Canadian tariffs on U.S. steel and aluminum effectively raise the price of impor
Created
Thesis
Canadian tariffs on U.S. steel and aluminum effectively raise the price of imported metal, handing American steelmakers a protected market and pricing power. At the same time, oil near $100 on Strait of Hormuz disruptions is feeding a broader hard-asset inflation rally. When trade barriers and energy shocks hit together, domestic commodity producers historically outperform. This combines two separate shocks — a trade war and a war-driven supply crunch — into one inflation-hedge trade on U.S. steel.
Strategy approach
Canadian tariffs on U.S. steel and aluminum effectively raise the price of imported metal, handing American steelmakers a protected market and pricing power. At the same time, oil near $100 on Strait of Hormuz disruptions is feeding a broader hard-asset inflation rally. When trade barriers and energy shocks hit together, domestic commodity producers historically outperform. This combines two separate shocks — a trade war and a war-driven supply crunch — into one inflation-hedge trade on U.S. steel. Decision analysis profile: value. Required dimensions: valuation_method, valuation_sensitivity, business_economics, cash_quality, balance_sheet_leverage, dilution_capital_allocation, moat, catalysts, counterevidence, invalidation.
Markets and timeframes
Latest published rule evaluation
Evaluated . This is a dated rule snapshot, not a live price or trade execution confirmation.
CLF · 1d
4 of 8 published entry conditions marked met.
- SMA (50) crossed above SMA (200) — near
- Price above SMA (50) — met
- RSI (14) above 50 — met
- MACD (12,26,9) crossed above MACD (12,26,9) — near
- SMA (50) crossed above SMA (200) — near
- Price above SMA (50) — met
- RSI (14) above 50 — met
- MACD (12,26,9) crossed above MACD (12,26,9) — near
- RSI (14) below 50 — far
- Price below SMA (50) — far
- SMA (50) crossed below SMA (200) — near
NUE · 1d
4 of 8 published entry conditions marked met.
- SMA (50) crossed above SMA (200) — far
- Price above SMA (50) — met
- RSI (14) above 50 — met
- MACD (12,26,9) crossed above MACD (12,26,9) — near
- SMA (50) crossed above SMA (200) — far
- Price above SMA (50) — met
- RSI (14) above 50 — met
- MACD (12,26,9) crossed above MACD (12,26,9) — near
- RSI (14) below 50 — far
- Price below SMA (50) — far
- SMA (50) crossed below SMA (200) — far
X · 1d
Incomplete evidence; No entry condition values were published.
Entry and exit at a glance
These are the named rules in the shared configuration. Review the full conditions below before using a strategy.
- Entry: SMA/RSI/MACD Crossover Long (NUE@1d) (4 conditions)
- Entry: SMA/RSI/MACD Crossover Long (CLF@1d) (4 conditions)
- Entry: SMA/RSI/MACD Crossover Long (NUE@1d) (4 conditions)
- Entry: SMA/RSI/MACD Crossover Long (CLF@1d) (4 conditions)
- Entry: Long Entry Signal (NUE@1d) (2 conditions)
- Entry: Long Entry Signal (CLF@1d) (2 conditions)
- Exit: SMA Crosses Below Exit (NUE@1d) (4 conditions)
- Exit: SMA Crosses Below Exit (CLF@1d) (4 conditions)
- Exit: TP: Near Resistance[2] (NUE@1d) (1 condition)
- Exit: TP: Near Resistance[2] (CLF@1d) (1 condition)
- Exit: SL: Fib Retracement 78.6% (NUE@1d) (1 condition)
- Exit: SL: Fib Retracement 78.6% (CLF@1d) (1 condition)
- Exit: Stop Loss at 2.0% (1 condition)
- Exit: Take Profit at 4.0% (1 condition)
Shared strategy rules
Rule configuration
{
"data_dependencies": [
{
"symbol": "STOCK:NUE",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
{
"symbol": "STOCK:CLF",
"timeframe": "1d"
}
],
"entry_rules": [
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:NUE",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "sma",
"period": 50
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "crossed_above",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:NUE",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "sma",
"period": 200
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:NUE",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:NUE",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "sma",
"period": 50
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:NUE",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 50
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:NUE",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "line",
"indicator": {
"fast": 12,
"name": "macd",
"signal": 9,
"slow": 26
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "crossed_above",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:NUE",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "signal",
"indicator": {
"fast": 12,
"name": "macd",
"signal": 9,
"slow": 26
},
"type": "indicator"
}
}
],
"direction": "long",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_1_nue",
"name": "SMA/RSI/MACD Crossover Long (NUE@1d)",
"priority": 1,
"trade_symbol": "STOCK:NUE"
},
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:CLF",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "sma",
"period": 50
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "crossed_above",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:CLF",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "sma",
"period": 200
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:CLF",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:CLF",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "sma",
"period": 50
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:CLF",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 50
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:CLF",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "line",
"indicator": {
"fast": 12,
"name": "macd",
"signal": 9,
"slow": 26
