Public trading strategy
When discretionary and lifestyle brands like Peloton, Six Flags, and Celsius all
Created
Thesis
When discretionary and lifestyle brands like Peloton, Six Flags, and Celsius all post disappointing results at the same time, it tells us shoppers are cutting back on non-essentials. That weakness lines up with a dramatic slowdown in hiring — the July jobs number was less than half of the prior month — meaning fewer paychecks are chasing these optional purchases. As budget pressure builds, these companies are likely to keep losing customers and missing growth targets, which should push their share prices even lower.
Markets and timeframes
Latest published rule evaluation
Evaluated . This is a dated rule snapshot, not a live price or trade execution confirmation.
CELH · 1d
3 of 4 published entry conditions marked met.
- Price below SMA (20) — met
- Price below SMA (50) — met
- EMA (9) crossed below EMA (21) — near
- RSI (14) below 40 — met
- MACD (12,26,9) above MACD (12,26,9) — met
- RSI (14) below 45 — met
- Price at or above SMA (20) — far
FUN · 1d
3 of 4 published entry conditions marked met.
- Price below SMA (20) — met
- Price below SMA (50) — met
- EMA (9) crossed below EMA (21) — near
- RSI (14) below 40 — met
- MACD (12,26,9) above MACD (12,26,9) — met
- RSI (14) below 45 — met
- Price at or above SMA (20) — far
PTON · 1d
3 of 4 published entry conditions marked met.
- Price below SMA (20) — met
- Price below SMA (50) — met
- EMA (9) crossed below EMA (21) — near
- RSI (14) below 40 — met
- MACD (12,26,9) above MACD (12,26,9) — met
- RSI (14) below 45 — met
- Price at or above SMA (20) — far
Entry and exit at a glance
These are the named rules in the shared configuration. Review the full conditions below before using a strategy.
- Entry: Confirmed Lower-High Short (PTON@1d) (5 conditions)
- Entry: Confirmed Lower-High Short (FUN@1d) (5 conditions)
- Entry: Confirmed Lower-High Short (CELH@1d) (5 conditions)
- Exit: Bullish MACD Divergence Cover (PTON@1d) (3 conditions)
- Exit: Bullish MACD Divergence Cover (FUN@1d) (3 conditions)
- Exit: Bullish MACD Divergence Cover (CELH@1d) (3 conditions)
- Exit: TP: Next Major Support (PTON@1d) (1 condition)
- Exit: TP: Next Major Support (FUN@1d) (1 condition)
- Exit: TP: Next Major Support (CELH@1d) (1 condition)
- Exit: Invalidation: Reclaims 20-DMA (PTON@1d) (1 condition)
- Exit: Invalidation: Reclaims 20-DMA (FUN@1d) (1 condition)
- Exit: Invalidation: Reclaims 20-DMA (CELH@1d) (1 condition)
- Exit: SL: Above Resistance[1] (PTON@1d) (1 condition)
- Exit: SL: Above Resistance[1] (FUN@1d) (1 condition)
- Exit: SL: Above Resistance[1] (CELH@1d) (1 condition)
- Exit: Stop Loss at 2.8% (1 condition)
- Exit: Take Profit at 5.7% (1 condition)
Shared strategy rules
Rule configuration
{
"data_dependencies": [
{
"symbol": "STOCK:PTON",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
{
"symbol": "STOCK:FUN",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
{
"symbol": "STOCK:CELH",
"timeframe": "1d"
}
],
"entry_rules": [
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:PTON",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:PTON",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "sma",
"period": 20
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:PTON",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:PTON",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "sma",
"period": 50
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:PTON",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "ema",
"period": 9
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "crossed_below",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:PTON",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "ema",
"period": 21
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:PTON",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 40
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:PTON",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "crossed_below",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "support_level"
}
}
],
"direction": "short",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_1_pton",
"name": "Confirmed Lower-High Short (PTON@1d)",
"priority": 1,
"trade_symbol": "STOCK:PTON"
},
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:FUN",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:FUN",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "sma",
"period": 20
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:FUN",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:FUN",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "sma",
"period": 50
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:FUN",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "ema",
"period": 9
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "crossed_below",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:FUN",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "ema",
"period": 21
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:FUN",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 40
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:FUN",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "crossed_below",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "support_level"
}
}
],
"direction": "short",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_1_fun",
"name": "Confirmed Lower-High Short (FUN@1d)",
"priority": 2,
"trade_symbol": "STOCK:FUN"
},
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:CELH",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:CELH",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "sma",
"period": 20
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:CELH",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:CELH",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "sma",
