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Public trading strategy

Record Bitcoin ETF bleeding meets failed relief rally — short crypto's dead cat

Created

Thesis

Investors pulled a record $4 billion from Bitcoin funds in June, signaling extreme panic. This massive exodus usually feeds on itself, forcing prices down further. Even worse for crypto bulls, Bitcoin failed to bounce when stock market futures rose on news of Iran peace talks. When an asset ignores good news and keeps sliding, it means underlying selling pressure is massive. Strategists are now warning of a drop all the way down to $40,000, making the risk of further losses very real.

Strategy approach

Build a short-bias strategy on BTC-USD or BITO entering short when the 20-day moving average crosses below the 50-day moving average and weekly outflows from US spot bitcoin ETFs exceed $500 million (using IBIT and FBTC outflows as a proxy). Exit if the daily price closes above the 20-day moving average for 3 consecutive days, or after a 28-day max hold.

Markets and timeframes

Latest published rule evaluation

Evaluated . This is a dated rule snapshot, not a live price or trade execution confirmation.

BITO · 1d

6 of 15 published entry conditions marked met.

  • SMA (20) crossed below SMA (50) — far
  • ADX (14) above 20 — met
  • ATR (14) above 0.5 — unknown
  • SMA (20) crossed below SMA (50) — far
  • ADX (14) above 20 — met
  • ATR (14) above 0.5 — unknown
  • SMA (20) crossed below SMA (50) — far
  • ADX (14) above 20 — met
  • ATR (14) above 0.5 — unknown
  • SMA (20) crossed below SMA (50) — far
  • ADX (14) above 20 — met
  • SMA (20) crossed below SMA (50) — far
  • ADX (14) above 20 — met
  • SMA (20) crossed below SMA (50) — far
  • ADX (14) above 20 — met
  • Price above SMA (20) — met
  • Price above SMA (20) — met
  • Price above SMA (20) — met

COIN · 1d

6 of 15 published entry conditions marked met.

  • SMA (20) crossed below SMA (50) — near
  • ADX (14) above 20 — met
  • ATR (14) above 0.5 — unknown
  • SMA (20) crossed below SMA (50) — near
  • ADX (14) above 20 — met
  • ATR (14) above 0.5 — unknown
  • SMA (20) crossed below SMA (50) — near
  • ADX (14) above 20 — met
  • ATR (14) above 0.5 — unknown
  • SMA (20) crossed below SMA (50) — near
  • ADX (14) above 20 — met
  • SMA (20) crossed below SMA (50) — near
  • ADX (14) above 20 — met
  • SMA (20) crossed below SMA (50) — near
  • ADX (14) above 20 — met
  • Price above SMA (20) — met
  • Price above SMA (20) — met
  • Price above SMA (20) — met

MSTR · 1d

6 of 15 published entry conditions marked met.

  • SMA (20) crossed below SMA (50) — far
  • ADX (14) above 20 — met
  • ATR (14) above 0.5 — unknown
  • SMA (20) crossed below SMA (50) — far
  • ADX (14) above 20 — met
  • ATR (14) above 0.5 — unknown
  • SMA (20) crossed below SMA (50) — far
  • ADX (14) above 20 — met
  • ATR (14) above 0.5 — unknown
  • SMA (20) crossed below SMA (50) — far
  • ADX (14) above 20 — met
  • SMA (20) crossed below SMA (50) — far
  • ADX (14) above 20 — met
  • SMA (20) crossed below SMA (50) — far
  • ADX (14) above 20 — met
  • Price above SMA (20) — met
  • Price above SMA (20) — met
  • Price above SMA (20) — met

Entry and exit at a glance

These are the named rules in the shared configuration. Review the full conditions below before using a strategy.

