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Public trading strategy

OPEC floods the market while stocks party at record highs — short the oil majors

Created

Thesis

Multiple headlines confirm OPEC+ is raising output targets despite prices already sliding — a sign producers are prioritizing market share over price stability. Bloomberg separately notes that oil flows through the Strait of Hormuz are continuing without disruption, removing a key geopolitical risk premium that had been supporting prices. Meanwhile, CNBC reports the broader stock market just had a record-setting week with the Dow near 53,000. When the general market is surging to records but oil can't catch a bid because of oversupply, it signals that capital is rotating aggressively away from energy. That divergence — strong market, weak oil — typically persists for weeks as funds unwind energy positions and chase winners elsewhere.

Strategy approach

Build a rule-based strategy that enters short XLE on D1 when XLE underperforms SPY by more than 2% over a rolling 10-day window AND WTI crude (CL=F) is making 10-day lows. Confirm entry on a day when SPY closes green. Exit on a 5% stop loss from entry price, or after a 15-day max hold, or if WTI crude reverses 3% off its lows.

Markets and timeframes

Latest published rule evaluation

Evaluated . This is a dated rule snapshot, not a live price or trade execution confirmation.

USO · 1d

8 of 14 published entry conditions marked met.

  • ROC (10) below -2 — far
  • ROC (10) above 0 — met
  • RSI (14) below 50 — far
  • Price above 0 — met
  • ROC (10) below 0 — far
  • Supertrend (10) above 1 — met
  • ADX (14) above 20 — met
  • ROC (10) below -2 — far
  • ROC (10) above 0 — met
  • RSI (14) below 50 — far
  • Price above 0 — met
  • ROC (10) below 0 — far
  • Supertrend (10) above 1 — met
  • ADX (14) above 20 — met
  • Price above 0 — met
  • ROC (3) above 3 — met
  • Price above 0 — met
  • ROC (3) above 3 — met

XLE · 1d

8 of 14 published entry conditions marked met.

  • ROC (10) below -2 — far
  • ROC (10) above 0 — met
  • RSI (14) below 50 — far
  • Price above 0 — met
  • ROC (10) below 0 — far
  • Supertrend (10) above 1 — met
  • ADX (14) above 20 — met
  • ROC (10) below -2 — far
  • ROC (10) above 0 — met
  • RSI (14) below 50 — far
  • Price above 0 — met
  • ROC (10) below 0 — far
  • Supertrend (10) above 1 — met
  • ADX (14) above 20 — met
  • Price above 0 — met
  • ROC (3) above 3 — far
  • Price above 0 — met
  • ROC (3) above 3 — far

XOM · 1d

6 of 14 published entry conditions marked met.

  • ROC (10) below -2 — near
  • ROC (10) above 0 — far
  • RSI (14) below 50 — far
  • Price above 0 — met
  • ROC (10) below 0 — met
  • Supertrend (10) above 1 — met
  • ADX (14) above 20 — near
  • ROC (10) below -2 — near
  • ROC (10) above 0 — far
  • RSI (14) below 50 — far
  • Price above 0 — met
  • ROC (10) below 0 — met
  • Supertrend (10) above 1 — met
  • ADX (14) above 20 — near
  • Price above 0 — met
  • ROC (3) above 3 — far
  • Price above 0 — met
  • ROC (3) above 3 — far

Entry and exit at a glance

These are the named rules in the shared configuration. Review the full conditions below before using a strategy.

  • Entry: ROC/RSI/SUPERTREND/ADX Signal Short (XLE@1d) (8 conditions)
  • Entry: ROC/RSI/SUPERTREND/ADX Signal Short (SPY@1d) (8 conditions)
  • Entry: ROC/RSI/SUPERTREND/ADX Signal Short (USO@1d) (8 conditions)
  • Entry: ROC/RSI/SUPERTREND/ADX Signal Short (XOM@1d) (8 conditions)
  • Exit: ROC Threshold Exit (XLE@1d) (2 conditions)
  • Exit: ROC Threshold Exit (SPY@1d) (2 conditions)
  • Exit: ROC Threshold Exit (USO@1d) (2 conditions)
  • Exit: ROC Threshold Exit (XOM@1d) (2 conditions)
  • Exit: SL: Below Support[1] (XLE@1d) (1 condition)
  • Exit: SL: Below Support[1] (SPY@1d) (1 condition)
  • Exit: SL: Below Support[1] (USO@1d) (1 condition)
  • Exit: SL: Below Support[1] (XOM@1d) (1 condition)
  • Exit: TP: Near Resistance[2] (XLE@1d) (1 condition)
  • Exit: TP: Near Resistance[2] (SPY@1d) (1 condition)
  • Exit: TP: Near Resistance[2] (USO@1d) (1 condition)
  • Exit: TP: Near Resistance[2] (XOM@1d) (1 condition)
  • Exit: Stop Loss at 2.6% (1 condition)
  • Exit: Take Profit at 5.2% (1 condition)

