Public trading strategy
Weak jobs crush the dollar — Bitcoin and Ethereum are the breakout winners
Created
Thesis
A terrible June jobs report (only 57,000 new jobs) has caused the dollar to have its worst week in months. A weak dollar makes bitcoin cheaper for international buyers. Combine this with $221 million flooding back into Bitcoin ETFs and a short squeeze forcing bearish traders to buy at any price, and you have a powerful combination pushing crypto higher. The institutional buying proves big money is returning to the space.
Strategy approach
Build a rule-based strategy that enters long BTC-USD on H4 when the U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) makes a 10-day low AND Bitcoin spot ETF daily inflows exceed $200M (proxied by IBIT volume > 20-day average volume). Exit on a 6% trailing stop or 14-day max hold.
Markets and timeframes
Latest published rule evaluation
Evaluated . This is a dated rule snapshot, not a live price or trade execution confirmation.
BTC · 4h
0 of 2 published entry conditions marked met.
- Price above SMA (10) — near
- OBV above 0 — unknown
- ROC (20) below -6 — far
ETH · 4h
0 of 2 published entry conditions marked met.
- Price above SMA (10) — near
- OBV above 0 — unknown
- ROC (20) below -6 — far
IBIT · 4h
No entry condition values were published.
Entry and exit at a glance
These are the named rules in the shared configuration. Review the full conditions below before using a strategy.
- Entry: SMA/OBV Signal Long (BTC@4h) (4 conditions)
- Entry: SMA/OBV Signal Long (ETH@4h) (4 conditions)
- Exit: ROC Threshold Exit (BTC@4h) (1 condition)
- Exit: ROC Threshold Exit (ETH@4h) (1 condition)
- Exit: TP: Near Resistance[1] (BTC@4h) (1 condition)
- Exit: TP: Near Resistance[1] (ETH@4h) (1 condition)
- Exit: SL: Below Support[2] (BTC@4h) (1 condition)
- Exit: SL: Below Support[2] (ETH@4h) (1 condition)
- Exit: Stop Loss at 2.6% (1 condition)
- Exit: Take Profit at 5.2% (1 condition)
Shared strategy rules
Rule configuration
{
"data_dependencies": [
{
"symbol": "BTC",
"timeframe": "4h"
},
{
"symbol": "ETH",
"timeframe": "4h"
}
],
"entry_rules": [
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "low",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "BTC",
"timeframe": "4h"
},
"ratio": 382,
"type": "fibonacci_retracement"
}
},
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "BTC",
"timeframe": "4h"
},
"ratio": 382,
"type": "fibonacci_retracement"
}
},
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "BTC",
"timeframe": "4h"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "sma",
"period": 10
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "BTC",
"timeframe": "4h"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "obv"
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 0
}
}
],
"direction": "long",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_1_btc",
"name": "SMA/OBV Signal Long (BTC@4h)",
"priority": 2,
"trade_symbol": "BTC"
},
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "low",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "ETH",
"timeframe": "4h"
},
"ratio": 382,
"type": "fibonacci_retracement"
}
},
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "ETH",
"timeframe": "4h"
},
"ratio": 382,
"type": "fibonacci_retracement"
}
},
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "ETH",
"timeframe": "4h"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "sma",
"period": 10
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "ETH",
"timeframe": "4h"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "obv"
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 0
}
}
],
"direction": "long",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_1_eth",
"name": "SMA/OBV Signal Long (ETH@4h)",
"priority": 3,
"trade_symbol": "ETH"
}
],
"exit_rules": [
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "BTC",
"timeframe": "4h"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "roc",
"period": 20
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": -6
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_1_btc",
"name": "ROC Threshold Exit (BTC@4h)",
"priority": 1,
"purpose": "signal",
"target_symbol": "BTC"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "ETH",
"timeframe": "4h"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "roc",
"period": 20
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": -6
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_1_eth",
"name": "ROC Threshold Exit (ETH@4h)",
"priority": 2,
"purpose": "signal",
"target_symbol": "ETH"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "resistance_level"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_2_btc",
"name": "TP: Near Resistance[1] (BTC@4h)",
"priority": 97,
"purpose": "take_profit",
"target_symbol": "BTC"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "resistance_level"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_2_eth",
"name": "TP: Near Resistance[1] (ETH@4h)",
"priority": 98,
"purpose": "take_profit",
"target_symbol": "ETH"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "crossed_above",
"right": {
"rank": 2,
"type": "support_level"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_3_btc",
"name": "SL: Below Support[2] (BTC@4h)",
"priority": 100,
"purpose": "stop_loss",
"target_symbol": "BTC"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "crossed_above",
"right": {
"rank": 2,
"type": "support_level"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_3_eth",
"name": "SL: Below Support[2] (ETH@4h)",
"priority": 101,
"purpose": "stop_loss",
"target_symbol": "ETH"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
"type": "position"
},
"operator": "less_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": -2.5796666666666668
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_4",
"name": "Stop Loss at 2.6%",
"priority": 100,
"purpose": "stop_loss"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
"type": "position"
},
"operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 5.1593333333333335
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_5",
"name": "Take Profit at 5.2%",
"priority": 100,
