Public trading strategy
Unprofitable EV makers are flooding the market with new shares while war spikes
Created
Thesis
We are seeing a perfect storm for cash-burning green energy and EV stocks. On the corporate side, companies like Rivian and FuelCell Energy are printing millions of new shares to raise cash, which severely dilutes existing shareholders and sends their stock prices spiraling downward. On the macro side, Trump declaring the Iran ceasefire 'over' is causing a massive spike in traditional oil prices. When gasoline gets dramatically more expensive due to war, it creates economic uncertainty, but the immediate market reaction is a flight to profitability—punishing speculative, money-losing green tech companies even harder.
Strategy approach
Build a rule-based strategy that enters short LCID on D1 when WTI Crude Oil (CL=F) closes up >4% and the alternative energy ETF (PBW) drops >3% on the same day. Exit if oil reverts down 3%, or hold with a 5% stop loss above entry.
Markets and timeframes
Entry and exit at a glance
These are the named rules in the shared configuration. Review the full conditions below before using a strategy.
- Entry: Oil Spike Breakout Long (USO@1d) (2 conditions)
- Exit: Oil Reversion Exit (USO@1d) (1 condition)
- Exit: Stop Loss at 5% (1 condition)
- Exit: Take Profit at 5.4% (1 condition)
- Exit: Time Stop After 10 Sessions (1 condition)
Shared strategy rules
Rule configuration
{
"data_dependencies": [
{
"symbol": "STOCK:USO",
"timeframe": "1d"
}
],
"entry_rules": [
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:USO",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "roc",
"period": 1
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 2
}
},
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "crossed_above",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "resistance_level"
}
}
],
"direction": "long",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_1",
"name": "Oil Spike Breakout Long (USO@1d)",
"priority": 1,
"trade_symbol": "STOCK:USO"
}
],
"exit_rules": [
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:USO",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "roc",
"period": 1
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": -3
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_1",
"name": "Oil Reversion Exit (USO@1d)",
"priority": 1,
"purpose": "signal",
"target_symbol": "STOCK:USO"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
"type": "position"
},
"operator": "less_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": -5
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_2",
"name": "Stop Loss at 5%",
"priority": 100,
"purpose": "stop_loss"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
"type": "position"
},
"operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 5.4
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_3",
"name": "Take Profit at 5.4%",
"priority": 100,
"purpose": "take_profit"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "holding_period_bars",
"type": "position"
},
"operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 10
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_4",
"name": "Time Stop After 10 Sessions",
"priority": 90,
"purpose": "signal"
}
],
"position_sizing": {
"max_position_percent": 25,
"method": {
"resistance_stop_rank": 2,
"risk_percent": 2,
"type": "fixed_risk"
},
"min_position_value": 100
},
"trigger_timeframe": "1d",
"version": 2
}Indicator configuration
{
"indicators": [
{
"name": "roc",
"period": 1
},
{
"name": "momentum",
"period": 10
}
]
}Parsed strategy
{
"data_dependencies": [
{
"symbol": "STOCK:USO",
"timeframe": "1d"
}
],
"entry_rules": [
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:USO",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "roc",
"period": 1
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 2
}
},
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "crossed_above",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "resistance_level"
}
}
],
"direction": "long",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_1",
"name": "Oil Spike Breakout Long (USO@1d)",
"priority": 1,
"trade_symbol": "STOCK:USO"
}
],
"exit_rules": [
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:USO",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "roc",
"period": 1
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": -3
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_1",
"name": "Oil Reversion Exit (USO@1d)",
"priority": 1,
"purpose": "signal",
"target_symbol": "STOCK:USO"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
"type": "position"
},
"operator": "less_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": -5
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_2",
"name": "Stop Loss at 5%",
"priority": 100,
"purpose": "stop_loss"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
"type": "position"
},
"operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 5.4
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_3",
"name": "Take Profit at 5.4%",
"priority": 100,
"purpose": "take_profit"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "holding_period_bars",
"type": "position"
},
"operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 10
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_4",
"name": "Time Stop After 10 Sessions",
"priority": 90,
"purpose": "signal"
}
],
"position_sizing": {
"max_position_percent": 25,
"method": {
"resistance_stop_rank": 2,
"risk_percent": 2,
"type": "fixed_risk"
},
"min_position_value": 100
},
"trigger_timeframe": "1d",
"version": 2
}Strategy instructions
Trading agent generated from recommendation idea 'Unprofitable EV makers are flooding the market with new shares while war spikes oil prices — short green energy'. Thesis: We are seeing a perfect storm for cash-burning green energy and EV stocks. On the corporate side, companies like Rivian and FuelCell Energy are printing millions of new shares to raise cash, which severely dilutes existing shareholders and sends their stock prices spiraling downward. On the macro side, Trump declaring the Iran ceasefire 'over' is causing a massive spike in traditional oil prices. When gasoline gets dramatically more expensive due to war, it creates economic uncertainty, but the immediate market reaction is a flight to profitability—punishing speculative, money-losing green tech companies even harder.
Performance
No trade count, win rate, or realized P&L figures are provided in this public preview. The thesis and shared rules do not establish a performance record.
What this public preview can establish
- The thesis and strategy approach describe a market view. They do not show whether an entry or exit condition is currently met.
- Technical strategy fields are shared above. Inspect the actual conditions and check when they were evaluated before relying on them.
- No trade count, win rate, or P&L figure is published in this preview. It cannot establish a performance record.
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