  • Entry: SMA/ADX/ATR Crossover Short (BITO@1d) (4 conditions)
  • Entry: SMA/ADX/ATR Crossover Short (COIN@1d) (4 conditions)
  • Entry: SMA/ADX/ATR Crossover Short (MSTR@1d) (4 conditions)
  • Entry: SMA/ADX/ATR Crossover Short (IBIT@1d) (4 conditions)
  • Entry: SMA/ADX/ATR Crossover Short (FBTC@1d) (4 conditions)
  • Entry: SMA/ADX Crossover Short (BITO@1d) (2 conditions)
  • Entry: SMA/ADX Crossover Short (COIN@1d) (2 conditions)
  • Entry: SMA/ADX Crossover Short (MSTR@1d) (2 conditions)
  • Entry: SMA/ADX Crossover Short (IBIT@1d) (2 conditions)
  • Entry: SMA/ADX Crossover Short (FBTC@1d) (2 conditions)
  • Entry: Crossover Short (BITO@1d) (1 condition)
  • Entry: Crossover Short (COIN@1d) (1 condition)
  • Entry: Crossover Short (MSTR@1d) (1 condition)
  • Entry: Crossover Short (IBIT@1d) (1 condition)
  • Entry: Crossover Short (FBTC@1d) (1 condition)
  • Exit: Position Exit Rule (BITO@1d) (1 condition)
  • Exit: Position Exit Rule (COIN@1d) (1 condition)
  • Exit: Position Exit Rule (MSTR@1d) (1 condition)
  • Exit: Position Exit Rule (IBIT@1d) (1 condition)
  • Exit: Position Exit Rule (FBTC@1d) (1 condition)
  • Exit: SL: Below Support[1] (BITO@1d) (1 condition)
  • Exit: SL: Below Support[1] (COIN@1d) (1 condition)
  • Exit: SL: Below Support[1] (MSTR@1d) (1 condition)
  • Exit: SL: Below Support[1] (IBIT@1d) (1 condition)
  • Exit: SL: Below Support[1] (FBTC@1d) (1 condition)
  • Exit: TP: Fib Extension 127.2% (BITO@1d) (1 condition)
  • Exit: TP: Fib Extension 127.2% (COIN@1d) (1 condition)
  • Exit: TP: Fib Extension 127.2% (MSTR@1d) (1 condition)
  • Exit: TP: Fib Extension 127.2% (IBIT@1d) (1 condition)
  • Exit: TP: Fib Extension 127.2% (FBTC@1d) (1 condition)
  • Exit: SL: Fib Retracement 38.2% (BITO@1d) (1 condition)
  • Exit: SL: Fib Retracement 38.2% (COIN@1d) (1 condition)
  • Exit: SL: Fib Retracement 38.2% (MSTR@1d) (1 condition)
  • Exit: SL: Fib Retracement 38.2% (IBIT@1d) (1 condition)
  • Exit: SL: Fib Retracement 38.2% (FBTC@1d) (1 condition)
  • Exit: Stop Loss at 2.6% (1 condition)
  • Exit: Take Profit at 5.2% (1 condition)

