Loading…
Public trading strategy

Flutter's FanDuel is losing market share right as the company fires its CEO, a c

Created

Thesis

Flutter's FanDuel is losing market share right as the company fires its CEO, a combination that usually signals deeper operational dysfunction. When companies miss profit targets and immediately reshuffle leadership, it takes quarters for a true turnaround to take hold, meaning the stock has further to fall. The broader market is actively rewarding successful pivots—Block's stock is surging after its internal fixes paid off, while telecom giants are falling because SpaceX is threatening to disrupt them. This contrast shows investors are punishing companies that fail to adapt while capital flows to those proving they can evolve, putting maximum pressure on Flutter's already broken stock.

Markets and timeframes

Entry and exit at a glance

These are the named rules in the shared configuration. Review the full conditions below before using a strategy.

  • Entry: EMA/MACD/ADX Crossover Long (FLUT@1d) (4 conditions)
  • Exit: Oversold RSI Exit (FLUT@1d) (4 conditions)
  • Exit: SL: Below Support[1] (FLUT@1d) (1 condition)
  • Exit: TP: Fib Extension 127.2% (FLUT@1d) (1 condition)
  • Exit: SL: Fib Retracement 61.8% (FLUT@1d) (1 condition)
  • Exit: Stop Loss at 2.9% (1 condition)
  • Exit: Take Profit at 5.7% (1 condition)
  • Exit: SL: Fib Retracement 50.0% (FLUT@1d) (1 condition)

Shared strategy rules

Rule configuration

{
  "data_dependencies": [
    {
      "symbol": "STOCK:FLUT",
      "timeframe": "1d"
    }
  ],
  "entry_rules": [
    {
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:FLUT",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "ema",
              "period": 9
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "less_than",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:FLUT",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "ema",
              "period": 21
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:FLUT",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "line",
            "indicator": {
              "fast": 12,
              "name": "macd",
              "signal": 9,
              "slow": 26
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "crossed_below",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:FLUT",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "signal",
            "indicator": {
              "fast": 12,
              "name": "macd",
              "signal": 9,
              "slow": 26
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:FLUT",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "adx",
              "period": 14
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 20
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:FLUT",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "less_than",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:FLUT",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "ema",
              "period": 9
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          }
        }
      ],
      "direction": "long",
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "entry_1",
      "name": "EMA/MACD/ADX Crossover Long (FLUT@1d)",
      "priority": 1,
      "trade_symbol": "STOCK:FLUT"
    }
  ],
  "exit_rules": [
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:FLUT",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "rsi",
              "period": 14
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "less_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 25
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:FLUT",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "line",
            "indicator": {
              "fast": 12,
              "name": "macd",
              "signal": 9,
              "slow": 26
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "crossed_above",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:FLUT",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "signal",
            "indicator": {
              "fast": 12,
              "name": "macd",
              "signal": 9,
              "slow": 26
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:FLUT",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "adx",
            "indicator": {
              "name": "adx",
              "period": 14
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "less_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 15
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "holding_period_bars",
            "type": "position"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 60
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_1",
      "name": "Oversold RSI Exit (FLUT@1d)",
      "priority": 1,
      "purpose": "signal"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:FLUT",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "less_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "rank": 1,
            "type": "support_level"
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_2",
      "name": "SL: Below Support[1] (FLUT@1d)",
      "priority": 96,
      "purpose": "take_profit",
      "target_symbol": "STOCK:FLUT"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:FLUT",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "less_than",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:FLUT",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "ratio": 1272,
            "type": "fibonacci_extension"
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_3",
      "name": "TP: Fib Extension 127.2% (FLUT@1d)",
      "priority": 97,
      "purpose": "take_profit",
      "target_symbol": "STOCK:FLUT"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:FLUT",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:FLUT",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "ratio": 618,
            "type": "fibonacci_retracement"
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_4",
      "name": "SL: Fib Retracement 61.8% (FLUT@1d)",
      "priority": 100,
      "purpose": "stop_loss",
      "target_symbol": "STOCK:FLUT"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
            "type": "position"
          },
          "operator": "less_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": -2.85
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_5",
      "name": "Stop Loss at 2.9%",
      "priority": 100,
      "purpose": "stop_loss"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
            "type": "position"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 5.7
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_6",
      "name": "Take Profit at 5.7%",
      "priority": 100,
      "purpose": "take_profit"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "short",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:FLUT",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:FLUT",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "ratio": 500,
            "type": "fibonacci_retracement"
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_7",
      "name": "SL: Fib Retracement 50.0% (FLUT@1d)",
      "priority": 100,
      "purpose": "stop_loss"
    }
  ],
  "position_sizing": {
    "max_position_percent": 25,
    "method": {
      "fib_stop_ratio": 500,
      "risk_percent": 2.85,
      "type": "fixed_risk"
    },
    "min_position_value": 100
  },
  "trigger_timeframe": "1d",
  "version": 1
}

