Public trading strategy
Value rotation and cheap debt fuel buyouts — long GFL Environmental
Created
Thesis
GFL Environmental exploring a take-private deal provides a clear, fundamental catalyst for upside that is uncorrelated to the volatility in the tech sector. Meanwhile, the Dow Jones hitting record highs shows capital is rotating into industrial and value stocks. Add in the President's aggressive push to keep interest rates low—which makes financing buyouts cheaper—and the environment for M&A is highly favorable. This is a low-risk way to play the market rotation.
Strategy approach
Build a merger arbitrage / momentum strategy that enters long GFL on D1 when volume spikes > 200% of the 20-day average and the stock breaks above its prior 10-day high. Exit if the stock drops 8% from entry, or hold for up to 45 days to capture the premium to the take-out price.
Markets and timeframes
GFLD1
Latest published rule evaluation
Evaluated . This is a dated rule snapshot, not a live price or trade execution confirmation.
GFL · 1d
0 of 9 published entry conditions marked met.
- OBV crossed above Price — unknown
- Price above Donchian (10) — near
- ADX (14) above 25 — near
- OBV crossed above Price — unknown
- Price above Donchian (10) — near
- ADX (14) above 25 — near
- OBV crossed above Price — unknown
- Price above Donchian (10) — near
- ADX (14) above 25 — near
Entry and exit at a glance
These are the named rules in the shared configuration. Review the full conditions below before using a strategy.
- Entry: OBV/DONCHIAN/ADX Crossover Long (GFL@1d) (4 conditions)
- Entry: OBV/DONCHIAN/ADX Crossover Long (RSG@1d) (4 conditions)
- Entry: OBV/DONCHIAN/ADX Crossover Long (WM@1d) (4 conditions)
- Exit: TP: Fib Extension 127.2% (GFL@1d) (1 condition)
- Exit: TP: Fib Extension 127.2% (RSG@1d) (1 condition)
- Exit: TP: Fib Extension 127.2% (WM@1d) (1 condition)
- Exit: SL: Below Support[1] (GFL@1d) (1 condition)
- Exit: SL: Below Support[1] (RSG@1d) (1 condition)
- Exit: SL: Below Support[1] (WM@1d) (1 condition)
- Exit: Stop Loss at 2.5% (1 condition)
- Exit: Take Profit at 4.9% (1 condition)
Shared strategy rules
Rule configuration
{
"data_dependencies": [
{
"symbol": "GFL",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
{
"symbol": "RSG",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
{
"symbol": "WM",
"timeframe": "1d"
}
],
"entry_rules": [
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "GFL",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "obv"
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "crossed_above",
"right": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
}
},
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "GFL",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "upper",
"indicator": {
"name": "donchian",
"period": 10
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "GFL",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "adx",
"indicator": {
"name": "adx",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 25
}
},
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "crossed_above",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "resistance_level"
}
}
],
"direction": "long",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_1_gfl",
"name": "OBV/DONCHIAN/ADX Crossover Long (GFL@1d)",
"priority": 1,
"trade_symbol": "GFL"
},
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "RSG",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "obv"
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "crossed_above",
"right": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
}
},
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "RSG",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "upper",
"indicator": {
"name": "donchian",
"period": 10
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "RSG",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "adx",
"indicator": {
"name": "adx",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 25
}
},
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "crossed_above",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "resistance_level"
}
}
],
"direction": "long",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_1_rsg",
"name": "OBV/DONCHIAN/ADX Crossover Long (RSG@1d)",
"priority": 2,
"trade_symbol": "RSG"
},
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "WM",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "obv"
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "crossed_above",
"right": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
}
},
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "WM",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "upper",
"indicator": {
"name": "donchian",
"period": 10
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "WM",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "adx",
"indicator": {
"name": "adx",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 25
}
},
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "crossed_above",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "resistance_level"
}
}
],
"direction": "long",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_1_wm",
"name": "OBV/DONCHIAN/ADX Crossover Long (WM@1d)",
"priority": 3,
"trade_symbol": "WM"
}
],
"exit_rules": [
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "GFL",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"ratio": 1272,
"type": "fibonacci_extension"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_1_gfl",
"name": "TP: Fib Extension 127.2% (GFL@1d)",
"priority": 97,
"purpose": "take_profit",
"target_symbol": "GFL"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "RSG",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"ratio": 1272,
"type": "fibonacci_extension"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_1_rsg",
"name": "TP: Fib Extension 127.2% (RSG@1d)",
"priority": 98,
"purpose": "take_profit",
"target_symbol": "RSG"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "WM",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"ratio": 1272,
"type": "fibonacci_extension"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_1_wm",
"name": "TP: Fib Extension 127.2% (WM@1d)",
"priority": 99,
"purpose": "take_profit",
"target_symbol": "WM"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "support_level"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_2_gfl",
"name": "SL: Below Support[1] (GFL@1d)",
"priority": 100,
"purpose": "stop_loss",
"target_symbol": "GFL"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "support_level"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_2_rsg",
"name": "SL: Below Support[1] (RSG@1d)",
"priority": 101,
"purpose": "stop_loss",
"target_symbol": "RSG"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "support_level"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_2_wm",
"name": "SL: Below Support[1] (WM@1d)",
"priority": 102,
"purpose": "stop_loss",
"target_symbol": "WM"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
"type": "position"
},
"operator": "less_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": -2.4736
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_3",
"name": "Stop Loss at 2.5%",
"priority": 100,
"purpose": "stop_loss"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
"type": "position"
},
"operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 4.9472000000000005
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_4",
