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Public trading strategy

IWM Macro Relative Value Strategy

Created

Thesis

Borrowing costs above 5% hit small companies hardest — they carry more debt, burn cash faster, and can't tap bond markets as cheaply as giants can. The Dow's worst start to a September since 2008 shows the seasonal and macro backdrop turning hostile at exactly the moment rates broke that threshold. Large caps can fund themselves and absorb the pain, so shorting small caps while holding large caps is a way to bet on the crack spreading from the most fragile part of the market without needing the whole market to fall.

Strategy approach

Borrowing costs above 5% hit small companies hardest — they carry more debt, burn cash faster, and can't tap bond markets as cheaply as giants can. The Dow's worst start to a September since 2008 shows the seasonal and macro backdrop turning hostile at exactly the moment rates broke that threshold. Large caps can fund themselves and absorb the pain, so shorting small caps while holding large caps is a way to bet on the crack spreading from the most fragile part of the market without needing the whole market to fall. Decision analysis profile: value. Required dimensions: valuation_method, valuation_sensitivity, business_economics, cash_quality, balance_sheet_leverage, dilution_capital_allocation, moat, catalysts, counterevidence, invalidation.

Markets and timeframes

Latest published rule evaluation

Evaluated . This is a dated rule snapshot, not a live price or trade execution confirmation.

IWM · 1d

6 of 6 published entry conditions marked met.

  • EMA (50) above Price — met
  • ADX (14) above 20 — met
  • RSI (14) below 50 — met
  • EMA (50) above Price — met
  • ADX (14) above 20 — met
  • RSI (14) below 50 — met
  • RSI (14) above 65 — far

QQQ · 1d

4 of 6 published entry conditions marked met.

  • EMA (50) above Price — met
  • ADX (14) above 20 — far
  • RSI (14) below 50 — met
  • EMA (50) above Price — met
  • ADX (14) above 20 — far
  • RSI (14) below 50 — met
  • RSI (14) above 65 — far

Entry and exit at a glance

These are the named rules in the shared configuration. Review the full conditions below before using a strategy.

  • Entry: EMA/ADX/RSI Signal Long (IWM@1d) (4 conditions)
  • Entry: EMA/ADX/RSI Signal Long (QQQ@1d) (4 conditions)
  • Entry: EMA/ADX/RSI Signal Long (IWM@1d) (4 conditions)
  • Entry: EMA/ADX/RSI Signal Long (QQQ@1d) (4 conditions)
  • Entry: Crossover Long (IWM@1d) (2 conditions)
  • Entry: Crossover Long (QQQ@1d) (2 conditions)
  • Exit: Position Exit Rule (IWM@1d) (2 conditions)
  • Exit: Position Exit Rule (QQQ@1d) (2 conditions)
  • Exit: SL: Below Support[2] (IWM@1d) (1 condition)
  • Exit: SL: Below Support[2] (QQQ@1d) (1 condition)
  • Exit: SL: Below Support[1] (IWM@1d) (1 condition)
  • Exit: SL: Below Support[1] (QQQ@1d) (1 condition)
  • Exit: Stop Loss at 2.5% (1 condition)
  • Exit: Take Profit at 5.0% (1 condition)

