Public trading strategy

The AI infrastructure narrative has pushed mega-cap tech stocks to record valuat

Thesis

The AI infrastructure narrative has pushed mega-cap tech stocks to record valuations, with Alphabet, Microsoft, Amazon, and Oracle adding $1.9 trillion in market cap in just three days. But the foundation of that rally is cracking: the cost of debt for these massive data center buildouts is rising as Treasury auction dynamics push yields up, and a Bloomberg analysis confirms the era of cheap funding for AI is over. Meanwhile, Amazon's custom Trainium 2 chips are already being replaced after only 20 months, showing that the massive capital being deployed is at high risk of being wasted on rapidly obsolete technology. When the market realizes the ROI is shrinking while the cost of capital is rising, these crowded long positions are vulnerable to a sharp pullback.

Markets and timeframes

AMZNMSFTORCL1D

Shared strategy rules

Rule configuration

{
  "data_dependencies": [
    {
      "symbol": "STOCK:AMZN",
      "timeframe": "1d"
    },
    {
      "symbol": "STOCK:MSFT",
      "timeframe": "1d"
    },
    {
      "symbol": "STOCK:ORCL",
      "timeframe": "1d"
    }
  ],
  "entry_rules": [
    {
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:AMZN",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "rsi",
              "period": 14
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 65
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:AMZN",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "line",
            "indicator": {
              "fast": 12,
              "name": "macd",
              "signal": 9,
              "slow": 26
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "crossed_below",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:AMZN",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "signal",
            "indicator": {
              "fast": 12,
              "name": "macd",
              "signal": 9,
              "slow": 26
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:AMZN",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "ema",
              "period": 9
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "crossed_below",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:AMZN",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "ema",
              "period": 50
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:AMZN",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "high",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "rank": 1,
            "type": "resistance_level"
          }
        }
      ],
      "direction": "long",
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "entry_1_amzn",
      "name": "Overbought RSI/MACD/EMA Crossover Long (AMZN@1d)",
      "priority": 1,
      "trade_symbol": "STOCK:AMZN"
    },
    {
      "conditions": [
        {
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              "symbol": "STOCK:MSFT",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
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              "period": 14
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 65
          }
        },
        {
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            },
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            },
            "type": "indicator"
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        },
        {
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            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "crossed_below",
          "right": {
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              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "ema",
              "period": 50
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:MSFT",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "high",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
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            "type": "resistance_level"
          }
        }
      ],
      "direction": "long",
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "entry_1_msft",
      "name": "Overbought RSI/MACD/EMA Crossover Long (MSFT@1d)",
      "priority": 2,
      "trade_symbol": "STOCK:MSFT"
    },
    {
      "conditions": [
        {
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            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:ORCL",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "rsi",
              "period": 14
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 65
          }
        },
        {
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            },
            "field": "line",
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            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "crossed_below",
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            },
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              "name": "macd",
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            },
            "type": "indicator"
          }
        },
        {
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              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
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              "period": 9
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "crossed_below",
          "right": {
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              "symbol": "STOCK:ORCL",
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            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "ema",
              "period": 50
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:ORCL",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "high",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
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            "type": "resistance_level"
          }
        }
      ],
      "direction": "long",
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "entry_1_orcl",
      "name": "Overbought RSI/MACD/EMA Crossover Long (ORCL@1d)",
      "priority": 3,
      "trade_symbol": "STOCK:ORCL"
    },
    {
      "conditions": [
        {
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            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:AMZN",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
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              "name": "rsi",
              "period": 14
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 65
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:AMZN",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "line",
            "indicator": {
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              "name": "macd",
              "signal": 9,
              "slow": 26
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "crossed_below",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:AMZN",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "signal",
            "indicator": {
              "fast": 12,
              "name": "macd",
              "signal": 9,
              "slow": 26
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:AMZN",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "ema",
              "period": 9
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "crossed_below",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:AMZN",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "ema",
              "period": 50
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          }
        }
      ],
      "direction": "long",
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "entry_2_amzn",
      "name": "Overbought RSI/MACD/EMA Crossover Long (AMZN@1d)",
      "priority": 2,
      "trade_symbol": "STOCK:AMZN"
    },
    {
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:MSFT",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "rsi",
              "period": 14
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 65
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
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              "symbol": "STOCK:MSFT",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "line",
            "indicator": {
              "fast": 12,
              "name": "macd",
              "signal": 9,
              "slow": 26
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "crossed_below",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:MSFT",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "signal",
            "indicator": {
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              "name": "macd",
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              "slow": 26
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          }
        },
        {
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              "symbol": "STOCK:MSFT",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "ema",
              "period": 9
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "crossed_below",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:MSFT",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "ema",
              "period": 50
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          }
        }
      ],
      "direction": "long",
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "entry_2_msft",
      "name": "Overbought RSI/MACD/EMA Crossover Long (MSFT@1d)",
      "priority": 3,
      "trade_symbol": "STOCK:MSFT"
    },
    {
      "conditions": [
        {
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              "symbol": "STOCK:ORCL",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "rsi",
              "period": 14
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 65
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:ORCL",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "line",
            "indicator": {
              "fast": 12,
              "name": "macd",
              "signal": 9,
              "slow": 26
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "crossed_below",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:ORCL",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "signal",
            "indicator": {
              "fast": 12,
              "name": "macd",
              "signal": 9,
              "slow": 26
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:ORCL",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "ema",