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "crossed_above",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:CLF",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "signal",
"indicator": {
"fast": 12,
"name": "macd",
"signal": 9,
"slow": 26
},
"type": "indicator"
}
}
],
"direction": "long",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_1_clf",
"name": "SMA/RSI/MACD Crossover Long (CLF@1d)",
"priority": 2,
"trade_symbol": "STOCK:CLF"
},
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:NUE",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "sma",
"period": 50
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "crossed_above",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:NUE",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "sma",
"period": 200
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:NUE",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:NUE",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "sma",
"period": 50
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:NUE",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 50
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:NUE",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "line",
"indicator": {
"fast": 12,
"name": "macd",
"signal": 9,
"slow": 26
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "crossed_above",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:NUE",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "signal",
"indicator": {
"fast": 12,
"name": "macd",
"signal": 9,
"slow": 26
},
"type": "indicator"
}
}
],
"direction": "long",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_2_nue",
"name": "SMA/RSI/MACD Crossover Long (NUE@1d)",
"priority": 2,
"trade_symbol": "STOCK:NUE"
},
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:CLF",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "sma",
"period": 50
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "crossed_above",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:CLF",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "sma",
"period": 200
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:CLF",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:CLF",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "sma",
"period": 50
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:CLF",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 50
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:CLF",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "line",
"indicator": {
"fast": 12,
"name": "macd",
"signal": 9,
"slow": 26
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "crossed_above",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:CLF",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "signal",
"indicator": {
"fast": 12,
"name": "macd",
"signal": 9,
"slow": 26
},
"type": "indicator"
}
}
],
"direction": "long",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_2_clf",
"name": "SMA/RSI/MACD Crossover Long (CLF@1d)",
"priority": 3,
"trade_symbol": "STOCK:CLF"
},
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:NUE",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "low",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:NUE",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"ratio": 618,
"type": "fibonacci_retracement"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:NUE",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:NUE",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"ratio": 618,
"type": "fibonacci_retracement"
}
}
],
"direction": "long",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_3_nue",
"name": "Long Entry Signal (NUE@1d)",
"priority": 2,
"trade_symbol": "STOCK:NUE"
},
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:CLF",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "low",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:CLF",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"ratio": 618,
"type": "fibonacci_retracement"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:CLF",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:CLF",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"ratio": 618,
"type": "fibonacci_retracement"
}
}
],
"direction": "long",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_3_clf",
"name": "Long Entry Signal (CLF@1d)",
"priority": 3,
"trade_symbol": "STOCK:CLF"
}
],
"exit_rules": [
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:NUE",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 50
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:NUE",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:NUE",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "sma",
"period": 50
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:NUE",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "sma",
"period": 50
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "crossed_below",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:NUE",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "sma",
"period": 200
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"field": "holding_period_bars",
"type": "position"
},
"operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 90
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_1_nue",
"name": "SMA Crosses Below Exit (NUE@1d)",
"priority": 1,
"purpose": "signal",
"target_symbol": "STOCK:NUE"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:CLF",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 50
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:CLF",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:CLF",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "sma",
"period": 50
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:CLF",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "sma",
"period": 50