Shared strategy rules

Rule configuration

{
  "data_dependencies": [
    {
      "symbol": "STOCK:IWM",
      "timeframe": "1d"
    },
    {
      "symbol": "STOCK:QQQ",
      "timeframe": "1d"
    }
  ],
  "entry_rules": [
    {
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:IWM",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "rank": 1,
            "type": "support_level"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:IWM",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "ema",
              "period": 50
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:IWM",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:IWM",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "adx",
            "indicator": {
              "name": "adx",
              "period": 14
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 20
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:IWM",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "rsi",
              "period": 14
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "less_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 50
          }
        }
      ],
      "direction": "long",
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "entry_1_iwm",
      "name": "EMA/ADX/RSI Signal Long (IWM@1d)",
      "priority": 1,
      "trade_symbol": "STOCK:IWM"
    },
    {
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:QQQ",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "rank": 1,
            "type": "support_level"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:QQQ",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "ema",
              "period": 50
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:QQQ",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:QQQ",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "adx",
            "indicator": {
              "name": "adx",
              "period": 14
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 20
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:QQQ",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "rsi",
              "period": 14
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "less_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 50
          }
        }
      ],
      "direction": "long",
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "entry_1_qqq",
      "name": "EMA/ADX/RSI Signal Long (QQQ@1d)",
      "priority": 2,
      "trade_symbol": "STOCK:QQQ"
    },
    {
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:IWM",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "rank": 1,
            "type": "support_level"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:IWM",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "ema",
              "period": 50
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:IWM",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:IWM",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "adx",
            "indicator": {
              "name": "adx",
              "period": 14
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 20
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:IWM",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "rsi",
              "period": 14
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "less_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 50
          }
        }
      ],
      "direction": "long",
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "entry_2_iwm",
      "name": "EMA/ADX/RSI Signal Long (IWM@1d)",
      "priority": 2,
      "trade_symbol": "STOCK:IWM"
    },
    {
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:QQQ",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "rank": 1,
            "type": "support_level"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:QQQ",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "ema",
              "period": 50
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:QQQ",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:QQQ",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "adx",
            "indicator": {
              "name": "adx",
              "period": 14
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 20
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:QQQ",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "rsi",
              "period": 14
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "less_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 50
          }
        }
      ],
      "direction": "long",
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "entry_2_qqq",
      "name": "EMA/ADX/RSI Signal Long (QQQ@1d)",
      "priority": 3,
      "trade_symbol": "STOCK:QQQ"
    },
    {
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:IWM",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "crossed_below",
          "right": {
            "rank": 1,
            "type": "support_level"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:IWM",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "less_than",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:IWM",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "ratio": 382,
            "type": "fibonacci_retracement"
          }
        }
      ],
      "direction": "long",
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "entry_3_iwm",
      "name": "Crossover Long (IWM@1d)",
      "priority": 2,
      "trade_symbol": "STOCK:IWM"
    },
    {
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:QQQ",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "crossed_below",
          "right": {
            "rank": 1,
            "type": "support_level"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:QQQ",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "less_than",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:QQQ",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "ratio": 382,
            "type": "fibonacci_retracement"
          }
        }
      ],
      "direction": "long",
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "entry_3_qqq",
      "name": "Crossover Long (QQQ@1d)",
      "priority": 3,
      "trade_symbol": "STOCK:QQQ"
    }
  ],
  "exit_rules": [
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "holding_period_bars",
            "type": "position"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 60
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:IWM",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "rsi",
              "period": 14
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 65
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_1_iwm",
      "name": "Position Exit Rule (IWM@1d)",
      "priority": 1,
      "purpose": "signal",
      "target_symbol": "STOCK:IWM"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "holding_period_bars",
            "type": "position"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 60
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:QQQ",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "rsi",
              "period": 14
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 65
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_1_qqq",
      "name": "Position Exit Rule (QQQ@1d)",
      "priority": 2,
      "purpose": "signal",
      "target_symbol": "STOCK:QQQ"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:IWM",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "less_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "rank": 2,
            "type": "support_level"
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_2_iwm",
      "name": "SL: Below Support[2] (IWM@1d)",
      "priority": 96,
      "purpose": "take_profit",
      "target_symbol": "STOCK:IWM"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:QQQ",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "less_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "rank": 2,
            "type": "support_level"
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_2_qqq",
      "name": "SL: Below Support[2] (QQQ@1d)",
      "priority": 97,
      "purpose": "take_profit",
      "target_symbol": "STOCK:QQQ"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:IWM",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "crossed_below",
          "right": {
            "rank": 1,
            "type": "support_level"
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_3_iwm",
      "name": "SL: Below Support[1] (IWM@1d)",
      "priority": 100,
      "purpose": "stop_loss",
      "target_symbol": "STOCK:IWM"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:QQQ",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "crossed_below",
          "right": {
            "rank": 1,
            "type": "support_level"
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_3_qqq",
      "name": "SL: Below Support[1] (QQQ@1d)",
      "priority": 101,
      "purpose": "stop_loss",
      "target_symbol": "STOCK:QQQ"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
            "type": "position"
          },
          "operator": "less_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": -2.51
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_4",
      "name": "Stop Loss at 2.5%",
      "priority": 100,
      "purpose": "stop_loss"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
            "type": "position"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 5.02
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_5",
      "name": "Take Profit at 5.0%",
      "priority": 100,
      "purpose": "take_profit"
    }
  ],
  "position_sizing": {
    "max_position_percent": 25,
    "method": {
      "risk_percent": 2.51,
      "support_stop_rank": 1,
      "type": "fixed_risk"
    },
    "min_position_value": 100
  },
  "trigger_timeframe": "1d",
  "version": 1
}

