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Public trading strategy

OpenAI IPO filing sparks AI chip rally — ride the momentum on NVDA and AMD

Created

Thesis

When a major AI company like OpenAI announces it's going public, it validates the entire industry for everyday investors. This creates a wave of excitement that pushes up the stock prices of the underlying hardware makers. Because these chip companies supply the actual technology, they are the safest way to bet on the AI boom. As the IPO gets closer, expect the big chip names to ride that momentum higher.

Strategy approach

Build a momentum strategy on a daily timeframe that goes long an equal-weighted basket of NVDA, AMD, AVGO, and MRVL when the basket's 10-day rate of change crosses above 5% and the 20-day simple moving average is sloping upward. Exit the position when the basket's 10-day rate of change turns negative or if the price closes below the 20-day simple moving average, whichever occurs first.

Markets and timeframes

Entry and exit at a glance

These are the named rules in the shared configuration. Review the full conditions below before using a strategy.

  • Entry: ROC/SMA Crossover Long (NVDA@1d) (3 conditions)
  • Entry: ROC/SMA Crossover Long (AMD@1d) (3 conditions)
  • Entry: ROC/SMA Crossover Long (AVGO@1d) (3 conditions)
  • Entry: ROC/SMA Crossover Long (NVDA@1d) (2 conditions)
  • Entry: ROC/SMA Crossover Long (AMD@1d) (2 conditions)
  • Entry: ROC/SMA Crossover Long (AVGO@1d) (2 conditions)
  • Entry: Long Entry Signal (NVDA@1d) (1 condition)
  • Entry: Long Entry Signal (AMD@1d) (1 condition)
  • Entry: Long Entry Signal (AVGO@1d) (1 condition)
  • Exit: ROC Crosses Below Exit (NVDA@1d) (2 conditions)
  • Exit: ROC Crosses Below Exit (AMD@1d) (2 conditions)
  • Exit: ROC Crosses Below Exit (AVGO@1d) (2 conditions)
  • Exit: TP: Fib Extension 161.8% (NVDA@1d) (1 condition)
  • Exit: TP: Fib Extension 161.8% (AMD@1d) (1 condition)
  • Exit: TP: Fib Extension 161.8% (AVGO@1d) (1 condition)
  • Exit: SL: Below Support[1] (NVDA@1d) (1 condition)
  • Exit: SL: Below Support[1] (AMD@1d) (1 condition)
  • Exit: SL: Below Support[1] (AVGO@1d) (1 condition)

