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Public trading strategy

Most of today's published ideas are positioned for escalating conflict and surgi

Created

Thesis

Most of today's published ideas are positioned for escalating conflict and surging oil prices — but this cluster points the other way. Genuine US-Iran peace deal headlines would catch those crowded long positions off guard and trigger a rapid unwinding of the geopolitical risk premium currently baked into crude. When a one-directional trade gets hit with unexpected de-escalation news, the rush for the exits can push prices down much faster than they went up.

Markets and timeframes

Entry and exit at a glance

These are the named rules in the shared configuration. Review the full conditions below before using a strategy.

  • Entry: DONCHIAN/ATR/OBV Crossover Long (CVX@1d) (4 conditions)
  • Entry: DONCHIAN/ATR/OBV Crossover Long (USO@1d) (4 conditions)
  • Entry: DONCHIAN/ATR/OBV Crossover Long (XLE@1d) (4 conditions)
  • Entry: DONCHIAN/ATR/OBV Signal Long (CVX@1d) (3 conditions)
  • Entry: DONCHIAN/ATR/OBV Signal Long (USO@1d) (3 conditions)
  • Entry: DONCHIAN/ATR/OBV Signal Long (XLE@1d) (3 conditions)
  • Entry: Crossover Long (CVX@1d) (1 condition)
  • Entry: Crossover Long (USO@1d) (1 condition)
  • Entry: Crossover Long (XLE@1d) (1 condition)
  • Exit: Position Exit Rule (CVX@1d) (3 conditions)
  • Exit: Position Exit Rule (USO@1d) (3 conditions)
  • Exit: Position Exit Rule (XLE@1d) (3 conditions)
  • Exit: SL: Fib Retracement 61.8% (CVX@1d) (1 condition)
  • Exit: SL: Fib Retracement 61.8% (USO@1d) (1 condition)
  • Exit: SL: Fib Retracement 61.8% (XLE@1d) (1 condition)
  • Exit: TP: Near Resistance[1] (CVX@1d) (1 condition)
  • Exit: TP: Near Resistance[1] (USO@1d) (1 condition)
  • Exit: TP: Near Resistance[1] (XLE@1d) (1 condition)
  • Exit: Stop Loss at 2.5% (1 condition)
  • Exit: Take Profit at 4.9% (1 condition)

