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Public trading strategy

AI server maker surges 10% — ride the momentum on Super Micro

Created

Thesis

A massive 10% jump in a single day suggests investors are regaining confidence in the AI hardware story after a period of doubt. When a stock that was beaten down suddenly surges on high volume, it often signals the start of a longer recovery as buyers jump back in. Because AI servers require advanced chips, this momentum often lifts semiconductor ETFs alongside the individual stock.

Strategy approach

Build a momentum strategy long on SMCI using the Daily timeframe. Enter long when the 9-period EMA crosses above the 21-period EMA and MACD histogram is positive. Exit when the 9-period EMA crosses below the 21-period EMA, or use a 8% trailing stop.

Markets and timeframes

Entry and exit at a glance

These are the named rules in the shared configuration. Review the full conditions below before using a strategy.

  • Entry: EMA/MACD Crossover Long (SMCI@4h) (2 conditions)
  • Exit: EMA Crosses Below Exit (SMCI@4h) (1 condition)
  • Exit: Stop Loss at 8.0% (1 condition)
  • Exit: Take Profit at 15.0% (1 condition)

Shared strategy rules

Rule configuration

{
  "data_dependencies": [
    {
      "symbol": "SMCI",
      "timeframe": "4h"
    }
  ],
  "entry_rules": [
    {
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "SMCI",
              "timeframe": "4h"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "ema",
              "period": 9
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "crossed_above",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "SMCI",
              "timeframe": "4h"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "ema",
              "period": 21
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "SMCI",
              "timeframe": "4h"
            },
            "field": "histogram",
            "indicator": {
              "fast": 12,
              "name": "macd",
              "signal": 9,
              "slow": 26
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 0
          }
        }
      ],
      "direction": "long",
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "entry_1_smci",
      "name": "EMA/MACD Crossover Long (SMCI@4h)",
      "priority": 1,
      "trade_symbol": "SMCI"
    }
  ],
  "exit_rules": [
    {
      "applies_to": "long",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "SMCI",
              "timeframe": "4h"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "ema",
              "period": 9
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "crossed_below",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "SMCI",
              "timeframe": "4h"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "ema",
              "period": 21
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_1_smci",
      "name": "EMA Crosses Below Exit (SMCI@4h)",
      "priority": 1,
      "purpose": "signal",
      "target_symbol": "SMCI"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "long",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
            "type": "position"
          },
          "operator": "less_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": -8
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_2_smci",
      "name": "Stop Loss at 8.0%",
      "priority": 100,
      "purpose": "stop_loss",
      "target_symbol": "SMCI"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "long",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
            "type": "position"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 15
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_3_smci",
      "name": "Take Profit at 15.0%",
      "priority": 50,
      "purpose": "take_profit",
      "target_symbol": "SMCI"
    }
  ],
  "position_sizing": {
    "max_position_percent": 25,
    "method": {
      "risk_percent": 2,
      "stop_loss_percent": 8,
      "type": "fixed_risk"
    },
    "min_position_value": 100
  },
  "trigger_timeframe": "4h",
  "version": 1
}

Indicator configuration

{
  "indicators": [
    {
      "name": "ema",
      "period": 9
    },
    {
      "name": "ema",
      "period": 21
    },
    {
      "fast": 12,
      "name": "macd",
      "signal": 9,
      "slow": 26
    }
  ]
}

Parsed strategy

{
  "data_dependencies": [
    {
      "symbol": "SMCI",
      "timeframe": "4h"
    }
  ],
  "entry_rules": [
    {
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "SMCI",
              "timeframe": "4h"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "ema",
              "period": 9
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "crossed_above",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "SMCI",
              "timeframe": "4h"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "ema",
              "period": 21
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "SMCI",
              "timeframe": "4h"
            },
            "field": "histogram",
            "indicator": {
              "fast": 12,
              "name": "macd",
              "signal": 9,
              "slow": 26
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 0
          }
        }
      ],
      "direction": "long",
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "entry_1_smci",
      "name": "EMA/MACD Crossover Long (SMCI@4h)",
      "priority": 1,
      "trade_symbol": "SMCI"
    }
  ],
  "exit_rules": [
    {
      "applies_to": "long",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "SMCI",
              "timeframe": "4h"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "ema",
              "period": 9
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "crossed_below",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "SMCI",
              "timeframe": "4h"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "ema",
              "period": 21
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_1_smci",
      "name": "EMA Crosses Below Exit (SMCI@4h)",
      "priority": 1,
      "purpose": "signal",
      "target_symbol": "SMCI"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "long",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
            "type": "position"
          },
          "operator": "less_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": -8
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_2_smci",
      "name": "Stop Loss at 8.0%",
      "priority": 100,
      "purpose": "stop_loss",
      "target_symbol": "SMCI"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "long",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
            "type": "position"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 15
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_3_smci",
      "name": "Take Profit at 15.0%",
      "priority": 50,
      "purpose": "take_profit",
      "target_symbol": "SMCI"
    }
  ],
  "position_sizing": {
    "max_position_percent": 25,
    "method": {
      "risk_percent": 2,
      "stop_loss_percent": 8,
      "type": "fixed_risk"
    },
    "min_position_value": 100
  },
  "trigger_timeframe": "4h",
  "version": 1
}

Strategy instructions

Trading agent generated from recommendation idea 'AI server maker surges 10% — ride the momentum on Super Micro'. Thesis: A massive 10% jump in a single day suggests investors are regaining confidence in the AI hardware story after a period of doubt. When a stock that was beaten down suddenly surges on high volume, it often signals the start of a longer recovery as buyers jump back in. Because AI servers require advanced chips, this momentum often lifts semiconductor ETFs alongside the individual stock.

Performance

No trade count, win rate, or realized P&L figures are provided in this public preview. The thesis and shared rules do not establish a performance record.

What this public preview can establish

  • The thesis and strategy approach describe a market view. They do not show whether an entry or exit condition is currently met.
  • Technical strategy fields are shared above. Inspect the actual conditions and check when they were evaluated before relying on them.
  • No trade count, win rate, or P&L figure is published in this preview. It cannot establish a performance record.

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