Shared strategy rules

Rule configuration

{
  "data_dependencies": [
    {
      "symbol": "BITO",
      "timeframe": "1d"
    },
    {
      "symbol": "COIN",
      "timeframe": "1d"
    },
    {
      "symbol": "MSTR",
      "timeframe": "1d"
    },
    {
      "symbol": "IBIT",
      "timeframe": "1d"
    },
    {
      "symbol": "FBTC",
      "timeframe": "1d"
    }
  ],
  "entry_rules": [
    {
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "BITO",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "sma",
              "period": 20
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "crossed_below",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "BITO",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "sma",
              "period": 50
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "BITO",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "adx",
            "indicator": {
              "name": "adx",
              "period": 14
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 20
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "crossed_below",
          "right": {
            "rank": 1,
            "type": "resistance_level"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "BITO",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "atr",
              "period": 14
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 0.5
          }
        }
      ],
      "direction": "short",
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "entry_1_bito",
      "name": "SMA/ADX/ATR Crossover Short (BITO@1d)",
      "priority": 1,
      "trade_symbol": "BITO"
    },
    {
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "COIN",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "sma",
              "period": 20
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "crossed_below",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "COIN",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "sma",
              "period": 50
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "COIN",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "adx",
            "indicator": {
              "name": "adx",
              "period": 14
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 20
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "crossed_below",
          "right": {
            "rank": 1,
            "type": "resistance_level"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "COIN",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "atr",
              "period": 14
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 0.5
          }
        }
      ],
      "direction": "short",
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "entry_1_coin",
      "name": "SMA/ADX/ATR Crossover Short (COIN@1d)",
      "priority": 2,
      "trade_symbol": "COIN"
    },
    {
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "MSTR",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "sma",
              "period": 20
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "crossed_below",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "MSTR",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "sma",
              "period": 50
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "MSTR",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "adx",
            "indicator": {
              "name": "adx",
              "period": 14
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 20
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "crossed_below",
          "right": {
            "rank": 1,
            "type": "resistance_level"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "MSTR",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "atr",
              "period": 14
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 0.5
          }
        }
      ],
      "direction": "short",
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "entry_1_mstr",
      "name": "SMA/ADX/ATR Crossover Short (MSTR@1d)",
      "priority": 3,
      "trade_symbol": "MSTR"
    },
    {
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "IBIT",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "sma",
              "period": 20
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "crossed_below",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "IBIT",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "sma",
              "period": 50
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "IBIT",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "adx",
            "indicator": {
              "name": "adx",
              "period": 14
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 20
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "crossed_below",
          "right": {
            "rank": 1,
            "type": "resistance_level"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "IBIT",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "atr",
              "period": 14
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 0.5
          }
        }
      ],
      "direction": "short",
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "entry_1_ibit",
      "name": "SMA/ADX/ATR Crossover Short (IBIT@1d)",
      "priority": 4,
      "trade_symbol": "IBIT"
    },
    {
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "FBTC",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "sma",
              "period": 20
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "crossed_below",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "FBTC",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "sma",
              "period": 50
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "FBTC",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "adx",
            "indicator": {
              "name": "adx",
              "period": 14
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 20
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "crossed_below",
          "right": {
            "rank": 1,
            "type": "resistance_level"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "FBTC",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "atr",
              "period": 14
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 0.5
          }
        }
      ],
      "direction": "short",
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "entry_1_fbtc",
      "name": "SMA/ADX/ATR Crossover Short (FBTC@1d)",
      "priority": 5,
      "trade_symbol": "FBTC"
    },
    {
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "BITO",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "sma",
              "period": 20
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "crossed_below",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "BITO",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "sma",
              "period": 50
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "BITO",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "adx",
            "indicator": {
              "name": "adx",
              "period": 14
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 20
