Public trading strategy
Chip stocks stumbled out of the Q3 gate after a record quarter — but Goldman say
Created
Thesis
Chip stocks had a historic Q2, adding $2 trillion in value as the AI boom broadened beyond Nvidia. But the very first day of Q3 saw a sharp reversal — Micron dropped 11%, wiping out $200 billion. The key question is whether this is the start of a real rollover or just profit-taking after a massive run. Goldman Sachs provides the bull case: they say we're seeing a generational, broad-based increase in capital spending that is underpinning the entire bull market. That means the AI infrastructure buildout — which directly fuels demand for memory and processors from companies like Micron and AMD — is still accelerating. When a powerful multi-quarter trend hits a sudden one-day air pocket, it often creates a buying opportunity for investors who missed the original move.
Strategy approach
Build a mean-reversion strategy that enters long MU when the stock drops >8% in a single session on no fundamental news (no earnings, no guidance change), with the entry on D1 close. Exit conditions: 8% profit target or 21-day max hold. Additional filter: only enter if SOX (Philadelphia Semiconductor Index) is above its 50-day moving average to confirm the broader semiconductor uptrend is intact.
Markets and timeframes
Latest published rule evaluation
Evaluated . This is a dated rule snapshot, not a live price or trade execution confirmation.
AMD · 1d
1 of 3 published entry conditions marked met.
- ROC (1) below -8 — far
- RSI (14) below 30 — far
- Price below Bollinger (20) — met
INTC · 1d
1 of 3 published entry conditions marked met.
- ROC (1) below -8 — far
- RSI (14) below 30 — far
- Price below Bollinger (20) — met
MU · 1d
No entry condition values were published.
Entry and exit at a glance
These are the named rules in the shared configuration. Review the full conditions below before using a strategy.
- Entry: Oversold ROC/RSI/BB Long (AMD@1d) (6 conditions)
- Entry: Oversold ROC/RSI/BB Long (INTC@1d) (6 conditions)
- Exit: TP: Near Resistance[1] (AMD@1d) (1 condition)
- Exit: TP: Near Resistance[1] (INTC@1d) (1 condition)
- Exit: SL: Below Support[1] (AMD@1d) (1 condition)
- Exit: SL: Below Support[1] (INTC@1d) (1 condition)
- Exit: Stop Loss at 2.4% (1 condition)
- Exit: Take Profit at 4.9% (1 condition)
Shared strategy rules
Rule configuration
{
"data_dependencies": [
{
"symbol": "AMD",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
{
"symbol": "INTC",
"timeframe": "1d"
}
],
"entry_rules": [
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "AMD",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "roc",
"period": 1
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": -8
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "AMD",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 30
}
},
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "AMD",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "lower",
"indicator": {
"name": "bollinger_bands",
"period": 20,
"std_dev": 2
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"field": "low",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "support_level"
}
},
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "support_level"
}
},
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "AMD",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"ratio": 500,
"type": "fibonacci_retracement"
}
}
],
"direction": "long",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_1_amd",
"name": "Oversold ROC/RSI/BB Long (AMD@1d)",
"priority": 1,
"trade_symbol": "AMD"
},
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "INTC",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "roc",
"period": 1
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": -8
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "INTC",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 30
}
},
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "INTC",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "lower",
"indicator": {
"name": "bollinger_bands",
"period": 20,
"std_dev": 2
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"field": "low",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "support_level"
}
},
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "support_level"
}
},
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "INTC",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"ratio": 500,
"type": "fibonacci_retracement"
}
}
],
"direction": "long",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_1_intc",
"name": "Oversold ROC/RSI/BB Long (INTC@1d)",
"priority": 2,
"trade_symbol": "INTC"
}
],
"exit_rules": [
{
"applies_to": "long",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "resistance_level"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_1_amd",
"name": "TP: Near Resistance[1] (AMD@1d)",
"priority": 97,
"purpose": "take_profit",
"target_symbol": "AMD"
},
{
"applies_to": "long",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "resistance_level"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_1_intc",
"name": "TP: Near Resistance[1] (INTC@1d)",
"priority": 98,
"purpose": "take_profit",
"target_symbol": "INTC"
},
{
"applies_to": "long",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "crossed_above",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "support_level"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_2_amd",
"name": "SL: Below Support[1] (AMD@1d)",
"priority": 100,
"purpose": "stop_loss",
"target_symbol": "AMD"
},
{
"applies_to": "long",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "crossed_above",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "support_level"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_2_intc",
"name": "SL: Below Support[1] (INTC@1d)",
"priority": 101,
"purpose": "stop_loss",
"target_symbol": "INTC"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
"type": "position"
},
"operator": "less_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": -2.4309333333333334
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_3",
"name": "Stop Loss at 2.4%",
"priority": 100,
"purpose": "stop_loss"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
"type": "position"
},
"operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 4.861866666666667
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_4",
"name": "Take Profit at 4.9%",
"priority": 100,
"purpose": "take_profit"
}
],
"position_sizing": {