"purpose": "take_profit"
}
],
"position_sizing": {
"max_position_percent": 25,
"method": {
"risk_percent": 2.5796666666666668,
"support_stop_rank": 2,
"type": "fixed_risk"
},
"min_position_value": 100
},
"trigger_timeframe": "4h",
"version": 1
}Indicator configuration
{
"indicators": [
{
"name": "sma",
"period": 10
},
{
"name": "sma",
"period": 20
},
{
"name": "obv"
},
{
"name": "roc",
"period": 20
},
{
"name": "sma",
"period": 10
},
{
"name": "sma",
"period": 20
},
{
"name": "obv"
},
{
"name": "roc",
"period": 20
}
]
}Parsed strategy
{
"data_dependencies": [
{
"symbol": "BTC",
"timeframe": "4h"
},
{
"symbol": "ETH",
"timeframe": "4h"
}
],
"entry_rules": [
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "low",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "BTC",
"timeframe": "4h"
},
"ratio": 382,
"type": "fibonacci_retracement"
}
},
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "BTC",
"timeframe": "4h"
},
"ratio": 382,
"type": "fibonacci_retracement"
}
},
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "BTC",
"timeframe": "4h"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "sma",
"period": 10
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "BTC",
"timeframe": "4h"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "obv"
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 0
}
}
],
"direction": "long",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_1_btc",
"name": "SMA/OBV Signal Long (BTC@4h)",
"priority": 2,
"trade_symbol": "BTC"
},
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "low",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "ETH",
"timeframe": "4h"
},
"ratio": 382,
"type": "fibonacci_retracement"
}
},
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "ETH",
"timeframe": "4h"
},
"ratio": 382,
"type": "fibonacci_retracement"
}
},
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "ETH",
"timeframe": "4h"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "sma",
"period": 10
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "ETH",
"timeframe": "4h"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "obv"
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 0
}
}
],
"direction": "long",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_1_eth",
"name": "SMA/OBV Signal Long (ETH@4h)",
"priority": 3,
"trade_symbol": "ETH"
}
],
"exit_rules": [
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "BTC",
"timeframe": "4h"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "roc",
"period": 20
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": -6
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_1_btc",
"name": "ROC Threshold Exit (BTC@4h)",
"priority": 1,
"purpose": "signal",
"target_symbol": "BTC"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "ETH",
"timeframe": "4h"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "roc",
"period": 20
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": -6
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_1_eth",
"name": "ROC Threshold Exit (ETH@4h)",
"priority": 2,
"purpose": "signal",
"target_symbol": "ETH"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "resistance_level"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_2_btc",
"name": "TP: Near Resistance[1] (BTC@4h)",
"priority": 97,
"purpose": "take_profit",
"target_symbol": "BTC"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "resistance_level"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_2_eth",
"name": "TP: Near Resistance[1] (ETH@4h)",
"priority": 98,
"purpose": "take_profit",
"target_symbol": "ETH"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "crossed_above",
"right": {
"rank": 2,
"type": "support_level"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_3_btc",
"name": "SL: Below Support[2] (BTC@4h)",
"priority": 100,
"purpose": "stop_loss",
"target_symbol": "BTC"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "crossed_above",
"right": {
"rank": 2,
"type": "support_level"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_3_eth",
"name": "SL: Below Support[2] (ETH@4h)",
"priority": 101,
"purpose": "stop_loss",
"target_symbol": "ETH"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
"type": "position"
},
"operator": "less_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": -2.5796666666666668
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_4",
"name": "Stop Loss at 2.6%",
"priority": 100,
"purpose": "stop_loss"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
"type": "position"
},
"operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 5.1593333333333335
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_5",
"name": "Take Profit at 5.2%",
"priority": 100,
"purpose": "take_profit"
}
],
"position_sizing": {
"max_position_percent": 25,
"method": {
"risk_percent": 2.5796666666666668,
"support_stop_rank": 2,
"type": "fixed_risk"
},
"min_position_value": 100
},
"trigger_timeframe": "4h",
"version": 1
}Strategy instructions
Trading agent generated from recommendation idea 'Weak jobs crush the dollar — Bitcoin and Ethereum are the breakout winners'. Thesis: A terrible June jobs report (only 57,000 new jobs) has caused the dollar to have its worst week in months. A weak dollar makes bitcoin cheaper for international buyers. Combine this with $221 million flooding back into Bitcoin ETFs and a short squeeze forcing bearish traders to buy at any price, and you have a powerful combination pushing crypto higher. The institutional buying proves big money is returning to the space.
Performance
No trade count, win rate, or realized P&L figures are provided in this public preview. The thesis and shared rules do not establish a performance record.
What this public preview can establish
- The dated rule snapshot above shows the conditions evaluated at that time. It does not prove a current trigger or executed trade.
- Technical strategy fields are shared above. Inspect the actual conditions and check when they were evaluated before relying on them.
- No trade count, win rate, or P&L figure is published in this preview. It cannot establish a performance record.
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