Public trading strategy
Gold catches a dual bid from cooling inflation and war-time safe-haven demand —
Created
Thesis
Gold is caught between two massive forces, and both are pushing it higher. On one side, cooling inflation increases the odds of Federal Reserve interest-rate cuts, which typically boost gold prices by lowering the opportunity cost of holding it. On the other side, the military conflict between the U.S. and Iran is causing fewer ships to travel through the Strait of Hormuz, increasing global uncertainty and driving investors toward safe-haven assets. Together, these dual tailwinds create a strong macroeconomic environment for a sustained gold rally.
Strategy approach
Build a rule-based strategy that enters long GLD on D1 when the 14-day ATR is expanding (current ATR > 20-day average of ATR) and the fund is trending above its 50-day moving average. Exit when the price closes below the 50-day moving average or after a 21-day max hold.
Markets and timeframes
Latest published rule evaluation
Evaluated . This is a dated rule snapshot, not a live price or trade execution confirmation.
GDX · 1d
No entry condition values were published.
- Price below -2 — far
GLD · 1d
4 of 9 published entry conditions marked met.
- RSI (14) below 50 — far
- Price above SMA (50) — near
- RSI (14) above 40 — met
- Williams %R (14) above -80 — met
- Williams %R (14) above 1 — far
- RSI (14) below 50 — far
- Price above SMA (50) — near
- RSI (14) above 40 — met
- Williams %R (14) above -80 — met
- Price below -2 — far
NEM · 1d
4 of 9 published entry conditions marked met.
- RSI (14) below 50 — far
- Price above SMA (50) — far
- RSI (14) above 40 — met
- Williams %R (14) above -80 — met
- Williams %R (14) above 1 — far
- RSI (14) below 50 — far
- Price above SMA (50) — far
- RSI (14) above 40 — met
- Williams %R (14) above -80 — met
- Price below -2 — far
Entry and exit at a glance
These are the named rules in the shared configuration. Review the full conditions below before using a strategy.
- Entry: RSI/SMA/ATR/WILLIAMSR Signal Long (GLD@1d) (8 conditions)
- Entry: RSI/SMA/ATR/WILLIAMSR Signal Long (NEM@1d) (8 conditions)
- Entry: RSI/SMA/ATR/WILLIAMSR Signal Long (GLD@1d) (5 conditions)
- Entry: RSI/SMA/ATR/WILLIAMSR Signal Long (NEM@1d) (5 conditions)
- Entry: Long Entry Signal (GLD@1d) (2 conditions)
- Entry: Long Entry Signal (NEM@1d) (2 conditions)
- Exit: Position Exit Rule (GLD@1d) (1 condition)
- Exit: TP: Fib Extension 127.2% (GLD@1d) (1 condition)
- Exit: TP: Fib Extension 127.2% (NEM@1d) (1 condition)
- Exit: SL: Fib Retracement 78.6% (GLD@1d) (1 condition)
- Exit: SL: Fib Retracement 78.6% (NEM@1d) (1 condition)
- Exit: Stop Loss at 2.3% (1 condition)
- Exit: Take Profit at 4.7% (1 condition)
- Exit: Thesis time stop after 60 days (1 condition)
Shared strategy rules
Rule configuration
{
"data_dependencies": [
{
"symbol": "STOCK:GLD",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
{
"symbol": "STOCK:NEM",
"timeframe": "1d"
}
],
"entry_rules": [
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:GLD",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 50
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:GLD",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:GLD",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "sma",
"period": 50
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:GLD",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "atr",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:GLD",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "atr",
"period": 20
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:GLD",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 40
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:GLD",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "williams_r",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": -80
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:GLD",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "low",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "support_level"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:GLD",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "support_level"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:GLD",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "williams_r",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 1
}
}
],
"direction": "long",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_1_gld",
"name": "RSI/SMA/ATR/WILLIAMSR Signal Long (GLD@1d)",
"priority": 1,
"trade_symbol": "STOCK:GLD"
},
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:NEM",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 50
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:NEM",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:NEM",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "sma",
"period": 50
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:NEM",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "atr",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:NEM",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "atr",
"period": 20
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:NEM",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 40
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:NEM",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "williams_r",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": -80
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:NEM",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "low",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "support_level"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:NEM",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "support_level"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:NEM",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "williams_r",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 1
}
}
],
"direction": "long",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_1_nem",
"name": "RSI/SMA/ATR/WILLIAMSR Signal Long (NEM@1d)",
"priority": 2,
"trade_symbol": "STOCK:NEM"
},
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:GLD",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 50
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:GLD",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:GLD",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "sma",
"period": 50
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:GLD",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "atr",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:GLD",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "atr",
"period": 20
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:GLD",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 40
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:GLD",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "williams_r",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": -80
}
}
],
"direction": "long",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_2_gld",
"name": "RSI/SMA/ATR/WILLIAMSR Signal Long (GLD@1d)",
"priority": 2,
"trade_symbol": "STOCK:GLD"
},
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:NEM",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 50
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:NEM",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:NEM",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "sma",
"period": 50
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:NEM",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "atr",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:NEM",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "atr",
"period": 20
