Public trading strategy
Micron confirms massive AI memory demand but the whole sector is plunging — buy
Created
Thesis
Micron's blowout earnings confirmed $100 billion in locked-in AI memory demand, validating the secular growth story for memory chips. However, a separate global tech sell-off has dragged Micron, Nvidia, and SanDisk down, with Korean chip stocks plunging 9%. Combining the fundamental breakout of AI memory demand with the indiscriminate fear selling of semiconductor stocks creates a classic disconnect. This suggests the sell-off is driven by broad market panic rather than a deterioration in the AI thesis, making memory stocks a compelling buy-the-dip opportunity.
Strategy approach
Build a strategy on D1 that enters long MU when the stock drops more than 8% over 3 sessions while the broader PHLX Semiconductor Sector (SOX) index remains in a 200-day uptrend. Exit when MU recovers to a 10-day high or hold for a maximum of 30 days.
Markets and timeframes
MUD1
Latest published rule evaluation
Evaluated . This is a dated rule snapshot, not a live price or trade execution confirmation.
MU · 1d
5 of 10 published entry conditions marked met.
- ROC (3) below -8 — far
- Price above SMA (200) — met
- ROC (3) below -8 — far
- Price above SMA (200) — met
- ROC (3) below -8 — far
- Price above SMA (200) — met
- ROC (3) below -8 — far
- Price above SMA (200) — met
- ROC (3) below -8 — far
- Price above SMA (200) — met
- Price above Donchian (10) — met
- Price above Donchian (10) — met
- Price above Donchian (10) — met
- Price above Donchian (10) — met
- Price above Donchian (10) — met
Entry and exit at a glance
These are the named rules in the shared configuration. Review the full conditions below before using a strategy.
- Entry: ROC/SMA Signal Long (MU@1d) (4 conditions)
- Entry: ROC/SMA Signal Long (SOXX@1d) (4 conditions)
- Entry: ROC/SMA Signal Long (SMH@1d) (4 conditions)
- Entry: ROC/SMA Signal Long (NVDA@1d) (4 conditions)
- Entry: ROC/SMA Signal Long (AMD@1d) (4 conditions)
- Exit: Position Exit Rule (MU@1d) (1 condition)
- Exit: Position Exit Rule (SOXX@1d) (1 condition)
- Exit: Position Exit Rule (SMH@1d) (1 condition)
- Exit: Position Exit Rule (NVDA@1d) (1 condition)
- Exit: Position Exit Rule (AMD@1d) (1 condition)
- Exit: TP: Fib Extension 127.2% (MU@1d) (1 condition)
- Exit: TP: Fib Extension 127.2% (SOXX@1d) (1 condition)
- Exit: TP: Fib Extension 127.2% (SMH@1d) (1 condition)
- Exit: TP: Fib Extension 127.2% (NVDA@1d) (1 condition)
- Exit: TP: Fib Extension 127.2% (AMD@1d) (1 condition)
- Exit: SL: Fib Retracement 78.6% (MU@1d) (1 condition)
- Exit: SL: Fib Retracement 78.6% (SOXX@1d) (1 condition)
- Exit: SL: Fib Retracement 78.6% (SMH@1d) (1 condition)
- Exit: SL: Fib Retracement 78.6% (NVDA@1d) (1 condition)
- Exit: SL: Fib Retracement 78.6% (AMD@1d) (1 condition)
- Exit: Stop Loss at 2.4% (1 condition)
- Exit: Take Profit at 4.8% (1 condition)
Shared strategy rules
Rule configuration
{
"data_dependencies": [
{
"symbol": "MU",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
{
"symbol": "SOXX",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
{
"symbol": "SMH",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
{
"symbol": "NVDA",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
{
"symbol": "AMD",
"timeframe": "1d"
}
],
"entry_rules": [
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "MU",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "roc",
"period": 3
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": -8
}
},
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "MU",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "sma",
"period": 200
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"field": "low",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "support_level"
}
},
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "support_level"
}
}
],
"direction": "long",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_1_mu",
"name": "ROC/SMA Signal Long (MU@1d)",
"priority": 1,
"trade_symbol": "MU"
},
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "SOXX",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "roc",
"period": 3
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": -8
}
},
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "SOXX",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "sma",
"period": 200
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"field": "low",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "support_level"
}
},
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "support_level"
}
}
],
"direction": "long",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_1_soxx",
"name": "ROC/SMA Signal Long (SOXX@1d)",
"priority": 2,
"trade_symbol": "SOXX"
},
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "SMH",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "roc",
"period": 3
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": -8
}
},
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "SMH",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "sma",
"period": 200
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"field": "low",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "support_level"
}
},
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "support_level"
}
}
],
"direction": "long",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_1_smh",
"name": "ROC/SMA Signal Long (SMH@1d)",
"priority": 3,
"trade_symbol": "SMH"
},
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "NVDA",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "roc",
