Public trading strategy
Strategy holds about 4% of all Bitcoin that will ever exist, so its buying has b
Created
Thesis
Strategy holds about 4% of all Bitcoin that will ever exist, so its buying has been a real, persistent source of demand. After raising $2 billion in fresh cash, it bought zero coins and built a $1.6 billion dollar-cash pool — a striking show of restraint right as price nears $80,000. Analysts themselves warn the next pullback is the key test and that thin trading above $80,000 could make moves sharp in either direction. A rally that loses its biggest buyer at the top of its biggest weekly gain ever is the kind of setup where dips stop getting bought. Shorting (or taking profits and fading strength) into the first sign of stalling momentum captures that exhaustion.
Strategy approach
Strategy holds about 4% of all Bitcoin that will ever exist, so its buying has been a real, persistent source of demand. After raising $2 billion in fresh cash, it bought zero coins and built a $1.6 billion dollar-cash pool — a striking show of restraint right as price nears $80,000. Analysts themselves warn the next pullback is the key test and that thin trading above $80,000 could make moves sharp in either direction. A rally that loses its biggest buyer at the top of its biggest weekly gain ever is the kind of setup where dips stop getting bought. Shorting (or taking profits and fading strength) into the first sign of stalling momentum captures that exhaustion. Decision analysis profile: value. Required dimensions: valuation_method, valuation_sensitivity, business_economics,…
Markets and timeframes
Latest published rule evaluation
Evaluated . This is a dated rule snapshot, not a live price or trade execution confirmation.
BTC · 1d
14 of 14 published entry conditions marked met.
- Price above SMA (20) — met
- Price below 80000 — met
- Price above 72000 — met
- RSI (14) above 50 — met
- MACD (12,26,9) above 0 — met
- ADX (14) above 20 — met
- Price above SMA (20) — met
- RSI (14) above 50 — met
- MACD (12,26,9) above 0 — met
- ADX (14) above 20 — met
- Price above SMA (20) — met
- RSI (14) above 50 — met
- MACD (12,26,9) above 0 — met
- ADX (14) above 20 — met
- Price below SMA (20) — far
- RSI (14) below 45 — far
- Price below SMA (20) — far
- RSI (14) below 45 — far
- Price below SMA (20) — far
- RSI (14) below 45 — far
MSTR · 1d
12 of 12 published entry conditions marked met.
- Price above SMA (20) — met
- RSI (14) above 50 — met
- MACD (12,26,9) above 0 — met
- ADX (14) above 20 — met
- Price above SMA (20) — met
- RSI (14) above 50 — met
- MACD (12,26,9) above 0 — met
- ADX (14) above 20 — met
- Price above SMA (20) — met
- RSI (14) above 50 — met
- MACD (12,26,9) above 0 — met
- ADX (14) above 20 — met
- Price below SMA (20) — far
- RSI (14) below 45 — far
- Price below SMA (20) — far
- RSI (14) below 45 — far
- Price below SMA (20) — far
- RSI (14) below 45 — far
Entry and exit at a glance
These are the named rules in the shared configuration. Review the full conditions below before using a strategy.
- Entry: Contrarian Momentum-Resumption Long Near $80K (BTC@1d) (6 conditions)
- Entry: BTC-Confirmed Momentum Long (MSTR@1d) (4 conditions)
- Entry: BTC-Confirmed Momentum Long (ETH@1d) (4 conditions)
- Entry: BTC-Confirmed Momentum Long (SOL@1d) (4 conditions)
- Exit: Exit on Momentum Breakdown (BTC@1d) (2 conditions)
- Exit: Exit on Momentum Breakdown (MSTR@1d) (2 conditions)
- Exit: Exit on Momentum Breakdown (ETH@1d) (2 conditions)
- Exit: Exit on Momentum Breakdown (SOL@1d) (2 conditions)
- Exit: Time Stop at 45 Trading Days (1 condition)
- Exit: Invalidation: Decisive Close Below Prior Local Low (BTC@1d) (1 condition)
- Exit: Invalidation: Close Below Prior Local Low (MSTR@1d) (1 condition)
- Exit: Invalidation: Close Below Prior Local Low (ETH@1d) (1 condition)
- Exit: Invalidation: Close Below Prior Local Low (SOL@1d) (1 condition)
- Exit: Stop Loss at 2.4% (1 condition)
- Exit: Take Profit at 4.8% (1 condition)
Shared strategy rules
Rule configuration
{
"data_dependencies": [
{
"symbol": "CRYPTO:BTC",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
{
"symbol": "STOCK:MSTR",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
{
"symbol": "CRYPTO:ETH",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
{
"symbol": "CRYPTO:SOL",
"timeframe": "1d"
}
],
"entry_rules": [
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "CRYPTO:BTC",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "CRYPTO:BTC",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "sma",
"period": 20
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "CRYPTO:BTC",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 80000
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "CRYPTO:BTC",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 72000
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "CRYPTO:BTC",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 50
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "CRYPTO:BTC",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "histogram",
"indicator": {
"fast": 12,
"name": "macd",
"signal": 9,
"slow": 26
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 0
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "CRYPTO:BTC",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "adx",
"indicator": {
"name": "adx",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 20
}
}
],
"direction": "long",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_1_btc",
"name": "Contrarian Momentum-Resumption Long Near $80K (BTC@1d)",
"priority": 1,
"trade_symbol": "CRYPTO:BTC"
},
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:MSTR",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:MSTR",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "sma",
"period": 20
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "CRYPTO:BTC",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 50
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "CRYPTO:BTC",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "histogram",
"indicator": {
"fast": 12,
"name": "macd",
"signal": 9,
"slow": 26
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 0
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "CRYPTO:BTC",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "adx",
"indicator": {
"name": "adx",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 20
}
}
],
"direction": "long",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_1_mstr",
"name": "BTC-Confirmed Momentum Long (MSTR@1d)",
"priority": 2,
"trade_symbol": "STOCK:MSTR"
},