Shared strategy rules

Rule configuration

{
  "data_dependencies": [
    {
      "symbol": "XLE",
      "timeframe": "1d"
    },
    {
      "symbol": "SPY",
      "timeframe": "1d"
    },
    {
      "symbol": "USO",
      "timeframe": "1d"
    },
    {
      "symbol": "XOM",
      "timeframe": "1d"
    }
  ],
  "entry_rules": [
    {
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "XLE",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "roc",
              "period": 10
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "less_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": -2
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "XLE",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "roc",
              "period": 10
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 0
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "XLE",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "rsi",
              "period": 14
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "less_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 50
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 0
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "XLE",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "roc",
              "period": 10
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "less_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 0
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "less_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "rank": 1,
            "type": "resistance_level"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "XLE",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "multiplier": 3,
              "name": "supertrend",
              "period": 10
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 1
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "XLE",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "adx",
            "indicator": {
              "name": "adx",
              "period": 14
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 20
          }
        }
      ],
      "direction": "short",
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "entry_1_xle",
      "name": "ROC/RSI/SUPERTREND/ADX Signal Short (XLE@1d)",
      "priority": 1,
      "trade_symbol": "XLE"
    },
    {
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "SPY",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "roc",
              "period": 10
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "less_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": -2
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "SPY",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "roc",
              "period": 10
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 0
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "SPY",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "rsi",
              "period": 14
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "less_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 50
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 0
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "SPY",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "roc",
              "period": 10
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "less_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 0
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "less_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "rank": 1,
            "type": "resistance_level"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "SPY",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "multiplier": 3,
              "name": "supertrend",
              "period": 10
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 1
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "SPY",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "adx",
            "indicator": {
              "name": "adx",
              "period": 14
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 20
          }
        }
      ],
      "direction": "short",
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "entry_1_spy",
      "name": "ROC/RSI/SUPERTREND/ADX Signal Short (SPY@1d)",
      "priority": 2,
      "trade_symbol": "SPY"
    },
    {
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "USO",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "roc",
              "period": 10
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "less_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": -2
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "USO",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "roc",
              "period": 10
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 0
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "USO",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "rsi",
              "period": 14
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "less_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 50
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 0
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "USO",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "roc",
              "period": 10
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "less_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 0
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "less_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "rank": 1,
            "type": "resistance_level"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "USO",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "multiplier": 3,
              "name": "supertrend",
              "period": 10
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 1
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "USO",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "adx",
            "indicator": {
              "name": "adx",
              "period": 14
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 20
          }
        }
      ],
      "direction": "short",
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "entry_1_uso",
      "name": "ROC/RSI/SUPERTREND/ADX Signal Short (USO@1d)",
      "priority": 3,
      "trade_symbol": "USO"
    },
    {
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "XOM",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "roc",
              "period": 10
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "less_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": -2
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "XOM",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "roc",
              "period": 10
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 0
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "XOM",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "rsi",
              "period": 14
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "less_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 50
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 0
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "XOM",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "roc",
              "period": 10
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "less_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 0
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "less_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "rank": 1,
            "type": "resistance_level"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "XOM",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "multiplier": 3,
              "name": "supertrend",
              "period": 10
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 1
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "XOM",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "adx",
            "indicator": {
              "name": "adx",
              "period": 14
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 20
          }
        }
      ],
      "direction": "short",
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "entry_1_xom",
      "name": "ROC/RSI/SUPERTREND/ADX Signal Short (XOM@1d)",
      "priority": 4,
      "trade_symbol": "XOM"
    }
  ],
  "exit_rules": [
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 0
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "XLE",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "roc",
              "period": 3
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 3
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_1_xle",
      "name": "ROC Threshold Exit (XLE@1d)",
      "priority": 1,
      "purpose": "signal",
      "target_symbol": "XLE"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 0
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "SPY",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "roc",
              "period": 3
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 3
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_1_spy",
      "name": "ROC Threshold Exit (SPY@1d)",
      "priority": 2,
      "purpose": "signal",
      "target_symbol": "SPY"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 0
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "USO",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "roc",
              "period": 3
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 3
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_1_uso",
      "name": "ROC Threshold Exit (USO@1d)",
      "priority": 3,
      "purpose": "signal",
      "target_symbol": "USO"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 0
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "XOM",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "roc",
              "period": 3
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 3
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_1_xom",
      "name": "ROC Threshold Exit (XOM@1d)",
      "priority": 4,
      "purpose": "signal",
      "target_symbol": "XOM"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "less_than",
          "right": {
            "rank": 1,
            "type": "support_level"
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_2_xle",
      "name": "SL: Below Support[1] (XLE@1d)",
      "priority": 97,
      "purpose": "take_profit",
      "target_symbol": "XLE"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "less_than",
          "right": {
            "rank": 1,
            "type": "support_level"
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_2_spy",
      "name": "SL: Below Support[1] (SPY@1d)",
      "priority": 98,
      "purpose": "take_profit",
      "target_symbol": "SPY"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "less_than",
          "right": {
            "rank": 1,
            "type": "support_level"
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_2_uso",
      "name": "SL: Below Support[1] (USO@1d)",
      "priority": 99,
      "purpose": "take_profit",
      "target_symbol": "USO"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "less_than",
          "right": {
            "rank": 1,
            "type": "support_level"
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_2_xom",
      "name": "SL: Below Support[1] (XOM@1d)",
      "priority": 100,
      "purpose": "take_profit",
      "target_symbol": "XOM"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "rank": 2,
            "type": "resistance_level"
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_3_xle",
      "name": "TP: Near Resistance[2] (XLE@1d)",
      "priority": 100,
      "purpose": "stop_loss",
      "target_symbol": "XLE"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "rank": 2,
            "type": "resistance_level"
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_3_spy",
      "name": "TP: Near Resistance[2] (SPY@1d)",
      "priority": 101,
      "purpose": "stop_loss",
      "target_symbol": "SPY"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "rank": 2,
            "type": "resistance_level"
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_3_uso",
      "name": "TP: Near Resistance[2] (USO@1d)",
      "priority": 102,
      "purpose": "stop_loss",
      "target_symbol": "USO"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "rank": 2,
            "type": "resistance_level"
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_3_xom",
      "name": "TP: Near Resistance[2] (XOM@1d)",
      "priority": 103,
      "purpose": "stop_loss",
      "target_symbol": "XOM"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
            "type": "position"
          },
          "operator": "less_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": -2.6035
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_4",
      "name": "Stop Loss at 2.6%",
      "priority": 100,
      "purpose": "stop_loss"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
            "type": "position"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 5.207
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_5",
      "name": "Take Profit at 5.2%",
      "priority": 100,
      "purpose": "take_profit"
    }
  ],
  "position_sizing": {
    "max_position_percent": 25,
    "method": {
      "resistance_stop_rank": 2,
      "risk_percent": 2.6035,
      "type": "fixed_risk"
    },
    "min_position_value": 100
  },
  "trigger_timeframe": "1d",
  "version": 1
}

