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Public trading strategy

EWQ Macro Relative-Weakness Short (France vs Germany) Strategy

Created

Thesis

France's budget problems have pushed the extra yield investors demand to hold French debt instead of German debt to its highest level since 2012 — a sign markets are actively worried about France's finances. The Fed's first rate hike in three years, with signals of more to come, keeps downward pressure on all bond prices and removes any hope of a rate-cut rescue for heavily indebted governments. High-debt France is more vulnerable to this environment than Germany, so the gap between the two should keep widening. Betting on that widening captures a European story that no Fed-focused trade covers.

Strategy approach

France's budget problems have pushed the extra yield investors demand to hold French debt instead of German debt to its highest level since 2012 — a sign markets are actively worried about France's finances. The Fed's first rate hike in three years, with signals of more to come, keeps downward pressure on all bond prices and removes any hope of a rate-cut rescue for heavily indebted governments. High-debt France is more vulnerable to this environment than Germany, so the gap between the two should keep widening. Betting on that widening captures a European story that no Fed-focused trade covers. Decision analysis profile: value. Required dimensions: valuation_method, valuation_sensitivity, business_economics, cash_quality, balance_sheet_leverage, dilution_capital_allocation, moat,…

Markets and timeframes

EWQ1D

Entry and exit at a glance

These are the named rules in the shared configuration. Review the full conditions below before using a strategy.

  • Entry: EMA/ADX/RSI Signal Long (EWQ@1d) (4 conditions)
  • Entry: EMA/ADX/RSI Signal Long (EWG@1d) (4 conditions)
  • Exit: Position Exit Rule (1 condition)
  • Exit: SL: Below Support[1] (EWQ@1d) (1 condition)
  • Exit: SL: Below Support[1] (EWG@1d) (1 condition)
  • Exit: TP: Near Resistance[2] (EWQ@1d) (1 condition)
  • Exit: TP: Near Resistance[2] (EWG@1d) (1 condition)
  • Exit: Stop Loss at 2.0% (1 condition)
  • Exit: Take Profit at 4.0% (1 condition)

Shared strategy rules

Rule configuration

{
  "data_dependencies": [
    {
      "symbol": "STOCK:EWQ",
      "timeframe": "1d"
    },
    {
      "symbol": "STOCK:EWG",
      "timeframe": "1d"
    }
  ],
  "entry_rules": [
    {
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:EWQ",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "less_than",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:EWQ",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "ema",
              "period": 50
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:EWQ",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "adx",
            "indicator": {
              "name": "adx",
              "period": 14
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 20
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:EWQ",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "rsi",
              "period": 14
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "less_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 45
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:EWQ",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:EWQ",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "ema",
              "period": 50
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          }
        }
      ],
      "direction": "long",
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "entry_1_ewq",
      "name": "EMA/ADX/RSI Signal Long (EWQ@1d)",
      "priority": 1,
      "trade_symbol": "STOCK:EWQ"
    },
    {
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:EWG",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "less_than",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:EWG",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "ema",
              "period": 50
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:EWG",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "adx",
            "indicator": {
              "name": "adx",
              "period": 14
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 20
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:EWG",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "rsi",
              "period": 14
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "less_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 45
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:EWG",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:EWG",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "ema",
              "period": 50
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          }
        }
      ],
      "direction": "long",
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "entry_1_ewg",
      "name": "EMA/ADX/RSI Signal Long (EWG@1d)",
      "priority": 2,
      "trade_symbol": "STOCK:EWG"
    }
  ],
  "exit_rules": [
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "holding_period_bars",
            "type": "position"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 90
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_1",
      "name": "Position Exit Rule",
      "priority": 1,
      "purpose": "signal"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:EWQ",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "less_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "rank": 1,
            "type": "support_level"
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_2_ewq",
      "name": "SL: Below Support[1] (EWQ@1d)",
      "priority": 97,
      "purpose": "take_profit",
      "target_symbol": "STOCK:EWQ"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:EWG",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "less_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "rank": 1,
            "type": "support_level"
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_2_ewg",
      "name": "SL: Below Support[1] (EWG@1d)",
      "priority": 98,
      "purpose": "take_profit",
      "target_symbol": "STOCK:EWG"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:EWQ",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "crossed_below",
          "right": {
            "rank": 2,
            "type": "resistance_level"
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_3_ewq",
      "name": "TP: Near Resistance[2] (EWQ@1d)",
      "priority": 100,
      "purpose": "stop_loss",
      "target_symbol": "STOCK:EWQ"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:EWG",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "crossed_below",
          "right": {
            "rank": 2,
            "type": "resistance_level"
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_3_ewg",
      "name": "TP: Near Resistance[2] (EWG@1d)",
      "priority": 101,
      "purpose": "stop_loss",
      "target_symbol": "STOCK:EWG"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
            "type": "position"
          },
          "operator": "less_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": -2
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_4",
      "name": "Stop Loss at 2.0%",
      "priority": 100,
      "purpose": "stop_loss"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
            "type": "position"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 4
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_5",
      "name": "Take Profit at 4.0%",
      "priority": 100,
      "purpose": "take_profit"
    }
  ],
  "position_sizing": {
    "max_position_percent": 25,
    "method": {
      "resistance_stop_rank": 2,
      "risk_percent": 2,
      "type": "fixed_risk"
    },
    "min_position_value": 100
  },
  "trigger_timeframe": "1d",
  "version": 1
}