"period": 3
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": -8
}
},
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "NVDA",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "sma",
"period": 200
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"field": "low",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "support_level"
}
},
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "support_level"
}
}
],
"direction": "long",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_1_nvda",
"name": "ROC/SMA Signal Long (NVDA@1d)",
"priority": 4,
"trade_symbol": "NVDA"
},
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "AMD",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "roc",
"period": 3
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": -8
}
},
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "AMD",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "sma",
"period": 200
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"field": "low",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "support_level"
}
},
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "support_level"
}
}
],
"direction": "long",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_1_amd",
"name": "ROC/SMA Signal Long (AMD@1d)",
"priority": 5,
"trade_symbol": "AMD"
}
],
"exit_rules": [
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "MU",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "upper",
"indicator": {
"name": "donchian",
"period": 10
},
"type": "indicator"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_1_mu",
"name": "Position Exit Rule (MU@1d)",
"priority": 1,
"purpose": "signal",
"target_symbol": "MU"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "SOXX",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "upper",
"indicator": {
"name": "donchian",
"period": 10
},
"type": "indicator"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_1_soxx",
"name": "Position Exit Rule (SOXX@1d)",
"priority": 2,
"purpose": "signal",
"target_symbol": "SOXX"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "SMH",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "upper",
"indicator": {
"name": "donchian",
"period": 10
},
"type": "indicator"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_1_smh",
"name": "Position Exit Rule (SMH@1d)",
"priority": 3,
"purpose": "signal",
"target_symbol": "SMH"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "NVDA",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "upper",
"indicator": {
"name": "donchian",
"period": 10
},
"type": "indicator"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_1_nvda",
"name": "Position Exit Rule (NVDA@1d)",
"priority": 4,
"purpose": "signal",
"target_symbol": "NVDA"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "AMD",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "upper",
"indicator": {
"name": "donchian",
"period": 10
},
"type": "indicator"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_1_amd",
"name": "Position Exit Rule (AMD@1d)",
"priority": 5,
"purpose": "signal",
"target_symbol": "AMD"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "MU",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"ratio": 1272,
"type": "fibonacci_extension"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_2_mu",
"name": "TP: Fib Extension 127.2% (MU@1d)",
"priority": 96,
"purpose": "take_profit",
"target_symbol": "MU"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "SOXX",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"ratio": 1272,
"type": "fibonacci_extension"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_2_soxx",
"name": "TP: Fib Extension 127.2% (SOXX@1d)",
"priority": 97,
"purpose": "take_profit",
"target_symbol": "SOXX"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "SMH",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"ratio": 1272,
"type": "fibonacci_extension"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_2_smh",
"name": "TP: Fib Extension 127.2% (SMH@1d)",
"priority": 98,
"purpose": "take_profit",
"target_symbol": "SMH"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "NVDA",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"ratio": 1272,
"type": "fibonacci_extension"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_2_nvda",
"name": "TP: Fib Extension 127.2% (NVDA@1d)",
"priority": 99,
"purpose": "take_profit",
"target_symbol": "NVDA"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "AMD",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"ratio": 1272,
"type": "fibonacci_extension"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_2_amd",
"name": "TP: Fib Extension 127.2% (AMD@1d)",
"priority": 100,
"purpose": "take_profit",
"target_symbol": "AMD"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "MU",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"ratio": 786,
"type": "fibonacci_retracement"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_3_mu",
"name": "SL: Fib Retracement 78.6% (MU@1d)",
"priority": 100,
"purpose": "stop_loss",
"target_symbol": "MU"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "SOXX",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"ratio": 786,
"type": "fibonacci_retracement"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_3_soxx",
"name": "SL: Fib Retracement 78.6% (SOXX@1d)",
"priority": 101,
"purpose": "stop_loss",
"target_symbol": "SOXX"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "SMH",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"ratio": 786,