Indicator configuration

{
  "indicators": [
    {
      "name": "roc",
      "period": 10
    },
    {
      "name": "roc",
      "period": 3
    },
    {
      "multiplier": 3,
      "name": "supertrend",
      "period": 10
    },
    {
      "name": "adx",
      "period": 14
    },
    {
      "name": "rsi",
      "period": 14
    },
    {
      "name": "roc",
      "period": 10
    },
    {
      "name": "roc",
      "period": 3
    },
    {
      "multiplier": 3,
      "name": "supertrend",
      "period": 10
    },
    {
      "name": "adx",
      "period": 14
    },
    {
      "name": "rsi",
      "period": 14
    },
    {
      "name": "roc",
      "period": 10
    },
    {
      "name": "roc",
      "period": 3
    },
    {
      "multiplier": 3,
      "name": "supertrend",
      "period": 10
    },
    {
      "name": "adx",
      "period": 14
    },
    {
      "name": "rsi",
      "period": 14
    },
    {
      "name": "roc",
      "period": 10
    },
    {
      "name": "roc",
      "period": 3
    },
    {
      "multiplier": 3,
      "name": "supertrend",
      "period": 10
    },
    {
      "name": "adx",
      "period": 14
    },
    {
      "name": "rsi",
      "period": 14
    }
  ]
}

