Public trading strategy
Iran ceasefire drops oil prices — ride the emerging market rally
Created
Thesis
Many developing nations are huge importers of oil, so cheaper crude immediately improves their economies and corporate profit margins. As shipping lanes normalize, global trade flows more freely, boosting manufacturing and exports. With emerging markets breaking out to record highs, this shift in fundamentals provides a strong foundation for investors to jump into broad emerging market funds.
Strategy approach
Build a breakout strategy that enters long EEM on the D timeframe when price closes above the 20-day high (Donchian channel). Exit with a 7% trailing stop or if the price closes below the 20-day simple moving average. Max hold 30 days.
Markets and timeframes
Latest published rule evaluation
Evaluated . This is a dated rule snapshot, not a live price or trade execution confirmation.
EEM · 1d
2 of 6 published entry conditions marked met.
- Price crossed above Donchian (20) — near
- Donchian (20) above ADX (14) — met
- ATR (14) above 0.5 — unknown
- Price crossed above Donchian (20) — near
- Donchian (20) above ADX (14) — met
- ATR (14) above 0.5 — unknown
- Price below SMA (20) — near
VWO · 1d
2 of 6 published entry conditions marked met.
- Price crossed above Donchian (20) — near
- Donchian (20) above ADX (14) — met
- ATR (14) above 0.5 — unknown
- Price crossed above Donchian (20) — near
- Donchian (20) above ADX (14) — met
- ATR (14) above 0.5 — unknown
- Price below SMA (20) — near
Entry and exit at a glance
These are the named rules in the shared configuration. Review the full conditions below before using a strategy.
- Entry: DONCHIAN/ADX/ATR Crossover Long (EEM@1d) (4 conditions)
- Entry: DONCHIAN/ADX/ATR Crossover Long (VWO@1d) (4 conditions)
- Entry: DONCHIAN/ADX/ATR Crossover Long (EEM@1d) (3 conditions)
- Entry: DONCHIAN/ADX/ATR Crossover Long (VWO@1d) (3 conditions)
- Entry: Crossover Long (EEM@1d) (1 condition)
- Entry: Crossover Long (VWO@1d) (1 condition)
- Exit: Position Exit Rule (EEM@1d) (1 condition)
- Exit: Position Exit Rule (VWO@1d) (1 condition)
- Exit: TP: Near Resistance[2] (EEM@1d) (1 condition)
- Exit: TP: Near Resistance[2] (VWO@1d) (1 condition)
- Exit: SL: Below Support[1] (EEM@1d) (1 condition)
- Exit: SL: Below Support[1] (VWO@1d) (1 condition)
- Exit: Stop Loss at 2.6% (1 condition)
- Exit: Take Profit at 5.2% (1 condition)
Shared strategy rules
Rule configuration
{
"data_dependencies": [
{
"symbol": "EEM",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
{
"symbol": "VWO",
"timeframe": "1d"
}
],
"entry_rules": [
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "crossed_above",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "EEM",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "upper",
"indicator": {
"name": "donchian",
"period": 20
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "EEM",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "donchian",
"period": 20
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "EEM",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "adx",
"indicator": {
"name": "adx",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "EEM",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "atr",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 0.5
}
},
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "crossed_above",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "resistance_level"
}
}
],
"direction": "long",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_1_eem",
"name": "DONCHIAN/ADX/ATR Crossover Long (EEM@1d)",
"priority": 1,
"trade_symbol": "EEM"
},
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "crossed_above",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "VWO",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "upper",
"indicator": {
"name": "donchian",
"period": 20
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "VWO",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "donchian",
"period": 20
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "VWO",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "adx",
"indicator": {
"name": "adx",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "VWO",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "atr",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 0.5
}
},
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "crossed_above",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "resistance_level"
}
}
],
"direction": "long",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_1_vwo",
"name": "DONCHIAN/ADX/ATR Crossover Long (VWO@1d)",
"priority": 2,
"trade_symbol": "VWO"
},
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "crossed_above",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "EEM",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "upper",
"indicator": {
"name": "donchian",
"period": 20
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "EEM",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "donchian",
"period": 20
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "EEM",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "adx",
"indicator": {
"name": "adx",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "EEM",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "atr",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 0.5
}
}
],
"direction": "long",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_2_eem",
"name": "DONCHIAN/ADX/ATR Crossover Long (EEM@1d)",
"priority": 2,
"trade_symbol": "EEM"
},
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "crossed_above",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "VWO",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "upper",
"indicator": {
"name": "donchian",
"period": 20
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "VWO",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "donchian",
"period": 20
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "VWO",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "adx",
"indicator": {
