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Public trading strategy

Morgan Stanley racing to launch crypto funds — accumulate Solana and Ethereum

Created

Thesis

When a major bank like Morgan Stanley pushes to offer a crypto fund with ultra-low fees, it usually means they expect a massive wave of retail buyers to come in. By undercutting competitors on price, they force other funds to react, bringing immense mainstream attention to Ethereum and Solana. This structural shift builds a strong case for the underlying coins' value over the coming weeks.

Strategy approach

Build a swing trading strategy for SOL-USD. Entry conditions: Price is above the 200-day SMA, and RSI(14) crosses above 50 on the 4-hour timeframe. Exit conditions: Close below the 20-day EMA or RSI(14) reaches overbought conditions above 75. Max hold time of 10 days.

Markets and timeframes

ETH-SOL-4H

Latest published rule evaluation

Evaluated . This is a dated rule snapshot, not a live price or trade execution confirmation.

ETH- · 4h

Incomplete evidence; No entry condition values were published.

SOL- · 4h

Incomplete evidence; No entry condition values were published.

Entry and exit at a glance

These are the named rules in the shared configuration. Review the full conditions below before using a strategy.

  • Entry: Trend+Momentum+Support Reclaim Confluence Long (SOL@4h) (5 conditions)
  • Entry: Trend+Momentum+Support Reclaim Confluence Long (ETH@4h) (5 conditions)
  • Exit: Overbought RSI Exit (SOL@4h) (2 conditions)
  • Exit: Overbought RSI Exit (ETH@4h) (2 conditions)
  • Exit: TP: Fib Extension 127.2% (SOL@4h) (1 condition)
  • Exit: TP: Fib Extension 127.2% (ETH@4h) (1 condition)
  • Exit: SL: Below Support[2] (SOL@4h) (1 condition)
  • Exit: SL: Below Support[2] (ETH@4h) (1 condition)
  • Exit: Stop Loss at 2.6% (1 condition)
  • Exit: Take Profit at 5.2% (1 condition)
  • Exit: Time Stop: 10 Days Max Hold (60 x 4h bars) (1 condition)

