COIN Catalyst Pullback Strategy
Created
Thesis
A law that locks seized Bitcoin away for two decades is a structural supply squeeze — the government becomes a permanent holder instead of a periodic seller, and every step the bill takes toward law is a fresh positive headline. Meanwhile, Wall Street forecasters are far more bullish than prediction markets, meaning expectations have room to catch up if momentum builds. Bitcoin has been selling off for macro reasons, so a genuine regulatory catalyst could spark a sharp reversal as forced-out money flows back in. The trade is to get long ahead of further legislative progress, not after it passes.
Strategy approach
A law that locks seized Bitcoin away for two decades is a structural supply squeeze — the government becomes a permanent holder instead of a periodic seller, and every step the bill takes toward law is a fresh positive headline. Meanwhile, Wall Street forecasters are far more bullish than prediction markets, meaning expectations have room to catch up if momentum builds. Bitcoin has been selling off for macro reasons, so a genuine regulatory catalyst could spark a sharp reversal as forced-out money flows back in. The trade is to get long ahead of further legislative progress, not after it passes. Decision analysis profile: near_term. Required dimensions: as_of_session, catalyst_timing, expectations_priced_in, price_volume, liquidity_spread_volatility, dilution_capital_allocation, downside,…
Markets and timeframes
Latest published rule evaluation
Evaluated . This is a dated rule snapshot, not a live price or trade execution confirmation.
COIN · 1d
2 of 4 published entry conditions marked met.
- Price at or below EMA (50) — met
- RSI (14) crossed above 40 — far
- Price above EMA (50) — near
- RSI (14) below 60 — met
IBIT · 1d
2 of 4 published entry conditions marked met.
- Price at or below EMA (50) — far
- RSI (14) crossed above 40 — far
- Price above EMA (50) — met
- RSI (14) below 60 — met
Entry and exit at a glance
These are the named rules in the shared configuration. Review the full conditions below before using a strategy.
- Entry: Pullback-to-Support Reclaim Long (COIN@1d) (4 conditions)
- Entry: Pullback-to-Support Reclaim Long (IBIT@1d) (4 conditions)
- Exit: Time Stop at 60 Trading Days (1 condition)
- Exit: TP: Prior Resistance via Fibonacci Extension 127.2% (COIN@1d) (1 condition)
- Exit: TP: Prior Resistance via Fibonacci Extension 127.2% (IBIT@1d) (1 condition)
- Exit: Invalidation: Confirmed Support Zone Lost at Fibonacci Retracement 78.6% (COIN@1d) (1 condition)
- Exit: Invalidation: Confirmed Support Zone Lost at Fibonacci Retracement 78.6% (IBIT@1d) (1 condition)
Shared strategy rules
Rule configuration
{
"data_dependencies": [
{
"symbol": "STOCK:COIN",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
{
"symbol": "STOCK:IBIT",
"timeframe": "1d"
}
],
"entry_rules": [
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:COIN",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "low",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:COIN",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "ema",
"period": 50
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:COIN",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "crossed_above",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 40
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:COIN",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:COIN",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "ema",
"period": 50
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:COIN",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "rsi",
"indicator": {
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 60
}
}
],
"direction": "long",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_1_coin",
"name": "Pullback-to-Support Reclaim Long (COIN@1d)",
"priority": 1,
"trade_symbol": "STOCK:COIN"
},
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:IBIT",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "low",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:IBIT",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "ema",
"period": 50
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:IBIT",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "crossed_above",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 40
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:IBIT",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:IBIT",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "ema",
"period": 50
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:IBIT",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "rsi",
"indicator": {
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 60
}
}
],
"direction": "long",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_1_ibit",
"name": "Pullback-to-Support Reclaim Long (IBIT@1d)",
"priority": 2,
"trade_symbol": "STOCK:IBIT"
}
],
"exit_rules": [
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "holding_period_bars",
"type": "position"
},
"operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 60
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_1",
"name": "Time Stop at 60 Trading Days",
"priority": 1,
"purpose": "signal"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:COIN",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:COIN",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"ratio": 1272,
"type": "fibonacci_extension"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_2_coin",
"name": "TP: Prior Resistance via Fibonacci Extension 127.2% (COIN@1d)",
"priority": 97,
"purpose": "take_profit",
"target_symbol": "STOCK:COIN"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:IBIT",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:IBIT",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"ratio": 1272,
"type": "fibonacci_extension"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_2_ibit",
"name": "TP: Prior Resistance via Fibonacci Extension 127.2% (IBIT@1d)",
"priority": 98,
"purpose": "take_profit",
"target_symbol": "STOCK:IBIT"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:COIN",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:COIN",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"ratio": 786,
"type": "fibonacci_retracement"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_3_coin",
"name": "Invalidation: Confirmed Support Zone Lost at Fibonacci Retracement 78.6% (COIN@1d)",
"priority": 100,
"purpose": "stop_loss",
"target_symbol": "STOCK:COIN"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:IBIT",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:IBIT",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"ratio": 786,
"type": "fibonacci_retracement"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_3_ibit",
