Public trading strategy
A court order halting an operating lithium mine is a genuine supply removal, not
Created
Thesis
A court order halting an operating lithium mine is a genuine supply removal, not a demand story — commodity prices tend to react quickly and sharply when actual production stops. Sigma's stock will likely suffer, but the larger producers like Albemarle and SQM keep selling the same metal at a higher price. Event-driven supply shocks tend to lift the whole sector as traders price in tighter global lithium balance, so the still-operating miners are the cleaner way to express it than the halted company itself.
Strategy approach
A court order halting an operating lithium mine is a genuine supply removal, not a demand story — commodity prices tend to react quickly and sharply when actual production stops. Sigma's stock will likely suffer, but the larger producers like Albemarle and SQM keep selling the same metal at a higher price. Event-driven supply shocks tend to lift the whole sector as traders price in tighter global lithium balance, so the still-operating miners are the cleaner way to express it than the halted company itself. Decision analysis profile: near_term. Required dimensions: as_of_session, catalyst_timing, expectations_priced_in, price_volume, liquidity_spread_volatility, dilution_capital_allocation, downside, actionability.
Markets and timeframes
Latest published rule evaluation
Evaluated . This is a dated rule snapshot, not a live price or trade execution confirmation.
ALB · 1d
2 of 4 published entry conditions marked met.
- Price crossed above EMA (20) — near
- RSI (14) crossed above 50 — far
- ADX (14) above 20 — met
- Price above Price — met
- Price below EMA (20) — met
- RSI (14) above 75 — far
- RSI (14) above 75 — far
- RSI (14) above 75 — far
SGML · 1d
2 of 4 published entry conditions marked met.
- Price crossed above EMA (20) — near
- RSI (14) crossed above 50 — far
- ADX (14) above 20 — met
- Price above Price — met
- Price below EMA (20) — near
- RSI (14) above 75 — far
- RSI (14) above 75 — far
- RSI (14) above 75 — far
SQM · 1d
2 of 4 published entry conditions marked met.
- Price crossed above EMA (20) — near
- RSI (14) crossed above 50 — far
- ADX (14) above 20 — met
- Price above Price — met
- Price below EMA (20) — met
- RSI (14) above 75 — far
- RSI (14) above 75 — far
- RSI (14) above 75 — far
Entry and exit at a glance
These are the named rules in the shared configuration. Review the full conditions below before using a strategy.
- Entry: Confirmed Supply-Shock Reclaim Long (ALB@1d) (4 conditions)
- Entry: Confirmed Supply-Shock Reclaim Long (SQM@1d) (4 conditions)
- Entry: Confirmed Supply-Shock Reclaim Long (SGML@1d) (4 conditions)
- Exit: Time Stop / Signal Exit (ALB@1d) (2 conditions)
- Exit: Time Stop / Signal Exit (SQM@1d) (2 conditions)
- Exit: Time Stop / Signal Exit (SGML@1d) (2 conditions)
- Exit: Stop Loss at 5.0% (1 condition)
- Exit: Overextension Take Profit (RSI above 75, ALB) (1 condition)
- Exit: Overextension Take Profit (RSI above 75, SQM) (1 condition)
- Exit: Overextension Take Profit (RSI above 75, SGML) (1 condition)
Shared strategy rules
Rule configuration
{
"data_dependencies": [
{
"symbol": "STOCK:ALB",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
{
"symbol": "STOCK:SQM",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
{
"symbol": "STOCK:SGML",
"timeframe": "1d"
}
],
"entry_rules": [
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:ALB",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "crossed_above",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:ALB",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "ema",
"period": 20
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:ALB",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "crossed_above",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 50
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:ALB",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "adx",
"indicator": {
"name": "adx",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 20
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:ALB",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:ALB",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
}
}
],
"direction": "long",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_1_alb",
"name": "Confirmed Supply-Shock Reclaim Long (ALB@1d)",
"priority": 1,
"trade_symbol": "STOCK:ALB"
},
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:SQM",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "crossed_above",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:SQM",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "ema",
"period": 20
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:SQM",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "crossed_above",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 50
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:SQM",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "adx",
"indicator": {
"name": "adx",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 20
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:SQM",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:SQM",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
}
}
],
"direction": "long",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_1_sqm",
"name": "Confirmed Supply-Shock Reclaim Long (SQM@1d)",
"priority": 2,
"trade_symbol": "STOCK:SQM"
},
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:SGML",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "crossed_above",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:SGML",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "ema",
"period": 20
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:SGML",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "crossed_above",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 50
