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Public trading strategy

Hiring slowdown and tech wobble — breakout setup for gold

Created

Thesis

Bloomberg noted that hiring slowed dramatically in June, confirming market suspicions. Earlier in the week, Yahoo Finance highlighted that gold prices were hovering just below all-time highs as traders positioned themselves for this exact jobs report. Because a weak labor market means the Fed is less likely to raise interest rates, the dollar softens and gold becomes more attractive. At the same time, tech stocks are pulling back as investors await the data. This combination of cooling tech momentum and a gold-friendly jobs report creates a textbook risk-off rotation.

Strategy approach

Build a rule-based strategy that enters long GLD on D1 when the US Non-Farm Payrolls report misses estimates and QQQ drops >1% on the same day, with a 21-day max hold and a 4% trailing stop.

Markets and timeframes

Latest published rule evaluation

Evaluated . This is a dated rule snapshot, not a live price or trade execution confirmation.

GDX · 1d

3 of 3 published entry conditions marked met.

  • ROC (1) below -1 — met
  • Price above SMA (50) — met
  • ADX (14) above 20 — met

GLD · 1d

2 of 6 published entry conditions marked met.

  • ROC (1) below -1 — near
  • Price above SMA (50) — met
  • ADX (14) above 20 — far
  • ROC (1) below -1 — near
  • Price above SMA (50) — met
  • ADX (14) above 20 — far

Entry and exit at a glance

These are the named rules in the shared configuration. Review the full conditions below before using a strategy.

  • Entry: ROC/SMA/ADX Signal Long (GLD@1d) (4 conditions)
  • Entry: ROC/SMA/ADX Signal Long (QQQ@1d) (4 conditions)
  • Exit: Take Profit at 21.0% (1 condition)
  • Exit: TP: Near Resistance[1] (GLD@1d) (1 condition)
  • Exit: TP: Near Resistance[1] (QQQ@1d) (1 condition)
  • Exit: SL: Below Support[2] (GLD@1d) (1 condition)
  • Exit: SL: Below Support[2] (QQQ@1d) (1 condition)
  • Exit: Stop Loss at 2.7% (1 condition)
  • Exit: Take Profit at 5.4% (1 condition)

Shared strategy rules

Rule configuration

{
  "data_dependencies": [
    {
      "symbol": "GLD",
      "timeframe": "1d"
    },
    {
      "symbol": "QQQ",
      "timeframe": "1d"
    }
  ],
  "entry_rules": [
    {
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "GLD",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "roc",
              "period": 1
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "less_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": -1
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "GLD",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "sma",
              "period": 50
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "GLD",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "adx",
            "indicator": {
              "name": "adx",
              "period": 14
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 20
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "rank": 1,
            "type": "support_level"
          }
        }
      ],
      "direction": "long",
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "entry_1_gld",
      "name": "ROC/SMA/ADX Signal Long (GLD@1d)",
      "priority": 1,
      "trade_symbol": "GLD"
    },
    {
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "QQQ",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "roc",
              "period": 1
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "less_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": -1
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "QQQ",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "sma",
              "period": 50
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "QQQ",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "adx",
            "indicator": {
              "name": "adx",
              "period": 14
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 20
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "rank": 1,
            "type": "support_level"
          }
        }
      ],
      "direction": "long",
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "entry_1_qqq",
      "name": "ROC/SMA/ADX Signal Long (QQQ@1d)",
      "priority": 2,
      "trade_symbol": "QQQ"
    }
  ],
  "exit_rules": [
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
            "type": "position"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 21
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_1",
      "name": "Take Profit at 21.0%",
      "priority": 1,
      "purpose": "signal"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "rank": 1,
            "type": "resistance_level"
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_2_gld",
      "name": "TP: Near Resistance[1] (GLD@1d)",
      "priority": 97,
      "purpose": "take_profit",
      "target_symbol": "GLD"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "rank": 1,
            "type": "resistance_level"
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_2_qqq",
      "name": "TP: Near Resistance[1] (QQQ@1d)",
      "priority": 98,
      "purpose": "take_profit",
      "target_symbol": "QQQ"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "crossed_above",
          "right": {
            "rank": 2,
            "type": "support_level"
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_3_gld",
      "name": "SL: Below Support[2] (GLD@1d)",
      "priority": 100,
      "purpose": "stop_loss",
      "target_symbol": "GLD"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "crossed_above",
          "right": {
            "rank": 2,
            "type": "support_level"
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_3_qqq",
      "name": "SL: Below Support[2] (QQQ@1d)",
      "priority": 101,
      "purpose": "stop_loss",
      "target_symbol": "QQQ"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
            "type": "position"
          },
          "operator": "less_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": -2.6876666666666664
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_4",
      "name": "Stop Loss at 2.7%",
      "priority": 100,
      "purpose": "stop_loss"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
            "type": "position"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 5.375333333333333
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_5",
      "name": "Take Profit at 5.4%",
      "priority": 100,
      "purpose": "take_profit"
    }
  ],
  "position_sizing": {
    "max_position_percent": 25,
    "method": {
      "risk_percent": 2.6876666666666664,
      "support_stop_rank": 2,
      "type": "fixed_risk"
    },
    "min_position_value": 100
  },
  "trigger_timeframe": "1d",
  "version": 1
}