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "CRYPTO:ETH",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "CRYPTO:ETH",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "sma",
"period": 20
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "CRYPTO:BTC",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 50
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "CRYPTO:BTC",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "histogram",
"indicator": {
"fast": 12,
"name": "macd",
"signal": 9,
"slow": 26
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 0
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "CRYPTO:BTC",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "adx",
"indicator": {
"name": "adx",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 20
}
}
],
"direction": "long",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_1_eth",
"name": "BTC-Confirmed Momentum Long (ETH@1d)",
"priority": 3,
"trade_symbol": "CRYPTO:ETH"
},
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "CRYPTO:SOL",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "CRYPTO:SOL",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "sma",
"period": 20
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "CRYPTO:BTC",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 50
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "CRYPTO:BTC",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "histogram",
"indicator": {
"fast": 12,
"name": "macd",
"signal": 9,
"slow": 26
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 0
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "CRYPTO:BTC",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "adx",
"indicator": {
"name": "adx",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 20
}
}
],
"direction": "long",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_1_sol",
"name": "BTC-Confirmed Momentum Long (SOL@1d)",
"priority": 4,
"trade_symbol": "CRYPTO:SOL"
}
],
"exit_rules": [
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "CRYPTO:BTC",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "CRYPTO:BTC",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "sma",
"period": 20
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "CRYPTO:BTC",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 45
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_1_btc",
"name": "Exit on Momentum Breakdown (BTC@1d)",
"priority": 1,
"purpose": "signal",
"target_symbol": "CRYPTO:BTC"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:MSTR",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:MSTR",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "sma",
"period": 20
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "CRYPTO:BTC",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 45
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_1_mstr",
"name": "Exit on Momentum Breakdown (MSTR@1d)",
"priority": 2,
"purpose": "signal",
"target_symbol": "STOCK:MSTR"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "CRYPTO:ETH",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "CRYPTO:ETH",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "sma",
"period": 20
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "CRYPTO:ETH",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 45
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_1_eth",
"name": "Exit on Momentum Breakdown (ETH@1d)",
"priority": 3,
"purpose": "signal",
"target_symbol": "CRYPTO:ETH"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "CRYPTO:SOL",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "CRYPTO:SOL",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "sma",
"period": 20
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "CRYPTO:SOL",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 45
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_1_sol",
"name": "Exit on Momentum Breakdown (SOL@1d)",
"priority": 4,
"purpose": "signal",
"target_symbol": "CRYPTO:SOL"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "holding_period_bars",
"type": "position"
},
"operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 45
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_1_time",
"name": "Time Stop at 45 Trading Days",
"priority": 5,
"purpose": "signal"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "CRYPTO:BTC",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "support_level"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_2_btc",
"name": "Invalidation: Decisive Close Below Prior Local Low (BTC@1d)",
"priority": 100,
"purpose": "stop_loss",
"target_symbol": "CRYPTO:BTC"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:MSTR",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "support_level"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_2_mstr",
"name": "Invalidation: Close Below Prior Local Low (MSTR@1d)",
"priority": 101,
"purpose": "stop_loss",
"target_symbol": "STOCK:MSTR"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "CRYPTO:ETH",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "support_level"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_2_eth",
"name": "Invalidation: Close Below Prior Local Low (ETH@1d)",
"priority": 102,
"purpose": "stop_loss",
"target_symbol": "CRYPTO:ETH"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "CRYPTO:SOL",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "support_level"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_2_sol",
"name": "Invalidation: Close Below Prior Local Low (SOL@1d)",
"priority": 103,
"purpose": "stop_loss",
"target_symbol": "CRYPTO:SOL"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
"type": "position"
},
"operator": "less_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": -2.4006666666666665
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_3",
"name": "Stop Loss at 2.4%",
"priority": 100,
"purpose": "stop_loss"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
"type": "position"
},
"operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 4.801333333333333
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_4",
"name": "Take Profit at 4.8%",
"priority": 100,
"purpose": "take_profit"
}
],
"position_sizing": {
"max_position_percent": 25,
"method": {
"fib_stop_ratio": 1272,
"risk_percent": 2.4006666666666665,
"type": "fixed_risk"
},
"min_position_value": 100
},
"trigger_timeframe": "1d",
"version": 3
}Indicator configuration
{
"indicators": [
{
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
},
{
"name": "sma",
"period": 20
},
{
"fast": 12,
"name": "macd",
"signal": 9,
"slow": 26
},
{
"name": "adx",
"period": 14
},
{
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
},
{
"name": "sma",
"period": 20
},
{
"fast": 12,
"name": "macd",