              "period": 9
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "crossed_below",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:ORCL",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "ema",
              "period": 50
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          }
        }
      ],
      "direction": "long",
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "entry_2_orcl",
      "name": "Overbought RSI/MACD/EMA Crossover Long (ORCL@1d)",
      "priority": 4,
      "trade_symbol": "STOCK:ORCL"
    },
    {
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:AMZN",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "high",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "rank": 1,
            "type": "resistance_level"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:AMZN",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "less_than",
          "right": {
            "rank": 1,
            "type": "resistance_level"
          }
        }
      ],
      "direction": "long",
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "entry_3_amzn",
      "name": "Long Entry Signal (AMZN@1d)",
      "priority": 2,
      "trade_symbol": "STOCK:AMZN"
    },
    {
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:MSFT",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "high",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "rank": 1,
            "type": "resistance_level"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:MSFT",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "less_than",
          "right": {
            "rank": 1,
            "type": "resistance_level"
          }
        }
      ],
      "direction": "long",
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "entry_3_msft",
      "name": "Long Entry Signal (MSFT@1d)",
      "priority": 3,
      "trade_symbol": "STOCK:MSFT"
    },
    {
      "conditions": [
        {
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            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:ORCL",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "high",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "rank": 1,
            "type": "resistance_level"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:ORCL",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "less_than",
          "right": {
            "rank": 1,
            "type": "resistance_level"
          }
        }
      ],
      "direction": "long",
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "entry_3_orcl",
      "name": "Long Entry Signal (ORCL@1d)",
      "priority": 4,
      "trade_symbol": "STOCK:ORCL"
    }
  ],
  "exit_rules": [
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:AMZN",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "line",
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              "fast": 12,
              "name": "macd",
              "signal": 9,
              "slow": 26
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "crossed_above",
          "right": {
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              "symbol": "STOCK:AMZN",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "signal",
            "indicator": {
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              "name": "macd",
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              "slow": 26
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          }
        },
        {
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            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:AMZN",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "rsi",
              "period": 14
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "less_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 35
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "holding_period_bars",
            "type": "position"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 60
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_1_amzn",
      "name": "MACD Crosses Above Exit (AMZN@1d)",
      "priority": 1,
      "purpose": "signal",
      "target_symbol": "STOCK:AMZN"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:MSFT",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "line",
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              "name": "macd",
              "signal": 9,
              "slow": 26
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "crossed_above",
          "right": {
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              "symbol": "STOCK:MSFT",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "signal",
            "indicator": {
              "fast": 12,
              "name": "macd",
              "signal": 9,
              "slow": 26
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:MSFT",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "rsi",
              "period": 14
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "less_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 35
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "holding_period_bars",
            "type": "position"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 60
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_1_msft",
      "name": "MACD Crosses Above Exit (MSFT@1d)",
      "priority": 2,
      "purpose": "signal",
      "target_symbol": "STOCK:MSFT"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:ORCL",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "line",
            "indicator": {
              "fast": 12,
              "name": "macd",
              "signal": 9,
              "slow": 26
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "crossed_above",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:ORCL",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "signal",
            "indicator": {
              "fast": 12,
              "name": "macd",
              "signal": 9,
              "slow": 26
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:ORCL",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "rsi",
              "period": 14
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "less_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 35
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "holding_period_bars",
            "type": "position"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 60
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_1_orcl",
      "name": "MACD Crosses Above Exit (ORCL@1d)",
      "priority": 3,
      "purpose": "signal",
      "target_symbol": "STOCK:ORCL"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:AMZN",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "less_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "rank": 2,
            "type": "support_level"
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_2_amzn",
      "name": "SL: Below Support[2] (AMZN@1d)",
      "priority": 96,
      "purpose": "take_profit",
      "target_symbol": "STOCK:AMZN"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:MSFT",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "less_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "rank": 2,
            "type": "support_level"
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_2_msft",
      "name": "SL: Below Support[2] (MSFT@1d)",
      "priority": 97,
      "purpose": "take_profit",
      "target_symbol": "STOCK:MSFT"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:ORCL",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "less_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "rank": 2,
            "type": "support_level"
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_2_orcl",
      "name": "SL: Below Support[2] (ORCL@1d)",
      "priority": 98,
      "purpose": "take_profit",
      "target_symbol": "STOCK:ORCL"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "short",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:AMZN",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "crossed_below",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:AMZN",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "ratio": 1272,
            "type": "fibonacci_extension"
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_3_amzn",
      "name": "TP: Fib Extension 127.2% (AMZN@1d)",
      "priority": 100,
      "purpose": "stop_loss",
      "target_symbol": "STOCK:AMZN"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "short",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:MSFT",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "crossed_below",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:MSFT",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "ratio": 1272,
            "type": "fibonacci_extension"
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_3_msft",
      "name": "TP: Fib Extension 127.2% (MSFT@1d)",
      "priority": 101,
      "purpose": "stop_loss",
      "target_symbol": "STOCK:MSFT"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "short",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:ORCL",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "crossed_below",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:ORCL",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "ratio": 1272,
            "type": "fibonacci_extension"
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_3_orcl",
      "name": "TP: Fib Extension 127.2% (ORCL@1d)",
      "priority": 102,
      "purpose": "stop_loss",
      "target_symbol": "STOCK:ORCL"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
            "type": "position"
          },
          "operator": "less_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": -2.414133333333333
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_4",
      "name": "Stop Loss at 2.4%",
      "priority": 100,
      "purpose": "stop_loss"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
            "type": "position"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 4.828266666666666
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_5",
      "name": "Take Profit at 4.8%",
      "priority": 100,
      "purpose": "take_profit"
    }
  ],
  "position_sizing": {
    "max_position_percent": 25,
    "method": {
      "fib_stop_ratio": 1272,
      "risk_percent": 2.414133333333333,
      "type": "fixed_risk"
    },
    "min_position_value": 100
  },
  "trigger_timeframe": "1d",
  "version": 1
}