"type": "fibonacci_retracement"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_3_smh",
"name": "SL: Fib Retracement 78.6% (SMH@1d)",
"priority": 102,
"purpose": "stop_loss",
"target_symbol": "SMH"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "NVDA",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"ratio": 786,
"type": "fibonacci_retracement"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_3_nvda",
"name": "SL: Fib Retracement 78.6% (NVDA@1d)",
"priority": 103,
"purpose": "stop_loss",
"target_symbol": "NVDA"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "AMD",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"ratio": 786,
"type": "fibonacci_retracement"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_3_amd",
"name": "SL: Fib Retracement 78.6% (AMD@1d)",
"priority": 104,
"purpose": "stop_loss",
"target_symbol": "AMD"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
"type": "position"
},
"operator": "less_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": -2.4127
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_4",
"name": "Stop Loss at 2.4%",
"priority": 100,
"purpose": "stop_loss"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
"type": "position"
},
"operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 4.8254
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_5",
"name": "Take Profit at 4.8%",
"priority": 100,
"purpose": "take_profit"
}
],
"position_sizing": {
"max_position_percent": 20,
"method": {
"fib_stop_ratio": 786,
"risk_percent": 2.4127,
"type": "fixed_risk"
},
"min_position_value": 100
},
"trigger_timeframe": "1d",
"version": 1
}Indicator configuration
{
"indicators": [
{
"name": "roc",
"period": 3
},
{
"name": "sma",
"period": 200
},
{
"name": "donchian",
"period": 10
},
{
"name": "roc",
"period": 3
},
{
"name": "sma",
"period": 200
},
{
"name": "donchian",
"period": 10
},
{
"name": "roc",
"period": 3
},
{
"name": "sma",
"period": 200
},
{
"name": "donchian",
"period": 10
},
{
"name": "roc",
"period": 3
},
{
"name": "sma",
"period": 200
},
{
"name": "donchian",
"period": 10
},
{
"name": "roc",
"period": 3
},
{
"name": "sma",
"period": 200
},
{
"name": "donchian",
"period": 10
}
]
}Parsed strategy
{
"data_dependencies": [
{
"symbol": "MU",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
{
"symbol": "SOXX",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
{
"symbol": "SMH",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
{
"symbol": "NVDA",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
{
"symbol": "AMD",
"timeframe": "1d"
}
],
"entry_rules": [
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "MU",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "roc",
"period": 3
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": -8
}
},
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "MU",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "sma",
"period": 200
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"field": "low",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "support_level"
}
},
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "support_level"
}
}
],
"direction": "long",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_1_mu",
"name": "ROC/SMA Signal Long (MU@1d)",
"priority": 1,
"trade_symbol": "MU"
},
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "SOXX",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "roc",
"period": 3
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": -8
}
},
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "SOXX",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "sma",
"period": 200
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"field": "low",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "support_level"
}
},
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "support_level"
}
}
],
"direction": "long",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_1_soxx",
"name": "ROC/SMA Signal Long (SOXX@1d)",
"priority": 2,
"trade_symbol": "SOXX"
},
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "SMH",
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}Strategy instructions
Trading agent generated from recommendation idea 'Micron confirms massive AI memory demand but the whole sector is plunging — buy the chip dip'. Thesis: Micron's blowout earnings confirmed $100 billion in locked-in AI memory demand, validating the secular growth story for memory chips. However, a separate global tech sell-off has dragged Micron, Nvidia, and SanDisk down, with Korean chip stocks plunging 9%. Combining the fundamental breakout of AI memory demand with the indiscriminate fear selling of semiconductor stocks creates a classic disconnect. This suggests the sell-off is driven by broad market panic rather than a deterioration in the AI thesis, making memory stocks a compelling buy-the-dip opportunity.
Performance
No trade count, win rate, or realized P&L figures are provided in this public preview. The thesis and shared rules do not establish a performance record.
What this public preview can establish
- The dated rule snapshot above shows the conditions evaluated at that time. It does not prove a current trigger or executed trade.
- Technical strategy fields are shared above. Inspect the actual conditions and check when they were evaluated before relying on them.
- No trade count, win rate, or P&L figure is published in this preview. It cannot establish a performance record.
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