Tesla crushes delivery numbers while chip stocks tank — buy the memory stock dip
Created
Thesis
Tesla just reported a blowout 480,126 deliveries for Q2, shattering even the most bullish Wall Street estimates and signaling that consumer appetite for advanced technology products remains voracious. Yet on the exact same day, memory and semiconductor stocks like SanDisk, Seagate, and Micron were heavily sold off due to 'supply-glut fears,' dragging the Nasdaq lower. This creates a striking divergence: demand for end-products that rely heavily on chips is booming, while the companies supplying those essential components are plunging. When end-demand proves this strong, supply-glut fears tend to be overblown and short-lived, setting up a sharp recovery bounce for the semiconductor stocks that were indiscriminately dumped.
Strategy approach
Build a mean-reversion strategy that enters long MU on D1 when the stock drops more than 3.5% in a single session while TSLA closes up more than 3% on the same day (demand divergence). Require MU's 14-day RSI to be below 40. Exit on a 3% gain or a 5% loss, with a maximum hold of 10 trading days.
Markets and timeframes
Latest published rule evaluation
Evaluated . This is a dated rule snapshot, not a live price or trade execution confirmation.
MU · 1d
1 of 3 published entry conditions marked met.
- Momentum (1) below -3.5 — met
- Momentum (1) above 3 — far
- RSI (14) below 40 — far
TSLA · 1d
0 of 3 published entry conditions marked met.
- Momentum (1) below -3.5 — far
- Momentum (1) above 3 — far
- RSI (14) below 40 — far
Entry and exit at a glance
These are the named rules in the shared configuration. Review the full conditions below before using a strategy.
- Entry: Demand Divergence Long (MU@1d, TSLA@1d) (3 conditions)
- Exit: Take Profit at 3.0% (1 condition)
- Exit: Stop Loss at 5.0% (1 condition)
- Exit: Time Stop 10 Bars (1 condition)
Shared strategy rules
Rule configuration
{
"data_dependencies": [
{
"symbol": "STOCK:MU",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
{
"symbol": "STOCK:TSLA",
"timeframe": "1d"
}
],
"entry_rules": [
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:MU",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "momentum",
"period": 1
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": -3.5
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:TSLA",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "momentum",
"period": 1
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 3
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:MU",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 40
}
}
],
"direction": "long",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_1",
"name": "Demand Divergence Long (MU@1d, TSLA@1d)",
"priority": 1,
"trade_symbol": "STOCK:MU"
}
],
"exit_rules": [
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
"type": "position"
},
"operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 3
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_1",
"name": "Take Profit at 3.0%",
"priority": 100,
"purpose": "take_profit"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
"type": "position"
},
"operator": "less_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": -5
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_2",
"name": "Stop Loss at 5.0%",
"priority": 100,
"purpose": "stop_loss"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "holding_period_bars",
"type": "position"
},
"operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 10
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_3",
"name": "Time Stop 10 Bars",
"priority": 99,
"purpose": "invalidation"
}
],
"position_sizing": {
"max_position_percent": 25,
"method": {
"risk_percent": 2.5247,
"stop_loss_percent": 5,
"type": "fixed_risk"
},
"min_position_value": 100
},
"trigger_timeframe": "1d",
"version": 1
}Indicator configuration
{
"indicators": [
{
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
},
{
"name": "momentum",
"period": 1
}
]
}Parsed strategy
{
"data_dependencies": [
{
"symbol": "STOCK:MU",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
{
"symbol": "STOCK:TSLA",
"timeframe": "1d"
}
],
"entry_rules": [
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:MU",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "momentum",
"period": 1
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": -3.5
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:TSLA",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "momentum",
"period": 1
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 3
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:MU",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 40
}
}
],
"direction": "long",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_1",
"name": "Demand Divergence Long (MU@1d, TSLA@1d)",
"priority": 1,
"trade_symbol": "STOCK:MU"
}
],
"exit_rules": [
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
"type": "position"
},
"operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 3
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_1",
"name": "Take Profit at 3.0%",
"priority": 100,
"purpose": "take_profit"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
"type": "position"
},
"operator": "less_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": -5
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_2",
"name": "Stop Loss at 5.0%",
"priority": 100,
"purpose": "stop_loss"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "holding_period_bars",
"type": "position"
},
"operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 10
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_3",
"name": "Time Stop 10 Bars",
"priority": 99,
"purpose": "invalidation"
}
],
"position_sizing": {
"max_position_percent": 25,
"method": {
"risk_percent": 2.5247,
"stop_loss_percent": 5,
"type": "fixed_risk"
},
"min_position_value": 100
},
"trigger_timeframe": "1d",
"version": 1
}Strategy instructions
Trading agent generated from recommendation idea 'Tesla crushes delivery numbers while chip stocks tank — buy the memory stock dip'. Thesis: Tesla just reported a blowout 480,126 deliveries for Q2, shattering even the most bullish Wall Street estimates and signaling that consumer appetite for advanced technology products remains voracious. Yet on the exact same day, memory and semiconductor stocks like SanDisk, Seagate, and Micron were heavily sold off due to 'supply-glut fears,' dragging the Nasdaq lower. This creates a striking divergence: demand for end-products that rely heavily on chips is booming, while the companies supplying those essential components are plunging. When end-demand proves this strong, supply-glut fears tend to be overblown and short-lived, setting up a sharp recovery bounce for the semiconductor stocks that were indiscriminately dumped.
Performance
No trade count, win rate, or realized P&L figures are provided in this public preview. The thesis and shared rules do not establish a performance record.
What this public preview can establish
- The dated rule snapshot above shows the conditions evaluated at that time. It does not prove a current trigger or executed trade.
- Technical strategy fields are shared above. Inspect the actual conditions and check when they were evaluated before relying on them.
- No trade count, win rate, or P&L figure is published in this preview. It cannot establish a performance record.
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