CVE Pullback Momentum Strategy
Created
Thesis
Oil is rallying on a real physical problem — shipping through Hormuz is constrained — not just on trading noise, and prices jumped sharply as the crisis dragged on. When a bank like HSBC formally raises its annual forecast to $90, it signals the market believes the supply squeeze is durable, not a one-week spike. Oil producers with low production costs capture that price upside as extra profit, and they tend to rise even when the rest of the market is nervous. Buying shallow dips rather than the top manages the risk that a peace headline triggers a fast pullback.
Strategy approach
Oil is rallying on a real physical problem — shipping through Hormuz is constrained — not just on trading noise, and prices jumped sharply as the crisis dragged on. When a bank like HSBC formally raises its annual forecast to $90, it signals the market believes the supply squeeze is durable, not a one-week spike. Oil producers with low production costs capture that price upside as extra profit, and they tend to rise even when the rest of the market is nervous. Buying shallow dips rather than the top manages the risk that a peace headline triggers a fast pullback. Decision analysis profile: near_term. Required dimensions: as_of_session, catalyst_timing, expectations_priced_in, price_volume, liquidity_spread_volatility, dilution_capital_allocation, downside, actionability.
Markets and timeframes
Latest published rule evaluation
Evaluated . This is a dated rule snapshot, not a live price or trade execution confirmation.
CVE · 1d
2 of 8 published entry conditions marked met.
- Price below EMA (50) — far
- RSI (14) above 40 — met
- RSI (14) below 60 — near
- Price crossed above EMA (50) — far
- Price below EMA (50) — far
- RSI (14) above 40 — met
- RSI (14) below 60 — near
- Price crossed above EMA (50) — far
- RSI (14) above 70 — far
USO · 1d
2 of 8 published entry conditions marked met.
- Price below EMA (50) — far
- RSI (14) above 40 — met
- RSI (14) below 60 — far
- Price crossed above EMA (50) — far
- Price below EMA (50) — far
- RSI (14) above 40 — met
- RSI (14) below 60 — far
- Price crossed above EMA (50) — far
- RSI (14) above 70 — met
XOM · 1d
2 of 8 published entry conditions marked met.
- Price below EMA (50) — far
- RSI (14) above 40 — met
- RSI (14) below 60 — far
- Price crossed above EMA (50) — far
- Price below EMA (50) — far
- RSI (14) above 40 — met
- RSI (14) below 60 — far
- Price crossed above EMA (50) — far
- RSI (14) above 70 — far
Entry and exit at a glance
These are the named rules in the shared configuration. Review the full conditions below before using a strategy.
- Entry: EMA/RSI Crossover Long (CVE@1d) (4 conditions)
- Entry: EMA/RSI Crossover Long (USO@1d) (4 conditions)
- Entry: EMA/RSI Crossover Long (XOM@1d) (4 conditions)
- Entry: EMA/RSI Crossover Long (CVE@1d) (4 conditions)
- Entry: EMA/RSI Crossover Long (USO@1d) (4 conditions)
- Entry: EMA/RSI Crossover Long (XOM@1d) (4 conditions)
- Entry: Long Entry Signal (CVE@1d) (2 conditions)
- Entry: Long Entry Signal (USO@1d) (2 conditions)
- Entry: Long Entry Signal (XOM@1d) (2 conditions)
- Exit: Overbought RSI Exit (CVE@1d) (2 conditions)
- Exit: Overbought RSI Exit (USO@1d) (2 conditions)
- Exit: Overbought RSI Exit (XOM@1d) (2 conditions)
- Exit: TP: Fib Extension 127.2% (CVE@1d) (1 condition)
- Exit: TP: Fib Extension 127.2% (USO@1d) (1 condition)
- Exit: TP: Fib Extension 127.2% (XOM@1d) (1 condition)
- Exit: Stop Loss at 2.3% (1 condition)
- Exit: Take Profit at 4.6% (1 condition)
Shared strategy rules
Rule configuration
{
"data_dependencies": [
{
"symbol": "STOCK:CVE",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
{
"symbol": "STOCK:USO",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
{
"symbol": "STOCK:XOM",
"timeframe": "1d"
}
],
"entry_rules": [
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:CVE",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:CVE",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "ema",
"period": 50
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:CVE",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 40
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:CVE",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 60
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:CVE",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "crossed_above",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:CVE",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "ema",
"period": 50
},
"type": "indicator"
}
}
],
"direction": "long",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_1_cve",
"name": "EMA/RSI Crossover Long (CVE@1d)",
"priority": 1,
"trade_symbol": "STOCK:CVE"
},
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:USO",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:USO",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "ema",
"period": 50
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:USO",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 40
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:USO",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 60
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:USO",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "crossed_above",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:USO",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "ema",
"period": 50
},
"type": "indicator"
}
}
],
"direction": "long",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_1_uso",
"name": "EMA/RSI Crossover Long (USO@1d)",
"priority": 2,
"trade_symbol": "STOCK:USO"
},
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:XOM",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:XOM",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "ema",
"period": 50
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:XOM",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 40
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:XOM",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 60
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:XOM",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "crossed_above",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:XOM",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "ema",
"period": 50
},
"type": "indicator"
}
}
],
"direction": "long",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_1_xom",
"name": "EMA/RSI Crossover Long (XOM@1d)",
"priority": 3,
"trade_symbol": "STOCK:XOM"
},
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:CVE",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:CVE",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "ema",
"period": 50
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:CVE",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 40
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:CVE",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 60
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:CVE",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "crossed_above",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:CVE",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "ema",
"period": 50
},
"type": "indicator"
}
}
],
"direction": "long",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_2_cve",
"name": "EMA/RSI Crossover Long (CVE@1d)",
"priority": 2,
"trade_symbol": "STOCK:CVE"
},
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:USO",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:USO",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "ema",
"period": 50
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:USO",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 40
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:USO",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 60
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:USO",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "crossed_above",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:USO",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "ema",
"period": 50
},
"type": "indicator"
}
}
],
"direction": "long",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_2_uso",