Indicator configuration

{
  "indicators": [
    {
      "name": "ema",
      "period": 9
    },
    {
      "name": "ema",
      "period": 21
    },
    {
      "name": "ema",
      "period": 50
    },
    {
      "fast": 12,
      "name": "macd",
      "signal": 9,
      "slow": 26
    },
    {
      "name": "adx",
      "period": 14
    },
    {
      "name": "rsi",
      "period": 14
    }
  ]
}

Parsed strategy

{
  "data_dependencies": [
    {
      "symbol": "STOCK:FLUT",
      "timeframe": "1d"
    }
  ],
  "entry_rules": [
    {
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:FLUT",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "ema",
              "period": 9
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "less_than",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:FLUT",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "ema",
              "period": 21
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:FLUT",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "line",
            "indicator": {
              "fast": 12,
              "name": "macd",
              "signal": 9,
              "slow": 26
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "crossed_below",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:FLUT",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "signal",
            "indicator": {
              "fast": 12,
              "name": "macd",
              "signal": 9,
              "slow": 26
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:FLUT",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "adx",
              "period": 14
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 20
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:FLUT",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "less_than",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:FLUT",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "ema",
              "period": 9
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          }
        }
      ],
      "direction": "long",
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "entry_1",
      "name": "EMA/MACD/ADX Crossover Long (FLUT@1d)",
      "priority": 1,
      "trade_symbol": "STOCK:FLUT"
    }
  ],
  "exit_rules": [
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:FLUT",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "rsi",
              "period": 14
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "less_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 25
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:FLUT",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "line",
            "indicator": {
              "fast": 12,
              "name": "macd",
              "signal": 9,
              "slow": 26
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "crossed_above",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:FLUT",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "signal",
            "indicator": {
              "fast": 12,
              "name": "macd",
              "signal": 9,
              "slow": 26
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:FLUT",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "adx",
            "indicator": {
              "name": "adx",
              "period": 14
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "less_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 15
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "holding_period_bars",
            "type": "position"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 60
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_1",
      "name": "Oversold RSI Exit (FLUT@1d)",
      "priority": 1,
      "purpose": "signal"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:FLUT",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "less_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "rank": 1,
            "type": "support_level"
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_2",
      "name": "SL: Below Support[1] (FLUT@1d)",
      "priority": 96,
      "purpose": "take_profit",
      "target_symbol": "STOCK:FLUT"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:FLUT",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "less_than",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:FLUT",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "ratio": 1272,
            "type": "fibonacci_extension"
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_3",
      "name": "TP: Fib Extension 127.2% (FLUT@1d)",
      "priority": 97,
      "purpose": "take_profit",
      "target_symbol": "STOCK:FLUT"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:FLUT",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:FLUT",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "ratio": 618,
            "type": "fibonacci_retracement"
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_4",
      "name": "SL: Fib Retracement 61.8% (FLUT@1d)",
      "priority": 100,
      "purpose": "stop_loss",
      "target_symbol": "STOCK:FLUT"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
            "type": "position"
          },
          "operator": "less_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": -2.85
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_5",
      "name": "Stop Loss at 2.9%",
      "priority": 100,
      "purpose": "stop_loss"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
            "type": "position"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 5.7
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_6",
      "name": "Take Profit at 5.7%",
      "priority": 100,
      "purpose": "take_profit"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "short",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:FLUT",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:FLUT",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "ratio": 500,
            "type": "fibonacci_retracement"
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_7",
      "name": "SL: Fib Retracement 50.0% (FLUT@1d)",
      "priority": 100,
      "purpose": "stop_loss"
    }
  ],
  "position_sizing": {
    "max_position_percent": 25,
    "method": {
      "fib_stop_ratio": 500,
      "risk_percent": 2.85,
      "type": "fixed_risk"
    },
    "min_position_value": 100
  },
  "trigger_timeframe": "1d",
  "version": 1
}

Strategy instructions

Trading agent generated from recommendation idea 'Flutter's FanDuel is losing market share right as the company fires its CEO, a combination that usually signals deeper operational dysfunction. When companies miss profit targets and immediately reshuffle leadership, it takes quarters for a true turnaroun'. Thesis: Flutter's FanDuel is losing market share right as the company fires its CEO, a combination that usually signals deeper operational dysfunction. When companies miss profit targets and immediately reshuffle leadership, it takes quarters for a true turnaround to take hold, meaning the stock has further to fall. The broader market is actively rewarding successful pivots—Block's stock is surging after its internal fixes paid off, while telecom giants are falling because SpaceX is threatening to disrupt them. This contrast shows investors are punishing companies that fail to adapt while capital flows to those proving they can evolve, putting maximum pressure on Flutter's already broken stock.

Performance

No trade count, win rate, or realized P&L figures are provided in this public preview. The thesis and shared rules do not establish a performance record.

What this public preview can establish

  • The thesis and strategy approach describe a market view. They do not show whether an entry or exit condition is currently met.
  • Technical strategy fields are shared above. Inspect the actual conditions and check when they were evaluated before relying on them.
  • No trade count, win rate, or P&L figure is published in this preview. It cannot establish a performance record.

Explore

How CommonQuant researches and tests strategies · Public paper-trading record and its limits · Discover public strategies