Public trading strategy
US bombs Iran and blocks their oil — load up on Chevron and Exxon to ride the cr
Thesis
The combination of U.S. strikes on Iran and the revocation of Iran's oil sales waiver is a direct supply-side shock. Oil is already surging over 5%, and Chevron is already flagged as a major premarket mover. When oil supply gets choked off by military action, integrated oil majors like Chevron capture the benefit of higher prices without losing their own production. With the ceasefire officially declared 'over', this disruption looks structural rather than temporary.
Strategy approach
Build a rule-based strategy that enters long CVX, XOM, and COP on D1 when front-month crude oil futures (CL=F) gap up >3% on news of a supply disruption. Hold for 21 days. Exit if crude falls below its 10-day low or if CVX drops >6% from entry.