHM",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "adx",
"indicator": {
"name": "adx",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 20
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:PHM",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 45
}
}
],
"direction": "long",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_1_phm",
"name": "EMA/MACD/ADX/RSI Signal Long (PHM@1d)",
"priority": 3,
"trade_symbol": "STOCK:PHM"
},
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:DHI",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:DHI",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "ema",
"period": 50
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:DHI",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "line",
"indicator": {
"fast": 12,
"name": "macd",
"signal": 9,
"slow": 26
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:DHI",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "signal",
"indicator": {
"fast": 12,
"name": "macd",
"signal": 9,
"slow": 26
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:DHI",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "adx",
"indicator": {
"name": "adx",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 20
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:DHI",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 45
}
}
],
"direction": "long",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_2_dhi",
"name": "EMA/MACD/ADX/RSI Signal Long (DHI@1d)",
"priority": 2,
"trade_symbol": "STOCK:DHI"
},
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:LEN",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:LEN",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "ema",
"period": 50
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:LEN",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "line",
"indicator": {
"fast": 12,
"name": "macd",
"signal": 9,
"slow": 26
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:LEN",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "signal",
"indicator": {
"fast": 12,
"name": "macd",
"signal": 9,
"slow": 26
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:LEN",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "adx",
"indicator": {
"name": "adx",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 20
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:LEN",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 45
}
}
],
"direction": "long",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_2_len",
"name": "EMA/MACD/ADX/RSI Signal Long (LEN@1d)",
"priority": 3,
"trade_symbol": "STOCK:LEN"
},
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:PHM",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:PHM",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "ema",
"period": 50
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:PHM",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "line",
"indicator": {
"fast": 12,
"name": "macd",
"signal": 9,
"slow": 26
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:PHM",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "signal",
"indicator": {
"fast": 12,
"name": "macd",
"signal": 9,
"slow": 26
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:PHM",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "adx",
"indicator": {
"name": "adx",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 20
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:PHM",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 45
}
}
],
"direction": "long",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_2_phm",
"name": "EMA/MACD/ADX/RSI Signal Long (PHM@1d)",
"priority": 4,
"trade_symbol": "STOCK:PHM"
},
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:DHI",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "crossed_below",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "support_level"
}
}
],
"direction": "long",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_3_dhi",
"name": "Crossover Long (DHI@1d)",
"priority": 2,
"trade_symbol": "STOCK:DHI"
},
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:LEN",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "crossed_below",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "support_level"
}
}
],
"direction": "long",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_3_len",
"name": "Crossover Long (LEN@1d)",
"priority": 3,
"trade_symbol": "STOCK:LEN"
},
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:PHM",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "crossed_below",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "support_level"
}
}
],
"direction": "long",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_3_phm",
"name": "Crossover Long (PHM@1d)",
"priority": 4,
"trade_symbol": "STOCK:PHM"
}
],
"exit_rules": [
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:DHI",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:DHI",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "ema",
"period": 50
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:DHI",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 55
}
},
{
"left": {
"field": "holding_period_bars",
"type": "position"
},
"operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 120
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_1_dhi",
"name": "Position Exit Rule (DHI@1d)",
"priority": 1,
"purpose": "signal",
"target_symbol": "STOCK:DHI"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:LEN",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:LEN",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "ema",
"period": 50
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:LEN",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 55
}
},
{
"left": {
"field": "holding_period_bars",
"type": "position"
},
"operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 120
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_1_len",
"name": "Position Exit Rule (LEN@1d)",
"priority": 2,
"purpose": "signal",
"target_symbol": "STOCK:LEN"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:PHM",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:PHM",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "ema",
"period": 50
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:PHM",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 55
}
},
{
"left": {
"field": "holding_period_bars",
"type": "position"
},
"operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 120
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_1_phm",
"name": "Position Exit Rule (PHM@1d)",
"priority": 3,
"purpose": "signal",
"target_symbol": "STOCK:PHM"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:DHI",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"rank": 2,
"type": "support_level"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_2_dhi",
"name": "SL: Below Support[2] (DHI@1d)",
"priority": 96,
"purpose": "take_profit",
"target_symbol": "STOCK:DHI"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:LEN",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"rank": 2,
"type": "support_level"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_2_len",
"name": "SL: Below Support[2] (LEN@1d)",
"priority": 97,
"purpose": "take_profit",
"target_symbol": "STOCK:LEN"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:PHM",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"rank": 2,
"type": "support_level"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_2_phm",
"name": "SL: Below Support[2] (PHM@1d)",
"priority": 98,
"purpose": "take_profit",
"target_symbol": "STOCK:PHM"
},
{
"applies_to": "short",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:DHI",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:DHI",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"ratio": 236,
"type": "fibonacci_retracement"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:DHI",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "crossed_below",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "resistance_level"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_3_dhi",
"name": "SL: Fib Retracement 23.6% (DHI@1d)",
"priority": 100,
"purpose": "stop_loss",
"target_symbol": "STOCK:DHI"
},
{
"applies_to": "short",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:LEN",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:LEN",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"ratio": 236,
"type": "fibonacci_retracement"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:LEN",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "crossed_below",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "resistance_level"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_3_len",
"name": "SL: Fib Retracement 23.6% (LEN@1d)",
"priority": 101,
"purpose": "stop_loss",
"target_symbol": "STOCK:LEN"
},
{
"applies_to": "short",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:PHM",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:PHM",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"ratio": 236,
"type": "fibonacci_retracement"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:PHM",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "crossed_below",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "resistance_level"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_3_phm",
"name": "SL: Fib Retracement 23.6% (PHM@1d)",
"priority": 102,
"purpose": "stop_loss",
"target_symbol": "STOCK:PHM"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
"type": "position"
},
"operator": "less_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": -2.4333333333333336
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_4",
"name": "Stop Loss at 2.4%",
"priority": 100,
"purpose": "stop_loss"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
"type": "position"
},
"operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 4.866666666666667
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_5",
"name": "Take Profit at 4.9%",
"priority": 100,
"purpose": "take_profit"
}
],
"position_sizing": {
"max_position_percent": 25,
"method": {
"fib_stop_ratio": 236,
"risk_percent": 2.4333333333333336,
"type": "fixed_risk"
},
"min_position_value": 100
},
"trigger_timeframe": "1d",
"version": 1
}Strategy instructions
Trading agent generated from recommendation idea 'With the standard US mortgage now costing 7.45% — the highest since April 2024 — affordability for ordinary buyers is deteriorating fast, and new-home demand is the first casualty. Wealth manager Barry Ritholtz argues rising yields are not a blip but a 'r'. Thesis: With the standard US mortgage now costing 7.45% — the highest since April 2024 — affordability for ordinary buyers is deteriorating fast, and new-home demand is the first casualty. Wealth manager Barry Ritholtz argues rising yields are not a blip but a 'return to normal' driven by persistent tariff and energy inflation, so relief for mortgage rates is unlikely soon. Homebuilders like D.R. Horton, Lennar and PulteGroup live or die on mortgage affordability, and their stock prices tend to lag the rate move rather than lead it. Shorting the builders offers a cleaner way to express this than shorting bonds themselves, where the already-published trades sit.
Performance
No trade count, win rate, or realized P&L figures are provided in this public preview. The thesis and shared rules do not establish a performance record.
What this public preview can establish
- The dated rule snapshot above shows the conditions evaluated at that time. It does not prove a current trigger or executed trade.
- Technical strategy fields are shared above. Inspect the actual conditions and check when they were evaluated before relying on them.
- No trade count, win rate, or P&L figure is published in this preview. It cannot establish a performance record.
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