Indicator configuration

{
  "indicators": [
    {
      "name": "ema",
      "period": 50
    },
    {
      "name": "adx",
      "period": 14
    },
    {
      "name": "rsi",
      "period": 14
    },
    {
      "name": "ema",
      "period": 50
    },
    {
      "name": "adx",
      "period": 14
    },
    {
      "name": "rsi",
      "period": 14
    }
  ]
}

Parsed strategy

{
  "data_dependencies": [
    {
      "symbol": "STOCK:IWM",
      "timeframe": "1d"
    },
    {
      "symbol": "STOCK:QQQ",
      "timeframe": "1d"
    }
  ],
  "entry_rules": [
    {
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:IWM",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "rank": 1,
            "type": "support_level"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:IWM",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "ema",
              "period": 50
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:IWM",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:IWM",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "adx",
            "indicator": {
              "name": "adx",
              "period": 14
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 20
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:IWM",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "rsi",
              "period": 14
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "less_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 50
          }
        }
      ],
      "direction": "long",
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "entry_1_iwm",
      "name": "EMA/ADX/RSI Signal Long (IWM@1d)",
      "priority": 1,
      "trade_symbol": "STOCK:IWM"
    },
    {
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:QQQ",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "rank": 1,
            "type": "support_level"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:QQQ",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "ema",
              "period": 50
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:QQQ",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:QQQ",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "adx",
            "indicator": {
              "name": "adx",
              "period": 14
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 20
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:QQQ",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "rsi",
              "period": 14
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "less_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 50
          }
        }
      ],
      "direction": "long",
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "entry_1_qqq",
      "name": "EMA/ADX/RSI Signal Long (QQQ@1d)",
      "priority": 2,
      "trade_symbol": "STOCK:QQQ"
    },
    {
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:IWM",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "rank": 1,
            "type": "support_level"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:IWM",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "ema",
              "period": 50
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:IWM",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:IWM",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "adx",
            "indicator": {
              "name": "adx",
              "period": 14
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 20
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:IWM",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "rsi",
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            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "less_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 50
          }
        }
      ],
      "direction": "long",
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "entry_2_iwm",
      "name": "EMA/ADX/RSI Signal Long (IWM@1d)",
      "priority": 2,
      "trade_symbol": "STOCK:IWM"
    },
    {
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:QQQ",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "rank": 1,
            "type": "support_level"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:QQQ",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "ema",
              "period": 50
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:QQQ",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:QQQ",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "adx",
            "indicator": {
              "name": "adx",
              "period": 14
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 20
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:QQQ",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "rsi",
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            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "less_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 50
          }
        }
      ],
      "direction": "long",
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "entry_2_qqq",
      "name": "EMA/ADX/RSI Signal Long (QQQ@1d)",
      "priority": 3,
      "trade_symbol": "STOCK:QQQ"
    },
    {
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:IWM",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "crossed_below",
          "right": {
            "rank": 1,
            "type": "support_level"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:IWM",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "less_than",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:IWM",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "ratio": 382,
            "type": "fibonacci_retracement"
          }
        }
      ],
      "direction": "long",
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "entry_3_iwm",
      "name": "Crossover Long (IWM@1d)",
      "priority": 2,
      "trade_symbol": "STOCK:IWM"
    },
    {