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "crossed_below",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:CLF",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "sma",
"period": 200
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"field": "holding_period_bars",
"type": "position"
},
"operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 90
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_1_clf",
"name": "SMA Crosses Below Exit (CLF@1d)",
"priority": 2,
"purpose": "signal",
"target_symbol": "STOCK:CLF"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:NUE",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"rank": 2,
"type": "resistance_level"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_2_nue",
"name": "TP: Near Resistance[2] (NUE@1d)",
"priority": 96,
"purpose": "take_profit",
"target_symbol": "STOCK:NUE"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:CLF",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"rank": 2,
"type": "resistance_level"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_2_clf",
"name": "TP: Near Resistance[2] (CLF@1d)",
"priority": 97,
"purpose": "take_profit",
"target_symbol": "STOCK:CLF"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:NUE",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:NUE",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"ratio": 786,
"type": "fibonacci_retracement"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_3_nue",
"name": "SL: Fib Retracement 78.6% (NUE@1d)",
"priority": 100,
"purpose": "stop_loss",
"target_symbol": "STOCK:NUE"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:CLF",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:CLF",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"ratio": 786,
"type": "fibonacci_retracement"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_3_clf",
"name": "SL: Fib Retracement 78.6% (CLF@1d)",
"priority": 101,
"purpose": "stop_loss",
"target_symbol": "STOCK:CLF"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
"type": "position"
},
"operator": "less_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": -2
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_4",
"name": "Stop Loss at 2.0%",
"priority": 100,
"purpose": "stop_loss"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
"type": "position"
},
"operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 4
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_5",
"name": "Take Profit at 4.0%",
"priority": 100,
"purpose": "take_profit"
}
],
"position_sizing": {
"max_position_percent": 25,
"method": {
"fib_stop_ratio": 786,
"risk_percent": 2,
"type": "fixed_risk"
},
"min_position_value": 100
},
"trigger_timeframe": "1d",
"version": 1
}Indicator configuration
{
"indicators": [
{
"name": "sma",
"period": 50
},
{
"name": "sma",
"period": 200
},
{
"name": "sma",
"period": 20
},
{
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
},
{
"fast": 12,
"name": "macd",
"signal": 9,
"slow": 26
},
{
"name": "sma",
"period": 50
},
{
"name": "sma",
"period": 200
},
{
"name": "sma",
"period": 20
},
{
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
},
{
"fast": 12,
"name": "macd",
"signal": 9,
"slow": 26
}
]
}Parsed strategy
{
"data_dependencies": [
{
"symbol": "STOCK:NUE",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
{
"symbol": "STOCK:CLF",
"timeframe": "1d"
}
],
"entry_rules": [
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:NUE",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "sma",
"period": 50
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "crossed_above",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:NUE",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "sma",
"period": 200
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:NUE",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:NUE",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "sma",
"period": 50
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:NUE",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 50
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:NUE",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "line",
"indicator": {
"fast": 12,
"name": "macd",
"signal": 9,
"slow": 26
},
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}Strategy instructions
Trading agent generated from recommendation idea 'Canadian tariffs on U.S. steel and aluminum effectively raise the price of imported metal, handing American steelmakers a protected market and pricing power. At the same time, oil near $100 on Strait of Hormuz disruptions is feeding a broader hard-asset i'. Thesis: Canadian tariffs on U.S. steel and aluminum effectively raise the price of imported metal, handing American steelmakers a protected market and pricing power. At the same time, oil near $100 on Strait of Hormuz disruptions is feeding a broader hard-asset inflation rally. When trade barriers and energy shocks hit together, domestic commodity producers historically outperform. This combines two separate shocks — a trade war and a war-driven supply crunch — into one inflation-hedge trade on U.S. steel.
Performance
No trade count, win rate, or realized P&L figures are provided in this public preview. The thesis and shared rules do not establish a performance record.
What this public preview can establish
- The dated rule snapshot above shows the conditions evaluated at that time. It does not prove a current trigger or executed trade.
- Technical strategy fields are shared above. Inspect the actual conditions and check when they were evaluated before relying on them.
- No trade count, win rate, or P&L figure is published in this preview. It cannot establish a performance record.
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