Indicator configuration

{
  "indicators": [
    {
      "name": "ema",
      "period": 50
    },
    {
      "name": "ema",
      "period": 200
    },
    {
      "name": "rsi",
      "period": 14
    },
    {
      "name": "adx",
      "period": 14
    },
    {
      "name": "ema",
      "period": 50
    },
    {
      "name": "ema",
      "period": 200
    },
    {
      "name": "rsi",
      "period": 14
    },
    {
      "name": "adx",
      "period": 14
    }
  ]
}

Parsed strategy

{
  "data_dependencies": [
    {
      "symbol": "STOCK:EWQ",
      "timeframe": "1d"
    },
    {
      "symbol": "STOCK:EWG",
      "timeframe": "1d"
    }
  ],
  "entry_rules": [
    {
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:EWQ",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "less_than",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:EWQ",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "ema",
              "period": 50
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:EWQ",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "adx",
            "indicator": {
              "name": "adx",
              "period": 14
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 20
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:EWQ",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "rsi",
              "period": 14
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "less_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 45
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:EWQ",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:EWQ",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "ema",
              "period": 50
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          }
        }
      ],
      "direction": "long",
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "entry_1_ewq",
      "name": "EMA/ADX/RSI Signal Long (EWQ@1d)",
      "priority": 1,
      "trade_symbol": "STOCK:EWQ"
    },
    {
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:EWG",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "less_than",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:EWG",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "ema",
              "period": 50
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:EWG",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "adx",
            "indicator": {
              "name": "adx",
              "period": 14
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 20
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:EWG",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "rsi",
              "period": 14
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "less_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 45
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:EWG",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:EWG",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "ema",
              "period": 50
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          }
        }
      ],
      "direction": "long",
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "entry_1_ewg",
      "name": "EMA/ADX/RSI Signal Long (EWG@1d)",
      "priority": 2,
      "trade_symbol": "STOCK:EWG"
    }
  ],
  "exit_rules": [
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "holding_period_bars",
            "type": "position"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 90
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_1",
      "name": "Position Exit Rule",
      "priority": 1,
      "purpose": "signal"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:EWQ",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "less_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "rank": 1,
            "type": "support_level"
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_2_ewq",
      "name": "SL: Below Support[1] (EWQ@1d)",
      "priority": 97,
      "purpose": "take_profit",
      "target_symbol": "STOCK:EWQ"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:EWG",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "less_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "rank": 1,
            "type": "support_level"
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_2_ewg",
      "name": "SL: Below Support[1] (EWG@1d)",
      "priority": 98,
      "purpose": "take_profit",
      "target_symbol": "STOCK:EWG"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:EWQ",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "crossed_below",
          "right": {
            "rank": 2,
            "type": "resistance_level"
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_3_ewq",
      "name": "TP: Near Resistance[2] (EWQ@1d)",
      "priority": 100,
      "purpose": "stop_loss",
      "target_symbol": "STOCK:EWQ"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:EWG",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "crossed_below",
          "right": {
            "rank": 2,
            "type": "resistance_level"
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_3_ewg",
      "name": "TP: Near Resistance[2] (EWG@1d)",
      "priority": 101,
      "purpose": "stop_loss",
      "target_symbol": "STOCK:EWG"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
            "type": "position"
          },
          "operator": "less_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": -2
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_4",
      "name": "Stop Loss at 2.0%",
      "priority": 100,
      "purpose": "stop_loss"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
            "type": "position"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 4
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_5",
      "name": "Take Profit at 4.0%",
      "priority": 100,
      "purpose": "take_profit"
    }
  ],
  "position_sizing": {
    "max_position_percent": 25,
    "method": {
      "resistance_stop_rank": 2,
      "risk_percent": 2,
      "type": "fixed_risk"
    },
    "min_position_value": 100
  },
  "trigger_timeframe": "1d",
  "version": 1
}

Strategy instructions

Trading agent generated from recommendation idea 'France's budget problems have pushed the extra yield investors demand to hold French debt instead of German debt to its highest level since 2012 — a sign markets are actively worried about France's finances. The Fed's first rate hike in three years, with '. Thesis: France's budget problems have pushed the extra yield investors demand to hold French debt instead of German debt to its highest level since 2012 — a sign markets are actively worried about France's finances. The Fed's first rate hike in three years, with signals of more to come, keeps downward pressure on all bond prices and removes any hope of a rate-cut rescue for heavily indebted governments. High-debt France is more vulnerable to this environment than Germany, so the gap between the two should keep widening. Betting on that widening captures a European story that no Fed-focused trade covers.

Performance

No trade count, win rate, or realized P&L figures are provided in this public preview. The thesis and shared rules do not establish a performance record.

What this public preview can establish

  • The thesis and strategy approach describe a market view. They do not show whether an entry or exit condition is currently met.
  • Technical strategy fields are shared above. Inspect the actual conditions and check when they were evaluated before relying on them.
  • No trade count, win rate, or P&L figure is published in this preview. It cannot establish a performance record.

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