Shared strategy rules

Rule configuration

{
  "data_dependencies": [
    {
      "symbol": "NVDA",
      "timeframe": "1d"
    },
    {
      "symbol": "AMD",
      "timeframe": "1d"
    },
    {
      "symbol": "AVGO",
      "timeframe": "1d"
    }
  ],
  "entry_rules": [
    {
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "NVDA",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "roc",
              "period": 10
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "crossed_above",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 5
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "NVDA",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "sma",
              "period": 20
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "crossed_above",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "NVDA",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "sma",
              "period": 19
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "NVDA",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "ratio": 382,
            "type": "fibonacci_retracement"
          }
        }
      ],
      "direction": "long",
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "entry_1_nvda",
      "name": "ROC/SMA Crossover Long (NVDA@1d)",
      "priority": 1,
      "trade_symbol": "NVDA"
    },
    {
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "AMD",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "roc",
              "period": 10
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "crossed_above",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 5
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "AMD",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "sma",
              "period": 20
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "crossed_above",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "AMD",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "sma",
              "period": 19
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "AMD",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "ratio": 382,
            "type": "fibonacci_retracement"
          }
        }
      ],
      "direction": "long",
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "entry_1_amd",
      "name": "ROC/SMA Crossover Long (AMD@1d)",
      "priority": 2,
      "trade_symbol": "AMD"
    },
    {
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "AVGO",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "roc",
              "period": 10
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "crossed_above",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 5
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "AVGO",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "sma",
              "period": 20
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "crossed_above",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "AVGO",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "sma",
              "period": 19
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "AVGO",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "ratio": 382,
            "type": "fibonacci_retracement"
          }
        }
      ],
      "direction": "long",
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "entry_1_avgo",
      "name": "ROC/SMA Crossover Long (AVGO@1d)",
      "priority": 3,
      "trade_symbol": "AVGO"
    },
    {
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "NVDA",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "roc",
              "period": 10
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "crossed_above",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 5
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "NVDA",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "sma",
              "period": 20
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "crossed_above",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "NVDA",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "sma",
              "period": 19
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          }
        }
      ],
      "direction": "long",
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "entry_2_nvda",
      "name": "ROC/SMA Crossover Long (NVDA@1d)",
      "priority": 2,
      "trade_symbol": "NVDA"
    },
    {
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "AMD",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "roc",
              "period": 10
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "crossed_above",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 5
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "AMD",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "sma",
              "period": 20
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "crossed_above",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "AMD",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "sma",
              "period": 19
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          }
        }
      ],
      "direction": "long",
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "entry_2_amd",
      "name": "ROC/SMA Crossover Long (AMD@1d)",
      "priority": 3,
      "trade_symbol": "AMD"
    },
    {
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "AVGO",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "roc",
              "period": 10
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "crossed_above",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 5
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "AVGO",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "sma",
              "period": 20
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "crossed_above",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "AVGO",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "sma",
              "period": 19
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          }
        }
      ],
      "direction": "long",
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "entry_2_avgo",
      "name": "ROC/SMA Crossover Long (AVGO@1d)",
      "priority": 4,
      "trade_symbol": "AVGO"
    },
    {
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "NVDA",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "ratio": 382,
            "type": "fibonacci_retracement"
          }
        }
      ],
      "direction": "long",
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "entry_3_nvda",
      "name": "Long Entry Signal (NVDA@1d)",
      "priority": 2,
      "trade_symbol": "NVDA"
    },
    {
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "AMD",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "ratio": 382,
            "type": "fibonacci_retracement"
          }
        }
      ],
      "direction": "long",
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "entry_3_amd",
      "name": "Long Entry Signal (AMD@1d)",
      "priority": 3,
      "trade_symbol": "AMD"
    },
    {
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "AVGO",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "ratio": 382,
            "type": "fibonacci_retracement"
          }
        }
      ],
      "direction": "long",
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "entry_3_avgo",
      "name": "Long Entry Signal (AVGO@1d)",
      "priority": 4,
      "trade_symbol": "AVGO"
    }
  ],
  "exit_rules": [
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "NVDA",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "roc",
              "period": 10
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "crossed_below",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 0
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "crossed_below",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "NVDA",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "sma",
              "period": 20
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_1_nvda",
      "name": "ROC Crosses Below Exit (NVDA@1d)",
      "priority": 1,
      "purpose": "signal",
      "target_symbol": "NVDA"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "AMD",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "roc",
              "period": 10
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "crossed_below",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 0
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "crossed_below",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "AMD",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "sma",
              "period": 20
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_1_amd",
      "name": "ROC Crosses Below Exit (AMD@1d)",
      "priority": 2,
      "purpose": "signal",
      "target_symbol": "AMD"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "AVGO",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "roc",
              "period": 10
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "crossed_below",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 0
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "crossed_below",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "AVGO",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "sma",
              "period": 20
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_1_avgo",
      "name": "ROC Crosses Below Exit (AVGO@1d)",
      "priority": 3,
      "purpose": "signal",
      "target_symbol": "AVGO"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "NVDA",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "ratio": 1618,
            "type": "fibonacci_extension"
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_2_nvda",
      "name": "TP: Fib Extension 161.8% (NVDA@1d)",
      "priority": 96,
      "purpose": "take_profit",
      "target_symbol": "NVDA"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "AMD",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "ratio": 1618,
            "type": "fibonacci_extension"
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_2_amd",
      "name": "TP: Fib Extension 161.8% (AMD@1d)",
      "priority": 97,
      "purpose": "take_profit",
      "target_symbol": "AMD"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "AVGO",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "ratio": 1618,
            "type": "fibonacci_extension"
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_2_avgo",
      "name": "TP: Fib Extension 161.8% (AVGO@1d)",
      "priority": 98,
      "purpose": "take_profit",
      "target_symbol": "AVGO"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "long",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "less_than",
          "right": {
            "rank": 1,
            "type": "support_level"
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_3_nvda",
      "name": "SL: Below Support[1] (NVDA@1d)",
      "priority": 100,
      "purpose": "stop_loss",
      "target_symbol": "NVDA"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "long",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "less_than",
          "right": {
            "rank": 1,
            "type": "support_level"
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_3_amd",
      "name": "SL: Below Support[1] (AMD@1d)",
      "priority": 101,
      "purpose": "stop_loss",
      "target_symbol": "AMD"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "long",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "less_than",
          "right": {
            "rank": 1,
            "type": "support_level"
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_3_avgo",
      "name": "SL: Below Support[1] (AVGO@1d)",
      "priority": 102,
      "purpose": "stop_loss",
      "target_symbol": "AVGO"
    }
  ],
  "position_sizing": {
    "max_position_percent": 25,
    "method": {
      "fib_stop_ratio": 786,
      "risk_percent": 2,
      "type": "fixed_risk"
    },
    "min_position_value": 100
  },
  "trigger_timeframe": "1d",
  "version": 1
}

