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Public trading strategy

Chip stocks bounce on a scary market day — the bottom might be in

Created

Thesis

Chip stocks like AMD and Nvidia just had their biggest bounce in weeks after a brutal selloff wiped roughly $1 trillion off Nvidia's value alone. The fact that this rebound happened on the same day the broader market fell due to escalating Iran conflict and surging oil prices is especially telling — it suggests dip-buyers are stepping in aggressively despite the negative macro backdrop. When a sector goes up on bad market days, it usually means the selling pressure has been exhausted. Nvidia's valuation hitting a multiyear low while revenue keeps setting records further supports the idea that the selloff went too far, too fast.

Strategy approach

Build a rule-based strategy that enters long SMH (VanEck Semiconductor ETF) on D1 when the ETF closes up >3% from the prior day after a 15%+ drawdown over the prior 20 trading days. Exit on a 2% trailing stop loss from the entry close, or after a 21-day max hold. Additionally, scale out 50% of the position if the ETF gains 8% from entry.

Markets and timeframes

Entry and exit at a glance

These are the named rules in the shared configuration. Review the full conditions below before using a strategy.

  • Entry: ROC/MOMENTUM/RSI Signal Long (AMD@1d) (5 conditions)
  • Entry: ROC/MOMENTUM/RSI Signal Long (NVDA@1d) (5 conditions)
  • Exit: Stop Loss at 2.0% (2 conditions)
  • Exit: Stop Loss at 2.0% (1 condition)
  • Exit: Take Profit at 8.0% (1 condition)
  • Exit: TP: Near Resistance[1] (AMD@1d) (1 condition)
  • Exit: TP: Near Resistance[1] (NVDA@1d) (1 condition)
  • Exit: SL: Below Support[1] (AMD@1d) (1 condition)
  • Exit: SL: Below Support[1] (NVDA@1d) (1 condition)

Shared strategy rules

Rule configuration

{
  "data_dependencies": [
    {
      "symbol": "AMD",
      "timeframe": "1d"
    },
    {
      "symbol": "NVDA",
      "timeframe": "1d"
    }
  ],
  "entry_rules": [
    {
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "AMD",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "roc",
              "period": 1
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 3
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "AMD",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "momentum",
              "period": 20
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "less_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": -15
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "AMD",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "rsi",
              "period": 14
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "less_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 40
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "low",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "less_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "rank": 1,
            "type": "support_level"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "rank": 1,
            "type": "support_level"
          }
        }
      ],
      "direction": "long",
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "entry_1_amd",
      "name": "ROC/MOMENTUM/RSI Signal Long (AMD@1d)",
      "priority": 1,
      "trade_symbol": "AMD"
    },
    {
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "NVDA",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "roc",
              "period": 1
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 3
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "NVDA",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "momentum",
              "period": 20
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "less_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": -15
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "NVDA",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "rsi",
              "period": 14
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "less_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 40
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "low",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "less_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "rank": 1,
            "type": "support_level"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "rank": 1,
            "type": "support_level"
          }
        }
      ],
      "direction": "long",
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "entry_1_nvda",
      "name": "ROC/MOMENTUM/RSI Signal Long (NVDA@1d)",
      "priority": 2,
      "trade_symbol": "NVDA"
    }
  ],
  "exit_rules": [
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
            "type": "position"
          },
          "operator": "less_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": -2
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
            "type": "position"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 21
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_1",
      "name": "Stop Loss at 2.0%",
      "priority": 1,
      "purpose": "signal"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
            "type": "position"
          },
          "operator": "less_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": -2
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_2",
      "name": "Stop Loss at 2.0%",
      "priority": 10,
      "purpose": "stop_loss"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
            "type": "position"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 8
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_3",
      "name": "Take Profit at 8.0%",
      "priority": 11,
      "purpose": "take_profit"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "long",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "rank": 1,
            "type": "resistance_level"
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_4_amd",
      "name": "TP: Near Resistance[1] (AMD@1d)",
      "priority": 97,
      "purpose": "take_profit",
      "target_symbol": "AMD"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "long",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "rank": 1,
            "type": "resistance_level"
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_4_nvda",
      "name": "TP: Near Resistance[1] (NVDA@1d)",
      "priority": 98,
      "purpose": "take_profit",
      "target_symbol": "NVDA"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "long",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "crossed_above",
          "right": {
            "rank": 1,
            "type": "support_level"
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_5_amd",
      "name": "SL: Below Support[1] (AMD@1d)",
      "priority": 100,
      "purpose": "stop_loss",
      "target_symbol": "AMD"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "long",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "crossed_above",
          "right": {
            "rank": 1,
            "type": "support_level"
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_5_nvda",
      "name": "SL: Below Support[1] (NVDA@1d)",
      "priority": 101,
      "purpose": "stop_loss",
      "target_symbol": "NVDA"
    }
  ],
  "position_sizing": {
    "max_position_percent": 25,
    "method": {
      "risk_percent": 2.5487,
      "support_stop_rank": 2,
      "type": "fixed_risk"
    },
    "min_position_value": 100
  },
  "trigger_timeframe": "1d",
  "version": 1
}