"signal": 9,
"slow": 26
},
{
"name": "adx",
"period": 14
},
{
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
},
{
"name": "sma",
"period": 20
},
{
"fast": 12,
"name": "macd",
"signal": 9,
"slow": 26
},
{
"name": "adx",
"period": 14
},
{
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
},
{
"name": "sma",
"period": 20
},
{
"fast": 12,
"name": "macd",
"signal": 9,
"slow": 26
},
{
"name": "adx",
"period": 14
}
]
}Parsed strategy
{
"data_dependencies": [
{
"symbol": "CRYPTO:BTC",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
{
"symbol": "STOCK:MSTR",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
{
"symbol": "CRYPTO:ETH",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
{
"symbol": "CRYPTO:SOL",
"timeframe": "1d"
}
],
"entry_rules": [
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "CRYPTO:BTC",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "CRYPTO:BTC",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "sma",
"period": 20
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "CRYPTO:BTC",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 80000
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "CRYPTO:BTC",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 72000
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "CRYPTO:BTC",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 50
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "CRYPTO:BTC",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "histogram",
"indicator": {
"fast": 12,
"name": "macd",
"signal": 9,
"slow": 26
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 0
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "CRYPTO:BTC",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "adx",
"indicator": {
"name": "adx",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 20
}
}
],
"direction": "long",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_1_btc",
"name": "Contrarian Momentum-Resumption Long Near $80K (BTC@1d)",
"priority": 1,
"trade_symbol": "CRYPTO:BTC"
},
{
"conditions": [
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{
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},
{
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],
"exit_rules": [
{
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],
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"priority": 1,
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"target_symbol": "CRYPTO:BTC"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
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{
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},
{
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"conditions": [
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],
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"target_symbol": "CRYPTO:ETH"
},
{
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],
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"target_symbol": "CRYPTO:SOL"
},
{
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{
"left": {
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},
"operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
"right": {
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}
],
"enabled": true,
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"name": "Time Stop at 45 Trading Days",
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},
{
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"conditions": [
{
"left": {
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},
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}
],
"enabled": true,
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},
{
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{
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],
"enabled": true,
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"purpose": "stop_loss",
"target_symbol": "CRYPTO:ETH"
},
{
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{
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],
"enabled": true,
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"purpose": "stop_loss",
"target_symbol": "CRYPTO:SOL"
},
{
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{
"left": {
"field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
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}
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],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_3",
"name": "Stop Loss at 2.4%",
"priority": 100,
"purpose": "stop_loss"
},
{
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"conditions": [
{
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],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_4",
"name": "Take Profit at 4.8%",
"priority": 100,
"purpose": "take_profit"
}
],
"position_sizing": {
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"method": {
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"type": "fixed_risk"
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},
"trigger_timeframe": "1d",
"version": 3
}Strategy instructions
Trading agent generated from recommendation idea 'Strategy holds about 4% of all Bitcoin that will ever exist, so its buying has been a real, persistent source of demand. After raising $2 billion in fresh cash, it bought zero coins and built a $1.6 billion dollar-cash pool — a striking show of restraint '. Thesis: Strategy holds about 4% of all Bitcoin that will ever exist, so its buying has been a real, persistent source of demand. After raising $2 billion in fresh cash, it bought zero coins and built a $1.6 billion dollar-cash pool — a striking show of restraint right as price nears $80,000. Analysts themselves warn the next pullback is the key test and that thin trading above $80,000 could make moves sharp in either direction. A rally that loses its biggest buyer at the top of its biggest weekly gain ever is the kind of setup where dips stop getting bought. Shorting (or taking profits and fading strength) into the first sign of stalling momentum captures that exhaustion.
Performance
No trade count, win rate, or realized P&L figures are provided in this public preview. The thesis and shared rules do not establish a performance record.
What this public preview can establish
- The dated rule snapshot above shows the conditions evaluated at that time. It does not prove a current trigger or executed trade.
- Technical strategy fields are shared above. Inspect the actual conditions and check when they were evaluated before relying on them.
- No trade count, win rate, or P&L figure is published in this preview. It cannot establish a performance record.
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