Indicator configuration

{
  "indicators": [
    {
      "name": "roc",
      "period": 10
    },
    {
      "name": "sma",
      "period": 20
    },
    {
      "name": "sma",
      "period": 19
    },
    {
      "name": "roc",
      "period": 10
    },
    {
      "name": "sma",
      "period": 20
    },
    {
      "name": "sma",
      "period": 19
    },
    {
      "name": "roc",
      "period": 10
    },
    {
      "name": "sma",
      "period": 20
    },
    {
      "name": "sma",
      "period": 19
    }
  ]
}

Parsed strategy

{
  "data_dependencies": [
    {
      "symbol": "NVDA",
      "timeframe": "1d"
    },
    {
      "symbol": "AMD",
      "timeframe": "1d"
    },
    {
      "symbol": "AVGO",
      "timeframe": "1d"
    }
  ],
  "entry_rules": [
    {
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "NVDA",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "roc",
              "period": 10
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "crossed_above",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 5
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "NVDA",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "sma",
              "period": 20
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "crossed_above",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "NVDA",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "sma",
              "period": 19
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "NVDA",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "ratio": 382,
            "type": "fibonacci_retracement"
          }
        }
      ],
      "direction": "long",
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "entry_1_nvda",
      "name": "ROC/SMA Crossover Long (NVDA@1d)",
      "priority": 1,
      "trade_symbol": "NVDA"
    },
    {
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "AMD",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "roc",
              "period": 10
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "crossed_above",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 5
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "AMD",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "sma",
              "period": 20
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "crossed_above",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "AMD",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "sma",
              "period": 19
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "AMD",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "ratio": 382,
            "type": "fibonacci_retracement"
          }
        }
      ],
      "direction": "long",
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "entry_1_amd",
      "name": "ROC/SMA Crossover Long (AMD@1d)",
      "priority": 2,
      "trade_symbol": "AMD"
    },
    {
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "AVGO",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "roc",
              "period": 10
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "crossed_above",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 5
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "AVGO",
              "timeframe": "1d"
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}

Strategy instructions

Trading agent generated from recommendation idea 'OpenAI IPO filing sparks AI chip rally — ride the momentum on NVDA and AMD'. Thesis: When a major AI company like OpenAI announces it's going public, it validates the entire industry for everyday investors. This creates a wave of excitement that pushes up the stock prices of the underlying hardware makers. Because these chip companies supply the actual technology, they are the safest way to bet on the AI boom. As the IPO gets closer, expect the big chip names to ride that momentum higher.

Performance

No trade count, win rate, or realized P&L figures are provided in this public preview. The thesis and shared rules do not establish a performance record.

What this public preview can establish

  • The thesis and strategy approach describe a market view. They do not show whether an entry or exit condition is currently met.
  • Technical strategy fields are shared above. Inspect the actual conditions and check when they were evaluated before relying on them.
  • No trade count, win rate, or P&L figure is published in this preview. It cannot establish a performance record.

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