"period": 50
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:CELH",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "ema",
"period": 9
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "crossed_below",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:CELH",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "ema",
"period": 21
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:CELH",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 40
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:CELH",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "crossed_below",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "support_level"
}
}
],
"direction": "short",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_1_celh",
"name": "Confirmed Lower-High Short (CELH@1d)",
"priority": 3,
"trade_symbol": "STOCK:CELH"
}
],
"exit_rules": [
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:PTON",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "line",
"indicator": {
"fast": 12,
"name": "macd",
"signal": 9,
"slow": 26
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:PTON",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "signal",
"indicator": {
"fast": 12,
"name": "macd",
"signal": 9,
"slow": 26
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:PTON",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 45
}
},
{
"left": {
"field": "holding_period_bars",
"type": "position"
},
"operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 45
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_1_pton",
"name": "Bullish MACD Divergence Cover (PTON@1d)",
"priority": 1,
"purpose": "signal",
"target_symbol": "STOCK:PTON"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:FUN",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "line",
"indicator": {
"fast": 12,
"name": "macd",
"signal": 9,
"slow": 26
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:FUN",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "signal",
"indicator": {
"fast": 12,
"name": "macd",
"signal": 9,
"slow": 26
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:FUN",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 45
}
},
{
"left": {
"field": "holding_period_bars",
"type": "position"
},
"operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 45
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_1_fun",
"name": "Bullish MACD Divergence Cover (FUN@1d)",
"priority": 2,
"purpose": "signal",
"target_symbol": "STOCK:FUN"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:CELH",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "line",
"indicator": {
"fast": 12,
"name": "macd",
"signal": 9,
"slow": 26
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:CELH",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "signal",
"indicator": {
"fast": 12,
"name": "macd",
"signal": 9,
"slow": 26
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:CELH",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 45
}
},
{
"left": {
"field": "holding_period_bars",
"type": "position"
},
"operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 45
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_1_celh",
"name": "Bullish MACD Divergence Cover (CELH@1d)",
"priority": 3,
"purpose": "signal",
"target_symbol": "STOCK:CELH"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:PTON",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"rank": 2,
"type": "support_level"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_2_pton",
"name": "TP: Next Major Support (PTON@1d)",
"priority": 95,
"purpose": "take_profit",
"target_symbol": "STOCK:PTON"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:FUN",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"rank": 2,
"type": "support_level"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_2_fun",
"name": "TP: Next Major Support (FUN@1d)",
"priority": 96,
"purpose": "take_profit",
"target_symbol": "STOCK:FUN"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:CELH",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"rank": 2,
"type": "support_level"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_2_celh",
"name": "TP: Next Major Support (CELH@1d)",
"priority": 97,
"purpose": "take_profit",
"target_symbol": "STOCK:CELH"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:PTON",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:PTON",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "sma",
"period": 20
},
"type": "indicator"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_3_pton",
"name": "Invalidation: Reclaims 20-DMA (PTON@1d)",
"priority": 96,
"purpose": "stop_loss",
"target_symbol": "STOCK:PTON"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:FUN",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:FUN",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "sma",
"period": 20
},
"type": "indicator"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_3_fun",
"name": "Invalidation: Reclaims 20-DMA (FUN@1d)",
"priority": 97,
"purpose": "stop_loss",
"target_symbol": "STOCK:FUN"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:CELH",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:CELH",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "sma",
"period": 20
},
"type": "indicator"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_3_celh",
"name": "Invalidation: Reclaims 20-DMA (CELH@1d)",
"priority": 98,
"purpose": "stop_loss",
"target_symbol": "STOCK:CELH"
},
{
"applies_to": "short",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:PTON",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "resistance_level"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_4_pton",