Shared strategy rules

Rule configuration

{
  "data_dependencies": [
    {
      "symbol": "STOCK:CVX",
      "timeframe": "1d"
    },
    {
      "symbol": "STOCK:USO",
      "timeframe": "1d"
    },
    {
      "symbol": "STOCK:XLE",
      "timeframe": "1d"
    }
  ],
  "entry_rules": [
    {
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:CVX",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "less_than",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:CVX",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "lower",
            "indicator": {
              "name": "donchian",
              "period": 20
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:CVX",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "atr",
              "period": 20
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:CVX",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:CVX",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "obv"
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "less_than",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:CVX",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:CVX",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "crossed_below",
          "right": {
            "rank": 1,
            "type": "support_level"
          }
        }
      ],
      "direction": "long",
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "entry_1_cvx",
      "name": "DONCHIAN/ATR/OBV Crossover Long (CVX@1d)",
      "priority": 1,
      "trade_symbol": "STOCK:CVX"
    },
    {
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:USO",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "less_than",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:USO",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "lower",
            "indicator": {
              "name": "donchian",
              "period": 20
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:USO",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "atr",
              "period": 20
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:USO",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:USO",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "obv"
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "less_than",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:USO",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:USO",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "crossed_below",
          "right": {
            "rank": 1,
            "type": "support_level"
          }
        }
      ],
      "direction": "long",
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "entry_1_uso",
      "name": "DONCHIAN/ATR/OBV Crossover Long (USO@1d)",
      "priority": 2,
      "trade_symbol": "STOCK:USO"
    },
    {
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:XLE",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "less_than",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:XLE",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "lower",
            "indicator": {
              "name": "donchian",
              "period": 20
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:XLE",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "atr",
              "period": 20
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:XLE",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:XLE",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "obv"
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "less_than",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:XLE",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:XLE",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "crossed_below",
          "right": {
            "rank": 1,
            "type": "support_level"
          }
        }
      ],
      "direction": "long",
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "entry_1_xle",
      "name": "DONCHIAN/ATR/OBV Crossover Long (XLE@1d)",
      "priority": 3,
      "trade_symbol": "STOCK:XLE"
    },
    {
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:CVX",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "less_than",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:CVX",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "lower",
            "indicator": {
              "name": "donchian",
              "period": 20
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:CVX",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "atr",
              "period": 20
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:CVX",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:CVX",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "obv"
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "less_than",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:CVX",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          }
        }
      ],
      "direction": "long",
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "entry_2_cvx",
      "name": "DONCHIAN/ATR/OBV Signal Long (CVX@1d)",
      "priority": 2,
      "trade_symbol": "STOCK:CVX"
    },
    {
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:USO",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "less_than",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:USO",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "lower",
            "indicator": {
              "name": "donchian",
              "period": 20
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:USO",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "atr",
              "period": 20
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:USO",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:USO",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "obv"
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "less_than",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:USO",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          }
        }
      ],
      "direction": "long",
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "entry_2_uso",
      "name": "DONCHIAN/ATR/OBV Signal Long (USO@1d)",
      "priority": 3,
      "trade_symbol": "STOCK:USO"
    },
    {
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:XLE",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "less_than",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:XLE",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "lower",
            "indicator": {
              "name": "donchian",
              "period": 20
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:XLE",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "atr",
              "period": 20
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:XLE",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:XLE",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "obv"
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "less_than",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:XLE",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          }
        }
      ],
      "direction": "long",
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "entry_2_xle",
      "name": "DONCHIAN/ATR/OBV Signal Long (XLE@1d)",
      "priority": 4,
      "trade_symbol": "STOCK:XLE"
    },
    {
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:CVX",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "crossed_below",
          "right": {
            "rank": 1,
            "type": "support_level"
          }
        }
      ],
      "direction": "long",
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "entry_3_cvx",
      "name": "Crossover Long (CVX@1d)",
      "priority": 2,