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:SGML",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "adx",
"indicator": {
"name": "adx",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 20
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:SGML",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:SGML",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
}
}
],
"direction": "long",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_1_sgml",
"name": "Confirmed Supply-Shock Reclaim Long (SGML@1d)",
"priority": 3,
"trade_symbol": "STOCK:SGML"
}
],
"exit_rules": [
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:ALB",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:ALB",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "ema",
"period": 20
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"field": "holding_period_bars",
"type": "position"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 45
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_1_alb",
"name": "Time Stop / Signal Exit (ALB@1d)",
"priority": 1,
"purpose": "signal",
"target_symbol": "STOCK:ALB"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:SQM",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:SQM",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "ema",
"period": 20
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"field": "holding_period_bars",
"type": "position"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 45
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_1_sqm",
"name": "Time Stop / Signal Exit (SQM@1d)",
"priority": 2,
"purpose": "signal",
"target_symbol": "STOCK:SQM"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:SGML",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:SGML",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "ema",
"period": 20
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"field": "holding_period_bars",
"type": "position"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 45
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_1_sgml",
"name": "Time Stop / Signal Exit (SGML@1d)",
"priority": 3,
"purpose": "signal",
"target_symbol": "STOCK:SGML"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
"type": "position"
},
"operator": "less_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": -5
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_2",
"name": "Stop Loss at 5.0%",
"priority": 10,
"purpose": "stop_loss"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:ALB",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 75
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_3",
"name": "Overextension Take Profit (RSI above 75, ALB)",
"priority": 11,
"purpose": "take_profit",
"target_symbol": "STOCK:ALB"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:SQM",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 75
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_4",
"name": "Overextension Take Profit (RSI above 75, SQM)",
"priority": 12,
"purpose": "take_profit",
"target_symbol": "STOCK:SQM"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:SGML",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 75
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_5",
"name": "Overextension Take Profit (RSI above 75, SGML)",
"priority": 13,
"purpose": "take_profit",
"target_symbol": "STOCK:SGML"
}
],
"position_sizing": {
"max_position_percent": 25,
"method": {
"type": "allocation"
},
"min_position_value": 100
},
"trigger_timeframe": "1d",
"version": 2
}Indicator configuration
{
"indicators": [
{
"name": "ema",
"period": 20
},
{
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
},
{
"name": "adx",
"period": 14
},
{
"name": "ema",
"period": 20
},
{
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
},
{
"name": "adx",
"period": 14
},
{
"name": "ema",
"period": 20
},
{
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
},
{
"name": "adx",
"period": 14
}
]
}Parsed strategy
{
"data_dependencies": [
{
"symbol": "STOCK:ALB",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
{
"symbol": "STOCK:SQM",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
{
"symbol": "STOCK:SGML",
"timeframe": "1d"
}
],
"entry_rules": [
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:ALB",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "crossed_above",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:ALB",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "ema",
"period": 20
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:ALB",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "crossed_above",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 50
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:ALB",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "adx",
"indicator": {
"name": "adx",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 20
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:ALB",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:ALB",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
}
}
],
"direction": "long",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_1_alb",
"name": "Confirmed Supply-Shock Reclaim Long (ALB@1d)",
"priority": 1,
"trade_symbol": "STOCK:ALB"
},
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:SQM",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "crossed_above",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:SQM",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "ema",
"period": 20
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:SQM",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "crossed_above",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 50
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:SQM",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "adx",
"indicator": {