          }
        }
      ],
      "direction": "short",
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "entry_2_bito",
      "name": "SMA/ADX Crossover Short (BITO@1d)",
      "priority": 2,
      "trade_symbol": "BITO"
    },
    {
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "COIN",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "sma",
              "period": 20
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "crossed_below",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "COIN",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "sma",
              "period": 50
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "COIN",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "adx",
            "indicator": {
              "name": "adx",
              "period": 14
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 20
          }
        }
      ],
      "direction": "short",
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "entry_2_coin",
      "name": "SMA/ADX Crossover Short (COIN@1d)",
      "priority": 3,
      "trade_symbol": "COIN"
    },
    {
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "MSTR",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "sma",
              "period": 20
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "crossed_below",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "MSTR",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "sma",
              "period": 50
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "MSTR",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "adx",
            "indicator": {
              "name": "adx",
              "period": 14
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 20
          }
        }
      ],
      "direction": "short",
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "entry_2_mstr",
      "name": "SMA/ADX Crossover Short (MSTR@1d)",
      "priority": 4,
      "trade_symbol": "MSTR"
    },
    {
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "IBIT",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "sma",
              "period": 20
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "crossed_below",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "IBIT",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "sma",
              "period": 50
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "IBIT",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "adx",
            "indicator": {
              "name": "adx",
              "period": 14
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 20
          }
        }
      ],
      "direction": "short",
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "entry_2_ibit",
      "name": "SMA/ADX Crossover Short (IBIT@1d)",
      "priority": 5,
      "trade_symbol": "IBIT"
    },
    {
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "FBTC",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "sma",
              "period": 20
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "crossed_below",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "FBTC",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "sma",
              "period": 50
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "FBTC",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "adx",
            "indicator": {
              "name": "adx",
              "period": 14
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 20
          }
        }
      ],
      "direction": "short",
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "entry_2_fbtc",
      "name": "SMA/ADX Crossover Short (FBTC@1d)",
      "priority": 6,
      "trade_symbol": "FBTC"
    },
    {
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "crossed_below",
          "right": {
            "rank": 1,
            "type": "resistance_level"
          }
        }
      ],
      "direction": "short",
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "entry_3_bito",
      "name": "Crossover Short (BITO@1d)",
      "priority": 2,
      "trade_symbol": "BITO"
    },
    {
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "crossed_below",
          "right": {
            "rank": 1,
            "type": "resistance_level"
          }
        }
      ],
      "direction": "short",
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "entry_3_coin",
      "name": "Crossover Short (COIN@1d)",
      "priority": 3,
      "trade_symbol": "COIN"
    },
    {
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "crossed_below",
          "right": {
            "rank": 1,
            "type": "resistance_level"
          }
        }
      ],
      "direction": "short",
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "entry_3_mstr",
      "name": "Crossover Short (MSTR@1d)",
      "priority": 4,
      "trade_symbol": "MSTR"
    },
    {
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "crossed_below",
          "right": {
            "rank": 1,
            "type": "resistance_level"
          }
        }
      ],
      "direction": "short",
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "entry_3_ibit",
      "name": "Crossover Short (IBIT@1d)",
      "priority": 5,
      "trade_symbol": "IBIT"
    },
    {
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "crossed_below",
          "right": {
            "rank": 1,
            "type": "resistance_level"
          }
        }
      ],
      "direction": "short",
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "entry_3_fbtc",
      "name": "Crossover Short (FBTC@1d)",
      "priority": 6,
      "trade_symbol": "FBTC"
    }
  ],
  "exit_rules": [
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "BITO",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "sma",
              "period": 20
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_1_bito",
      "name": "Position Exit Rule (BITO@1d)",
      "priority": 1,
      "purpose": "signal",
      "target_symbol": "BITO"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "COIN",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "sma",
              "period": 20
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_1_coin",
      "name": "Position Exit Rule (COIN@1d)",
      "priority": 2,
      "purpose": "signal",
      "target_symbol": "COIN"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "MSTR",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "sma",
              "period": 20
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_1_mstr",
      "name": "Position Exit Rule (MSTR@1d)",
      "priority": 3,
      "purpose": "signal",
      "target_symbol": "MSTR"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "IBIT",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "sma",
              "period": 20
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_1_ibit",
      "name": "Position Exit Rule (IBIT@1d)",
      "priority": 4,
      "purpose": "signal",
      "target_symbol": "IBIT"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "FBTC",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "sma",
              "period": 20