"name": "adx",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "VWO",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "atr",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 0.5
}
}
],
"direction": "long",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_2_vwo",
"name": "DONCHIAN/ADX/ATR Crossover Long (VWO@1d)",
"priority": 3,
"trade_symbol": "VWO"
},
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "crossed_above",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "resistance_level"
}
}
],
"direction": "long",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_3_eem",
"name": "Crossover Long (EEM@1d)",
"priority": 2,
"trade_symbol": "EEM"
},
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "crossed_above",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "resistance_level"
}
}
],
"direction": "long",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_3_vwo",
"name": "Crossover Long (VWO@1d)",
"priority": 3,
"trade_symbol": "VWO"
}
],
"exit_rules": [
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "EEM",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "sma",
"period": 20
},
"type": "indicator"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_1_eem",
"name": "Position Exit Rule (EEM@1d)",
"priority": 1,
"purpose": "signal",
"target_symbol": "EEM"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "VWO",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "sma",
"period": 20
},
"type": "indicator"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_1_vwo",
"name": "Position Exit Rule (VWO@1d)",
"priority": 2,
"purpose": "signal",
"target_symbol": "VWO"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"rank": 2,
"type": "resistance_level"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_2_eem",
"name": "TP: Near Resistance[2] (EEM@1d)",
"priority": 97,
"purpose": "take_profit",
"target_symbol": "EEM"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"rank": 2,
"type": "resistance_level"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_2_vwo",
"name": "TP: Near Resistance[2] (VWO@1d)",
"priority": 98,
"purpose": "take_profit",
"target_symbol": "VWO"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "crossed_above",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "support_level"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_3_eem",
"name": "SL: Below Support[1] (EEM@1d)",
"priority": 100,
"purpose": "stop_loss",
"target_symbol": "EEM"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "crossed_above",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "support_level"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_3_vwo",
"name": "SL: Below Support[1] (VWO@1d)",
"priority": 101,
"purpose": "stop_loss",
"target_symbol": "VWO"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
"type": "position"
},
"operator": "less_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": -2.6204
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_4",
"name": "Stop Loss at 2.6%",
"priority": 100,
"purpose": "stop_loss"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
"type": "position"
},
"operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 5.2408
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_5",
"name": "Take Profit at 5.2%",
"priority": 100,
"purpose": "take_profit"
}
],
"position_sizing": {
"max_position_percent": 25,
"method": {
"risk_percent": 2.6204,
"support_stop_rank": 1,
"type": "fixed_risk"
},
"min_position_value": 100
},
"trigger_timeframe": "1d",
"version": 1
}Indicator configuration
{
"indicators": [
{
"name": "donchian",
"period": 20
},
{
"name": "sma",
"period": 20
},
{
"name": "adx",
"period": 14
},
{
"name": "atr",
"period": 14
},
{
"name": "donchian",
"period": 20
},
{
"name": "sma",
"period": 20
},
{
"name": "adx",
"period": 14
},
{
"name": "atr",
"period": 14
}
]
}Parsed strategy
{
"data_dependencies": [
{
"symbol": "EEM",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
{
"symbol": "VWO",
"timeframe": "1d"
}
],
"entry_rules": [
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "crossed_above",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "EEM",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "upper",
"indicator": {
"name": "donchian",
"period": 20
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "EEM",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "donchian",
"period": 20
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "EEM",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "adx",
"indicator": {
"name": "adx",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "EEM",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "atr",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 0.5
}
},
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "crossed_above",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "resistance_level"
}
}
],
"direction": "long",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_1_eem",
"name": "DONCHIAN/ADX/ATR Crossover Long (EEM@1d)",
"priority": 1,
"trade_symbol": "EEM"
},
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "crossed_above",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "VWO",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "upper",
"indicator": {
"name": "donchian",
"period": 20
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "VWO",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "donchian",
"period": 20
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "VWO",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "adx",
"indicator": {
"name": "adx",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "VWO",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "atr",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 0.5
}
},
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "crossed_above",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "resistance_level"
}
}
],
"direction": "long",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_1_vwo",
"name": "DONCHIAN/ADX/ATR Crossover Long (VWO@1d)",
"priority": 2,
"trade_symbol": "VWO"
},