Indicator configuration

{
  "indicators": [
    {
      "name": "roc",
      "period": 1
    },
    {
      "name": "momentum",
      "period": 20
    },
    {
      "name": "rsi",
      "period": 14
    },
    {
      "name": "roc",
      "period": 1
    },
    {
      "name": "momentum",
      "period": 20
    },
    {
      "name": "rsi",
      "period": 14
    }
  ]
}

Parsed strategy

{
  "data_dependencies": [
    {
      "symbol": "AMD",
      "timeframe": "1d"
    },
    {
      "symbol": "NVDA",
      "timeframe": "1d"
    }
  ],
  "entry_rules": [
    {
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "AMD",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "roc",
              "period": 1
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 3
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "AMD",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "momentum",
              "period": 20
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "less_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": -15
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "AMD",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "rsi",
              "period": 14
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "less_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 40
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "low",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "less_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "rank": 1,
            "type": "support_level"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "rank": 1,
            "type": "support_level"
          }
        }
      ],
      "direction": "long",
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "entry_1_amd",
      "name": "ROC/MOMENTUM/RSI Signal Long (AMD@1d)",
      "priority": 1,
      "trade_symbol": "AMD"
    },
    {
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "NVDA",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "roc",
              "period": 1
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 3
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "NVDA",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "momentum",
              "period": 20
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "less_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": -15
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "NVDA",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "rsi",
              "period": 14
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "less_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 40
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "low",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "less_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "rank": 1,
            "type": "support_level"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "rank": 1,
            "type": "support_level"
          }
        }
      ],
      "direction": "long",
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "entry_1_nvda",
      "name": "ROC/MOMENTUM/RSI Signal Long (NVDA@1d)",
      "priority": 2,
      "trade_symbol": "NVDA"
    }
  ],
  "exit_rules": [
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
            "type": "position"
          },
          "operator": "less_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": -2
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
            "type": "position"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 21
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_1",
      "name": "Stop Loss at 2.0%",
      "priority": 1,
      "purpose": "signal"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
            "type": "position"
          },
          "operator": "less_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": -2
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_2",
      "name": "Stop Loss at 2.0%",
      "priority": 10,
      "purpose": "stop_loss"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
            "type": "position"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 8
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_3",
      "name": "Take Profit at 8.0%",
      "priority": 11,
      "purpose": "take_profit"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "long",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "rank": 1,
            "type": "resistance_level"
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_4_amd",
      "name": "TP: Near Resistance[1] (AMD@1d)",
      "priority": 97,
      "purpose": "take_profit",
      "target_symbol": "AMD"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "long",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "rank": 1,
            "type": "resistance_level"
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_4_nvda",
      "name": "TP: Near Resistance[1] (NVDA@1d)",
      "priority": 98,
      "purpose": "take_profit",
      "target_symbol": "NVDA"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "long",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "crossed_above",
          "right": {
            "rank": 1,
            "type": "support_level"
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_5_amd",
      "name": "SL: Below Support[1] (AMD@1d)",
      "priority": 100,
      "purpose": "stop_loss",
      "target_symbol": "AMD"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "long",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "crossed_above",
          "right": {
            "rank": 1,
            "type": "support_level"
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_5_nvda",
      "name": "SL: Below Support[1] (NVDA@1d)",
      "priority": 101,
      "purpose": "stop_loss",
      "target_symbol": "NVDA"
    }
  ],
  "position_sizing": {
    "max_position_percent": 25,
    "method": {
      "risk_percent": 2.5487,
      "support_stop_rank": 2,
      "type": "fixed_risk"
    },
    "min_position_value": 100
  },
  "trigger_timeframe": "1d",
  "version": 1
}

Strategy instructions

Trading agent generated from recommendation idea 'Chip stocks bounce on a scary market day — the bottom might be in'. Thesis: Chip stocks like AMD and Nvidia just had their biggest bounce in weeks after a brutal selloff wiped roughly $1 trillion off Nvidia's value alone. The fact that this rebound happened on the same day the broader market fell due to escalating Iran conflict and surging oil prices is especially telling — it suggests dip-buyers are stepping in aggressively despite the negative macro backdrop. When a sector goes up on bad market days, it usually means the selling pressure has been exhausted. Nvidia's valuation hitting a multiyear low while revenue keeps setting records further supports the idea that the selloff went too far, too fast.

Performance

No trade count, win rate, or realized P&L figures are provided in this public preview. The thesis and shared rules do not establish a performance record.

What this public preview can establish

  • The thesis and strategy approach describe a market view. They do not show whether an entry or exit condition is currently met.
  • Technical strategy fields are shared above. Inspect the actual conditions and check when they were evaluated before relying on them.
  • No trade count, win rate, or P&L figure is published in this preview. It cannot establish a performance record.

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