Indicator configuration

{
  "indicators": [
    {
      "name": "rsi",
      "period": 14
    },
    {
      "fast": 12,
      "name": "macd",
      "signal": 9,
      "slow": 26
    },
    {
      "name": "ema",
      "period": 9
    },
    {
      "name": "ema",
      "period": 50
    },
    {
      "name": "rsi",
      "period": 14
    },
    {
      "fast": 12,
      "name": "macd",
      "signal": 9,
      "slow": 26
    },
    {
      "name": "ema",
      "period": 9
    },
    {
      "name": "ema",
      "period": 50
    },
    {
      "name": "rsi",
      "period": 14
    },
    {
      "fast": 12,
      "name": "macd",
      "signal": 9,
      "slow": 26
    },
    {
      "name": "ema",
      "period": 9
    },
    {
      "name": "ema",
      "period": 50
    }
  ]
}

Parsed strategy

{
  "data_dependencies": [
    {
      "symbol": "STOCK:AMZN",
      "timeframe": "1d"
    },
    {
      "symbol": "STOCK:MSFT",
      "timeframe": "1d"
    },
    {
      "symbol": "STOCK:ORCL",
      "timeframe": "1d"
    }
  ],
  "entry_rules": [
    {
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:AMZN",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "rsi",
              "period": 14
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 65
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:AMZN",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "line",
            "indicator": {
              "fast": 12,
              "name": "macd",
              "signal": 9,
              "slow": 26
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "crossed_below",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:AMZN",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "signal",
            "indicator": {
              "fast": 12,
              "name": "macd",
              "signal": 9,
              "slow": 26
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:AMZN",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "ema",
              "period": 9
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "crossed_below",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:AMZN",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "ema",
              "period": 50
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:AMZN",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "high",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "rank": 1,
            "type": "resistance_level"
          }
        }
      ],
      "direction": "long",
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "entry_1_amzn",
      "name": "Overbought RSI/MACD/EMA Crossover Long (AMZN@1d)",
      "priority": 1,
      "trade_symbol": "STOCK:AMZN"
    },
    {
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:MSFT",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "rsi",
              "period": 14
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 65
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:MSFT",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "line",
            "indicator": {
              "fast": 12,
              "name": "macd",
              "signal": 9,
              "slow": 26
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "crossed_below",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:MSFT",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "signal",
            "indicator": {
              "fast": 12,
              "name": "macd",
              "signal": 9,
              "slow": 26
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:MSFT",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "ema",
              "period": 9
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "crossed_below",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:MSFT",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "ema",
              "period": 50
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:MSFT",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "high",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "rank": 1,
            "type": "resistance_level"
          }
        }
      ],
      "direction": "long",
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "entry_1_msft",
      "name": "Overbought RSI/MACD/EMA Crossover Long (MSFT@1d)",
      "priority": 2,
      "trade_symbol": "STOCK:MSFT"
    },
    {
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:ORCL",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "rsi",
              "period": 14
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 65
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:ORCL",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "line",
            "indicator": {
              "fast": 12,
              "name": "macd",
              "signal": 9,
              "slow": 26
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "crossed_below",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:ORCL",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "signal",
            "indicator": {
              "fast": 12,
              "name": "macd",
              "signal": 9,
              "slow": 26
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:ORCL",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "ema",
              "period": 9
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "crossed_below",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:ORCL",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "ema",
              "period": 50
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:ORCL",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "high",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "rank": 1,
            "type": "resistance_level"
          }
        }
      ],
      "direction": "long",
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "entry_1_orcl",
      "name": "Overbought RSI/MACD/EMA Crossover Long (ORCL@1d)",
      "priority": 3,
      "trade_symbol": "STOCK:ORCL"
    },
    {
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:AMZN",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "rsi",
              "period": 14
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 65
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:AMZN",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "line",
            "indicator": {
              "fast": 12,
              "name": "macd",
              "signal": 9,
              "slow": 26
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "crossed_below",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:AMZN",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "signal",