Parsed strategy

{
  "data_dependencies": [
    {
      "symbol": "XLE",
      "timeframe": "1d"
    },
    {
      "symbol": "SPY",
      "timeframe": "1d"
    },
    {
      "symbol": "USO",
      "timeframe": "1d"
    },
    {
      "symbol": "XOM",
      "timeframe": "1d"
    }
  ],
  "entry_rules": [
    {
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "XLE",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "roc",
              "period": 10
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "less_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": -2
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "XLE",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "roc",
              "period": 10
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 0
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "XLE",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "rsi",
              "period": 14
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "less_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 50
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 0
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "XLE",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "roc",
              "period": 10
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "less_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 0
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "less_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "rank": 1,
            "type": "resistance_level"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "XLE",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "multiplier": 3,
              "name": "supertrend",
              "period": 10
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 1
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "XLE",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "adx",
            "indicator": {
              "name": "adx",
              "period": 14
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 20
          }
        }
      ],
      "direction": "short",
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "entry_1_xle",
      "name": "ROC/RSI/SUPERTREND/ADX Signal Short (XLE@1d)",
      "priority": 1,
      "trade_symbol": "XLE"
    },
    {
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "SPY",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "roc",
              "period": 10
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "less_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": -2
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "SPY",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "roc",
              "period": 10
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 0
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "SPY",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "rsi",
              "period": 14
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "less_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 50
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 0
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "SPY",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "roc",
              "period": 10
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "less_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 0
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "less_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "rank": 1,
            "type": "resistance_level"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "SPY",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "multiplier": 3,
              "name": "supertrend",
              "period": 10
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 1
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "SPY",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "adx",
            "indicator": {
              "name": "adx",
              "period": 14
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 20
          }
        }
      ],
      "direction": "short",
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "entry_1_spy",
      "name": "ROC/RSI/SUPERTREND/ADX Signal Short (SPY@1d)",
      "priority": 2,
      "trade_symbol": "SPY"
    },
    {
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "USO",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "roc",
              "period": 10
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "less_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": -2
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "USO",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "roc",
              "period": 10
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 0
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "USO",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "rsi",
              "period": 14
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "less_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 50
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 0
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "USO",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "roc",
              "period": 10
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "less_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 0
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "less_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "rank": 1,
            "type": "resistance_level"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "USO",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "multiplier": 3,
              "name": "supertrend",
              "period": 10
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 1
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "USO",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "adx",
            "indicator": {
              "name": "adx",
              "period": 14
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 20
          }
        }
      ],
      "direction": "short",
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "entry_1_uso",
      "name": "ROC/RSI/SUPERTREND/ADX Signal Short (USO@1d)",
      "priority": 3,
      "trade_symbol": "USO"
    },
    {
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "XOM",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "roc",
              "period": 10
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "less_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": -2
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "XOM",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "roc",
              "period": 10
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 0
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "XOM",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "rsi",
              "period": 14
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "less_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 50
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 0
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "XOM",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "roc",
              "period": 10
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "less_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 0
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "less_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "rank": 1,
            "type": "resistance_level"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "XOM",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "multiplier": 3,