"max_position_percent": 25,
"method": {
"fib_stop_ratio": 786,
"risk_percent": 2.4309333333333334,
"type": "fixed_risk"
},
"min_position_value": 100
},
"trigger_timeframe": "1d",
"version": 1
}Indicator configuration
{
"indicators": [
{
"name": "roc",
"period": 1
},
{
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
},
{
"name": "bollinger_bands",
"period": 20,
"std_dev": 2
},
{
"name": "roc",
"period": 1
},
{
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
},
{
"name": "bollinger_bands",
"period": 20,
"std_dev": 2
}
]
}Parsed strategy
{
"data_dependencies": [
{
"symbol": "AMD",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
{
"symbol": "INTC",
"timeframe": "1d"
}
],
"entry_rules": [
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "AMD",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "roc",
"period": 1
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": -8
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "AMD",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 30
}
},
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "AMD",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "lower",
"indicator": {
"name": "bollinger_bands",
"period": 20,
"std_dev": 2
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"field": "low",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "support_level"
}
},
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "support_level"
}
},
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "AMD",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"ratio": 500,
"type": "fibonacci_retracement"
}
}
],
"direction": "long",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_1_amd",
"name": "Oversold ROC/RSI/BB Long (AMD@1d)",
"priority": 1,
"trade_symbol": "AMD"
},
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "INTC",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "roc",
"period": 1
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": -8
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "INTC",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 30
}
},
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "INTC",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "lower",
"indicator": {
"name": "bollinger_bands",
"period": 20,
"std_dev": 2
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"field": "low",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "support_level"
}
},
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "support_level"
}
},
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "INTC",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"ratio": 500,
"type": "fibonacci_retracement"
}
}
],
"direction": "long",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_1_intc",
"name": "Oversold ROC/RSI/BB Long (INTC@1d)",
"priority": 2,
"trade_symbol": "INTC"
}
],
"exit_rules": [
{
"applies_to": "long",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "resistance_level"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_1_amd",
"name": "TP: Near Resistance[1] (AMD@1d)",
"priority": 97,
"purpose": "take_profit",
"target_symbol": "AMD"
},
{
"applies_to": "long",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "resistance_level"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_1_intc",
"name": "TP: Near Resistance[1] (INTC@1d)",
"priority": 98,
"purpose": "take_profit",
"target_symbol": "INTC"
},
{
"applies_to": "long",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "crossed_above",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "support_level"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_2_amd",
"name": "SL: Below Support[1] (AMD@1d)",
"priority": 100,
"purpose": "stop_loss",
"target_symbol": "AMD"
},
{
"applies_to": "long",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "crossed_above",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "support_level"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_2_intc",
"name": "SL: Below Support[1] (INTC@1d)",
"priority": 101,
"purpose": "stop_loss",
"target_symbol": "INTC"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
"type": "position"
},
"operator": "less_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": -2.4309333333333334
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_3",
"name": "Stop Loss at 2.4%",
"priority": 100,
"purpose": "stop_loss"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
"type": "position"
},
"operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 4.861866666666667
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_4",
"name": "Take Profit at 4.9%",
"priority": 100,
"purpose": "take_profit"
}
],
"position_sizing": {
"max_position_percent": 25,
"method": {
"fib_stop_ratio": 786,
"risk_percent": 2.4309333333333334,
"type": "fixed_risk"
},
"min_position_value": 100
},
"trigger_timeframe": "1d",
"version": 1
}Strategy instructions
Trading agent generated from recommendation idea 'Chip stocks stumbled out of the Q3 gate after a record quarter — but Goldman says capex is powering the bull — buy the dip on Micron'. Thesis: Chip stocks had a historic Q2, adding $2 trillion in value as the AI boom broadened beyond Nvidia. But the very first day of Q3 saw a sharp reversal — Micron dropped 11%, wiping out $200 billion. The key question is whether this is the start of a real rollover or just profit-taking after a massive run. Goldman Sachs provides the bull case: they say we're seeing a generational, broad-based increase in capital spending that is underpinning the entire bull market. That means the AI infrastructure buildout — which directly fuels demand for memory and processors from companies like Micron and AMD — is still accelerating. When a powerful multi-quarter trend hits a sudden one-day air pocket, it often creates a buying opportunity for investors who missed the original move.
Performance
No trade count, win rate, or realized P&L figures are provided in this public preview. The thesis and shared rules do not establish a performance record.
What this public preview can establish
- The dated rule snapshot above shows the conditions evaluated at that time. It does not prove a current trigger or executed trade.
- Technical strategy fields are shared above. Inspect the actual conditions and check when they were evaluated before relying on them.
- No trade count, win rate, or P&L figure is published in this preview. It cannot establish a performance record.
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