            "indicator": {
              "fast": 12,
              "name": "macd",
              "signal": 9,
              "slow": 26
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:AMZN",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "ema",
              "period": 9
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "crossed_below",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:AMZN",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "ema",
              "period": 50
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          }
        }
      ],
      "direction": "long",
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "entry_2_amzn",
      "name": "Overbought RSI/MACD/EMA Crossover Long (AMZN@1d)",
      "priority": 2,
      "trade_symbol": "STOCK:AMZN"
    },
    {
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:MSFT",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "rsi",
              "period": 14
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 65
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:MSFT",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "line",
            "indicator": {
              "fast": 12,
              "name": "macd",
              "signal": 9,
              "slow": 26
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "crossed_below",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:MSFT",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "signal",
            "indicator": {
              "fast": 12,
              "name": "macd",
              "signal": 9,
              "slow": 26
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:MSFT",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "ema",
              "period": 9
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "crossed_below",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:MSFT",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "ema",
              "period": 50
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          }
        }
      ],
      "direction": "long",
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "entry_2_msft",
      "name": "Overbought RSI/MACD/EMA Crossover Long (MSFT@1d)",
      "priority": 3,
      "trade_symbol": "STOCK:MSFT"
    },
    {
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:ORCL",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "rsi",
              "period": 14
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 65
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:ORCL",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "line",
            "indicator": {
              "fast": 12,
              "name": "macd",
              "signal": 9,
              "slow": 26
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "crossed_below",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:ORCL",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "signal",
            "indicator": {
              "fast": 12,
              "name": "macd",
              "signal": 9,
              "slow": 26
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:ORCL",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "ema",
              "period": 9
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "crossed_below",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:ORCL",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "ema",
              "period": 50
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          }
        }
      ],
      "direction": "long",
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "entry_2_orcl",
      "name": "Overbought RSI/MACD/EMA Crossover Long (ORCL@1d)",
      "priority": 4,
      "trade_symbol": "STOCK:ORCL"
    },
    {
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:AMZN",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "high",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "rank": 1,
            "type": "resistance_level"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:AMZN",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "less_than",
          "right": {
            "rank": 1,
            "type": "resistance_level"
          }
        }
      ],
      "direction": "long",
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "entry_3_amzn",
      "name": "Long Entry Signal (AMZN@1d)",
      "priority": 2,
      "trade_symbol": "STOCK:AMZN"
    },
    {
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:MSFT",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "high",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "rank": 1,
            "type": "resistance_level"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:MSFT",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "less_than",
          "right": {
            "rank": 1,
            "type": "resistance_level"
          }
        }
      ],
      "direction": "long",
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "entry_3_msft",
      "name": "Long Entry Signal (MSFT@1d)",
      "priority": 3,
      "trade_symbol": "STOCK:MSFT"
    },
    {
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:ORCL",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "high",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "rank": 1,
            "type": "resistance_level"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:ORCL",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "less_than",
          "right": {
            "rank": 1,
            "type": "resistance_level"
          }
        }
      ],
      "direction": "long",
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "entry_3_orcl",
      "name": "Long Entry Signal (ORCL@1d)",
      "priority": 4,
      "trade_symbol": "STOCK:ORCL"
    }
  ],
  "exit_rules": [
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:AMZN",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "line",
            "indicator": {
              "fast": 12,
              "name": "macd",
              "signal": 9,
              "slow": 26
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "crossed_above",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:AMZN",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "signal",
            "indicator": {
              "fast": 12,
              "name": "macd",
              "signal": 9,
              "slow": 26
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:AMZN",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "rsi",
              "period": 14
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "less_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 35