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_1_fbtc",
      "name": "Position Exit Rule (FBTC@1d)",
      "priority": 5,
      "purpose": "signal",
      "target_symbol": "FBTC"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "less_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "rank": 1,
            "type": "support_level"
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_2_bito",
      "name": "SL: Below Support[1] (BITO@1d)",
      "priority": 96,
      "purpose": "take_profit",
      "target_symbol": "BITO"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "less_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "rank": 1,
            "type": "support_level"
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_2_coin",
      "name": "SL: Below Support[1] (COIN@1d)",
      "priority": 97,
      "purpose": "take_profit",
      "target_symbol": "COIN"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "less_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "rank": 1,
            "type": "support_level"
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_2_mstr",
      "name": "SL: Below Support[1] (MSTR@1d)",
      "priority": 98,
      "purpose": "take_profit",
      "target_symbol": "MSTR"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "less_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "rank": 1,
            "type": "support_level"
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_2_ibit",
      "name": "SL: Below Support[1] (IBIT@1d)",
      "priority": 99,
      "purpose": "take_profit",
      "target_symbol": "IBIT"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "less_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "rank": 1,
            "type": "support_level"
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_2_fbtc",
      "name": "SL: Below Support[1] (FBTC@1d)",
      "priority": 100,
      "purpose": "take_profit",
      "target_symbol": "FBTC"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "less_than",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "BITO",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "ratio": 1272,
            "type": "fibonacci_extension"
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_3_bito",
      "name": "TP: Fib Extension 127.2% (BITO@1d)",
      "priority": 97,
      "purpose": "take_profit",
      "target_symbol": "BITO"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "less_than",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "COIN",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "ratio": 1272,
            "type": "fibonacci_extension"
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_3_coin",
      "name": "TP: Fib Extension 127.2% (COIN@1d)",
      "priority": 98,
      "purpose": "take_profit",
      "target_symbol": "COIN"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "less_than",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "MSTR",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "ratio": 1272,
            "type": "fibonacci_extension"
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_3_mstr",
      "name": "TP: Fib Extension 127.2% (MSTR@1d)",
      "priority": 99,
      "purpose": "take_profit",
      "target_symbol": "MSTR"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "less_than",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "IBIT",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "ratio": 1272,
            "type": "fibonacci_extension"
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_3_ibit",
      "name": "TP: Fib Extension 127.2% (IBIT@1d)",
      "priority": 100,
      "purpose": "take_profit",
      "target_symbol": "IBIT"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "less_than",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "FBTC",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "ratio": 1272,
            "type": "fibonacci_extension"
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_3_fbtc",
      "name": "TP: Fib Extension 127.2% (FBTC@1d)",
      "priority": 101,
      "purpose": "take_profit",
      "target_symbol": "FBTC"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "short",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "BITO",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "ratio": 382,
            "type": "fibonacci_retracement"
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_4_bito",
      "name": "SL: Fib Retracement 38.2% (BITO@1d)",
      "priority": 100,
      "purpose": "stop_loss",
      "target_symbol": "BITO"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "short",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "COIN",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "ratio": 382,
            "type": "fibonacci_retracement"
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_4_coin",
      "name": "SL: Fib Retracement 38.2% (COIN@1d)",
      "priority": 101,
      "purpose": "stop_loss",
      "target_symbol": "COIN"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "short",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "MSTR",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "ratio": 382,
            "type": "fibonacci_retracement"
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_4_mstr",
      "name": "SL: Fib Retracement 38.2% (MSTR@1d)",
      "priority": 102,
      "purpose": "stop_loss",
      "target_symbol": "MSTR"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "short",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "IBIT",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "ratio": 382,
            "type": "fibonacci_retracement"
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_4_ibit",
      "name": "SL: Fib Retracement 38.2% (IBIT@1d)",
      "priority": 103,
      "purpose": "stop_loss",
      "target_symbol": "IBIT"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "short",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "FBTC",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "ratio": 382,
            "type": "fibonacci_retracement"
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_4_fbtc",
      "name": "SL: Fib Retracement 38.2% (FBTC@1d)",
      "priority": 104,
      "purpose": "stop_loss",
      "target_symbol": "FBTC"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
            "type": "position"
          },
          "operator": "less_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": -2.5929666666666664
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_5",
      "name": "Stop Loss at 2.6%",
      "priority": 100,
      "purpose": "stop_loss"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
            "type": "position"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 5.185933333333333
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_6",
      "name": "Take Profit at 5.2%",
      "priority": 100,
      "purpose": "take_profit"
    }
  ],
  "position_sizing": {
    "max_position_percent": 20,
    "method": {
      "fib_stop_ratio": 382,
      "risk_percent": 2.5929666666666664,
      "type": "fixed_risk"
    },
    "min_position_value": 100
  },
  "trigger_timeframe": "1d",
  "version": 1
}