Shared strategy rules

Rule configuration

{
  "data_dependencies": [
    {
      "symbol": "CRYPTO:SOL",
      "timeframe": "4h"
    },
    {
      "symbol": "CRYPTO:ETH",
      "timeframe": "4h"
    }
  ],
  "entry_rules": [
    {
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "CRYPTO:SOL",
              "timeframe": "4h"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "sma",
              "period": 200
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "CRYPTO:SOL",
              "timeframe": "4h"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "rsi",
              "period": 14
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "crossed_above",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 50
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "CRYPTO:SOL",
              "timeframe": "4h"
            },
            "field": "adx",
            "indicator": {
              "name": "adx",
              "period": 14
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 25
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "low",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "less_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "rank": 1,
            "type": "support_level"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "rank": 1,
            "type": "support_level"
          }
        }
      ],
      "direction": "long",
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "entry_1_sol",
      "name": "Trend+Momentum+Support Reclaim Confluence Long (SOL@4h)",
      "priority": 1,
      "trade_symbol": "CRYPTO:SOL"
    },
    {
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "CRYPTO:ETH",
              "timeframe": "4h"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "sma",
              "period": 200
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "CRYPTO:ETH",
              "timeframe": "4h"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "rsi",
              "period": 14
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "crossed_above",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 50
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "CRYPTO:ETH",
              "timeframe": "4h"
            },
            "field": "adx",
            "indicator": {
              "name": "adx",
              "period": 14
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 25
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "low",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "less_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "rank": 1,
            "type": "support_level"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "rank": 1,
            "type": "support_level"
          }
        }
      ],
      "direction": "long",
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "entry_1_eth",
      "name": "Trend+Momentum+Support Reclaim Confluence Long (ETH@4h)",
      "priority": 2,
      "trade_symbol": "CRYPTO:ETH"
    }
  ],
  "exit_rules": [
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "less_than",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "CRYPTO:SOL",
              "timeframe": "4h"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "ema",
              "period": 20
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "CRYPTO:SOL",
              "timeframe": "4h"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "rsi",
              "period": 14
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 75
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_1_sol",
      "name": "Overbought RSI Exit (SOL@4h)",
      "priority": 1,
      "purpose": "signal",
      "target_symbol": "CRYPTO:SOL"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "less_than",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "CRYPTO:ETH",
              "timeframe": "4h"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "ema",
              "period": 20
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "CRYPTO:ETH",
              "timeframe": "4h"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "rsi",
              "period": 14
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 75
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_1_eth",
      "name": "Overbought RSI Exit (ETH@4h)",
      "priority": 2,
      "purpose": "signal",
      "target_symbol": "CRYPTO:ETH"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "CRYPTO:SOL",
              "timeframe": "4h"
            },
            "ratio": 1272,
            "type": "fibonacci_extension"
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_2_sol",
      "name": "TP: Fib Extension 127.2% (SOL@4h)",
      "priority": 96,
      "purpose": "take_profit",
      "target_symbol": "CRYPTO:SOL"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "CRYPTO:ETH",
              "timeframe": "4h"
            },
            "ratio": 1272,
            "type": "fibonacci_extension"
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_2_eth",
      "name": "TP: Fib Extension 127.2% (ETH@4h)",
      "priority": 97,
      "purpose": "take_profit",
      "target_symbol": "CRYPTO:ETH"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "crossed_above",
          "right": {
            "rank": 2,
            "type": "support_level"
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_3_sol",
      "name": "SL: Below Support[2] (SOL@4h)",
      "priority": 100,
      "purpose": "stop_loss",
      "target_symbol": "CRYPTO:SOL"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "crossed_above",
          "right": {
            "rank": 2,
            "type": "support_level"
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_3_eth",
      "name": "SL: Below Support[2] (ETH@4h)",
      "priority": 101,
      "purpose": "stop_loss",
      "target_symbol": "CRYPTO:ETH"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
            "type": "position"
          },
          "operator": "less_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": -2.5907
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_4",
      "name": "Stop Loss at 2.6%",
      "priority": 100,
      "purpose": "stop_loss"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
            "type": "position"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 5.1814
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_5",
      "name": "Take Profit at 5.2%",
      "priority": 100,
      "purpose": "take_profit"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "holding_period_bars",
            "type": "position"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 60
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_6",
      "name": "Time Stop: 10 Days Max Hold (60 x 4h bars)",
      "priority": 99,
      "purpose": "signal"
    }
  ],
  "position_sizing": {
    "max_position_percent": 25,
    "method": {
      "risk_percent": 2.5907,
      "support_stop_rank": 2,
      "type": "fixed_risk"
    },
    "min_position_value": 100
  },
  "trigger_timeframe": "4h",
  "version": 2
}

Indicator configuration

{
  "indicators": [
    {
      "name": "rsi",
      "period": 14
    },
    {
      "name": "sma",
      "period": 200
    },
    {
      "name": "ema",
      "period": 20
    },
    {
      "name": "adx",
      "period": 14
    },
    {
      "name": "rsi",
      "period": 14
    },
    {
      "name": "sma",
      "period": 200
    },
    {
      "name": "ema",
      "period": 20
    },
    {
      "name": "adx",
      "period": 14
    }
  ]
}