      "trade_symbol": "STOCK:CVX"
    },
    {
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:USO",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "crossed_below",
          "right": {
            "rank": 1,
            "type": "support_level"
          }
        }
      ],
      "direction": "long",
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "entry_3_uso",
      "name": "Crossover Long (USO@1d)",
      "priority": 3,
      "trade_symbol": "STOCK:USO"
    },
    {
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:XLE",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "crossed_below",
          "right": {
            "rank": 1,
            "type": "support_level"
          }
        }
      ],
      "direction": "long",
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "entry_3_xle",
      "name": "Crossover Long (XLE@1d)",
      "priority": 4,
      "trade_symbol": "STOCK:XLE"
    }
  ],
  "exit_rules": [
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:CVX",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:CVX",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "lower",
            "indicator": {
              "name": "donchian",
              "period": 20
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:CVX",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "less_than",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:CVX",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "lower",
            "indicator": {
              "name": "bollinger_bands",
              "period": 20,
              "std_dev": 2
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "holding_period_bars",
            "type": "position"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 30
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_1_cvx",
      "name": "Position Exit Rule (CVX@1d)",
      "priority": 1,
      "purpose": "signal",
      "target_symbol": "STOCK:CVX"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:USO",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:USO",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "lower",
            "indicator": {
              "name": "donchian",
              "period": 20
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:USO",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "less_than",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:USO",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "lower",
            "indicator": {
              "name": "bollinger_bands",
              "period": 20,
              "std_dev": 2
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "holding_period_bars",
            "type": "position"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 30
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_1_uso",
      "name": "Position Exit Rule (USO@1d)",
      "priority": 2,
      "purpose": "signal",
      "target_symbol": "STOCK:USO"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:XLE",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:XLE",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "lower",
            "indicator": {
              "name": "donchian",
              "period": 20
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:XLE",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "less_than",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:XLE",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "lower",
            "indicator": {
              "name": "bollinger_bands",
              "period": 20,
              "std_dev": 2
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "holding_period_bars",
            "type": "position"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 30
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_1_xle",
      "name": "Position Exit Rule (XLE@1d)",
      "priority": 3,
      "purpose": "signal",
      "target_symbol": "STOCK:XLE"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:CVX",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "less_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:CVX",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "ratio": 618,
            "type": "fibonacci_retracement"
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_2_cvx",
      "name": "SL: Fib Retracement 61.8% (CVX@1d)",
      "priority": 96,
      "purpose": "take_profit",
      "target_symbol": "STOCK:CVX"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:USO",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "less_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:USO",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "ratio": 618,
            "type": "fibonacci_retracement"
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_2_uso",
      "name": "SL: Fib Retracement 61.8% (USO@1d)",
      "priority": 97,
      "purpose": "take_profit",
      "target_symbol": "STOCK:USO"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:XLE",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "less_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:XLE",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "ratio": 618,
            "type": "fibonacci_retracement"
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_2_xle",
      "name": "SL: Fib Retracement 61.8% (XLE@1d)",
      "priority": 98,
      "purpose": "take_profit",
      "target_symbol": "STOCK:XLE"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "short",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:CVX",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "crossed_below",
          "right": {
            "rank": 1,
            "type": "resistance_level"
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_3_cvx",
      "name": "TP: Near Resistance[1] (CVX@1d)",
      "priority": 100,
      "purpose": "stop_loss",
      "target_symbol": "STOCK:CVX"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "short",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:USO",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "crossed_below",
          "right": {
            "rank": 1,
            "type": "resistance_level"
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_3_uso",
      "name": "TP: Near Resistance[1] (USO@1d)",
      "priority": 101,
      "purpose": "stop_loss",
      "target_symbol": "STOCK:USO"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "short",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:XLE",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "crossed_below",
          "right": {
            "rank": 1,
            "type": "resistance_level"
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_3_xle",
      "name": "TP: Near Resistance[1] (XLE@1d)",
      "priority": 102,
      "purpose": "stop_loss",
      "target_symbol": "STOCK:XLE"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
            "type": "position"
          },
          "operator": "less_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": -2.45625
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_4",
      "name": "Stop Loss at 2.5%",
      "priority": 100,
      "purpose": "stop_loss"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
            "type": "position"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 4.9125
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_5",
      "name": "Take Profit at 4.9%",
      "priority": 100,
      "purpose": "take_profit"
    }
  ],
  "position_sizing": {
    "max_position_percent": 25,
    "method": {
      "resistance_stop_rank": 2,
      "risk_percent": 2.45625,
      "type": "fixed_risk"
    },
    "min_position_value": 100
  },
  "trigger_timeframe": "1d",
  "version": 1
}