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "holding_period_bars",
            "type": "position"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 60
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_1_amzn",
      "name": "MACD Crosses Above Exit (AMZN@1d)",
      "priority": 1,
      "purpose": "signal",
      "target_symbol": "STOCK:AMZN"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:MSFT",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "line",
            "indicator": {
              "fast": 12,
              "name": "macd",
              "signal": 9,
              "slow": 26
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "crossed_above",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:MSFT",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "signal",
            "indicator": {
              "fast": 12,
              "name": "macd",
              "signal": 9,
              "slow": 26
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:MSFT",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "rsi",
              "period": 14
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "less_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 35
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "holding_period_bars",
            "type": "position"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 60
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_1_msft",
      "name": "MACD Crosses Above Exit (MSFT@1d)",
      "priority": 2,
      "purpose": "signal",
      "target_symbol": "STOCK:MSFT"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:ORCL",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "line",
            "indicator": {
              "fast": 12,
              "name": "macd",
              "signal": 9,
              "slow": 26
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "crossed_above",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:ORCL",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "signal",
            "indicator": {
              "fast": 12,
              "name": "macd",
              "signal": 9,
              "slow": 26
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:ORCL",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "rsi",
              "period": 14
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "less_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 35
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "holding_period_bars",
            "type": "position"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 60
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_1_orcl",
      "name": "MACD Crosses Above Exit (ORCL@1d)",
      "priority": 3,
      "purpose": "signal",
      "target_symbol": "STOCK:ORCL"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:AMZN",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "less_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "rank": 2,
            "type": "support_level"
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_2_amzn",
      "name": "SL: Below Support[2] (AMZN@1d)",
      "priority": 96,
      "purpose": "take_profit",
      "target_symbol": "STOCK:AMZN"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:MSFT",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "less_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "rank": 2,
            "type": "support_level"
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_2_msft",
      "name": "SL: Below Support[2] (MSFT@1d)",
      "priority": 97,
      "purpose": "take_profit",
      "target_symbol": "STOCK:MSFT"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:ORCL",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "less_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "rank": 2,
            "type": "support_level"
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_2_orcl",
      "name": "SL: Below Support[2] (ORCL@1d)",
      "priority": 98,
      "purpose": "take_profit",
      "target_symbol": "STOCK:ORCL"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "short",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:AMZN",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "crossed_below",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:AMZN",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "ratio": 1272,
            "type": "fibonacci_extension"
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_3_amzn",
      "name": "TP: Fib Extension 127.2% (AMZN@1d)",
      "priority": 100,
      "purpose": "stop_loss",
      "target_symbol": "STOCK:AMZN"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "short",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:MSFT",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "crossed_below",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:MSFT",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "ratio": 1272,
            "type": "fibonacci_extension"
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_3_msft",
      "name": "TP: Fib Extension 127.2% (MSFT@1d)",
      "priority": 101,
      "purpose": "stop_loss",
      "target_symbol": "STOCK:MSFT"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "short",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:ORCL",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "crossed_below",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:ORCL",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "ratio": 1272,
            "type": "fibonacci_extension"
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_3_orcl",
      "name": "TP: Fib Extension 127.2% (ORCL@1d)",
      "priority": 102,
      "purpose": "stop_loss",
      "target_symbol": "STOCK:ORCL"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
            "type": "position"
          },
          "operator": "less_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": -2.414133333333333
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_4",
      "name": "Stop Loss at 2.4%",
      "priority": 100,
      "purpose": "stop_loss"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
            "type": "position"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 4.828266666666666
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_5",
      "name": "Take Profit at 4.8%",
      "priority": 100,
      "purpose": "take_profit"
    }
  ],
  "position_sizing": {
    "max_position_percent": 25,
    "method": {
      "fib_stop_ratio": 1272,
      "risk_percent": 2.414133333333333,
      "type": "fixed_risk"
    },
    "min_position_value": 100
  },
  "trigger_timeframe": "1d",
  "version": 1
}