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "crossed_above",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "EEM",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "upper",
"indicator": {
"name": "donchian",
"period": 20
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "EEM",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "donchian",
"period": 20
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "EEM",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "adx",
"indicator": {
"name": "adx",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "EEM",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "atr",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 0.5
}
}
],
"direction": "long",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_2_eem",
"name": "DONCHIAN/ADX/ATR Crossover Long (EEM@1d)",
"priority": 2,
"trade_symbol": "EEM"
},
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "crossed_above",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "VWO",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "upper",
"indicator": {
"name": "donchian",
"period": 20
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "VWO",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "donchian",
"period": 20
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "VWO",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "adx",
"indicator": {
"name": "adx",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "VWO",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "atr",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 0.5
}
}
],
"direction": "long",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_2_vwo",
"name": "DONCHIAN/ADX/ATR Crossover Long (VWO@1d)",
"priority": 3,
"trade_symbol": "VWO"
},
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "crossed_above",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "resistance_level"
}
}
],
"direction": "long",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_3_eem",
"name": "Crossover Long (EEM@1d)",
"priority": 2,
"trade_symbol": "EEM"
},
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "crossed_above",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "resistance_level"
}
}
],
"direction": "long",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_3_vwo",
"name": "Crossover Long (VWO@1d)",
"priority": 3,
"trade_symbol": "VWO"
}
],
"exit_rules": [
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "EEM",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "sma",
"period": 20
},
"type": "indicator"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_1_eem",
"name": "Position Exit Rule (EEM@1d)",
"priority": 1,
"purpose": "signal",
"target_symbol": "EEM"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "VWO",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "sma",
"period": 20
},
"type": "indicator"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_1_vwo",
"name": "Position Exit Rule (VWO@1d)",
"priority": 2,
"purpose": "signal",
"target_symbol": "VWO"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"rank": 2,
"type": "resistance_level"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_2_eem",
"name": "TP: Near Resistance[2] (EEM@1d)",
"priority": 97,
"purpose": "take_profit",
"target_symbol": "EEM"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"rank": 2,
"type": "resistance_level"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_2_vwo",
"name": "TP: Near Resistance[2] (VWO@1d)",
"priority": 98,
"purpose": "take_profit",
"target_symbol": "VWO"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "crossed_above",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "support_level"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_3_eem",
"name": "SL: Below Support[1] (EEM@1d)",
"priority": 100,
"purpose": "stop_loss",
"target_symbol": "EEM"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "crossed_above",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "support_level"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_3_vwo",
"name": "SL: Below Support[1] (VWO@1d)",
"priority": 101,
"purpose": "stop_loss",
"target_symbol": "VWO"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
"type": "position"
},
"operator": "less_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": -2.6204
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_4",
"name": "Stop Loss at 2.6%",
"priority": 100,
"purpose": "stop_loss"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
"type": "position"
},
"operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 5.2408
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_5",
"name": "Take Profit at 5.2%",
"priority": 100,
"purpose": "take_profit"
}
],
"position_sizing": {
"max_position_percent": 25,
"method": {
"risk_percent": 2.6204,
"support_stop_rank": 1,
"type": "fixed_risk"
},
"min_position_value": 100
},
"trigger_timeframe": "1d",
"version": 1
}Strategy instructions
Trading agent generated from recommendation idea 'Iran ceasefire drops oil prices — ride the emerging market rally'. Thesis: Many developing nations are huge importers of oil, so cheaper crude immediately improves their economies and corporate profit margins. As shipping lanes normalize, global trade flows more freely, boosting manufacturing and exports. With emerging markets breaking out to record highs, this shift in fundamentals provides a strong foundation for investors to jump into broad emerging market funds.
Performance
No trade count, win rate, or realized P&L figures are provided in this public preview. The thesis and shared rules do not establish a performance record.
What this public preview can establish
- The dated rule snapshot above shows the conditions evaluated at that time. It does not prove a current trigger or executed trade.
- Technical strategy fields are shared above. Inspect the actual conditions and check when they were evaluated before relying on them.
- No trade count, win rate, or P&L figure is published in this preview. It cannot establish a performance record.
Explore
How CommonQuant researches and tests strategies · Public paper-trading record and its limits · Discover public strategies