Parsed strategy

{
  "data_dependencies": [
    {
      "symbol": "CRYPTO:SOL",
      "timeframe": "4h"
    },
    {
      "symbol": "CRYPTO:ETH",
      "timeframe": "4h"
    }
  ],
  "entry_rules": [
    {
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "CRYPTO:SOL",
              "timeframe": "4h"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "sma",
              "period": 200
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "CRYPTO:SOL",
              "timeframe": "4h"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "rsi",
              "period": 14
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "crossed_above",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 50
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "CRYPTO:SOL",
              "timeframe": "4h"
            },
            "field": "adx",
            "indicator": {
              "name": "adx",
              "period": 14
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 25
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "low",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "less_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "rank": 1,
            "type": "support_level"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "rank": 1,
            "type": "support_level"
          }
        }
      ],
      "direction": "long",
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "entry_1_sol",
      "name": "Trend+Momentum+Support Reclaim Confluence Long (SOL@4h)",
      "priority": 1,
      "trade_symbol": "CRYPTO:SOL"
    },
    {
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "CRYPTO:ETH",
              "timeframe": "4h"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "sma",
              "period": 200
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "CRYPTO:ETH",
              "timeframe": "4h"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "rsi",
              "period": 14
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "crossed_above",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 50
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "CRYPTO:ETH",
              "timeframe": "4h"
            },
            "field": "adx",
            "indicator": {
              "name": "adx",
              "period": 14
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 25
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "low",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "less_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "rank": 1,
            "type": "support_level"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "rank": 1,
            "type": "support_level"
          }
        }
      ],
      "direction": "long",
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "entry_1_eth",
      "name": "Trend+Momentum+Support Reclaim Confluence Long (ETH@4h)",
      "priority": 2,
      "trade_symbol": "CRYPTO:ETH"
    }
  ],
  "exit_rules": [
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "less_than",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "CRYPTO:SOL",
              "timeframe": "4h"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "ema",
              "period": 20
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "CRYPTO:SOL",
              "timeframe": "4h"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "rsi",
              "period": 14
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 75
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_1_sol",
      "name": "Overbought RSI Exit (SOL@4h)",
      "priority": 1,
      "purpose": "signal",
      "target_symbol": "CRYPTO:SOL"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "less_than",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "CRYPTO:ETH",
              "timeframe": "4h"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "ema",
              "period": 20
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "CRYPTO:ETH",
              "timeframe": "4h"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "rsi",
              "period": 14
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 75
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_1_eth",
      "name": "Overbought RSI Exit (ETH@4h)",
      "priority": 2,
      "purpose": "signal",
      "target_symbol": "CRYPTO:ETH"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "CRYPTO:SOL",
              "timeframe": "4h"
            },
            "ratio": 1272,
            "type": "fibonacci_extension"
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_2_sol",
      "name": "TP: Fib Extension 127.2% (SOL@4h)",
      "priority": 96,
      "purpose": "take_profit",
      "target_symbol": "CRYPTO:SOL"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "CRYPTO:ETH",
              "timeframe": "4h"
            },
            "ratio": 1272,
            "type": "fibonacci_extension"
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_2_eth",
      "name": "TP: Fib Extension 127.2% (ETH@4h)",
      "priority": 97,
      "purpose": "take_profit",
      "target_symbol": "CRYPTO:ETH"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "crossed_above",
          "right": {
            "rank": 2,
            "type": "support_level"
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_3_sol",
      "name": "SL: Below Support[2] (SOL@4h)",
      "priority": 100,
      "purpose": "stop_loss",
      "target_symbol": "CRYPTO:SOL"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "crossed_above",
          "right": {
            "rank": 2,
            "type": "support_level"
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_3_eth",
      "name": "SL: Below Support[2] (ETH@4h)",
      "priority": 101,
      "purpose": "stop_loss",
      "target_symbol": "CRYPTO:ETH"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
            "type": "position"
          },
          "operator": "less_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": -2.5907
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_4",
      "name": "Stop Loss at 2.6%",
      "priority": 100,
      "purpose": "stop_loss"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
            "type": "position"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 5.1814
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_5",
      "name": "Take Profit at 5.2%",
      "priority": 100,
      "purpose": "take_profit"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "holding_period_bars",
            "type": "position"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 60
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_6",
      "name": "Time Stop: 10 Days Max Hold (60 x 4h bars)",
      "priority": 99,
      "purpose": "signal"
    }
  ],
  "position_sizing": {
    "max_position_percent": 25,
    "method": {
      "risk_percent": 2.5907,
      "support_stop_rank": 2,
      "type": "fixed_risk"
    },
    "min_position_value": 100
  },
  "trigger_timeframe": "4h",
  "version": 2
}

Strategy instructions

Trading agent generated from recommendation idea 'Morgan Stanley racing to launch crypto funds — accumulate Solana and Ethereum'. Thesis: When a major bank like Morgan Stanley pushes to offer a crypto fund with ultra-low fees, it usually means they expect a massive wave of retail buyers to come in. By undercutting competitors on price, they force other funds to react, bringing immense mainstream attention to Ethereum and Solana. This structural shift builds a strong case for the underlying coins' value over the coming weeks.

Performance

No trade count, win rate, or realized P&L figures are provided in this public preview. The thesis and shared rules do not establish a performance record.

What this public preview can establish

  • The dated rule snapshot above shows the conditions evaluated at that time. It does not prove a current trigger or executed trade.
  • Technical strategy fields are shared above. Inspect the actual conditions and check when they were evaluated before relying on them.
  • No trade count, win rate, or P&L figure is published in this preview. It cannot establish a performance record.

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How CommonQuant researches and tests strategies · Public paper-trading record and its limits · Discover public strategies