"name": "Take Profit at 4.9%",
"priority": 100,
"purpose": "take_profit"
}
],
"position_sizing": {
"max_position_percent": 25,
"method": {
"fib_stop_ratio": 382,
"risk_percent": 2.4736,
"type": "fixed_risk"
},
"min_position_value": 100
},
"trigger_timeframe": "1d",
"version": 1
}Indicator configuration
{
"indicators": [
{
"name": "obv"
},
{
"name": "donchian",
"period": 10
},
{
"name": "adx",
"period": 14
},
{
"name": "obv"
},
{
"name": "donchian",
"period": 10
},
{
"name": "adx",
"period": 14
},
{
"name": "obv"
},
{
"name": "donchian",
"period": 10
},
{
"name": "adx",
"period": 14
}
]
}Parsed strategy
{
"data_dependencies": [
{
"symbol": "GFL",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
{
"symbol": "RSG",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
{
"symbol": "WM",
"timeframe": "1d"
}
],
"entry_rules": [
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "GFL",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "obv"
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "crossed_above",
"right": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
}
},
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "GFL",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "upper",
"indicator": {
"name": "donchian",
"period": 10
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "GFL",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "adx",
"indicator": {
"name": "adx",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 25
}
},
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "crossed_above",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "resistance_level"
}
}
],
"direction": "long",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_1_gfl",
"name": "OBV/DONCHIAN/ADX Crossover Long (GFL@1d)",
"priority": 1,
"trade_symbol": "GFL"
},
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "RSG",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "obv"
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "crossed_above",
"right": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
}
},
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "RSG",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "upper",
"indicator": {
"name": "donchian",
"period": 10
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "RSG",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "adx",
"indicator": {
"name": "adx",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 25
}
},
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "crossed_above",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "resistance_level"
}
}
],
"direction": "long",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_1_rsg",
"name": "OBV/DONCHIAN/ADX Crossover Long (RSG@1d)",
"priority": 2,
"trade_symbol": "RSG"
},
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "WM",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "obv"
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "crossed_above",
"right": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
}
},
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "WM",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "upper",
"indicator": {
"name": "donchian",
"period": 10
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "WM",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "adx",
"indicator": {
"name": "adx",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 25
}
},
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "crossed_above",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "resistance_level"
}
}
],
"direction": "long",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_1_wm",
"name": "OBV/DONCHIAN/ADX Crossover Long (WM@1d)",
"priority": 3,
"trade_symbol": "WM"
}
],
"exit_rules": [
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "GFL",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"ratio": 1272,
"type": "fibonacci_extension"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_1_gfl",
"name": "TP: Fib Extension 127.2% (GFL@1d)",
"priority": 97,
"purpose": "take_profit",
"target_symbol": "GFL"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "RSG",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"ratio": 1272,
"type": "fibonacci_extension"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_1_rsg",
"name": "TP: Fib Extension 127.2% (RSG@1d)",
"priority": 98,
"purpose": "take_profit",
"target_symbol": "RSG"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "WM",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"ratio": 1272,
"type": "fibonacci_extension"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_1_wm",
"name": "TP: Fib Extension 127.2% (WM@1d)",
"priority": 99,
"purpose": "take_profit",
"target_symbol": "WM"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "support_level"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_2_gfl",
"name": "SL: Below Support[1] (GFL@1d)",
"priority": 100,
"purpose": "stop_loss",
"target_symbol": "GFL"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "support_level"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_2_rsg",
"name": "SL: Below Support[1] (RSG@1d)",
"priority": 101,
"purpose": "stop_loss",
"target_symbol": "RSG"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "support_level"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_2_wm",
"name": "SL: Below Support[1] (WM@1d)",
"priority": 102,
"purpose": "stop_loss",
"target_symbol": "WM"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
"type": "position"
},
"operator": "less_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": -2.4736
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_3",
"name": "Stop Loss at 2.5%",
"priority": 100,
"purpose": "stop_loss"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
"type": "position"
},
"operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 4.9472000000000005
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_4",
"name": "Take Profit at 4.9%",
"priority": 100,
"purpose": "take_profit"
}
],
"position_sizing": {
"max_position_percent": 25,
"method": {
"fib_stop_ratio": 382,
"risk_percent": 2.4736,
"type": "fixed_risk"
},
"min_position_value": 100
},
"trigger_timeframe": "1d",
"version": 1
}Strategy instructions
Trading agent generated from recommendation idea 'Value rotation and cheap debt fuel buyouts — long GFL Environmental'. Thesis: GFL Environmental exploring a take-private deal provides a clear, fundamental catalyst for upside that is uncorrelated to the volatility in the tech sector. Meanwhile, the Dow Jones hitting record highs shows capital is rotating into industrial and value stocks. Add in the President's aggressive push to keep interest rates low—which makes financing buyouts cheaper—and the environment for M&A is highly favorable. This is a low-risk way to play the market rotation.
Performance
No trade count, win rate, or realized P&L figures are provided in this public preview. The thesis and shared rules do not establish a performance record.
What this public preview can establish
- The dated rule snapshot above shows the conditions evaluated at that time. It does not prove a current trigger or executed trade.
- Technical strategy fields are shared above. Inspect the actual conditions and check when they were evaluated before relying on them.
- No trade count, win rate, or P&L figure is published in this preview. It cannot establish a performance record.
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