Public trading strategy
Memory chip boom is eating Apple's profits — long Micron, short Apple
Created
Thesis
Micron's blowout quarter has essentially locked in $100 billion in future sales, driven by an insatiable AI need for memory chips. This is causing a 'hundred-year flood' of high costs for buyers like Apple, who rely heavily on those same chips for iPhones and Macs. Connecting Micron's historic boom directly to Apple's margin panic, this trade is designed to profit from the growing gap between who is making money off AI hardware (Micron) and who is getting squeezed by it (Apple).
Strategy approach
Build a pair-trade strategy that goes long MU and short AAPL on D1. Enter when MU gaps up >5% on earnings and AAPL drops >3% on the same day. Exit on a 21-day hold or if the 14-day spread between MU and AAPL performance reverts to its 50-day moving average.
Markets and timeframes
Latest published rule evaluation
Evaluated . This is a dated rule snapshot, not a live price or trade execution confirmation.
AAPL · 1d
0 of 2 published entry conditions marked met.
- ROC (1) below -2 — far
- SMA (14) below SMA (50) — near
MU · 1d
1 of 2 published entry conditions marked met.
- ROC (1) above 3 — far
- SMA (14) above SMA (50) — met
Entry and exit at a glance
These are the named rules in the shared configuration. Review the full conditions below before using a strategy.
- Entry: MU Memory-Boom Momentum Long (MU@1d) (2 conditions)
- Entry: AAPL Memory-Cost Squeeze Short (AAPL@1d) (2 conditions)
- Exit: 21-Day Time Stop (1 condition)
- Exit: Stop Loss at 2.5% (1 condition)
- Exit: Take Profit at 5.1% (1 condition)
Shared strategy rules
Rule configuration
{
"data_dependencies": [
{
"symbol": "STOCK:AAPL",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
{
"symbol": "STOCK:MU",
"timeframe": "1d"
}
],
"entry_rules": [
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:MU",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "roc",
"period": 1
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 3
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:MU",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "sma",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:MU",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "sma",
"period": 50
},
"type": "indicator"
}
}
],
"direction": "long",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_mu",
"name": "MU Memory-Boom Momentum Long (MU@1d)",
"priority": 1,
"trade_symbol": "STOCK:MU"
},
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:AAPL",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "roc",
"period": 1
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": -2
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:AAPL",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "sma",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:AAPL",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "sma",
"period": 50
},
"type": "indicator"
}
}
],
"direction": "short",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_aapl",
"name": "AAPL Memory-Cost Squeeze Short (AAPL@1d)",
"priority": 1,
"trade_symbol": "STOCK:AAPL"
}
],
"exit_rules": [
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "holding_period_bars",
"type": "position"
},
"operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 21
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_time",
"name": "21-Day Time Stop",
"priority": 90,
"purpose": "invalidation",
"target_symbol": "STOCK:AAPL"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
"type": "position"
},
"operator": "less_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": -2.5278
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_sl",
"name": "Stop Loss at 2.5%",
"priority": 100,
"purpose": "stop_loss"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
"type": "position"
},
"operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 5.0556
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_tp",
"name": "Take Profit at 5.1%",
"priority": 100,
"purpose": "take_profit"
}
],
"position_sizing": {
"max_position_percent": 25,
"method": {
"risk_percent": 2.5278,
"type": "fixed_risk"
},
"min_position_value": 100
},
"trigger_timeframe": "1d",
"version": 2
}Indicator configuration
{
"indicators": [
{
"name": "roc",
"period": 1
},
{
"name": "sma",
"period": 50
},
{
"name": "sma",
"period": 14
}
]
}Parsed strategy
{
"data_dependencies": [
{
"symbol": "STOCK:AAPL",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
{
"symbol": "STOCK:MU",
"timeframe": "1d"
}
],
"entry_rules": [
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:MU",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "roc",
"period": 1
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 3
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:MU",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "sma",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:MU",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "sma",
"period": 50
},
"type": "indicator"
}
}
],
"direction": "long",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_mu",
"name": "MU Memory-Boom Momentum Long (MU@1d)",
"priority": 1,
"trade_symbol": "STOCK:MU"
},
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:AAPL",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "roc",
"period": 1
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": -2
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:AAPL",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "sma",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:AAPL",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "sma",
"period": 50
},
"type": "indicator"
}
}
],
"direction": "short",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_aapl",
"name": "AAPL Memory-Cost Squeeze Short (AAPL@1d)",
"priority": 1,
"trade_symbol": "STOCK:AAPL"
}
],
"exit_rules": [
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "holding_period_bars",
"type": "position"
},
"operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 21
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_time",
"name": "21-Day Time Stop",
"priority": 90,
"purpose": "invalidation",
"target_symbol": "STOCK:AAPL"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
"type": "position"
},
"operator": "less_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": -2.5278
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_sl",
"name": "Stop Loss at 2.5%",
"priority": 100,
"purpose": "stop_loss"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
"type": "position"
},
"operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 5.0556
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_tp",
"name": "Take Profit at 5.1%",
"priority": 100,
"purpose": "take_profit"
}
],
"position_sizing": {
"max_position_percent": 25,
"method": {
"risk_percent": 2.5278,
"type": "fixed_risk"
},
"min_position_value": 100
},
"trigger_timeframe": "1d",
"version": 2
}Strategy instructions
Trading agent generated from recommendation idea 'Memory chip boom is eating Apple's profits — long Micron, short Apple'. Thesis: Micron's blowout quarter has essentially locked in $100 billion in future sales, driven by an insatiable AI need for memory chips. This is causing a 'hundred-year flood' of high costs for buyers like Apple, who rely heavily on those same chips for iPhones and Macs. Connecting Micron's historic boom directly to Apple's margin panic, this trade is designed to profit from the growing gap between who is making money off AI hardware (Micron) and who is getting squeezed by it (Apple).
Performance
No trade count, win rate, or realized P&L figures are provided in this public preview. The thesis and shared rules do not establish a performance record.
What this public preview can establish
- The dated rule snapshot above shows the conditions evaluated at that time. It does not prove a current trigger or executed trade.
- Technical strategy fields are shared above. Inspect the actual conditions and check when they were evaluated before relying on them.
- No trade count, win rate, or P&L figure is published in this preview. It cannot establish a performance record.
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