Indicator configuration

{
  "indicators": [
    {
      "name": "donchian",
      "period": 20
    },
    {
      "name": "atr",
      "period": 20
    },
    {
      "name": "obv"
    },
    {
      "name": "bollinger_bands",
      "period": 20,
      "std_dev": 2
    },
    {
      "name": "donchian",
      "period": 20
    },
    {
      "name": "atr",
      "period": 20
    },
    {
      "name": "obv"
    },
    {
      "name": "bollinger_bands",
      "period": 20,
      "std_dev": 2
    },
    {
      "name": "donchian",
      "period": 20
    },
    {
      "name": "atr",
      "period": 20
    },
    {
      "name": "obv"
    },
    {
      "name": "bollinger_bands",
      "period": 20,
      "std_dev": 2
    }
  ]
}

Parsed strategy

{
  "data_dependencies": [
    {
      "symbol": "STOCK:CVX",
      "timeframe": "1d"
    },
    {
      "symbol": "STOCK:USO",
      "timeframe": "1d"
    },
    {
      "symbol": "STOCK:XLE",
      "timeframe": "1d"
    }
  ],
  "entry_rules": [
    {
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:CVX",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "less_than",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:CVX",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "lower",
            "indicator": {
              "name": "donchian",
              "period": 20
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:CVX",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "atr",
              "period": 20
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:CVX",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:CVX",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "obv"
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "less_than",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:CVX",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:CVX",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "crossed_below",
          "right": {
            "rank": 1,
            "type": "support_level"
          }
        }
      ],
      "direction": "long",
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "entry_1_cvx",
      "name": "DONCHIAN/ATR/OBV Crossover Long (CVX@1d)",
      "priority": 1,
      "trade_symbol": "STOCK:CVX"
    },
    {
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:USO",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "less_than",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:USO",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "lower",
            "indicator": {
              "name": "donchian",
              "period": 20
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:USO",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "atr",
              "period": 20
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:USO",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:USO",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "obv"
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "less_than",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:USO",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:USO",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "crossed_below",
          "right": {
            "rank": 1,
            "type": "support_level"
          }
        }
      ],
      "direction": "long",
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "entry_1_uso",
      "name": "DONCHIAN/ATR/OBV Crossover Long (USO@1d)",
      "priority": 2,
      "trade_symbol": "STOCK:USO"
    },
    {
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:XLE",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "less_than",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:XLE",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "lower",
            "indicator": {
              "name": "donchian",
              "period": 20
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:XLE",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "atr",
              "period": 20
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:XLE",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:XLE",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "obv"
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "less_than",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:XLE",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:XLE",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "crossed_below",
          "right": {
            "rank": 1,
            "type": "support_level"
          }
        }
      ],
      "direction": "long",
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "entry_1_xle",
      "name": "DONCHIAN/ATR/OBV Crossover Long (XLE@1d)",
      "priority": 3,
      "trade_symbol": "STOCK:XLE"
    },
    {
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:CVX",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "less_than",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:CVX",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "lower",
            "indicator": {
              "name": "donchian",
              "period": 20
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:CVX",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "atr",
              "period": 20
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:CVX",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:CVX",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "obv"
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "less_than",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:CVX",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          }
        }
      ],
      "direction": "long",
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "entry_2_cvx",
      "name": "DONCHIAN/ATR/OBV Signal Long (CVX@1d)",
      "priority": 2,
      "trade_symbol": "STOCK:CVX"
    },
    {
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:USO",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "less_than",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:USO",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "lower",
            "indicator": {
              "name": "donchian",
              "period": 20
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:USO",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "atr",
              "period": 20
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:USO",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:USO",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "obv"
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "less_than",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:USO",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          }
        }
      ],
      "direction": "long",
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "entry_2_uso",
      "name": "DONCHIAN/ATR/OBV Signal Long (USO@1d)",
      "priority": 3,
      "trade_symbol": "STOCK:USO"
    },
    {
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:XLE",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "less_than",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:XLE",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "lower",
            "indicator": {
              "name": "donchian",
              "period": 20
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:XLE",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "atr",
              "period": 20
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:XLE",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:XLE",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "obv"
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "less_than",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:XLE",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          }
        }
      ],
      "direction": "long",
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "entry_2_xle",
      "name": "DONCHIAN/ATR/OBV Signal Long (XLE@1d)",
      "priority": 4,
      "trade_symbol": "STOCK:XLE"
    },
    {
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:CVX",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "crossed_below",
          "right": {
            "rank": 1,
            "type": "support_level"
          }
        }
      ],
      "direction": "long",
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "entry_3_cvx",
      "name": "Crossover Long (CVX@1d)",
      "priority": 2,
      "trade_symbol": "STOCK:CVX"
    },
    {
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:USO",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "crossed_below",
          "right": {
            "rank": 1,
            "type": "support_level"
          }
        }
      ],
      "direction": "long",
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "entry_3_uso",