"name": "EMA/RSI Crossover Long (USO@1d)",
"priority": 3,
"trade_symbol": "STOCK:USO"
},
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:XOM",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:XOM",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "ema",
"period": 50
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:XOM",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 40
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:XOM",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 60
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:XOM",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "crossed_above",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:XOM",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "ema",
"period": 50
},
"type": "indicator"
}
}
],
"direction": "long",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_2_xom",
"name": "EMA/RSI Crossover Long (XOM@1d)",
"priority": 4,
"trade_symbol": "STOCK:XOM"
},
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:CVE",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "low",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "support_level"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:CVE",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "support_level"
}
}
],
"direction": "long",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_3_cve",
"name": "Long Entry Signal (CVE@1d)",
"priority": 2,
"trade_symbol": "STOCK:CVE"
},
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:USO",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "low",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "support_level"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:USO",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "support_level"
}
}
],
"direction": "long",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_3_uso",
"name": "Long Entry Signal (USO@1d)",
"priority": 3,
"trade_symbol": "STOCK:USO"
},
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:XOM",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "low",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "support_level"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:XOM",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "support_level"
}
}
],
"direction": "long",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_3_xom",
"name": "Long Entry Signal (XOM@1d)",
"priority": 4,
"trade_symbol": "STOCK:XOM"
}
],
"exit_rules": [
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:CVE",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 70
}
},
{
"left": {
"field": "holding_period_bars",
"type": "position"
},
"operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 90
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_1_cve",
"name": "Overbought RSI Exit (CVE@1d)",
"priority": 1,
"purpose": "signal",
"target_symbol": "STOCK:CVE"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:USO",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 70
}
},
{
"left": {
"field": "holding_period_bars",
"type": "position"
},
"operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 90
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_1_uso",
"name": "Overbought RSI Exit (USO@1d)",
"priority": 2,
"purpose": "signal",
"target_symbol": "STOCK:USO"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:XOM",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 70
}
},
{
"left": {
"field": "holding_period_bars",
"type": "position"
},
"operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 90
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_1_xom",
"name": "Overbought RSI Exit (XOM@1d)",
"priority": 3,
"purpose": "signal",
"target_symbol": "STOCK:XOM"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:CVE",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:CVE",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"ratio": 1272,
"type": "fibonacci_extension"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_2_cve",
"name": "TP: Fib Extension 127.2% (CVE@1d)",
"priority": 96,
"purpose": "take_profit",
"target_symbol": "STOCK:CVE"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:USO",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:USO",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"ratio": 1272,
"type": "fibonacci_extension"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_2_uso",
"name": "TP: Fib Extension 127.2% (USO@1d)",
"priority": 97,
"purpose": "take_profit",
"target_symbol": "STOCK:USO"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:XOM",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:XOM",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"ratio": 1272,
"type": "fibonacci_extension"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_2_xom",
"name": "TP: Fib Extension 127.2% (XOM@1d)",
"priority": 98,
"purpose": "take_profit",
"target_symbol": "STOCK:XOM"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
"type": "position"
},
"operator": "less_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": -2.3030769230769232
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_3",
"name": "Stop Loss at 2.3%",
"priority": 100,
"purpose": "stop_loss"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
"type": "position"
},
"operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 4.6061538461538465
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_4",
"name": "Take Profit at 4.6%",
"priority": 100,
"purpose": "take_profit"
}
],
"position_sizing": {
"max_position_percent": 25,
"method": {
"risk_percent": 2.3030769230769232,
"support_stop_rank": 2,
"type": "fixed_risk"
},
"min_position_value": 100
},
"trigger_timeframe": "1d",
"version": 1
}Indicator configuration
{
"indicators": [
{
"name": "ema",
"period": 50
},
{
"name": "ema",
"period": 20
},
{
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
},
{
"name": "ema",
"period": 50
},
{
"name": "ema",
"period": 20
},
{
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
},
{
"name": "ema",
"period": 50
},
{
"name": "ema",
"period": 20
},
{
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
}
]
}Parsed strategy
{
"data_dependencies": [
{
"symbol": "STOCK:CVE",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
{
"symbol": "STOCK:USO",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
{
"symbol": "STOCK:XOM",
"timeframe": "1d"
}
],
"entry_rules": [
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:CVE",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:CVE",
"timeframe": "1d"
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}Strategy instructions
Trading agent generated from recommendation idea 'Oil is rallying on a real physical problem — shipping through Hormuz is constrained — not just on trading noise, and prices jumped sharply as the crisis dragged on. When a bank like HSBC formally raises its annual forecast to $90, it signals the market be'. Thesis: Oil is rallying on a real physical problem — shipping through Hormuz is constrained — not just on trading noise, and prices jumped sharply as the crisis dragged on. When a bank like HSBC formally raises its annual forecast to $90, it signals the market believes the supply squeeze is durable, not a one-week spike. Oil producers with low production costs capture that price upside as extra profit, and they tend to rise even when the rest of the market is nervous. Buying shallow dips rather than the top manages the risk that a peace headline triggers a fast pullback.
Performance
No trade count, win rate, or realized P&L figures are provided in this public preview. The thesis and shared rules do not establish a performance record.
What this public preview can establish
- The dated rule snapshot above shows the conditions evaluated at that time. It does not prove a current trigger or executed trade.
- Technical strategy fields are shared above. Inspect the actual conditions and check when they were evaluated before relying on them.
- No trade count, win rate, or P&L figure is published in this preview. It cannot establish a performance record.
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