              "name": "supertrend",
              "period": 10
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 1
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "XOM",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "adx",
            "indicator": {
              "name": "adx",
              "period": 14
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 20
          }
        }
      ],
      "direction": "short",
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "entry_1_xom",
      "name": "ROC/RSI/SUPERTREND/ADX Signal Short (XOM@1d)",
      "priority": 4,
      "trade_symbol": "XOM"
    }
  ],
  "exit_rules": [
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 0
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "XLE",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "roc",
              "period": 3
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 3
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_1_xle",
      "name": "ROC Threshold Exit (XLE@1d)",
      "priority": 1,
      "purpose": "signal",
      "target_symbol": "XLE"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 0
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "SPY",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "roc",
              "period": 3
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 3
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_1_spy",
      "name": "ROC Threshold Exit (SPY@1d)",
      "priority": 2,
      "purpose": "signal",
      "target_symbol": "SPY"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 0
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "USO",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "roc",
              "period": 3
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 3
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_1_uso",
      "name": "ROC Threshold Exit (USO@1d)",
      "priority": 3,
      "purpose": "signal",
      "target_symbol": "USO"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 0
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "XOM",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "roc",
              "period": 3
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 3
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_1_xom",
      "name": "ROC Threshold Exit (XOM@1d)",
      "priority": 4,
      "purpose": "signal",
      "target_symbol": "XOM"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "less_than",
          "right": {
            "rank": 1,
            "type": "support_level"
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_2_xle",
      "name": "SL: Below Support[1] (XLE@1d)",
      "priority": 97,
      "purpose": "take_profit",
      "target_symbol": "XLE"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "less_than",
          "right": {
            "rank": 1,
            "type": "support_level"
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_2_spy",
      "name": "SL: Below Support[1] (SPY@1d)",
      "priority": 98,
      "purpose": "take_profit",
      "target_symbol": "SPY"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "less_than",
          "right": {
            "rank": 1,
            "type": "support_level"
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_2_uso",
      "name": "SL: Below Support[1] (USO@1d)",
      "priority": 99,
      "purpose": "take_profit",
      "target_symbol": "USO"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "less_than",
          "right": {
            "rank": 1,
            "type": "support_level"
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_2_xom",
      "name": "SL: Below Support[1] (XOM@1d)",
      "priority": 100,
      "purpose": "take_profit",
      "target_symbol": "XOM"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "rank": 2,
            "type": "resistance_level"
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_3_xle",
      "name": "TP: Near Resistance[2] (XLE@1d)",
      "priority": 100,
      "purpose": "stop_loss",
      "target_symbol": "XLE"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "rank": 2,
            "type": "resistance_level"
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_3_spy",
      "name": "TP: Near Resistance[2] (SPY@1d)",
      "priority": 101,
      "purpose": "stop_loss",
      "target_symbol": "SPY"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "rank": 2,
            "type": "resistance_level"
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_3_uso",
      "name": "TP: Near Resistance[2] (USO@1d)",
      "priority": 102,
      "purpose": "stop_loss",
      "target_symbol": "USO"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "rank": 2,
            "type": "resistance_level"
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_3_xom",
      "name": "TP: Near Resistance[2] (XOM@1d)",
      "priority": 103,
      "purpose": "stop_loss",
      "target_symbol": "XOM"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
            "type": "position"
          },
          "operator": "less_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": -2.6035
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_4",
      "name": "Stop Loss at 2.6%",
      "priority": 100,
      "purpose": "stop_loss"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
            "type": "position"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 5.207
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_5",
      "name": "Take Profit at 5.2%",
      "priority": 100,
      "purpose": "take_profit"
    }
  ],
  "position_sizing": {
    "max_position_percent": 25,
    "method": {
      "resistance_stop_rank": 2,
      "risk_percent": 2.6035,
      "type": "fixed_risk"
    },
    "min_position_value": 100
  },
  "trigger_timeframe": "1d",
  "version": 1
}

Strategy instructions

Trading agent generated from recommendation idea 'OPEC floods the market while stocks party at record highs — short the oil majors'. Thesis: Multiple headlines confirm OPEC+ is raising output targets despite prices already sliding — a sign producers are prioritizing market share over price stability. Bloomberg separately notes that oil flows through the Strait of Hormuz are continuing without disruption, removing a key geopolitical risk premium that had been supporting prices. Meanwhile, CNBC reports the broader stock market just had a record-setting week with the Dow near 53,000. When the general market is surging to records but oil can't catch a bid because of oversupply, it signals that capital is rotating aggressively away from energy. That divergence — strong market, weak oil — typically persists for weeks as funds unwind energy positions and chase winners elsewhere.

Performance

No trade count, win rate, or realized P&L figures are provided in this public preview. The thesis and shared rules do not establish a performance record.

What this public preview can establish

  • The dated rule snapshot above shows the conditions evaluated at that time. It does not prove a current trigger or executed trade.
  • Technical strategy fields are shared above. Inspect the actual conditions and check when they were evaluated before relying on them.
  • No trade count, win rate, or P&L figure is published in this preview. It cannot establish a performance record.

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