SoftBank plunges 20% on OpenAI funding fears — short the AI-conglomerate squeeze
Created
Thesis
SoftBank has tied its fortunes heavily to the success of major AI startups, particularly OpenAI, which just filed for its highly anticipated IPO. However, reports of OpenAI missing aggressive internal growth targets are making creditors nervous, heavily dragging down SoftBank's own valuation. With broader tech stocks also selling off globally due to macroeconomic fears, this negative momentum in SoftBank's core holdings is likely to continue.
Strategy approach
Build a rule-based strategy that goes short on SFTBY (SoftBank Group) on a daily timeframe. Entry criteria: price breaks below the 10-day low, and the RSI(14) is below 40. Exit criteria: a 5% trailing stop, or a closing price above the 10-day simple moving average (SMA). Max hold period of 15 trading days.
Markets and timeframes
Entry and exit at a glance
These are the named rules in the shared configuration. Review the full conditions below before using a strategy.
- Entry: DONCHIAN/RSI Crossover Long (SFTBY@1d) (3 conditions)
- Exit: Position Exit Rule (SFTBY@1d) (1 condition)
- Exit: SL: Below Support[2] (SFTBY@1d) (1 condition)
- Exit: SL: Below Support[1] (SFTBY@1d) (1 condition)
Shared strategy rules
Rule configuration
{
"data_dependencies": [
{
"symbol": "SFTBY",
"timeframe": "1d"
}
],
"entry_rules": [
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "SFTBY",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "lower",
"indicator": {
"name": "donchian",
"period": 10
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "SFTBY",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 40
}
},
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "crossed_below",
"right": {
"rank": 2,
"type": "support_level"
}
}
],
"direction": "long",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_1",
"name": "DONCHIAN/RSI Crossover Long (SFTBY@1d)",
"priority": 1,
"trade_symbol": "SFTBY"
}
],
"exit_rules": [
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "SFTBY",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "sma",
"period": 10
},
"type": "indicator"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_1",
"name": "Position Exit Rule (SFTBY@1d)",
"priority": 1,
"purpose": "signal"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"rank": 2,
"type": "support_level"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_2",
"name": "SL: Below Support[2] (SFTBY@1d)",
"priority": 97,
"purpose": "take_profit",
"target_symbol": "SFTBY"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "support_level"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_3",
"name": "SL: Below Support[1] (SFTBY@1d)",
"priority": 100,
"purpose": "stop_loss",
"target_symbol": "SFTBY"
}
],
"position_sizing": {
"max_position_percent": 25,
"method": {
"risk_percent": 2,
"support_stop_rank": 1,
"type": "fixed_risk"
},
"min_position_value": 100
},
"trigger_timeframe": "1d",
"version": 1
}Indicator configuration
{
"indicators": [
{
"name": "donchian",
"period": 10
},
{
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
},
{
"name": "sma",
"period": 10
}
]
}Parsed strategy
{
"data_dependencies": [
{
"symbol": "SFTBY",
"timeframe": "1d"
}
],
"entry_rules": [
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "SFTBY",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "lower",
"indicator": {
"name": "donchian",
"period": 10
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "SFTBY",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 40
}
},
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "crossed_below",
"right": {
"rank": 2,
"type": "support_level"
}
}
],
"direction": "long",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_1",
"name": "DONCHIAN/RSI Crossover Long (SFTBY@1d)",
"priority": 1,
"trade_symbol": "SFTBY"
}
],
"exit_rules": [
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "SFTBY",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "sma",
"period": 10
},
"type": "indicator"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_1",
"name": "Position Exit Rule (SFTBY@1d)",
"priority": 1,
"purpose": "signal"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"rank": 2,
"type": "support_level"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_2",
"name": "SL: Below Support[2] (SFTBY@1d)",
"priority": 97,
"purpose": "take_profit",
"target_symbol": "SFTBY"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "support_level"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_3",
"name": "SL: Below Support[1] (SFTBY@1d)",
"priority": 100,
"purpose": "stop_loss",
"target_symbol": "SFTBY"
}
],
"position_sizing": {
"max_position_percent": 25,
"method": {
"risk_percent": 2,
"support_stop_rank": 1,
"type": "fixed_risk"
},
"min_position_value": 100
},
"trigger_timeframe": "1d",
"version": 1
}Strategy instructions
Trading agent generated from recommendation idea 'SoftBank plunges 20% on OpenAI funding fears — short the AI-conglomerate squeeze'. Thesis: SoftBank has tied its fortunes heavily to the success of major AI startups, particularly OpenAI, which just filed for its highly anticipated IPO. However, reports of OpenAI missing aggressive internal growth targets are making creditors nervous, heavily dragging down SoftBank's own valuation. With broader tech stocks also selling off globally due to macroeconomic fears, this negative momentum in SoftBank's core holdings is likely to continue.
Performance
No trade count, win rate, or realized P&L figures are provided in this public preview. The thesis and shared rules do not establish a performance record.
What this public preview can establish
- The thesis and strategy approach describe a market view. They do not show whether an entry or exit condition is currently met.
- Technical strategy fields are shared above. Inspect the actual conditions and check when they were evaluated before relying on them.
- No trade count, win rate, or P&L figure is published in this preview. It cannot establish a performance record.
Explore
How CommonQuant researches and tests strategies · Public paper-trading record and its limits · Discover public strategies