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Public trading strategy

Chevron's profit beat is driven by soaring refining margins — the spread between

Created

Thesis

Chevron's profit beat is driven by soaring refining margins — the spread between cheap raw oil and expensive finished fuel. That spread stays wide when refining capacity is tight, and the same supply squeeze dynamics are pushing copper higher as global stockpiles shrink. Falling oil prices are actually a tailwind for Chevron's refining margins because input costs drop while output prices stay sticky. The copper tightness adds a second leg: the same AI data center buildout supercharging energy demand is also pulling copper into the U.S. ahead of potential tariffs. When real assets get scarce, the producers lever the squeeze.

Markets and timeframes

Latest published rule evaluation

Evaluated . This is a dated rule snapshot, not a live price or trade execution confirmation.

CVX · 1d

0 of 6 published entry conditions marked met.

  • EMA (20) crossed above EMA (50) — near
  • MACD (12,26,9) crossed above MACD (12,26,9) — near
  • ADX (14) above 25 — far
  • EMA (20) crossed above EMA (50) — near
  • MACD (12,26,9) crossed above MACD (12,26,9) — near
  • ADX (14) above 25 — far

FCX · 1d

0 of 6 published entry conditions marked met.

  • EMA (20) crossed above EMA (50) — near
  • MACD (12,26,9) crossed above MACD (12,26,9) — near
  • ADX (14) above 25 — far
  • EMA (20) crossed above EMA (50) — near
  • MACD (12,26,9) crossed above MACD (12,26,9) — near
  • ADX (14) above 25 — far

Entry and exit at a glance

These are the named rules in the shared configuration. Review the full conditions below before using a strategy.

  • Entry: EMA/MACD/ADX Crossover Long (CVX@1d) (4 conditions)
  • Entry: EMA/MACD/ADX Crossover Long (FCX@1d) (4 conditions)
  • Entry: EMA/MACD/ADX Crossover Long (CVX@1d) (3 conditions)
  • Entry: EMA/MACD/ADX Crossover Long (FCX@1d) (3 conditions)
  • Entry: Long Entry Signal (CVX@1d) (2 conditions)
  • Entry: Long Entry Signal (FCX@1d) (2 conditions)
  • Exit: Position Exit Rule (1 condition)
  • Exit: TP: Fib Extension 127.2% (CVX@1d) (1 condition)
  • Exit: TP: Fib Extension 127.2% (FCX@1d) (1 condition)
  • Exit: SL: Below Support[2] (CVX@1d) (1 condition)
  • Exit: SL: Below Support[2] (FCX@1d) (1 condition)
  • Exit: Stop Loss at 2.4% (1 condition)
  • Exit: Take Profit at 4.7% (1 condition)