Strategy instructions

Trading agent generated from recommendation idea 'The AI infrastructure narrative has pushed mega-cap tech stocks to record valuations, with Alphabet, Microsoft, Amazon, and Oracle adding $1.9 trillion in market cap in just three days. But the foundation of that rally is cracking: the cost of debt for th'. Thesis: The AI infrastructure narrative has pushed mega-cap tech stocks to record valuations, with Alphabet, Microsoft, Amazon, and Oracle adding $1.9 trillion in market cap in just three days. But the foundation of that rally is cracking: the cost of debt for these massive data center buildouts is rising as Treasury auction dynamics push yields up, and a Bloomberg analysis confirms the era of cheap funding for AI is over. Meanwhile, Amazon's custom Trainium 2 chips are already being replaced after only 20 months, showing that the massive capital being deployed is at high risk of being wasted on rapidly obsolete technology. When the market realizes the ROI is shrinking while the cost of capital is rising, these crowded long positions are vulnerable to a sharp pullback.

How CommonQuant strategies work

  • Each strategy is generated from a plain-English thesis with fresh, LLM-selected news headlines, grounded in SEC XBRL fundamentals and peer percentiles.
  • The strategy is expressed in an auditable DSL checked by a real compiler, and passes an adversarial AI review before it can be published.
  • Every AI-generated strategy is automatically backtested over 12-month and 5-year windows (walk-forward tuned) and stress-tested across drawdowns and best/worst windows — it stays gated until that evidence run completes.
  • Once live, an AI news judge re-reads fresh headlines hourly and can conclude the campaign when they confirm the strategy’s thesis-invalidation conditions, notifying the owner and followers.

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