Indicator configuration

{
  "indicators": [
    {
      "name": "roc",
      "period": 1
    },
    {
      "name": "sma",
      "period": 50
    },
    {
      "name": "adx",
      "period": 14
    },
    {
      "name": "roc",
      "period": 1
    },
    {
      "name": "sma",
      "period": 50
    },
    {
      "name": "adx",
      "period": 14
    }
  ]
}

Parsed strategy

{
  "data_dependencies": [
    {
      "symbol": "GLD",
      "timeframe": "1d"
    },
    {
      "symbol": "QQQ",
      "timeframe": "1d"
    }
  ],
  "entry_rules": [
    {
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "GLD",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "roc",
              "period": 1
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "less_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": -1
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "GLD",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "sma",
              "period": 50
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "GLD",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "adx",
            "indicator": {
              "name": "adx",
              "period": 14
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 20
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "rank": 1,
            "type": "support_level"
          }
        }
      ],
      "direction": "long",
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "entry_1_gld",
      "name": "ROC/SMA/ADX Signal Long (GLD@1d)",
      "priority": 1,
      "trade_symbol": "GLD"
    },
    {
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "QQQ",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "roc",
              "period": 1
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "less_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": -1
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "QQQ",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "sma",
              "period": 50
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "QQQ",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "adx",
            "indicator": {
              "name": "adx",
              "period": 14
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 20
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "rank": 1,
            "type": "support_level"
          }
        }
      ],
      "direction": "long",
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "entry_1_qqq",
      "name": "ROC/SMA/ADX Signal Long (QQQ@1d)",
      "priority": 2,
      "trade_symbol": "QQQ"
    }
  ],
  "exit_rules": [
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
            "type": "position"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 21
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_1",
      "name": "Take Profit at 21.0%",
      "priority": 1,
      "purpose": "signal"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "rank": 1,
            "type": "resistance_level"
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_2_gld",
      "name": "TP: Near Resistance[1] (GLD@1d)",
      "priority": 97,
      "purpose": "take_profit",
      "target_symbol": "GLD"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "rank": 1,
            "type": "resistance_level"
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_2_qqq",
      "name": "TP: Near Resistance[1] (QQQ@1d)",
      "priority": 98,
      "purpose": "take_profit",
      "target_symbol": "QQQ"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "crossed_above",
          "right": {
            "rank": 2,
            "type": "support_level"
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_3_gld",
      "name": "SL: Below Support[2] (GLD@1d)",
      "priority": 100,
      "purpose": "stop_loss",
      "target_symbol": "GLD"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "crossed_above",
          "right": {
            "rank": 2,
            "type": "support_level"
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_3_qqq",
      "name": "SL: Below Support[2] (QQQ@1d)",
      "priority": 101,
      "purpose": "stop_loss",
      "target_symbol": "QQQ"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
            "type": "position"
          },
          "operator": "less_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": -2.6876666666666664
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_4",
      "name": "Stop Loss at 2.7%",
      "priority": 100,
      "purpose": "stop_loss"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
            "type": "position"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 5.375333333333333
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_5",
      "name": "Take Profit at 5.4%",
      "priority": 100,
      "purpose": "take_profit"
    }
  ],
  "position_sizing": {
    "max_position_percent": 25,
    "method": {
      "risk_percent": 2.6876666666666664,
      "support_stop_rank": 2,
      "type": "fixed_risk"
    },
    "min_position_value": 100
  },
  "trigger_timeframe": "1d",
  "version": 1
}

Strategy instructions

Trading agent generated from recommendation idea 'Hiring slowdown and tech wobble — breakout setup for gold'. Thesis: Bloomberg noted that hiring slowed dramatically in June, confirming market suspicions. Earlier in the week, Yahoo Finance highlighted that gold prices were hovering just below all-time highs as traders positioned themselves for this exact jobs report. Because a weak labor market means the Fed is less likely to raise interest rates, the dollar softens and gold becomes more attractive. At the same time, tech stocks are pulling back as investors await the data. This combination of cooling tech momentum and a gold-friendly jobs report creates a textbook risk-off rotation.

Performance

No trade count, win rate, or realized P&L figures are provided in this public preview. The thesis and shared rules do not establish a performance record.

What this public preview can establish

  • The dated rule snapshot above shows the conditions evaluated at that time. It does not prove a current trigger or executed trade.
  • Technical strategy fields are shared above. Inspect the actual conditions and check when they were evaluated before relying on them.
  • No trade count, win rate, or P&L figure is published in this preview. It cannot establish a performance record.

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