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Public trading strategy

Bitcoin under pressure as ETFs bleed $4B — accumulate crypto stocks while instit

Created

Thesis

Retail panic is driving record outflows from spot Bitcoin ETFs and pushing BTC below $60K, yet institutional conviction remains high. Ark Invest is loading up on Coinbase, Circle, and Robinhood shares, while BlackRock is pushing deeper into decentralized finance with new integrations. This divergence — falling Bitcoin prices but aggressive institutional accumulation of crypto infrastructure — suggests smart money sees current weakness as temporary, creating a potential bounce opportunity in crypto-related equities that are showing relative strength against the underlying token.

Strategy approach

Build a divergence-based strategy that enters long COIN on D1 when BTCUSD drops below $60,000 AND COIN closes up >2% on the same day (positive relative strength). Exit after 5 trading days or if COIN drops 4% from entry. Add a secondary long position for ENA when BTCUSD is down >1% on D1 and ENA closes up >3% on the same day.

Markets and timeframes

Entry and exit at a glance

These are the named rules in the shared configuration. Review the full conditions below before using a strategy.

  • Entry: Oversold RSI/ROC/ADX Long (COIN@1d) (9 conditions)
  • Entry: Oversold RSI/ROC/ADX Long (BTC@1d) (9 conditions)
  • Entry: Oversold RSI/ROC/ADX Long (HOOD@1d) (9 conditions)
  • Exit: ROC Threshold Exit (COIN@1d) (1 condition)
  • Exit: ROC Threshold Exit (BTC@1d) (1 condition)
  • Exit: ROC Threshold Exit (HOOD@1d) (1 condition)
  • Exit: TP: Near Resistance[1] (COIN@1d) (1 condition)
  • Exit: TP: Near Resistance[1] (BTC@1d) (1 condition)
  • Exit: TP: Near Resistance[1] (HOOD@1d) (1 condition)
  • Exit: SL: Below Support[2] (COIN@1d) (1 condition)
  • Exit: SL: Below Support[2] (BTC@1d) (1 condition)
  • Exit: SL: Below Support[2] (HOOD@1d) (1 condition)
  • Exit: Stop Loss at 2.4% (1 condition)
  • Exit: Take Profit at 4.8% (1 condition)

Shared strategy rules

Rule configuration

{
  "data_dependencies": [
    {
      "symbol": "COIN",
      "timeframe": "1d"
    },
    {
      "symbol": "BTC",
      "timeframe": "1d"
    },
    {
      "symbol": "HOOD",
      "timeframe": "1d"
    }
  ],
  "entry_rules": [
    {
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "less_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 60000
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "COIN",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "rsi",
              "period": 14
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "less_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 35
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "COIN",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "roc",
              "period": 1
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 2
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "COIN",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "adx",
            "indicator": {
              "name": "adx",
              "period": 14
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 20
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "COIN",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "roc",
              "period": 1
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 0
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "low",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "less_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "COIN",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "ratio": 382,
            "type": "fibonacci_retracement"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "COIN",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "ratio": 382,
            "type": "fibonacci_retracement"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "low",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "less_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "COIN",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "ratio": 382,
            "type": "fibonacci_retracement"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "COIN",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "ratio": 382,
            "type": "fibonacci_retracement"
          }
        }
      ],
      "direction": "long",
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "entry_1_coin",
      "name": "Oversold RSI/ROC/ADX Long (COIN@1d)",
      "priority": 1,
      "trade_symbol": "COIN"
    },
    {
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "less_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 60000
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "BTC",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "rsi",
              "period": 14
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "less_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 35
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "BTC",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "roc",
              "period": 1
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 2
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "BTC",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "adx",
            "indicator": {
              "name": "adx",
              "period": 14
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 20
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "BTC",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "roc",
              "period": 1
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 0
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "low",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "less_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "BTC",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "ratio": 382,
            "type": "fibonacci_retracement"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "BTC",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "ratio": 382,
            "type": "fibonacci_retracement"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "low",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "less_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "BTC",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "ratio": 382,
            "type": "fibonacci_retracement"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "BTC",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "ratio": 382,
            "type": "fibonacci_retracement"
          }
        }
      ],
      "direction": "long",
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "entry_1_btc",
      "name": "Oversold RSI/ROC/ADX Long (BTC@1d)",
      "priority": 2,
      "trade_symbol": "BTC"
    },
    {
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "less_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 60000
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "HOOD",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "rsi",
              "period": 14
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "less_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 35
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "HOOD",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "roc",
              "period": 1
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 2
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "HOOD",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "adx",
            "indicator": {
              "name": "adx",
              "period": 14
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 20
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "HOOD",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "roc",
              "period": 1
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 0
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "low",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "less_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "HOOD",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "ratio": 382,
            "type": "fibonacci_retracement"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "HOOD",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "ratio": 382,
            "type": "fibonacci_retracement"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "low",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "less_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "HOOD",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "ratio": 382,
            "type": "fibonacci_retracement"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "HOOD",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "ratio": 382,
            "type": "fibonacci_retracement"
          }
        }
      ],
      "direction": "long",
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "entry_1_hood",
      "name": "Oversold RSI/ROC/ADX Long (HOOD@1d)",
      "priority": 3,
      "trade_symbol": "HOOD"
    }
  ],
  "exit_rules": [
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "COIN",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "roc",
              "period": 1
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "less_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 0
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_1_coin",
      "name": "ROC Threshold Exit (COIN@1d)",
      "priority": 1,
      "purpose": "signal",
      "target_symbol": "COIN"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "BTC",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "roc",
              "period": 1
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "less_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 0
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_1_btc",
      "name": "ROC Threshold Exit (BTC@1d)",
      "priority": 2,
      "purpose": "signal",
      "target_symbol": "BTC"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "HOOD",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "roc",
              "period": 1
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "less_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 0
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_1_hood",
      "name": "ROC Threshold Exit (HOOD@1d)",
      "priority": 3,
      "purpose": "signal",
      "target_symbol": "HOOD"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "rank": 1,
            "type": "resistance_level"
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_2_coin",
      "name": "TP: Near Resistance[1] (COIN@1d)",
      "priority": 97,
      "purpose": "take_profit",
      "target_symbol": "COIN"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "rank": 1,
            "type": "resistance_level"
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_2_btc",
      "name": "TP: Near Resistance[1] (BTC@1d)",
      "priority": 98,
      "purpose": "take_profit",
      "target_symbol": "BTC"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "rank": 1,
            "type": "resistance_level"
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_2_hood",
      "name": "TP: Near Resistance[1] (HOOD@1d)",
      "priority": 99,
      "purpose": "take_profit",
      "target_symbol": "HOOD"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "crossed_above",
          "right": {
            "rank": 2,
            "type": "support_level"
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_3_coin",
      "name": "SL: Below Support[2] (COIN@1d)",
      "priority": 100,
      "purpose": "stop_loss",
      "target_symbol": "COIN"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "crossed_above",
          "right": {
            "rank": 2,
            "type": "support_level"
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_3_btc",
      "name": "SL: Below Support[2] (BTC@1d)",
      "priority": 101,
      "purpose": "stop_loss",
      "target_symbol": "BTC"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "crossed_above",
          "right": {
            "rank": 2,
            "type": "support_level"
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_3_hood",
      "name": "SL: Below Support[2] (HOOD@1d)",
      "priority": 102,
      "purpose": "stop_loss",
      "target_symbol": "HOOD"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
            "type": "position"
          },
          "operator": "less_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": -2.4084666666666665
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_4",
      "name": "Stop Loss at 2.4%",
      "priority": 100,
      "purpose": "stop_loss"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
            "type": "position"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 4.816933333333333
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_5",
      "name": "Take Profit at 4.8%",
      "priority": 100,
      "purpose": "take_profit"
    }
  ],
  "position_sizing": {
    "max_position_percent": 25,
    "method": {
      "risk_percent": 2.4084666666666665,
      "support_stop_rank": 2,
      "type": "fixed_risk"
    },
    "min_position_value": 100
  },
  "trigger_timeframe": "1d",
  "version": 1
}