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:NEM",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 40
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:NEM",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "williams_r",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": -80
}
}
],
"direction": "long",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_2_nem",
"name": "RSI/SMA/ATR/WILLIAMSR Signal Long (NEM@1d)",
"priority": 3,
"trade_symbol": "STOCK:NEM"
},
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:GLD",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "low",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "support_level"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:GLD",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "support_level"
}
}
],
"direction": "long",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_3_gld",
"name": "Long Entry Signal (GLD@1d)",
"priority": 2,
"trade_symbol": "STOCK:GLD"
},
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:NEM",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "low",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "support_level"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:NEM",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "support_level"
}
}
],
"direction": "long",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_3_nem",
"name": "Long Entry Signal (NEM@1d)",
"priority": 3,
"trade_symbol": "STOCK:NEM"
}
],
"exit_rules": [
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:GLD",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": -2
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_1",
"name": "Position Exit Rule (GLD@1d)",
"priority": 1,
"purpose": "signal"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:GLD",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:GLD",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"ratio": 1272,
"type": "fibonacci_extension"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_2_gld",
"name": "TP: Fib Extension 127.2% (GLD@1d)",
"priority": 96,
"purpose": "take_profit",
"target_symbol": "STOCK:GLD"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:NEM",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:NEM",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"ratio": 1272,
"type": "fibonacci_extension"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_2_nem",
"name": "TP: Fib Extension 127.2% (NEM@1d)",
"priority": 97,
"purpose": "take_profit",
"target_symbol": "STOCK:NEM"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:GLD",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:GLD",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"ratio": 786,
"type": "fibonacci_retracement"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_3_gld",
"name": "SL: Fib Retracement 78.6% (GLD@1d)",
"priority": 100,
"purpose": "stop_loss",
"target_symbol": "STOCK:GLD"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:NEM",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:NEM",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"ratio": 786,
"type": "fibonacci_retracement"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_3_nem",
"name": "SL: Fib Retracement 78.6% (NEM@1d)",
"priority": 101,
"purpose": "stop_loss",
"target_symbol": "STOCK:NEM"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
"type": "position"
},
"operator": "less_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": -2.344222222222222
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_4",
"name": "Stop Loss at 2.3%",
"priority": 100,
"purpose": "stop_loss"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
"type": "position"
},
"operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 4.688444444444444
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_5",
"name": "Take Profit at 4.7%",
"priority": 100,
"purpose": "take_profit"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "holding_period_bars",
"type": "position"
},
"operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 60
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "advanced_analysis_time_stop",
"name": "Thesis time stop after 60 days",
"priority": 102,
"purpose": "signal"
}
],
"position_sizing": {
"max_position_percent": 25,
"method": {
"fib_stop_ratio": 786,
"risk_percent": 2.344222222222222,
"type": "fixed_risk"
},
"min_position_value": 100
},
"trigger_timeframe": "1d",
"version": 1
}Indicator configuration
{
"indicators": [
{
"name": "sma",
"period": 50
},
{
"name": "sma",
"period": 20
},
{
"name": "atr",
"period": 14
},
{
"name": "atr",
"period": 20
},
{
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
},
{
"name": "williams_r",
"period": 14
},
{
"name": "williams_r",
"period": 14
},
{
"name": "sma",
"period": 50
},
{
"name": "sma",
"period": 20
},
{
"name": "atr",
"period": 14
},
{
"name": "atr",
"period": 20
},
{
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
},
{
"name": "williams_r",
"period": 14
},
{
"name": "williams_r",
"period": 14
}
]
}Parsed strategy
{
"data_dependencies": [
{
"symbol": "STOCK:GLD",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
{
"symbol": "STOCK:NEM",
"timeframe": "1d"
}
],
"entry_rules": [
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:GLD",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 50
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:GLD",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:GLD",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "sma",
"period": 50
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:GLD",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "atr",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:GLD",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "atr",
"period": 20
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:GLD",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 40
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:GLD",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "williams_r",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": -80
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:GLD",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "low",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "support_level"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:GLD",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
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}Strategy instructions
Trading agent generated from recommendation idea 'Gold catches a dual bid from cooling inflation and war-time safe-haven demand — long gold miners'. Thesis: Gold is caught between two massive forces, and both are pushing it higher. On one side, cooling inflation increases the odds of Federal Reserve interest-rate cuts, which typically boost gold prices by lowering the opportunity cost of holding it. On the other side, the military conflict between the U.S. and Iran is causing fewer ships to travel through the Strait of Hormuz, increasing global uncertainty and driving investors toward safe-haven assets. Together, these dual tailwinds create a strong macroeconomic environment for a sustained gold rally.
Performance
No trade count, win rate, or realized P&L figures are provided in this public preview. The thesis and shared rules do not establish a performance record.
What this public preview can establish
- The dated rule snapshot above shows the conditions evaluated at that time. It does not prove a current trigger or executed trade.
- Technical strategy fields are shared above. Inspect the actual conditions and check when they were evaluated before relying on them.
- No trade count, win rate, or P&L figure is published in this preview. It cannot establish a performance record.
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