Shared strategy rules

Rule configuration

{
  "data_dependencies": [
    {
      "symbol": "STOCK:CVX",
      "timeframe": "1d"
    },
    {
      "symbol": "STOCK:FCX",
      "timeframe": "1d"
    }
  ],
  "entry_rules": [
    {
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:CVX",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "ema",
              "period": 20
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "crossed_above",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:CVX",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "ema",
              "period": 50
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:CVX",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "line",
            "indicator": {
              "fast": 12,
              "name": "macd",
              "signal": 9,
              "slow": 26
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "crossed_above",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:CVX",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "signal",
            "indicator": {
              "fast": 12,
              "name": "macd",
              "signal": 9,
              "slow": 26
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:CVX",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "adx",
            "indicator": {
              "name": "adx",
              "period": 14
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 25
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:CVX",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "low",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "less_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:CVX",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "ratio": 618,
            "type": "fibonacci_retracement"
          }
        }
      ],
      "direction": "long",
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "entry_1_cvx",
      "name": "EMA/MACD/ADX Crossover Long (CVX@1d)",
      "priority": 1,
      "trade_symbol": "STOCK:CVX"
    },
    {
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:FCX",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "ema",
              "period": 20
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "crossed_above",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:FCX",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "ema",
              "period": 50
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:FCX",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "line",
            "indicator": {
              "fast": 12,
              "name": "macd",
              "signal": 9,
              "slow": 26
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "crossed_above",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:FCX",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "signal",
            "indicator": {
              "fast": 12,
              "name": "macd",
              "signal": 9,
              "slow": 26
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:FCX",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "adx",
            "indicator": {
              "name": "adx",
              "period": 14
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 25
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:FCX",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "low",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "less_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:FCX",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "ratio": 618,
            "type": "fibonacci_retracement"
          }
        }
      ],
      "direction": "long",
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "entry_1_fcx",
      "name": "EMA/MACD/ADX Crossover Long (FCX@1d)",
      "priority": 2,
      "trade_symbol": "STOCK:FCX"
    },
    {
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:CVX",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "ema",
              "period": 20
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "crossed_above",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:CVX",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "ema",
              "period": 50
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:CVX",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "line",
            "indicator": {
              "fast": 12,
              "name": "macd",
              "signal": 9,
              "slow": 26
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "crossed_above",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:CVX",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "signal",
            "indicator": {
              "fast": 12,
              "name": "macd",
              "signal": 9,
              "slow": 26
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:CVX",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "adx",
            "indicator": {
              "name": "adx",
              "period": 14
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 25
          }
        }
      ],
      "direction": "long",
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "entry_2_cvx",
      "name": "EMA/MACD/ADX Crossover Long (CVX@1d)",
      "priority": 2,
      "trade_symbol": "STOCK:CVX"
    },
    {
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:FCX",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "ema",
              "period": 20
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "crossed_above",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:FCX",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "ema",
              "period": 50
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:FCX",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "line",
            "indicator": {
              "fast": 12,
              "name": "macd",
              "signal": 9,
              "slow": 26
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "crossed_above",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:FCX",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "signal",
            "indicator": {
              "fast": 12,
              "name": "macd",
              "signal": 9,
              "slow": 26
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:FCX",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "adx",
            "indicator": {
              "name": "adx",
              "period": 14
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 25
          }
        }
      ],
      "direction": "long",
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "entry_2_fcx",
      "name": "EMA/MACD/ADX Crossover Long (FCX@1d)",
      "priority": 3,
      "trade_symbol": "STOCK:FCX"
    },
    {
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:CVX",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "low",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "less_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:CVX",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "ratio": 618,
            "type": "fibonacci_retracement"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:CVX",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:CVX",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "ratio": 618,
            "type": "fibonacci_retracement"
          }
        }
      ],
      "direction": "long",
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "entry_3_cvx",
      "name": "Long Entry Signal (CVX@1d)",
      "priority": 2,
      "trade_symbol": "STOCK:CVX"
    },
    {
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:FCX",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "low",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "less_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:FCX",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "ratio": 618,
            "type": "fibonacci_retracement"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:FCX",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:FCX",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "ratio": 618,
            "type": "fibonacci_retracement"
          }
        }
      ],
      "direction": "long",
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "entry_3_fcx",
      "name": "Long Entry Signal (FCX@1d)",
      "priority": 3,
      "trade_symbol": "STOCK:FCX"
    }
  ],
  "exit_rules": [
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "holding_period_bars",
            "type": "position"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 60
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_1",
      "name": "Position Exit Rule",
      "priority": 1,
      "purpose": "signal"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:CVX",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:CVX",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "ratio": 1272,
            "type": "fibonacci_extension"
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_2_cvx",
      "name": "TP: Fib Extension 127.2% (CVX@1d)",
      "priority": 96,
      "purpose": "take_profit",
      "target_symbol": "STOCK:CVX"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:FCX",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:FCX",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "ratio": 1272,
            "type": "fibonacci_extension"
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_2_fcx",
      "name": "TP: Fib Extension 127.2% (FCX@1d)",
      "priority": 97,
      "purpose": "take_profit",
      "target_symbol": "STOCK:FCX"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:CVX",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "crossed_above",
          "right": {
            "rank": 2,
            "type": "support_level"
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_3_cvx",
      "name": "SL: Below Support[2] (CVX@1d)",
      "priority": 100,
      "purpose": "stop_loss",
      "target_symbol": "STOCK:CVX"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:FCX",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "crossed_above",
          "right": {
            "rank": 2,
            "type": "support_level"
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_3_fcx",
      "name": "SL: Below Support[2] (FCX@1d)",
      "priority": 101,
      "purpose": "stop_loss",
      "target_symbol": "STOCK:FCX"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
            "type": "position"
          },
          "operator": "less_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": -2.367111111111111
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_4",
      "name": "Stop Loss at 2.4%",
      "priority": 100,
      "purpose": "stop_loss"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
            "type": "position"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 4.734222222222222
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_5",
      "name": "Take Profit at 4.7%",
      "priority": 100,
      "purpose": "take_profit"
    }
  ],
  "position_sizing": {
    "max_position_percent": 25,
    "method": {
      "risk_percent": 2.367111111111111,
      "support_stop_rank": 2,
      "type": "fixed_risk"
    },
    "min_position_value": 100
  },
  "trigger_timeframe": "1d",
  "version": 1
}