      "name": "Crossover Long (USO@1d)",
      "priority": 3,
      "trade_symbol": "STOCK:USO"
    },
    {
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:XLE",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "crossed_below",
          "right": {
            "rank": 1,
            "type": "support_level"
          }
        }
      ],
      "direction": "long",
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "entry_3_xle",
      "name": "Crossover Long (XLE@1d)",
      "priority": 4,
      "trade_symbol": "STOCK:XLE"
    }
  ],
  "exit_rules": [
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:CVX",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:CVX",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "lower",
            "indicator": {
              "name": "donchian",
              "period": 20
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:CVX",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "less_than",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:CVX",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "lower",
            "indicator": {
              "name": "bollinger_bands",
              "period": 20,
              "std_dev": 2
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "holding_period_bars",
            "type": "position"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 30
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_1_cvx",
      "name": "Position Exit Rule (CVX@1d)",
      "priority": 1,
      "purpose": "signal",
      "target_symbol": "STOCK:CVX"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:USO",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:USO",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "lower",
            "indicator": {
              "name": "donchian",
              "period": 20
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:USO",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "less_than",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:USO",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "lower",
            "indicator": {
              "name": "bollinger_bands",
              "period": 20,
              "std_dev": 2
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "holding_period_bars",
            "type": "position"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 30
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_1_uso",
      "name": "Position Exit Rule (USO@1d)",
      "priority": 2,
      "purpose": "signal",
      "target_symbol": "STOCK:USO"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:XLE",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:XLE",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "lower",
            "indicator": {
              "name": "donchian",
              "period": 20
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:XLE",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "less_than",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:XLE",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "lower",
            "indicator": {
              "name": "bollinger_bands",
              "period": 20,
              "std_dev": 2
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "holding_period_bars",
            "type": "position"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 30
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_1_xle",
      "name": "Position Exit Rule (XLE@1d)",
      "priority": 3,
      "purpose": "signal",
      "target_symbol": "STOCK:XLE"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:CVX",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "less_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:CVX",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "ratio": 618,
            "type": "fibonacci_retracement"
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_2_cvx",
      "name": "SL: Fib Retracement 61.8% (CVX@1d)",
      "priority": 96,
      "purpose": "take_profit",
      "target_symbol": "STOCK:CVX"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:USO",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "less_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:USO",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "ratio": 618,
            "type": "fibonacci_retracement"
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_2_uso",
      "name": "SL: Fib Retracement 61.8% (USO@1d)",
      "priority": 97,
      "purpose": "take_profit",
      "target_symbol": "STOCK:USO"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:XLE",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "less_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:XLE",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "ratio": 618,
            "type": "fibonacci_retracement"
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_2_xle",
      "name": "SL: Fib Retracement 61.8% (XLE@1d)",
      "priority": 98,
      "purpose": "take_profit",
      "target_symbol": "STOCK:XLE"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "short",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:CVX",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "crossed_below",
          "right": {
            "rank": 1,
            "type": "resistance_level"
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_3_cvx",
      "name": "TP: Near Resistance[1] (CVX@1d)",
      "priority": 100,
      "purpose": "stop_loss",
      "target_symbol": "STOCK:CVX"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "short",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:USO",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "crossed_below",
          "right": {
            "rank": 1,
            "type": "resistance_level"
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_3_uso",
      "name": "TP: Near Resistance[1] (USO@1d)",
      "priority": 101,
      "purpose": "stop_loss",
      "target_symbol": "STOCK:USO"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "short",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:XLE",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "crossed_below",
          "right": {
            "rank": 1,
            "type": "resistance_level"
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_3_xle",
      "name": "TP: Near Resistance[1] (XLE@1d)",
      "priority": 102,
      "purpose": "stop_loss",
      "target_symbol": "STOCK:XLE"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
            "type": "position"
          },
          "operator": "less_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": -2.45625
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_4",
      "name": "Stop Loss at 2.5%",
      "priority": 100,
      "purpose": "stop_loss"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
            "type": "position"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 4.9125
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_5",
      "name": "Take Profit at 4.9%",
      "priority": 100,
      "purpose": "take_profit"
    }
  ],
  "position_sizing": {
    "max_position_percent": 25,
    "method": {
      "resistance_stop_rank": 2,
      "risk_percent": 2.45625,
      "type": "fixed_risk"
    },
    "min_position_value": 100
  },
  "trigger_timeframe": "1d",
  "version": 1
}

Strategy instructions

Trading agent generated from recommendation idea 'Most of today's published ideas are positioned for escalating conflict and surging oil prices — but this cluster points the other way. Genuine US-Iran peace deal headlines would catch those crowded long positions off guard and trigger a rapid unwinding of'. Thesis: Most of today's published ideas are positioned for escalating conflict and surging oil prices — but this cluster points the other way. Genuine US-Iran peace deal headlines would catch those crowded long positions off guard and trigger a rapid unwinding of the geopolitical risk premium currently baked into crude. When a one-directional trade gets hit with unexpected de-escalation news, the rush for the exits can push prices down much faster than they went up.

Performance

No trade count, win rate, or realized P&L figures are provided in this public preview. The thesis and shared rules do not establish a performance record.

What this public preview can establish

  • The thesis and strategy approach describe a market view. They do not show whether an entry or exit condition is currently met.
  • Technical strategy fields are shared above. Inspect the actual conditions and check when they were evaluated before relying on them.
  • No trade count, win rate, or P&L figure is published in this preview. It cannot establish a performance record.

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