"name": "SL: Above Resistance[1] (PTON@1d)",
"priority": 100,
"purpose": "stop_loss",
"target_symbol": "STOCK:PTON"
},
{
"applies_to": "short",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:FUN",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "resistance_level"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_4_fun",
"name": "SL: Above Resistance[1] (FUN@1d)",
"priority": 101,
"purpose": "stop_loss",
"target_symbol": "STOCK:FUN"
},
{
"applies_to": "short",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:CELH",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "resistance_level"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_4_celh",
"name": "SL: Above Resistance[1] (CELH@1d)",
"priority": 102,
"purpose": "stop_loss",
"target_symbol": "STOCK:CELH"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
"type": "position"
},
"operator": "less_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": -2.825
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_5",
"name": "Stop Loss at 2.8%",
"priority": 100,
"purpose": "stop_loss"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
"type": "position"
},
"operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 5.65
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_6",
"name": "Take Profit at 5.7%",
"priority": 100,
"purpose": "take_profit"
}
],
"position_sizing": {
"max_position_percent": 25,
"method": {
"resistance_stop_rank": 1,
"risk_percent": 2.825,
"type": "fixed_risk"
},
"min_position_value": 100
},
"trigger_timeframe": "1d",
"version": 1
}Indicator configuration
{
"indicators": [
{
"name": "sma",
"period": 20
},
{
"name": "sma",
"period": 50
},
{
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
},
{
"name": "ema",
"period": 9
},
{
"name": "ema",
"period": 21
},
{
"fast": 12,
"name": "macd",
"signal": 9,
"slow": 26
},
{
"name": "sma",
"period": 20
},
{
"name": "sma",
"period": 50
},
{
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
},
{
"name": "ema",
"period": 9
},
{
"name": "ema",
"period": 21
},
{
"fast": 12,
"name": "macd",
"signal": 9,
"slow": 26
},
{
"name": "sma",
"period": 20
},
{
"name": "sma",
"period": 50
},
{
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
},
{
"name": "ema",
"period": 9
},
{
"name": "ema",
"period": 21
},
{
"fast": 12,
"name": "macd",
"signal": 9,
"slow": 26
}
]
}Parsed strategy
{
"data_dependencies": [
{
"symbol": "STOCK:PTON",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
{
"symbol": "STOCK:FUN",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
{
"symbol": "STOCK:CELH",
"timeframe": "1d"
}
],
"entry_rules": [
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:PTON",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:PTON",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "sma",
"period": 20
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:PTON",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:PTON",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "sma",
"period": 50
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:PTON",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "ema",
"period": 9
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "crossed_below",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:PTON",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "ema",
"period": 21
},
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},
{
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{
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],
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{
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{
"left": {
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],
"enabled": true,
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},
{
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{
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],
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"name": "Take Profit at 5.7%",
"priority": 100,
"purpose": "take_profit"
}
],
"position_sizing": {
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"method": {
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"risk_percent": 2.825,
"type": "fixed_risk"
},
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},
"trigger_timeframe": "1d",
"version": 1
}Strategy instructions
Trading agent generated from recommendation idea 'When discretionary and lifestyle brands like Peloton, Six Flags, and Celsius all post disappointing results at the same time, it tells us shoppers are cutting back on non-essentials. That weakness lines up with a dramatic slowdown in hiring — the July job'. Thesis: When discretionary and lifestyle brands like Peloton, Six Flags, and Celsius all post disappointing results at the same time, it tells us shoppers are cutting back on non-essentials. That weakness lines up with a dramatic slowdown in hiring — the July jobs number was less than half of the prior month — meaning fewer paychecks are chasing these optional purchases. As budget pressure builds, these companies are likely to keep losing customers and missing growth targets, which should push their share prices even lower.
Performance
No trade count, win rate, or realized P&L figures are provided in this public preview. The thesis and shared rules do not establish a performance record.
What this public preview can establish
- The dated rule snapshot above shows the conditions evaluated at that time. It does not prove a current trigger or executed trade.
- Technical strategy fields are shared above. Inspect the actual conditions and check when they were evaluated before relying on them.
- No trade count, win rate, or P&L figure is published in this preview. It cannot establish a performance record.
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