Public trading strategy
ECB hikes rates to fight Iran war inflation — short the Euro against a resilient
Created
Thesis
The European Central Bank just raised interest rates to combat inflation driven by the Iran war. While higher rates usually strengthen a currency, the Eurozone economy is highly sensitive to energy prices and is much more fragile than the U.S. economy right now. If the Federal Reserve signals it might also hike rates next week, the U.S. dollar will likely crush the Euro as global capital seeks the safest, highest return.
Strategy approach
Build a rule-based strategy that enters short EURUSD on the daily (D1) timeframe. Entry: EURUSD is below the 50-day EMA, and the 14-day RSI crosses below 55. Exit: A 2.5% profit target is reached, or a 1.5% stop loss is triggered. Max hold of 12 days.
Markets and timeframes
EURD
Entry and exit at a glance
These are the named rules in the shared configuration. Review the full conditions below before using a strategy.
- Entry: EMA/RSI Crossover Short (EUR@1d) (2 conditions)
- Exit: Stop Loss at 1.5% (1 condition)
- Exit: Take Profit at 2.5% (1 condition)
- Exit: Take Profit at 12.0% (1 condition)
Shared strategy rules
Rule configuration
{
"data_dependencies": [
{
"symbol": "EUR",
"timeframe": "1d"
}
],
"entry_rules": [
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "EUR",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "ema",
"period": 50
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "EUR",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "crossed_below",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 55
}
}
],
"direction": "short",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_1",
"name": "EMA/RSI Crossover Short (EUR@1d)",
"priority": 1
}
],
"exit_rules": [
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
"type": "position"
},
"operator": "less_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": -1.5
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_1",
"name": "Stop Loss at 1.5%",
"priority": 10,
"purpose": "stop_loss"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
"type": "position"
},
"operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 2.5
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_2",
"name": "Take Profit at 2.5%",
"priority": 11,
"purpose": "take_profit"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
"type": "position"
},
"operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 12
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_3",
"name": "Take Profit at 12.0%",
"priority": 1,
"purpose": "take_profit"
}
],
"position_sizing": {
"max_position_percent": 25,
"method": {
"risk_percent": 2,
"stop_loss_percent": 1.5,
"type": "fixed_risk"
},
"min_position_value": 100
},
"trigger_timeframe": "1d",
"version": 1
}Indicator configuration
{
"indicators": [
{
"name": "ema",
"period": 50
},
{
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
}
]
}Parsed strategy
{
"data_dependencies": [
{
"symbol": "EUR",
"timeframe": "1d"
}
],
"entry_rules": [
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "EUR",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "ema",
"period": 50
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "EUR",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "crossed_below",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 55
}
}
],
"direction": "short",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_1",
"name": "EMA/RSI Crossover Short (EUR@1d)",
"priority": 1
}
],
"exit_rules": [
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
"type": "position"
},
"operator": "less_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": -1.5
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_1",
"name": "Stop Loss at 1.5%",
"priority": 10,
"purpose": "stop_loss"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
"type": "position"
},
"operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 2.5
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_2",
"name": "Take Profit at 2.5%",
"priority": 11,
"purpose": "take_profit"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
"type": "position"
},
"operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 12
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_3",
"name": "Take Profit at 12.0%",
"priority": 1,
"purpose": "take_profit"
}
],
"position_sizing": {
"max_position_percent": 25,
"method": {
"risk_percent": 2,
"stop_loss_percent": 1.5,
"type": "fixed_risk"
},
"min_position_value": 100
},
"trigger_timeframe": "1d",
"version": 1
}Strategy instructions
Trading agent generated from recommendation idea 'ECB hikes rates to fight Iran war inflation — short the Euro against a resilient US Dollar'. Thesis: The European Central Bank just raised interest rates to combat inflation driven by the Iran war. While higher rates usually strengthen a currency, the Eurozone economy is highly sensitive to energy prices and is much more fragile than the U.S. economy right now. If the Federal Reserve signals it might also hike rates next week, the U.S. dollar will likely crush the Euro as global capital seeks the safest, highest return.
Performance
No trade count, win rate, or realized P&L figures are provided in this public preview. The thesis and shared rules do not establish a performance record.
What this public preview can establish
- The thesis and strategy approach describe a market view. They do not show whether an entry or exit condition is currently met.
- Technical strategy fields are shared above. Inspect the actual conditions and check when they were evaluated before relying on them.
- No trade count, win rate, or P&L figure is published in this preview. It cannot establish a performance record.
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