Indicator configuration

{
  "indicators": [
    {
      "name": "rsi",
      "period": 14
    },
    {
      "name": "roc",
      "period": 1
    },
    {
      "name": "adx",
      "period": 14
    },
    {
      "name": "rsi",
      "period": 14
    },
    {
      "name": "roc",
      "period": 1
    },
    {
      "name": "adx",
      "period": 14
    },
    {
      "name": "rsi",
      "period": 14
    },
    {
      "name": "roc",
      "period": 1
    },
    {
      "name": "adx",
      "period": 14
    }
  ]
}

Parsed strategy

{
  "data_dependencies": [
    {
      "symbol": "COIN",
      "timeframe": "1d"
    },
    {
      "symbol": "BTC",
      "timeframe": "1d"
    },
    {
      "symbol": "HOOD",
      "timeframe": "1d"
    }
  ],
  "entry_rules": [
    {
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "less_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 60000
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "COIN",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "rsi",
              "period": 14
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "less_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 35
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "COIN",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "roc",
              "period": 1
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 2
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "COIN",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "adx",
            "indicator": {
              "name": "adx",
              "period": 14
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 20
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "COIN",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "roc",
              "period": 1
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 0
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "low",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "less_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "COIN",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "ratio": 382,
            "type": "fibonacci_retracement"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "COIN",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "ratio": 382,
            "type": "fibonacci_retracement"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "low",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "less_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "COIN",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "ratio": 382,
            "type": "fibonacci_retracement"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "COIN",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "ratio": 382,
            "type": "fibonacci_retracement"
          }
        }
      ],
      "direction": "long",
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "entry_1_coin",
      "name": "Oversold RSI/ROC/ADX Long (COIN@1d)",
      "priority": 1,
      "trade_symbol": "COIN"
    },
    {
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "less_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 60000
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "BTC",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
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            "type": "indicator"
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          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
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        {
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          }
        },
        {
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  ],
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            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "less_than",
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      ],
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    },
    {
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            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "less_than",
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            "type": "constant",
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      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_1_btc",
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      "purpose": "signal",
      "target_symbol": "BTC"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
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      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_1_hood",
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    {
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      ],
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      "id": "exit_5",
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      "purpose": "take_profit"
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  "trigger_timeframe": "1d",
  "version": 1
}

Strategy instructions

Trading agent generated from recommendation idea 'Bitcoin under pressure as ETFs bleed $4B — accumulate crypto stocks while institutions buy the dip'. Thesis: Retail panic is driving record outflows from spot Bitcoin ETFs and pushing BTC below $60K, yet institutional conviction remains high. Ark Invest is loading up on Coinbase, Circle, and Robinhood shares, while BlackRock is pushing deeper into decentralized finance with new integrations. This divergence — falling Bitcoin prices but aggressive institutional accumulation of crypto infrastructure — suggests smart money sees current weakness as temporary, creating a potential bounce opportunity in crypto-related equities that are showing relative strength against the underlying token.

Performance

No trade count, win rate, or realized P&L figures are provided in this public preview. The thesis and shared rules do not establish a performance record.

What this public preview can establish

  • The thesis and strategy approach describe a market view. They do not show whether an entry or exit condition is currently met.
  • Technical strategy fields are shared above. Inspect the actual conditions and check when they were evaluated before relying on them.
  • No trade count, win rate, or P&L figure is published in this preview. It cannot establish a performance record.

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