Indicator configuration

{
  "indicators": [
    {
      "name": "sma",
      "period": 20
    },
    {
      "name": "sma",
      "period": 50
    },
    {
      "name": "adx",
      "period": 14
    },
    {
      "name": "atr",
      "period": 14
    },
    {
      "name": "sma",
      "period": 20
    },
    {
      "name": "sma",
      "period": 50
    },
    {
      "name": "adx",
      "period": 14
    },
    {
      "name": "atr",
      "period": 14
    },
    {
      "name": "sma",
      "period": 20
    },
    {
      "name": "sma",
      "period": 50
    },
    {
      "name": "adx",
      "period": 14
    },
    {
      "name": "atr",
      "period": 14
    },
    {
      "name": "sma",
      "period": 20
    },
    {
      "name": "sma",
      "period": 50
    },
    {
      "name": "adx",
      "period": 14
    },
    {
      "name": "atr",
      "period": 14
    },
    {
      "name": "sma",
      "period": 20
    },
    {
      "name": "sma",
      "period": 50
    },
    {
      "name": "adx",
      "period": 14
    },
    {
      "name": "atr",
      "period": 14
    }
  ]
}

Parsed strategy

{
  "data_dependencies": [
    {
      "symbol": "BITO",
      "timeframe": "1d"
    },
    {
      "symbol": "COIN",
      "timeframe": "1d"
    },
    {
      "symbol": "MSTR",
      "timeframe": "1d"
    },
    {
      "symbol": "IBIT",
      "timeframe": "1d"
    },
    {
      "symbol": "FBTC",
      "timeframe": "1d"
    }
  ],
  "entry_rules": [
    {
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "BITO",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "sma",
              "period": 20
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "crossed_below",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "BITO",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "sma",
              "period": 50
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "BITO",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "adx",
            "indicator": {
              "name": "adx",
              "period": 14
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 20
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "crossed_below",
          "right": {
            "rank": 1,
            "type": "resistance_level"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "BITO",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "atr",
              "period": 14
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 0.5
          }
        }
      ],
      "direction": "short",
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "entry_1_bito",
      "name": "SMA/ADX/ATR Crossover Short (BITO@1d)",
      "priority": 1,
      "trade_symbol": "BITO"
    },
    {
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "COIN",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "sma",
              "period": 20
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "crossed_below",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "COIN",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "sma",
              "period": 50
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "COIN",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "adx",
            "indicator": {
              "name": "adx",
              "period": 14
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 20
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "crossed_below",
          "right": {
            "rank": 1,
            "type": "resistance_level"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "COIN",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "atr",
              "period": 14
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 0.5
          }
        }
      ],
      "direction": "short",
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "entry_1_coin",
      "name": "SMA/ADX/ATR Crossover Short (COIN@1d)",
      "priority": 2,
      "trade_symbol": "COIN"
    },
    {
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "MSTR",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "sma",
              "period": 20
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "crossed_below",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "MSTR",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "sma",
              "period": 50
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "MSTR",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "adx",
            "indicator": {
              "name": "adx",
              "period": 14
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 20
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "crossed_below",
          "right": {
            "rank": 1,
            "type": "resistance_level"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "MSTR",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "atr",
              "period": 14
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 0.5
          }
        }
      ],
      "direction": "short",
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "entry_1_mstr",
      "name": "SMA/ADX/ATR Crossover Short (MSTR@1d)",
      "priority": 3,
      "trade_symbol": "MSTR"
    },
    {
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "IBIT",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "sma",
              "period": 20
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "crossed_below",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "IBIT",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "sma",
              "period": 50
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "IBIT",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "adx",
            "indicator": {
              "name": "adx",
              "period": 14
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 20
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "crossed_below",
          "right": {
            "rank": 1,
            "type": "resistance_level"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "IBIT",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "atr",
              "period": 14
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 0.5
          }
        }
      ],
      "direction": "short",
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "entry_1_ibit",
      "name": "SMA/ADX/ATR Crossover Short (IBIT@1d)",
      "priority": 4,
      "trade_symbol": "IBIT"
    },
    {
      "conditions": [
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            "value": 5.185933333333333
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_6",
      "name": "Take Profit at 5.2%",
      "priority": 100,
      "purpose": "take_profit"
    }
  ],
  "position_sizing": {
    "max_position_percent": 20,
    "method": {
      "fib_stop_ratio": 382,
      "risk_percent": 2.5929666666666664,
      "type": "fixed_risk"
    },
    "min_position_value": 100
  },
  "trigger_timeframe": "1d",
  "version": 1
}

Strategy instructions

Trading agent generated from recommendation idea 'Record Bitcoin ETF bleeding meets failed relief rally — short crypto's dead cat bounce'. Thesis: Investors pulled a record $4 billion from Bitcoin funds in June, signaling extreme panic. This massive exodus usually feeds on itself, forcing prices down further. Even worse for crypto bulls, Bitcoin failed to bounce when stock market futures rose on news of Iran peace talks. When an asset ignores good news and keeps sliding, it means underlying selling pressure is massive. Strategists are now warning of a drop all the way down to $40,000, making the risk of further losses very real.

Performance

No trade count, win rate, or realized P&L figures are provided in this public preview. The thesis and shared rules do not establish a performance record.

What this public preview can establish

  • The dated rule snapshot above shows the conditions evaluated at that time. It does not prove a current trigger or executed trade.
  • Technical strategy fields are shared above. Inspect the actual conditions and check when they were evaluated before relying on them.
  • No trade count, win rate, or P&L figure is published in this preview. It cannot establish a performance record.

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