"name": "adx",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 20
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:SQM",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:SQM",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
}
}
],
"direction": "long",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_1_sqm",
"name": "Confirmed Supply-Shock Reclaim Long (SQM@1d)",
"priority": 2,
"trade_symbol": "STOCK:SQM"
},
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:SGML",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "crossed_above",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:SGML",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "ema",
"period": 20
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:SGML",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "crossed_above",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 50
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:SGML",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "adx",
"indicator": {
"name": "adx",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 20
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:SGML",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:SGML",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
}
}
],
"direction": "long",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_1_sgml",
"name": "Confirmed Supply-Shock Reclaim Long (SGML@1d)",
"priority": 3,
"trade_symbol": "STOCK:SGML"
}
],
"exit_rules": [
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:ALB",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:ALB",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "ema",
"period": 20
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"field": "holding_period_bars",
"type": "position"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 45
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_1_alb",
"name": "Time Stop / Signal Exit (ALB@1d)",
"priority": 1,
"purpose": "signal",
"target_symbol": "STOCK:ALB"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:SQM",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:SQM",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "ema",
"period": 20
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"field": "holding_period_bars",
"type": "position"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 45
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_1_sqm",
"name": "Time Stop / Signal Exit (SQM@1d)",
"priority": 2,
"purpose": "signal",
"target_symbol": "STOCK:SQM"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:SGML",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:SGML",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "ema",
"period": 20
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"field": "holding_period_bars",
"type": "position"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 45
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_1_sgml",
"name": "Time Stop / Signal Exit (SGML@1d)",
"priority": 3,
"purpose": "signal",
"target_symbol": "STOCK:SGML"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
"type": "position"
},
"operator": "less_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": -5
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_2",
"name": "Stop Loss at 5.0%",
"priority": 10,
"purpose": "stop_loss"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:ALB",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 75
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_3",
"name": "Overextension Take Profit (RSI above 75, ALB)",
"priority": 11,
"purpose": "take_profit",
"target_symbol": "STOCK:ALB"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:SQM",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 75
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_4",
"name": "Overextension Take Profit (RSI above 75, SQM)",
"priority": 12,
"purpose": "take_profit",
"target_symbol": "STOCK:SQM"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:SGML",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 75
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_5",
"name": "Overextension Take Profit (RSI above 75, SGML)",
"priority": 13,
"purpose": "take_profit",
"target_symbol": "STOCK:SGML"
}
],
"position_sizing": {
"max_position_percent": 25,
"method": {
"type": "allocation"
},
"min_position_value": 100
},
"trigger_timeframe": "1d",
"version": 2
}Strategy instructions
Trading agent generated from recommendation idea 'A court order halting an operating lithium mine is a genuine supply removal, not a demand story — commodity prices tend to react quickly and sharply when actual production stops. Sigma's stock will likely suffer, but the larger producers like Albemarle an'. Thesis: A court order halting an operating lithium mine is a genuine supply removal, not a demand story — commodity prices tend to react quickly and sharply when actual production stops. Sigma's stock will likely suffer, but the larger producers like Albemarle and SQM keep selling the same metal at a higher price. Event-driven supply shocks tend to lift the whole sector as traders price in tighter global lithium balance, so the still-operating miners are the cleaner way to express it than the halted company itself.
Performance
No trade count, win rate, or realized P&L figures are provided in this public preview. The thesis and shared rules do not establish a performance record.
What this public preview can establish
- The dated rule snapshot above shows the conditions evaluated at that time. It does not prove a current trigger or executed trade.
- Technical strategy fields are shared above. Inspect the actual conditions and check when they were evaluated before relying on them.
- No trade count, win rate, or P&L figure is published in this preview. It cannot establish a performance record.
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