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:QQQ",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "crossed_below",
          "right": {
            "rank": 1,
            "type": "support_level"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:QQQ",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "less_than",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:QQQ",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "ratio": 382,
            "type": "fibonacci_retracement"
          }
        }
      ],
      "direction": "long",
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "entry_3_qqq",
      "name": "Crossover Long (QQQ@1d)",
      "priority": 3,
      "trade_symbol": "STOCK:QQQ"
    }
  ],
  "exit_rules": [
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "holding_period_bars",
            "type": "position"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 60
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:IWM",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "rsi",
              "period": 14
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 65
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_1_iwm",
      "name": "Position Exit Rule (IWM@1d)",
      "priority": 1,
      "purpose": "signal",
      "target_symbol": "STOCK:IWM"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "holding_period_bars",
            "type": "position"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 60
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:QQQ",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "rsi",
              "period": 14
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 65
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_1_qqq",
      "name": "Position Exit Rule (QQQ@1d)",
      "priority": 2,
      "purpose": "signal",
      "target_symbol": "STOCK:QQQ"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:IWM",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "less_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "rank": 2,
            "type": "support_level"
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_2_iwm",
      "name": "SL: Below Support[2] (IWM@1d)",
      "priority": 96,
      "purpose": "take_profit",
      "target_symbol": "STOCK:IWM"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
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              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "less_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "rank": 2,
            "type": "support_level"
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_2_qqq",
      "name": "SL: Below Support[2] (QQQ@1d)",
      "priority": 97,
      "purpose": "take_profit",
      "target_symbol": "STOCK:QQQ"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:IWM",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "crossed_below",
          "right": {
            "rank": 1,
            "type": "support_level"
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_3_iwm",
      "name": "SL: Below Support[1] (IWM@1d)",
      "priority": 100,
      "purpose": "stop_loss",
      "target_symbol": "STOCK:IWM"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:QQQ",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "crossed_below",
          "right": {
            "rank": 1,
            "type": "support_level"
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_3_qqq",
      "name": "SL: Below Support[1] (QQQ@1d)",
      "priority": 101,
      "purpose": "stop_loss",
      "target_symbol": "STOCK:QQQ"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
            "type": "position"
          },
          "operator": "less_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": -2.51
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_4",
      "name": "Stop Loss at 2.5%",
      "priority": 100,
      "purpose": "stop_loss"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
            "type": "position"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 5.02
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_5",
      "name": "Take Profit at 5.0%",
      "priority": 100,
      "purpose": "take_profit"
    }
  ],
  "position_sizing": {
    "max_position_percent": 25,
    "method": {
      "risk_percent": 2.51,
      "support_stop_rank": 1,
      "type": "fixed_risk"
    },
    "min_position_value": 100
  },
  "trigger_timeframe": "1d",
  "version": 1
}

Strategy instructions

Trading agent generated from recommendation idea 'Borrowing costs above 5% hit small companies hardest — they carry more debt, burn cash faster, and can't tap bond markets as cheaply as giants can. The Dow's worst start to a September since 2008 shows the seasonal and macro backdrop turning hostile at ex'. Thesis: Borrowing costs above 5% hit small companies hardest — they carry more debt, burn cash faster, and can't tap bond markets as cheaply as giants can. The Dow's worst start to a September since 2008 shows the seasonal and macro backdrop turning hostile at exactly the moment rates broke that threshold. Large caps can fund themselves and absorb the pain, so shorting small caps while holding large caps is a way to bet on the crack spreading from the most fragile part of the market without needing the whole market to fall.

Performance

No trade count, win rate, or realized P&L figures are provided in this public preview. The thesis and shared rules do not establish a performance record.

What this public preview can establish

  • The dated rule snapshot above shows the conditions evaluated at that time. It does not prove a current trigger or executed trade.
  • Technical strategy fields are shared above. Inspect the actual conditions and check when they were evaluated before relying on them.
  • No trade count, win rate, or P&L figure is published in this preview. It cannot establish a performance record.

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