Indicator configuration

{
  "indicators": [
    {
      "name": "ema",
      "period": 20
    },
    {
      "name": "ema",
      "period": 50
    },
    {
      "fast": 12,
      "name": "macd",
      "signal": 9,
      "slow": 26
    },
    {
      "name": "adx",
      "period": 14
    },
    {
      "name": "ema",
      "period": 20
    },
    {
      "name": "ema",
      "period": 50
    },
    {
      "fast": 12,
      "name": "macd",
      "signal": 9,
      "slow": 26
    },
    {
      "name": "adx",
      "period": 14
    }
  ]
}

Parsed strategy

{
  "data_dependencies": [
    {
      "symbol": "STOCK:CVX",
      "timeframe": "1d"
    },
    {
      "symbol": "STOCK:FCX",
      "timeframe": "1d"
    }
  ],
  "entry_rules": [
    {
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:CVX",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "ema",
              "period": 20
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "crossed_above",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:CVX",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "ema",
              "period": 50
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:CVX",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "line",
            "indicator": {
              "fast": 12,
              "name": "macd",
              "signal": 9,
              "slow": 26
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "crossed_above",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:CVX",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "signal",
            "indicator": {
              "fast": 12,
              "name": "macd",
              "signal": 9,
              "slow": 26
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:CVX",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "adx",
            "indicator": {
              "name": "adx",
              "period": 14
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 25
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:CVX",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "low",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "less_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:CVX",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "ratio": 618,
            "type": "fibonacci_retracement"
          }
        }
      ],
      "direction": "long",
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "entry_1_cvx",
      "name": "EMA/MACD/ADX Crossover Long (CVX@1d)",
      "priority": 1,
      "trade_symbol": "STOCK:CVX"
    },
    {
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:FCX",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "ema",
              "period": 20
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "crossed_above",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:FCX",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "ema",
              "period": 50
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:FCX",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "line",
            "indicator": {
              "fast": 12,
              "name": "macd",
              "signal": 9,
              "slow": 26
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "crossed_above",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:FCX",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "signal",
            "indicator": {
              "fast": 12,
              "name": "macd",
              "signal": 9,
              "slow": 26
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:FCX",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "adx",
            "indicator": {
              "name": "adx",
              "period": 14
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 25
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:FCX",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "low",
            "type": "price"
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          }
        }
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    },
    {
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      ],
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    },
    {
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        {
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        },
        {
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            "type": "indicator"
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          "operator": "greater_than",
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      ],
      "direction": "long",
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    },
    {
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          }
        },
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            },
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      ],
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    },
    {
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      ],
      "direction": "long",
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "entry_3_fcx",
      "name": "Long Entry Signal (FCX@1d)",
      "priority": 3,
      "trade_symbol": "STOCK:FCX"
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  ],
  "exit_rules": [
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      "conditions": [
        {
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            "field": "holding_period_bars",
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          },
          "operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
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          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
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      "name": "Position Exit Rule",
      "priority": 1,
      "purpose": "signal"
    },
    {
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      "conditions": [
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      ],
      "enabled": true,
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    {
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      "enabled": true,
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      "priority": 100,
      "purpose": "stop_loss"
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      "conditions": [
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      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_5",
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      "priority": 100,
      "purpose": "take_profit"
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    "method": {
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  "trigger_timeframe": "1d",
  "version": 1
}

Strategy instructions

Trading agent generated from recommendation idea 'Chevron's profit beat is driven by soaring refining margins — the spread between cheap raw oil and expensive finished fuel. That spread stays wide when refining capacity is tight, and the same supply squeeze dynamics are pushing copper higher as global st'. Thesis: Chevron's profit beat is driven by soaring refining margins — the spread between cheap raw oil and expensive finished fuel. That spread stays wide when refining capacity is tight, and the same supply squeeze dynamics are pushing copper higher as global stockpiles shrink. Falling oil prices are actually a tailwind for Chevron's refining margins because input costs drop while output prices stay sticky. The copper tightness adds a second leg: the same AI data center buildout supercharging energy demand is also pulling copper into the U.S. ahead of potential tariffs. When real assets get scarce, the producers lever the squeeze.

Performance

No trade count, win rate, or realized P&L figures are provided in this public preview. The thesis and shared rules do not establish a performance record.

What this public preview can establish

  • The dated rule snapshot above shows the conditions evaluated at that time. It does not prove a current trigger or executed trade.
  • Technical strategy fields are shared above. Inspect the actual conditions and check when they were evaluated before relying on them.
  • No trade count, win rate, or P&L figure is published in this preview. It cannot establish a performance record.

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