"name": "Invalidation: Confirmed Support Zone Lost at Fibonacci Retracement 78.6% (IBIT@1d)",
"priority": 101,
"purpose": "stop_loss",
"target_symbol": "STOCK:IBIT"
}
],
"position_sizing": {
"max_position_percent": 25,
"method": {
"fib_stop_ratio": 786,
"risk_percent": 2.485,
"type": "fixed_risk"
},
"min_position_value": 100
},
"trigger_timeframe": "1d",
"version": 2
}Indicator configuration
{
"indicators": [
{
"name": "ema",
"period": 50
},
{
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
},
{
"name": "adx",
"period": 14
},
{
"name": "ema",
"period": 50
},
{
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
},
{
"name": "adx",
"period": 14
}
]
}Parsed strategy
{
"data_dependencies": [
{
"symbol": "STOCK:COIN",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
{
"symbol": "STOCK:IBIT",
"timeframe": "1d"
}
],
"entry_rules": [
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:COIN",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "low",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:COIN",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "ema",
"period": 50
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:COIN",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "crossed_above",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 40
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:COIN",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:COIN",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "ema",
"period": 50
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:COIN",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "rsi",
"indicator": {
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 60
}
}
],
"direction": "long",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_1_coin",
"name": "Pullback-to-Support Reclaim Long (COIN@1d)",
"priority": 1,
"trade_symbol": "STOCK:COIN"
},
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:IBIT",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "low",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:IBIT",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "ema",
"period": 50
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:IBIT",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "crossed_above",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 40
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:IBIT",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:IBIT",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "ema",
"period": 50
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:IBIT",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "rsi",
"indicator": {
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 60
}
}
],
"direction": "long",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_1_ibit",
"name": "Pullback-to-Support Reclaim Long (IBIT@1d)",
"priority": 2,
"trade_symbol": "STOCK:IBIT"
}
],
"exit_rules": [
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "holding_period_bars",
"type": "position"
},
"operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 60
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_1",
"name": "Time Stop at 60 Trading Days",
"priority": 1,
"purpose": "signal"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:COIN",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:COIN",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"ratio": 1272,
"type": "fibonacci_extension"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_2_coin",
"name": "TP: Prior Resistance via Fibonacci Extension 127.2% (COIN@1d)",
"priority": 97,
"purpose": "take_profit",
"target_symbol": "STOCK:COIN"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:IBIT",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:IBIT",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"ratio": 1272,
"type": "fibonacci_extension"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_2_ibit",
"name": "TP: Prior Resistance via Fibonacci Extension 127.2% (IBIT@1d)",
"priority": 98,
"purpose": "take_profit",
"target_symbol": "STOCK:IBIT"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:COIN",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:COIN",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"ratio": 786,
"type": "fibonacci_retracement"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_3_coin",
"name": "Invalidation: Confirmed Support Zone Lost at Fibonacci Retracement 78.6% (COIN@1d)",
"priority": 100,
"purpose": "stop_loss",
"target_symbol": "STOCK:COIN"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:IBIT",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:IBIT",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"ratio": 786,
"type": "fibonacci_retracement"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_3_ibit",
"name": "Invalidation: Confirmed Support Zone Lost at Fibonacci Retracement 78.6% (IBIT@1d)",
"priority": 101,
"purpose": "stop_loss",
"target_symbol": "STOCK:IBIT"
}
],
"position_sizing": {
"max_position_percent": 25,
"method": {
"fib_stop_ratio": 786,
"risk_percent": 2.485,
"type": "fixed_risk"
},
"min_position_value": 100
},
"trigger_timeframe": "1d",
"version": 2
}Strategy instructions
Trading agent generated from recommendation idea 'A law that locks seized Bitcoin away for two decades is a structural supply squeeze — the government becomes a permanent holder instead of a periodic seller, and every step the bill takes toward law is a fresh positive headline. Meanwhile, Wall Street for'. Thesis: A law that locks seized Bitcoin away for two decades is a structural supply squeeze — the government becomes a permanent holder instead of a periodic seller, and every step the bill takes toward law is a fresh positive headline. Meanwhile, Wall Street forecasters are far more bullish than prediction markets, meaning expectations have room to catch up if momentum builds. Bitcoin has been selling off for macro reasons, so a genuine regulatory catalyst could spark a sharp reversal as forced-out money flows back in. The trade is to get long ahead of further legislative progress, not after it passes.
Performance
No trade count, win rate, or realized P&L figures are provided in this public preview. The thesis and shared rules do not establish a performance record.
What this public preview can establish
- The dated rule snapshot above shows the conditions evaluated at that time. It does not prove a current trigger or executed trade.
- Technical strategy fields are shared above. Inspect the actual conditions and check when they were evaluated before relying on them.
- No trade count, win rate, or P&L figure is published in this preview. It cannot establish a performance record.
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